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1.
日面高纬黑子与太阳活动 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
利用云南天文台太阳黑子观测资料,对太阳活动第１９ 周至第２２ 周日面高纬度（ 高于４０°） 的黑子群进行了统计．结果表明：高纬黑子面积绝大部分小于１００ ,平均５６ ,寿命大部分为１ ～３ 天,平均４ 天;黑子分类绝大部分为ＡＸＸ、ＨＳＸ、ＢＸＯ,其中ＡＸＸ 约占总数的一半．高纬黑子在日面南北半球上的不对称分布可用来预报该太阳周内的太阳活动在南北半球上的主次．由此预报２３ 周太阳活动将在南半球更活跃 相似文献
2.
黑子相对数与黑子群在日面纬度上分布的蝴蝶图表征着太阳长期活动演化的特征，本文主要对这二者尤其是后者进行了研究。太阳活动在日面上分布表现为不对称，这是近30年太阳物理研究的主要内容之一。本文对这一领域进行了详细调研，发现太阳活动的南北半球分布不对称性的确存在，是否存在东西半球分布不对称目前还没有定论，但在日面经度上的分布肯定是不均匀的。本文还利用太阳22周活动极大时期X射线（Imp≥M1.0）耀斑事件进行了统计分析，给出了不对称演化特征，发现不对称性并不是事件活动剧烈程度的函数。统计分析表现21周太阳活动既不是已往方面中所述的南半球占优，也不是北半球占优。本文总结了以往对太阳长期活动特征研究的结论，也分析了黑子面积描述的活动周期特征，发现可用一个二参数函数来描述太阳活动周，这个结论对太阳长期活动预防是有用的。本文还详细解剖了蝴蝶图，揭示了其所含的物理信息，同时将不对称研究引入到这种解剖工作中，或是定量再现已有的一些定律，一些效应，或是揭示一些新的长期活动特征。本文最后对太阳长期活动预报方法和预报结构进行了总结，21－23周的预报事例说明前兆因子方法比其它方法要好。本文用Moscow中子监测值对23周作了预报，其峰值为151．1（月平均黑子相对数），对23周事例的总结分析表明其峰值为162．3。 相似文献
3.
太阳黑子数月平均变化的长期行为的可预报性 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
本用非线性动力系统理论探讨了现代太阳周（１８５０年１月－１９９２年５月）黑子相对数月平均变化过程的可预报性。用时间延迟方法重构吸引子，计算它的最大Ｌｙａｐｕｎｏｖ指数（λ１＝０．０２３±０．００４ ｂｉｔｓ／月），估算了用这些黑子数进行确定性预报的理论时限（ｔ＝３．６±０．６年）。结果表明，动力系统的可预报性与它的最大Ｌｙａｐｕｎｏｖ指数有直接关系，黑子数月平均变化过程的演化不是周期的，也不是拟 相似文献
4.
蒋达西 《紫金山天文台台刊》1995,14(4):274-282
本对１９８４年４月－１９８５年４月在南京紫金山山上大人卫测点，用积分多普勒观测的二维单点定位资料进行了分析。并根据卫星来自ＳＥ、ＳＷ、ＮＥ、ＮＷ四个象限获取的资料，分别进行了归算和处理，结果精度如下：σφ（ＳＥ）＝３．７ｍ，σφ（ＳＷ）＝４．２ｍ σφ（ＮＥ）５．１ｍ，σφ（ＮＷ）＝６．５ｍ σλ（ＳＥ）＝４．９ｍ，σλ（ＳＷ）＝５．６ｍ σλ（ＮＥ）３．３ｍ，σλ（ＮＷ）＝４．０ｍ上述表达式中 相似文献
5.
张勤 《中国天文和天体物理学报》1995,(1)
本文用非线性动力系统理论探讨了现代太阳周（１８５０年１月─１９９２年５月）黑子相对数月平均变化过程的可预报性。用时间延迟方法重构吸引子，计算它的最大Ｌｙａｐｕｎｏｖ指数（λ_１＝０．０２３±０．００４ｂｉｔｓ／月），估算了用这些黑子数进行确定性预报的理论时限（ｔ＝３．６±０．６年）．结果表明，动力系统的可预报性与它的最大Ｌｙａｐｕｎｏｖ指数有直接关系，黑子数月平均变化过程的演化不是周期的，也不是拟周期的，而是混沌的。即使今后找到了描述该过程的确定性方程，它的长期行为也不可能准确地预报，只能作短期预报，这是黑子数本身的混沌特性决定的。用于黑子数预报的纯粹数值统计方法仅对短期预报才有效。 相似文献
6.
本文讨论了第２２太阳活动周的下列重要特点：１．呈现双峰，并在双峰期的槽中又突起孤立的单峰。２．黑子面积峰值滞后相对数峰值的仅占１６．６７％；黑子面积与相对数同步占５８．３３％；二者峰值不能对应占２５％。３．１９８６年１０月以后，纬度≥３０°的有半影的黑子群共出现８７群；延迟在峰年期间出现的有５３群，占６０．９２％；对应有Ｍ级以上Ｘ射线爆发的活动区１８个，占２０．６９％。这一现象与“蝴蝶图”规律不符。 相似文献
7.
冕洞的研究在近二十多年里取得了丰硕的成果。本文回顾了冕洞的发现及观测历史，系统阐述了冕洞的结构特征、形成及演化规律，讨论了冕洞对日地空间产生的影响，冕洞与超级活动区的关系以及冕洞在太阳活动预报中所起的作用，在此基础上利用１９７０—１９９５年的冕洞资料对冕洞的时空分布和磁极性演化规律与太阳活动周的关系，以及冕洞与太阳风速度、地磁扰动等方面进行分析研究，得出以下结论：（１）冕洞在南北半球的分布在形态上基本是对称的，但在冕洞数量上北半球稍占优势；（２）冕洞的盛衰演化呈周期性，表现为赤道冕洞周期与黑子周期是完全一致的，极冕洞周期与黑子周期相位相差１８０°；（３）赤道冕洞的纬度分布随太阳活动周上升而上升，当太阳活动周达到极大值时，它也达到极大，然后再随太阳活动周下降而下降，极冕洞的纬度延伸方向演化与赤道冕洞相反；（４）极冕洞的极场呈１１年周期性，并且极场反转出现在太阳活动峰年期间；（５）太阳风和地磁扰动与冕洞的演化有着密切的关系 相似文献
8.
使用ＢＩＭＡ的Ｃ位形混合波导联结９元天线阵,对ＳｇｒＢ２（Ｎ）和ＳｇｒＢ２（Ｍ）观测了ＣＨ３ＣＮ分子振动激发态Ｖ８＝１的６Ｋ－５Ｋ线系,仅在ＳｇｒＢ２（Ｎ）的１０″＊４″区域里探测到上述发射线。 相似文献
9.
本文对19、20、21太阳活动周的E、F型别黑子群进行了统计分析,得到:1.大黑子群日面经度随时间(用太阳自转周表示)的分布呈现“V”和“∧”形状;2.三个活动周大黑子群数按经度分布都有两个峰值。 相似文献
10.
黑子相对数与黑子群在日面纬度上分布的蝴蝶图表征着太阳长期活动演化的特征 ,本文主要对这二者尤其是后者进行了研究。太阳活动在日面上分布表现为不对称 ,这是近 30年太阳物理研究的主要内容之一。本文对这一领域进行了详细调研 ,发现太阳活动的南北半球分布不对称性的确存在 ,是否存在东西半球分布不对称性目前还没有定论 ,但在日面经度上的分布肯定是不均匀的。本文还利用太阳 2 2周活动极大时期X射线 (Imp≥M1 .0 )耀斑事件进行了统计分析 ,给出了不对称演化特征 ,发现不对称性并不是事件活动剧烈程度的函数。统计分析表现 2 1周太阳活动既不是已往文献中所述的南半球占优 ,也不是北半球占优。本文总结了以往对太阳长期活动特征研究的结论 ,也分析了黑子面积描述的活动周特征 ,发现可用一个二参数函数来描述太阳活动周 ,这个结论对太阳长期活动预报是有用的。本文还详细解剖了蝴蝶图 ,揭示了其所含的物理信息 ,同时将不对称研究引入到这种解剖工作中 ,或是定量再现已有的一些定律 ,一些效应 ,或是揭示一些新的长期活动特征。本文最后对太阳长期活动预报方法和预报结论进行了总结 ,2 1～ 2 3周的预报事例说明前兆因子方法比其它方法要好。本文用Moscow中子监测值对 2 3周作了预报 ,其峰值为 1 51 .1 相似文献
11.
V. K. Verma 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》2000,21(3-4):173-176
We report here a study of various solar activity phenomena occurring in both north and south hemispheres of the Sun during
solar cycles 8–23. In the study we have used sunspot data for the period 1832–1976, flare index data
for the period 1936-1993, Hα flare data 1993–1998 and solar active prominences data for the period 1957–1998.
Earlier Verma reported long-term cyclic period in N-S asymmetry and also that the N-S asymmetry of solar activity phenomena
during solar cycles 21, 22, 23 and 24 will be south dominated and the N-S asymmetry will shift to north hemisphere in solar
cycle 25. The present study shows that the N-S asymmetry during solar cycles 22 and 23 are southern dominated as suggested
by Verma. 相似文献
12.
Data of hourly interplanetary plasma (field magnitude, solar wind speed, and ion density), solar (sunspot number, solar radio
flux), and geomagnetic indices (Kp, Ap) over the period 1970-2010, have been used to examine the asymmetry between the solar
field north and south of the heliospheric current sheet (HCS). A persistent yearly north-south asymmetry of the field magnitude
is clear over the considered period, and there is no magnetic solar cycle dependence. There is a weak N-S asymmetry in the
averaged solar wind speed, exhibited well at times of maximum solar activities. The solar plasma is more dense north of the
current sheet than south of it during the second negative solar polarity epoch (qA < 0). Moreover, the N - S asymmetry in solar activity (Rz) can be statistically highly significant. The sign of the average N - S asymmetry depends upon the solar magnetic polarity.
The annual magnitudes of N - S asymmetry depend positively on the solar magnetic cycle. Most of the solar radio flux asymmetries
occurred during the period of positive IMF polarity. 相似文献
13.
《New Astronomy》2003,8(6):529-536
Peculiarities in the characteristics of the solar differential rotation are investigated using hydrogen filaments as tracers. The existence of North–South (N–S) asymmetry in hydrogen filaments rotation is confirmed statistically. The connection of asymmetry with the solar activity cycles is established. It is found that the northern hemisphere rotates faster during the even cycles (Cycles 20 and 22) while the rotation of southern hemisphere dominates in odd one (Cycle 21). The mechanism of the solar activity should be responsible for the N–S asymmetry of the solar differential rotation. 相似文献
14.
Howard A. Garcia 《Solar physics》1990,127(1):185-197
The record of flare incidence from January 1969 to October 1988 indicates that the north-south (N-S) distribution of large flares is periodic and approximately in phase with the 11-year sunspot cycle. These data are based on observations of the whole-disk Sun in continuum soft X-rays which commenced in early 1969 and have proceeded without interruption to the present time. The pattern of occurrence, observed for slightly less than two sunspot cycles, is that large flares concentrate in north heliographic latitudes soon after solar minimum and then migrate gradually southward as the cycle progresses. By the end of the cycle, most large flares occur in the south. The degree of N-S asymmetry apparently is a function of the intensity of the flare; the most intense flares show the largest amount of N-S asymmetry. The data suggest that sunspots and flares may be driven by distinctly different excitation mechanisms arising at different levels in the convection zone. This conjecture is supported by recent work of Bai (1987, 1988), who has discovered that the superactive regions producing the majority of flares rotate at a speed substantially different from the Carrington rate, which is based primarily on the observed motion of sunspots. 相似文献
15.
Neeraj Singh Bankoti Navin Chandra Joshi Bimal Pande Seema Pande Wahab Uddin Kavita Pandey 《New Astronomy》2011,16(4):269-275
This paper presents the study of normalized north–south asymmetry, cumulative normalized north–south asymmetry and cumulative difference indices of sunspot areas, solar active prominences (at total, low (?40°) and high (?50°) latitudes) and Hα solar flares from 1964 to 2008 spanning the solar cycles 20–23. Three different statistical methods are used to obtain the asymmetric behavior of different solar activity features. Hemispherical distribution of activity features shows the dominance of activities in northern hemisphere for solar cycle 20 and in southern hemisphere for solar cycles 21–23 excluding solar active prominences at high latitudes. Cumulative difference index of solar activity features in each solar cycle is observed at the maximum of the respective solar cycle suggesting a cyclic behavior of approximately one solar cycle length. Asymmetric behavior of all activity features except solar active prominences at high latitudes hints at the long term periodic trend of eight solar cycles. North–south asymmetries of SAP (H) express the specific behavior of solar activity at high solar latitudes and its behavior in long-time scale is distinctly opposite to those of other activity features. Our results show that in most cases the asymmetry is statistically highly significant meaning thereby that the asymmetries are real features in the N–S distribution of solar activity features. 相似文献
16.
QIAN Ya-wen FENG Song DENG Lin-hua LIU Wei-hang 《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》2019,43(3):365-374
The study on the 1.3–1.7 yr period of the solar and geomagnetic activities is very important for understanding the possible physical processes in the solar-terrestrial coupling system. The sunspot is the most prominent magnetic field structure in the solar photosphere, and the Ap index is an important indicator for the global geomagnetic activity level. The 1.3–1.7 yr period for the sunspot number and the geomagnetic Ap index is obtained by the synchro-squeezing wavelet transform, and the phase relationship between them is studied by the cross-correlation analysis. The main results are as follows: (1) The 1.3–1.7 yr period of the geomagnetic Ap index and sunspot number exhibits an intermittent evolutionary characteristics, and changes continuously with the time; (2) the geomagnetic Ap index has a higher periodic component in the odd solar cycles than the neighboring even solar cycles, which is characterized by fluctuations; (3) the phase relationship between the geomagnetic Ap index and the sunspot number is not always invariant, in most cases the geomagnetic Ap index lags behind the sunspot number, except in the 18th and 22th solar cycles. 相似文献
17.
We study the solar cycle evolution during the last 8 solar cycles using a vectorial sunspot area called the LA (longitudinal asymmetry) parameter. This is a useful measure of solar activity in which the stochastic, longitudinally evenly distributed sunspot activity is reduced and which therefore emphasizes the more systematic, longitudinally asymmetric sunspot activity. Interesting differences are found between the LA parameter and the more conventional sunspot activity indices like the (scalar) sunspot area and the sunspot number. E.g., cycle 19 is not the highest cycle according to LA. We have calculated the separate LA parameters for the northern and southern hemisphere and found a systematic dipolar-type oscillation in the dominating hemisphere during high solar activity times which is reproduced from cycle to cycle. We have analyzed this oscillation during cycles 16–22 by a superposed epoch method using the date of magnetic reversal in the southern hemisphere as the zero epoch time. According to our analysis, the oscillation starts by an excess of the northern LA value in the ascending phase of the solar cycle which lasts for about 2.3 years. Soon after the maximum northern dominance, the southern hemisphere starts dominating, reaching its minimum some 1.2–1.7 years later. The period of southern dominance lasts for about 1.6 years and ends, on an average, slightly before the end of magnetic reversal. 相似文献
18.
The properties of the differential rotation of the Sun are investigated by using H filaments as tracers. Annual average angular velocities of 716 quiescent filaments are determined from H photoheliograms of the Abastumani Astrophysical Observatory film collection for the years 1957–1993. The existence of north-south (N–S) asymmetry in H filaments rotation is confirmed statistically. The connection of asymmetry with the solar activity cycles is established. It is found that the northern hemisphere rotates faster during the even cycles (20 and 22) while the rotation of southern hemisphere dominates in odd ones (cycles 19 and 21). The mechanism of the solar activity should be responsible for the N–S asymmetry of the solar differential rotation. A theoretical explanation for the N–S asymmetry in the Suns rotation is offered. It is suggested that the asymmetry in the rotation of the two hemispheres of the Sun is balanced by the dynamo mechanism, which acts in parallel to the mechanism offered here. It is concluded that the N–S asymmetry of the solar rotation should cause a difference in activity level between the northern and southern hemispheres. 相似文献
19.
The paper presents the results of a study of the distribution and asymmetry of solar active prominences (SAP) for the period 1957–1998 (solar cycles 19–23). The east-west (E-W) distribution study shows that the frequency of SAP events in the 81–90° slice (in longitude) near the east and west limbs is up to 10 times greater than in the 1–10° slice near the central meridian of the Sun. The north-south (N-S) latitudinal distribution shows that the SAP events are most prolific in the 11–20° slice in the northern and southern hemispheres. Further, the E-W asymmetry of SAP events is not significant. The N-S asymmetry of SAP events is significant and it has no relation with the solar maximum year or solar minimum year during solar cycles. Further, the present study also shows that the N-S asymmetry for cycles 19–23 follows and confirms the trend of N-S asymmetry cycles as reported by Verma (1992). 相似文献
20.
Cosmic-ray intensity data for the period 1964–1985 covering two solar cycles are used to investigate the solar activity behaviour in relation to cosmic-ray modulation. A detailed statistical analysis of them shows a large time-lag of about one and half years between cosmic-ray intensity and solar activity (as indicated by sunspot number, solar flares and high-speed solar-wind streams) during the 21st solar cycle appearing for a first time. This lag indicates the very high activity level of this solar cycle estimating the size of the modulating region to the unambiguous value of 180 AU. The account of the solar-wind speed in the 11-year variation significantly decreases the modulation region of cosmic-rays to the value of 40 AU.A comparison with the behaviour of the previous solar cycle establishes a distinction between even and odd solar cycles. This is explained in terms of different contributions of drift, convection and diffusion to the whole modulation mechanism during even and odd solar cycles. 相似文献