Triggering transformative change: a development path approach to climate change response in communities     

Sarah Burch  Alison Shaw  Ann Dale  John Robinson 《Climate Policy》2013,13(4):467-487

While climate change action plans are becoming more common, it is still unclear whether communities have the capacity, tools, and targets in place to trigger the transformative levels of change required to build fundamentally low-carbon, resilient, healthy communities. Evidence increasingly supports the finding that this transformation is not triggered by climate policy alone, but rather is shaped by a broad array of decisions and practices that are rooted in underlying patterns of development. Even so, these findings have rarely penetrated the domain of practice, which often remains squarely focused on a relatively narrow set of climate-specific policies. This article builds a conceptual framework for understanding the dynamics of community-level development path transformations that may both dramatically reduce GHG emissions and significantly enhance community resilience. This framework illuminates eight critical enablers of innovation on climate change, each of which is illustrated by compelling examples of community-level experimentation on climate change across the province of British Columbia, Canada. It is concluded that community-based climate (or sustainability) policy might be more likely to trigger development path shifts if it employs a longer time horizon, recognition of adaptability and feedbacks, integrated decision making, and systems thinking.  相似文献   

Farmers’ adaptive practices for drought risk reduction in the northwest region of Bangladesh     

Umma Habiba  Rajib Shaw  Yukiko Takeuchi 《Natural Hazards》2014,72(2):337-359

Being an agrarian region, the northwest part of Bangladesh frequently experiences recurrent droughts over the last decade. To cope with this insidious disaster, the farmers in this region practice various adaptation measures through their own efforts with institutional support. But these efforts and support are not sufficient for farmers to survive droughts. In this light, this study assesses the adaptive capacity of farmers along with institutions to develop suitable drought adaptation policy in the context of this region. The drought adaptive practices developed in this study are mainly adopted from the unique approach called socioeconomic, institutional and physical. Results reveal that establishment of mango orchard, vegetable gardening and community health care service would be helpful in enhancing drought resilience at community level. Moreover, an important policy message from this study suggests that validation of these practices through government offices, research institutes and other relevant organizations can help to develop an appropriate drought adaptation policy for this region. Similarly, by performing these practices from national to local level, farmers as well as communities in this region will be able to effectively sustain their livelihoods against droughts.  相似文献   

Assessing response behaviour of debris-flows affected communities in Kaohsiung,Taiwan     

Yuner Luo  Rajib Shaw  Hanliang Lin  Jonas Joerin 《Natural Hazards》2014,74(3):1429-1448

During Typhoon Morakot which hit Taiwan from 6 to 9 August, 2009, Kaohsiung City was highly affected by devastating debris-flows and flooding. Recorded casualties were 699 deaths and 1,766 damaged homes, mostly in the mountainous areas of Kaohsiung City. Due to a largely malfunctioning or absent early-warning system, residents in those mountainous villages were required to rely on individual- and/or community-based capacities to evacuate and respond to debris-flow-related disasters. Hence, this study investigates the response behaviour of selected debris-flow-affected communities in Kaohsiung City, based on a preparedness awareness action and affect model. Key results from the survey highlight that only 13.8 % of the households received formal (institutional) early warning, whereas 86.2 % households had to rely on their intrinsic senses and indigenous knowledge to recognise the onset of debris-flows in their villages during Typhoon Morakot. Among those households who did not receive formal early warning, 10 % of the households received previous disaster education, 17 % had previous disaster experience, and 73 % did have neither disaster education nor disaster experience. Furthermore, households with disaster education were among those who were best prepared and knew best how to evacuate and respond to debris-flow-related disasters followed by households with disaster experiences. Finally, findings from the survey and selected key informants’ interviews identified that the response behaviour of communities ought to be enhanced through the following measures: conduction of hydro-meteorological-related disaster education, improved participatory risk communication and enhanced recognition of communities as vital actors during a disaster to provide local knowledge and support to relief operations.  相似文献   

Population Structure of Adult Blue Crabs, <Emphasis Type="Italic">Callinectes sapidus</Emphasis>, in Relation to Physical Characteristics in Barnegat Bay,New Jersey     

Paul R. Jivoff  Jennifer M. Smith  Valerie L. Sodi  Stacy M. VanMorter  Kathryn M. Faugno  Amy L. Werda  Margaret J. Shaw 《Estuaries and Coasts》2017,40(1):235-250

Blue crabs (Callinectes sapidus) are an important species in coastal or lagoonal estuaries where adult population characteristics may differ as compared to drowned-river estuaries. Barnegat Bay, in southern New Jersey, is composed of two large embayments: one without and one with a salinity gradient. We tested the influence of physical characteristics on the abundance, sex ratio, and size of adult blue crabs and examined variation in measures of reproductive potential (e.g., sperm stores) in both sexes in Barnegat Bay from June to September, 2008–2009. Population structure was distinct between the embayments due to sex-specific responses to salinity: male abundance was negatively correlated with salinity whereas adult females were more abundant in high salinity because of proximity to Barnegat Inlet. This produced high sex ratios in low salinity areas and low sex ratios in high salinity areas. Summer was a growing season for adult males while in late summer-early fall, juvenile males recruited to the adult size class. The spawning season lasted from May to August and ovigerous females were concentrated near the inlets. Information on female sperm stores and ovarian development identified two cohorts of adult females: females that will spawn in the current summer and females that will not spawn until the following summer. Thus, not all adult females near the spawning grounds were members of the current spawning stock. This suggests that annual estimates of spawning stock size which overlook the proximity of females to spawning are overestimating the current spawning stock in Barnegat Bay and other estuaries.  相似文献   

Dissolution of orthopyroxene in basanitic magma between 0.4 and 2 GPa: further implications for the origin of Si-rich alkaline glass inclusions in mantle xenoliths   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Cliff S. J. Shaw 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1999,135(2-3):114-132

A large body of recent work has linked the origin of Si-Al-rich alkaline glass inclusions to metasomatic processes in the upper mantle. This study examines one possible origin for these glass inclusions, i.e., the dissolution of orthopyroxene in Si-poor alkaline (basanitic) melt. Equilibrium dissolution experiments between 0.4 and 2 GPa show that secondary glass compositions are only slightly Si enriched and are alkali poor relative to natural glass inclusions. However, disequilibrium experiments designed to examine dissolution of orthopyroxene by a basanitic melt under anhydrous, hydrous and CO₂-bearing conditions show complex reaction zones consisting of olivine, ± clinopyroxene and Si-rich alkaline glass similar in composition to that seen in mantle xenoliths. Dissolution rates are rapid and dependent on volatile content. Experiments using an anhydrous solvent show time dependent dissolution rates that are related to variable diffusion rates caused by the saturation of clinopyroxene in experiments longer than 10 minutes. The reaction zone glass shows a close compositional correspondence with natural Si-rich alkaline glass in mantle-derived xenoliths. The most Si-and alkali-rich melts are restricted to pressures of 1 GPa and below under anhydrous and CO₂-bearing conditions. At 2 GPa glass in hydrous experiments is still Si-␣and alkali-rich whereas glass in the anhydrous and CO₂-bearing experiments is only slightly enriched in SiO₂ and alkalis compared with the original solvent. In the low pressure region, anhydrous and hydrous solvent melts yield glass of similar composition whereas the glass from CO₂-bearing experiments is less SiO₂ rich. The mechanism of dissolution of orthopyroxene is complex involving rapid incongruent breakdown of the orthopyroxene, combined with olivine saturation in the reaction zone forming up to 60% olivine. Inward diffusion of CaO causes clinopyroxene saturation and uphill diffusion of Na and K give the glasses their strongly alkaline characteristics. Addition of Na and K also causes minor SiO₂ enrichment of the reaction glass by increasing the phase volume of olivine. Olivine and clinopyroxene are transiently stable phases within the reaction zone. Clinopyroxene is precipitated from the reaction zone melt near the orthopyroxene crystal and redissolved in the outer part of the reaction zone. Olivine defines the thickness of the reaction zone and is progressively dissolved in the solvent as the orthopyroxene continues to dissolve. Although there are compelling reasons for supporting the hypothesis that Si-rich alkaline melts are produced in the mantle by orthopyroxene – melt reaction in the mantle, there are several complications particularly regarding quenching in of disequilibrium reaction zone compositions and the mobility of highly polymerized melts in the upper mantle. It is considered likely that formation of veins and pools of Si-rich alkaline glass by orthopyroxene – melt reaction is a common process during the ascent of xenoliths. However, reaction in situ within the mantle will lead to equilibration and therefore secondary melts will be only moderately siliceous and alkali poor. Received: 24 August 1998 / Accepted: 2 December 1998  相似文献   

Elastic waves in nonhomogeneous media under 2D conditions: II. Numerical implementation     

George D. Manolis  Richard P. Shaw  Stavros Pavlou 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》1999,18(1):952

The purpose of this work is to present three methods of analysis for elastic waves propagating in two dimensional, elastic nonhomogeneous media. The first step, common to all methods, is a transformation of the governing equations of motion so that derivatives with respect to the material parameters no longer appear in the differential operator. This procedure, however, restricts analysis to a very specific class of nonhomogeneous media, namely those for which Poisson's ratio is equal to 0.25 and the elastic parameters are quadratic functions of position. Subsequently, fundamental solutions are evaluated by: (i) conformal mapping in conjunction with wave decomposition, which in principle allows for both vertical and lateral heterogeneities; (ii) wave decomposition into pseudo-dilatational and pseudo-rotational components, which results in an Euler-type equation for the transformed solution if medium heterogeneity is a function of one coordinate only; and (iii) Fourier transformation followed by a first order differential equation system solution, where the final step involving inverse transformation from the wavenumber domain is accomplished numerically. Finally, in the companion paper numerical examples serve to illustrate the above methodologies and to delineate their range of applicability.  相似文献   

The formation and aqueous alteration of CM2 chondrites and their relationship to CO3 chondrites: A fresh isotopic (O,Cd, Cr,Si, Te,Ti, and Zn) perspective from the Winchcombe CM2 fall     

R. C. Greenwood  R. Findlay  R. Martins  R. C. J. Steele  K. M. M. Shaw  E. Morton  P. S. Savage  M. E. Murphy  M. Rehkämper  I. A. Franchi  T. Elliott  M. D. Suttle  A. J. King  M. Anand  J. Malley  K. T. Howard  X. Zhao  D. Johnson  M.-C. Liu  K. A. McCain  N. R. Stephen 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2024,59(5):1170-1193

As part of an integrated consortium study, we have undertaken O, Cd, Cr, Si, Te, Ti, and Zn whole rock isotopic measurements of the Winchcombe CM2 meteorite. δ⁶⁶Zn values determined for two Winchcombe aliquots are +0.29 ± 0.05‰ (2SD) and +0.45 ± 0.05‰ (2SD). The difference between these analyses likely reflects sample heterogeneity. Zn isotope compositions for Winchcombe show excellent agreement with published CM2 data. δ¹¹⁴Cd for a single Winchcombe aliquot is +0.29 ± 0.04‰ (2SD), which is close to a previous result for Murchison. δ¹³⁰Te values for three aliquots gave indistinguishable results, with a mean value of +0.62 ± 0.01‰ (2SD) and are essentially identical to published values for CM2s. ε⁵³Cr and ε⁵⁴Cr for Winchcombe are 0.319 ± 0.029 (2SE) and 0.775 ± 0.067 (2SE), respectively. Based on its Cr isotopic composition, Winchcombe plots close to other CM2 chondrites. ε⁵⁰Ti and ε⁴⁶Ti values for Winchcombe are 3.21 ± 0.09 (2SE) and 0.46 ± 0.08 (2SE), respectively, and are in line with recently published data for CM2s. The δ³⁰Si composition of Winchcombe is −0.50 ± 0.06‰ (2SD, n = 11) and is essentially indistinguishable from measurements obtained on other CM2 chondrites. In conformity with petrographic observations, oxygen isotope analyses of both bulk and micromilled fractions from Winchcombe clearly demonstrate that its parent body experienced extensive aqueous alteration. The style of alteration exhibited by Winchcombe is consistent with relatively closed system processes. Analysis of different fractions within Winchcombe broadly support the view that, while different lithologies within an individual CM2 meteorite can be highly variable, each meteorite is characterized by a predominant alteration type. Mixing of different lithologies within a regolith environment to form cataclastic matrix is supported by oxygen isotope analysis of micromilled fractions from Winchcombe. Previously unpublished bulk oxygen isotope data for 12 CM2 chondrites, when combined with published data, define a well-constrained regression line with a slope of 0.77. Winchcombe analyses define a more limited linear trend at the isotopically heavy, more aqueously altered, end of the slope 0.77 CM2 array. The CM2 slope 0.77 array intersects the oxygen isotope field of CO3 falls, indicating that the unaltered precursor material to the CMs was essentially identical in oxygen isotope composition to the CO3 falls. Our data are consistent with earlier suggestions that the main differences between the CO3s and CM2s reflect differing amounts of water ice that co-accreted into their respective parent bodies, being high in the case of CM2s and low in the case of CO3s. The small difference in Si isotope compositions between the CM and CO meteorites can be explained by different proportions of matrix versus refractory silicates. CMs and COs may also be indistinguishable with respect to Ti and Cr isotopes; however, further analysis is required to test this possibility. The close relationship between CO3 and CM2 chondrites revealed by our data supports the emerging view that the snow line within protoplanetary disks marks an important zone of planetesimal accretion.  相似文献   

An Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management framework: the efficient,regional-level planning tool for management agencies     

W.J. Fletcher  J. Shaw  S.J. Metcalf  D.J. Gaughan 《Marine Policy》2010

The value of applying a regional level, Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management (EBFM) framework, which is a step-wise, hierarchical, risk-based approach, was tested on the West Coast Bioregion of Western Australia. With structured stakeholder input, over 600 ecological, social, economic and governance issues were initially identified for the region. This complexity was reduced to a level useful for management by consolidating the individual risks into 60 regional-level risks, with a multi-criteria analysis used to integrate the ecological, social and economic risks into just 24 Departmental-level priorities, which ranged from very low to urgent. Given this success, EBFM-based priorities now form the basis for the Department’s budget planning process, plus the framework is providing a critical link between fishery level issues and the broader processes undertaken by other marine based agencies. The EBFM framework is a significant step forward for the integrated management of natural resources by enabling all assets and issues relevant to stakeholders and government to be holistically considered at a regional level.  相似文献   

New sedimentological and palynological data from the Yarkand-Fergana Basin(Kyrgyz Tian Shan): Insights on its Mesozoic paleogeographic and tectonic evolution     

Julien Morin  Marc Jolivet  Dave Shaw  Sylvie Bourquin  Elena Bataleva 《地学前缘(英文版)》2021,12(1):183-202

  相似文献   

Origin of post‐Minoan caves and volcaniclastic cave fill,Thera (Santorini), Greece     

Joan M. Ramage  George H. Shaw  Jeff A. Hoffman  Sarah A. Johnston 《Geoarchaeology》2003,18(5):523-539

The Aegean island of Thera (Santorini) was covered by tephra from its cataclysmic Late Bronze Age (ca. 3600 yr B.P.) eruption. Vertical exposures of the eruptive sequence show secondary, nonvolcanic, circular (in cross section) features composed of stratified sediment. Many are inaccessible from the floors of modern quarries and appear to be caves filled with younger sediment, but show no connection to the land surface. A filled cave was found in the wall of a modern gully outside the modern quarries, and a filled cave was found in a terrace scarp, well above the modern gully. Natural (and probably rapid) incision by gullies into the thick tephra deposit left many locations with lateral access to tephra. Inhabitants from post‐Minoan to recent times excavated tephra for materials and buildings, and caves were subsequently filled by sporadic (possibly seasonal) flood events that deposited sediment. These gullies may have provided access for modern tephra removal that isolated the filled caves high on the modern quarry walls. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.  相似文献