Application of Dangerous Probability Function in Risk Estimation of Surface Rupture Earthquake：Taking the Lingwu Fault in Ningxi1 Region as on Example     

Chai Chizhang  Zhang Wenxiao  Liao Yuhu  Xu Wenjun  Shen Xuhui  Tian Qinjian  Wei Kaibo  Chen Zhengwei 《中国地震研究》2002,16(1):60-70

Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of Chi-na and giving a statistical model of time interdependence,the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period and characteristics of present shocks along the Lingwu fault have been analyzed by using dangerous probability function and some new data concerned.We have in-ferred that the fault has entered a period that earthquakes will probably occur.There exists a potential danger that a strong earthquake with Ms7.0-7.5 will occur in 10-100a.  相似文献   

Early Yanshanian post-orogenic granitoids in the Nanling region
Petrological constraints and geodynamic settings   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Peirong Chen  Renmin Hua  Bangtong Zhang  Jianjun Lu  Chunfang Fan 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2002,45(8):755-768

Early Yanshanian magmatic suites predominate absolutely in the Nanling granite belt. They consist mainly of monzogranite and K-feldspar granite. There occur associations of early Yanshanian A-type granitoids (176 Ma-178 Ma) and bimodal volcanic rocks (158 Ma-179 Ma) in southern Jiangxi and southwestern Fujian in the eastern sector of the granite belt and early Yanshanian basalts (177 Ma-178 Ma) in southern Hunan in the central sector of the belt. Both the acid end-member rhyolite in the bimodal volcanic rock association and A-type granitoids in southern Jiangxi have the geochemical characteristics of intraplate granitic rocks and the basic end-member basalt of the association is intraplate tholeiite, while the basaltic rocks in southern Hunan include not only intraplate tholeiite but also intraplate alkali basalt. Therefore the early Yanshanian magmatic suites in the Nanling region are undoubtedly typical post-orogenic rock associations. Post-orogenic suites mark the end of a post-collision or late orogenic event and the initiation of Pangaea break-up, indicating that a new orogenic Wilson cycle is about to start. Therefore it may be considered that the early Yanshanian geodynamic settings in the Nanling region should be related to post-orogenic continental break-up after the Indosinian orogeny and the break-up did not begin in the Cretaceous.  相似文献   

Dynamic processes of a simple linear dune—a study in the Taklimakan Sand Sea, China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Xunming Wang  Zhibao Dong  Jianjun Qu  Jiawu Zhang  Aiguo Zhao 《Geomorphology》2003,52(3-4):233-241

Samples of dune sands, surveys of the morphology and field measurements of wind velocity and direction of a simple linear dune in Taklimakan Sand Sea show that the airflow and sand flux vary with the change of wind direction on the dune surface. Decrease of the airflow stress on the lee flank does not result in much decrease of the sand flux because of the low threshold shear velocities and the airflow conditions. There are no significant relations between the sand flux on the lee flank and the angle of incidence of the airflow. The low threshold shear velocities and the maintenance of the sand flux at the lee flank are the main mechanisms keeping the linear shape of the dunes. Measurements of the sand flux shows that it reaches a maximum on the crest of the dune. The grain size of the transported sands has some differences compared to that of the dune surface. The sands transported are finer than that on the dune surface, but better sorted under the influence of the medium to low wind activity. The field experiment results exhibit that it is possible for the dunes to be shaped as linear dunes during the processes of accumulation and elongation.  相似文献   

福建强震台网数据记录系统简介     

廖诗荣  陈绯雯 《福建地震》2003,(1)

本文概要介绍了强震仪主要技术参数、强震台网计算机系统及强震记录情况。  相似文献   

深海岩芯高分辨率的古环境记录-以南海北部陆坡17940-2柱状样为例     

邹建军  程新民  李双林 《世界地质》2003,22(3):226-230

本文将深海岩芯高分辩率记录的替代性指标分为沉积型和生物型两类。沉积型替代性指标主要包括沉积物的粒度，沉积速率，粘土矿物；生物型替代性指标主要包括有孔虫，氧同位素，古水温，有机碳通量。对比研究发现，17940—2柱状样沉积物的粒度、沉积速率、有孔虫，氧同位素，古水温，有机碳通量等指标记录海洋环境变化信息程度优于其它替代性指标；沉积型替代性指标与生物型替代性指标记录海洋环境变化信息不同步；海洋环境变化的突变与渐变影响替代性指标记录的同步性。  相似文献   

酒西盆地青南凹陷柳沟庄-窟窿山地区下白垩统震积岩的发现及意义   总被引：17，自引：6，他引：17       下载免费PDF全文

张琴  朱筱敏  张建军  宋刚  阎伟鹏  张群伟 《地质学报》2003,77(2):158-162

在甘肃省酒西盆地青南凹陷柳沟庄-窟窿山地区下白垩统下沟组及中沟组地层序列中,首次发现发育一套地震事件沉积物,是一套含微裂缝或同生变形构造及振动液化泄水构造等震积特征的泥质白云岩、白云质泥岩及泥质粉砂岩的组合.本区震积作用及震积岩的主要识别标志为振动液化卷曲变形及其伴生构造、重荷模及伴生构造、脆性和塑性两类沉积物相间的滑塌变形作用及滑塌岩、软沉积物的液化作用及泄水构造、层内阶梯状断层及地裂缝.柳沟庄-窟窿山地区下白垩统震积岩的发现,填补了本区震积岩研究的空白,反映了本区在早白垩世存在一个强烈的构造活动时期,可以推测其影响范围可能还会波及青南凹陷的其他地区,也有望在酒西盆地类似环境的其他凹陷发现震积岩,开辟震积岩研究的新领域.区域构造背景的研究同样表明,青南凹陷青西Ⅰ号同生断裂带及509断阶带的强烈构造活动正是本区早白垩世震积作用的直接诱发因素,为本区震积岩的存在提供了科学依据.  相似文献   

中尺度非静力模式中常用气压分离技术的研究          下载免费PDF全文

廖洞贤  孙岚 《大气科学》2003,27(2):203-211

分析了气压分离和不分离,在几种不同的层结情况下,垂直气压梯度的截断误差.结果表明:基本场取法不当,会引起巨大的截断误差,甚至和不分离时相当;反之,则较小.根据计算,提出了一种取基本场的方法,在一定条件下,可以使气压偏差的垂直梯度的截断误差比不分离时的相应误差小一个量级,从而,可以取较小的垂直分辨率.  相似文献   

用相关分析法从红外云图上提取云团平均尺度特征量          下载免费PDF全文

李浩  王越  廖仿玉 《气象科学》2003,23(3):339-345

用相关分析法从红外云图上提取云团平均尺度这一特征量，考察了云团平均尺度与合地面观测资料所估算的云厚以及实测局地降雨之关系。初步分析表明，所得的云团平均尺度具有明显的天气学意义。  相似文献   

一次强对流系列风暴个例的多普勒天气雷达资料分析   总被引：54，自引：9，他引：54       下载免费PDF全文

廖玉芳  俞小鼎郭庆 《应用气象学报》2003,14(6):656-662

讨论了新一代（多普勒）天气雷达对2002年5月14日19:00至21:00影响湖南常德地区的3个对流风暴的探测情况，其中两个为超级单体，一个为飑线。观测到了与超级单体相联系的中气旋和龙卷式涡旋特征（TVS）。上述强对流系统产生了地面大风、大冰雹和龙卷等强烈天气，与雷达的探测相吻合。特别值得一提的是在中国首次探测到了三体散射（TBSS）和龙卷式涡旋特征（TVS）这两个分别指示大冰雹和龙卷的雷达回波特征，并得到了地面报告的印证。  相似文献   

一个有限区变网格模式的设计   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

钱滔滔  郭肖容  廖洞贤 《大气科学》1997,21(6):687-697

在国家气象中心业务运行的有限区球面均匀网格模式的基础上设计了一个有限区变网格模式。使预报的窗口区设计为均匀细网格0.5°，而窗口区以外则以0.1°经纬度均匀向外递增。采用廖洞贤1995年提出的坐标变换方法，变网格中的模式方程可以在相应的均匀网格上进行计算。利用实际资料对绝热模式进行了变网格与全场均匀细网格0.5°的对比试验。3个个例的试验结果表明:对窗口区变网格模式预报几乎与全场均匀细网格模式预报水平相当。但由于窗口区外网格点数减少而所用计算机时（CPU）节省了一半以上。  相似文献