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F. Feroz M. P. Hobson M. Bridges 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2009,398(4):1601-1614
We present further development and the first public release of our multimodal nested sampling algorithm, called M ulti N est . This Bayesian inference tool calculates the evidence, with an associated error estimate, and produces posterior samples from distributions that may contain multiple modes and pronounced (curving) degeneracies in high dimensions. The developments presented here lead to further substantial improvements in sampling efficiency and robustness, as compared to the original algorithm presented in Feroz & Hobson, which itself significantly outperformed existing Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques in a wide range of astrophysical inference problems. The accuracy and economy of the M ulti N est algorithm are demonstrated by application to two toy problems and to a cosmological inference problem focusing on the extension of the vanilla Λ cold dark matter model to include spatial curvature and a varying equation of state for dark energy. The M ulti N est software, which is fully parallelized using MPI and includes an interface to C osmo MC, is available at http://www.mrao.cam.ac.uk/software/multinest/ . It will also be released as part of the SuperBayeS package, for the analysis of supersymmetric theories of particle physics, at http://www.superbayes.org . 相似文献
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M. P. Hobson 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1994,216(1-2):159-160
The M17SW molecular cloud core has been mapped at high resolution in the C17OJ = 3 2 transition and in 450, 600, 800, 1100 and 1300µm continuum emission, using the JCMT. The clumpy nature of the cloud core is clearly revealed and the northern condensation has been resolved into 3 main clumps, each of which lies close to an H2O maser, suggesting that they may contain young embedded stellar objects. 相似文献
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P. Mukherjee M. P. Hobson A. N. Lasenby 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2000,318(4):1157-1163
We investigate the detection of non-Gaussianity in the 4-year COBE data reported by Pando, Valls-Gabaud & Fang, using a technique based on the discrete wavelet transform. Their analysis was performed on the two DMR faces centred on the North and South Galactic poles, respectively, using the Daubechies 4 wavelet basis. We show that these results depend critically on the orientation of the data, and so should be treated with caution. For two distinct orientations of the data, we calculate estimates of the skewness, kurtosis and scale–scale correlation of the corresponding wavelet coefficients in all of the available scale domains of the transform. We obtain several detections of non-Gaussianity in the DMR-DSMB map at greater than the 99 per cent confidence level, but most of these occur on pixel–pixel scales and are therefore not cosmological in origin. Indeed, after removing all multipoles beyond ℓ=40 from the COBE maps, only one robust detection remains. Moreover, using Monte Carlo simulations, we find that the probability of obtaining such a detection by chance is 0.59. We repeat the analysis for the 53+90 GHz coadded COBE map. In this case, after removing ℓ>40 multipoles, two non-Gaussian detections at the 99 per cent level remain. Nevertheless, again using Monte Carlo simulations, we find that the probability of obtaining two such detections by chance is 0.28. Thus, we conclude the wavelet technique does not yield strong evidence for non-Gaussianity of cosmological origin in the 4-year COBE data. 相似文献
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A. M. M. Scaife N. Hurley-Walker M. L. Davies P. J. Duffett-Smith F. Feroz K. J. B. Grainge D. A. Green M. P. Hobson T. Kaneko A. N. Lasenby G. G. Pooley R. D. E. Saunders P. F. Scott D. J. Titterington E. M. Waldram J. Zwart 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2008,385(2):809-822
We present observations between 14.2 and 17.9 GHz of 16 Galactic H ii regions made with the Arcminute Microkelvin Imager. In conjunction with data from the literature at lower radio frequencies we investigate the possibility of a spinning dust component in the spectra of these objects. We conclude that there is no significant evidence for spinning dust towards these sources and measure an average spectral index of α= 0.15 ± 0.07 (where S ∝ν−α ) between 1.4 and 17.9 GHz for the sample. 相似文献
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Out of administrative control: Absentee owners, resident elk and the shifting nature of wildlife management in southwestern Montana 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper describes the historical roots of an ongoing wildlife management dilemma involving decreasing opportunities for elk management via public hunting on private land in the context of an expanding elk presence on private land in southwest Montana. Our main focus is on the role of private ranchland in elk ecology, and the ability of land owners to set elk migration in new directions through cumulative decisions about hunting and tolerating elk. This takes elk management, traditionally the purview of the state, out of administrative control. We document connections between the region’s historical and emerging land tenure patterns, and analyze associated changes in hunter access. Elk numbers expanded rapidly in the Upper Yellowstone Valley at a moment of significant transition in ranchland tenure. New owners more interested in natural amenities than in livestock production encouraged the elk and discouraged hunting. This reinforced the spread of elk, and further weakened the ability of the state and other ranchers to manage elk (which interfere with livestock production in numerous ways). Though elk and cattle use the landscape in similar ways, elk became more effective agents of landscape change in a reflexive relationship with ideas of land that stress natural amenities over production. 相似文献