Input data selection for solar radiation estimation   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Azadeh Ahmadi  Dawei Han  Mohammad Karamouz  Renji Remesan 《水文研究》2009,23(19):2754-2764

Model input data selection is a complicated process, especially for non‐linear dynamic systems. The questions on which inputs should be used and how long the training data should be for model development have been hard to solve in practice. Despite the importance of this subject, there have been insufficient reports in the published literature about inter‐comparison between different model input data selection techniques. In this study, several methods (i.e. the Gamma test, entropy theory, AIC (Akaike's information criterion)/BIC (Bayesian information criterion) have been explored with the aid of non‐linear models of LLR (local linear regression) and ANN (artificial neural networks). The methodology is tested in estimation of solar radiation in the Brue Catchment of England. It has been found that the conventional model selection tools such as AIC/BIC failed to demonstrate their functionality. Although the entropy theory is quite powerful and efficient to compute, it failed to pick up the best input combinations. On the other hand, it is very encouraging to find that the new Gamma test was able to choose the best input selection. However, it is surprising to note that the Gamma test significantly underestimated the required training data while the entropy theory did a better job in this aspect. This is the first study to compare the performance of those techniques for model input selections and still there are many unsolved puzzles. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Reply to comments on “Evaporation estimation using artificial neural networks and adaptive neurofuzzy inference system techniques” by A. Moghaddamnia,M. Ghafari Gousheh,J. Piri,S. Amin and D. Han [Adv. Water Resour. 32 (2009) 88–97]     

D. Han 《Advances in water resources》2009

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形变标定格值计算软件   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

池海江  马广庆  王宝坤  韩和平 《地震地磁观测与研究》2009,30(4):117-121

为提高地壳形变观测仪器格值标定的真实性、准确性和可靠性,根据《地震前兆台网运行管理办法》和《地震前兆台网形变观测与运行工作细则》,针对不同测项、不同仪器标定的规范要求及特点,应用Visual Basic语言编制了格值计算软件。本文主要介绍了软件的使用、格值计算、误差检查方法,结果以全国形变台网中心推荐的Word格式保存。对水管仪、水平摆、垂直摆仪直接从原始文件读取数据,提高了标定精度,实现了格值标定的半自动化。本软件已应用于河北省地震前兆数字化台站工作。  相似文献   

Hydrocarbon accumulation model of the Cretaceous in southern China     

Bo Chen  ChangMin Zhang  MingXia Luo  QingLiang Lei  DingKun Han  XiaoJun Zhou 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2009,52(1):77-87

The Cretaceous in southern China is mainly a set of red and mauve clastic rock, with evaporation layers. For lack of source rock, it has been paid little attention to in the exploration process. With the development of research on hydrocarbon exploration, the masses of Cretaceous reservoirs and shows have been found in recent years. This means that the Cretaceous has great exploration potential. According to the research, authors find that the high-quality reservoir and efficient cap rocks develop in the Cretaceous. At the same time, the Cretaceous and underlying Paleozoic-Early Mesozoic marine strata and overlying Cenozoic nonmarine strata constitute a superimposed basin. Moreover, high-quality source rocks developed in the above-mentioned two sets of strata. In the south, especially in the middle and lower Yangtze region since the Himalayan strong rift was associated with a large number of faults, These faults connect the Cretaceous reservoir and its overlying and underlying source rocks, forming the fault-based and unconformity-based discontinuous source-reservoir-cap accumulation assemblages. Because the Cretaceous has the abundant oil and gas from Paleogene source rocks or Mesozoic-Paleozoic source rocks with secondary hydrocarbon generation ability, three types of reservoirs develop in the Cretaceous: “new-generating and old-reservoiring” reservoirs, “old-generating andnew-reservoiring” reservoirs, and few “self-generating andself-reservoiring” reservoirs. The hydrocarbon enrichment depends on two key factors. Firstly, Cretaceous reservoirs are near to the source kitchens, so its oil and gas source is ample. Secondly, the fault system is well developed, which provides the necessary conducting systems for hydrocarbon accumulation.  相似文献   

Comparison of LLR,MLP, Elman,NNARX and ANFIS Models—with a case study in solar radiation estimation     

A. Moghaddamnia  R. Remesan  M. Hassanpour Kashani  M. Mohammadi  D. Han  J. Piri 《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2009,71(8-9):975-982

Despite the widespread application of nonlinear mathematical models, comparative studies of different models are still a huge task for modellers. This is because a large number of trial and error processes are needed to develop each model, so the workload will be multiplied into an unmanageable level if many types of models are involved. This study presents an efficient approach by using the Gamma test (GT) to select the input variables and the training data length, so that the trial and error workload can be greatly reduced. The methodology is tested in estimating solar radiation at the Brue catchment, UK. Several nonlinear models have been developed efficiently with the aid of the GT, including local linear regression, multi-layer perceptron (MLP), Elman neural network, neural network auto-regressive model with exogenous inputs (NNARX) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). This work is only feasible within the time and resources constraint, due to the GT in reducing huge workload of the trial and error process.  相似文献   

波前构建法中的网格点定位(英文)   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

韩复兴  孙建国  孙章庆  杨昊 《应用地球物理》2009,6(3):248-258

针对波前构建法中非规则的波前四边形网格与规则的矩形网格节点之间的相对定位问题,对比分析了在计算机图形学中常用的四种网格定位方法(叉乘判断法、夹角之和检验法、射线法(交点计数检验法)以及符号比较法)在波前构建法中的具体实现问题,通过对定位方法稳健性分析及计算实例表明,矢量叉乘判断法在实现规则的矩形网格节点与非规则的波前四边形网格相对定位研究中,其稳健性和计算效率足最高的,从而为下一步做偏移或者反偏移提供了精确的网格点属性值.  相似文献   

设防水准对框架-剪力墙结构土建成本的影响     

韩淼  李守静 《震灾防御技术》2009,4(4):442-447

本文按不同设防烈度设计10层框架-剪力墙结构,计算其不同设防烈度下的土建成本。在设防烈度8度以下,设防水准提高一个等级,土建成本增加比例小于8.61%,增加成本占房屋售价的比例小于0.75%。采用框架-剪力墙结构土建成本较小的增加,可获得设防水准一个等级的提高。从另一个角度说,在减少建筑面积很小的情况下,房屋的抗震设防水准可获得一个等级的提高。  相似文献   

1980—2005年海南岛尖峰岭热带山地雨林区气候突变与异常的初步研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

周璋  李意德  林明献  陈德祥  许涵  骆土寿 《气象与环境学报》2009,25(3):66-72

海南尖峰岭热带山地雨林作为典型的热带雨林生态系统之一,其长期的气候动态变化研究对全球变化研究有着重要的作用。采用1980—2005年海南尖峰岭森林生态系统国家野外科学观测研究站天池气象站地面常规气象观测资料,利用累积距平法和Mann-Kendall检验法分析了尖峰岭热带山地雨林区气候突变和气候异常,结果表明：该区26 a来,年平均气温、年平均地温、年平均最高最低气温、年积温和平均水汽压在1990年前后经历一次由低到高的突变,年平均风速在1993年经历由大到小的突变。在高强度ENSO事件发生的1998年,气温、地温均出现异常偏高,这些都表明该林区的森林气候变化正是对全球气候异常的明显响应过程。  相似文献   

广西贺州地区气温和干旱的气候变化特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

吴林  沈晗  王刚  李江南 《热带地理》2009,29(3)

利用近30年的实际观测资料,分析贺州地区年平均气温和干旱指数的变化特征,结果表明:(1)贺州地区年平均气温有增高趋势,冬季和春季较大幅度变暖,带来"暖冬",夏季反而稍微降温,出现"凉夏",秋季稍有增温,但不明显;(2)贺州地区的年平均气温存在11 a和4a左右的两个振荡周期;(3)在上世纪80年代初,贺州地区干旱指数有一次明显的年代际变化,由负值转为正值,干旱有加重的趋势,未来几年贺州地区干旱指数仍处于增强的趋势中,这与11～13 a左右的振荡周期处于正位相有关.贺州地区4个站的干旱指数都有一个11～13a左右的振荡周期和一个2～6 a左右的振荡周期.  相似文献   

土工格栅加筋膨胀土渠坡数值模拟研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

徐晗  汪明元  黄斌  杨洪 《岩土力学》2007,28(Z1):599-603

对土工格栅加筋膨胀土渠坡这种较新的膨胀土处理措施进行研究,在考虑土工格栅与填土之间的相互作用、膨胀土吸水膨胀、软化特性等膨胀土渠坡关键影响因素的基础上,提出了土工格栅加筋膨胀土渠坡数值计算的新思路,并采用有限差分软件Flac3D进行了验证。数值算例结果表明,土工格栅对膨胀土渠坡有明显的水平位移约束作用,是有效的处理措施,可以在实际工程中采用。  相似文献