Modelling sea surface temperature rise resulting from increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations     

B. Henderson-Sellers 《Climatic change》1987,11(3):349-359

Concern over the role of the oceans in a warming world, likely to result from increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide, has prompted analysis using simple models. Results from two recent, independent studies using a simple box-diffusion model suggest that over the last 130 years, observations and models are not in disagreement. Although a diffusive deep ocean was indeed included in this simplistic model, it is suggested here that the resulting ocean model offers an oversimplistic view of the oceanic contribution to the overall global atmosphere-ocean climate system and that it is necessary to add a convective capability to the water column. Using this approach it is suggested that, on a timescale of a century, the sea surface temperature increase is likely to be less by a factor of at least 3 than that previously forecast.  相似文献   

Comment on “age,palaeoenvironments, and climatic significance of late Pleistocene Konya Lake,Turkey” by Neil Roberts     

Ann P. El-Moslimany 《Quaternary Research》1984,21(1):115-116

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Isotopic evidence for the magmatic and tectonic histories of the Carolina terrane: implications for stratigraphy and terrane affiliation     

Stephanie Ingle  Paul A. Mueller  Ann L. Heatherington  Marianne Kozuch 《Tectonophysics》2003,371(1-4):187-211

Establishing the age and crustal nature of exotic terranes and their underlying basements helps to determine their paleogeographic origin and tectonic histories. We present U–Pb ages of zircons and Sm–Nd whole rock isotopic data for volcanic and plutonic rocks of the Carolina terrane, one of several peri-Gondwanan terranes that were accreted to the margins of the circum-Atlantic continents during the Paleozoic. Volcanism in this subduction-related arc culminated in the eruption of the Morrow Mountain rhyolite, at ca. 540 Ma; thus, magmatism in the Carolina terrane ceased at the beginning of the Cambrian. The presence of inherited zircons and non-juvenile depleted mantle model ages of Carolina slate belt rocks favor a basement that is, at least in part, composed of evolved continental crust. Ages of inherited xenocrystic zircons cluster at ca. 1000, 2100 and 2500 Ma. These ages, in addition to volcanism at ca. 618–540 Ma, correlate best with well-known tectonic events in present-day northern South America. Specifically, the Orinoquian-Sunsas, the Trans-Amazonian and the Central Amazonian orogenic zones are likely candidates for potential basement correlatives to the Carolina terrane. Sm–Nd isotopic signatures vary significantly, but permit assimilation of Orinoquian age (1000 Ma) crust by magmas derived from the depleted mantle in a subduction (arc-related) setting. Our findings are also consistent with proposed correlations between the Carolina terrane and Avalonia which is likewise believed to have formed along the northern margin of present-day South America.  相似文献   

First interactions with the hydrologic cycle determine pyrogenic carbon's fate in the Earth system     

Caroline Ann Masiello  Asmeret Asefaw Berhe 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2020,45(10):2394-2398

Fires produce an aromatic particulate residue commonly referred to as pyrogenic carbon (PyC). Particulate PyC is low density, high porosity, and is predominantly deposited on the soil surface in post-fire landscapes. These characteristics create a material that is prone to mobility, both vertically down the soil profile and laterally across the landscape even in low-relief landforms. Because of its tendency for lateral mobilization, we argue here that PyC's first interaction with water determines its environmental fate and persistence, not its interactions with soil minerals or microbes. PyC's first interactions with water determine: the amount of PyC that will enter the soil profile and experience microbial and geochemical alterations, whether it will be buried in depositional environments and stored on the landscape, or if it will be transported to streams and eventually to the ocean. Here we posit that this crucial first interaction with the hydrologic cycle occurs on the timescale of days to weeks, and therefore supersedes microbial decomposition as the primary control on PyC's environmental persistence. © 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Assessing the significance of wet-canopy evaporation from forests during extreme rainfall events for flood mitigation in mountainous regions of the United Kingdom     

Trevor Page  Nick A. Chappell  Keith J. Beven  Barry Hankin  Ann Kretzschmar 《水文研究》2020,34(24):4740-4754

There is increased interest in the potential of tree planting to help mitigate flooding using nature-based solutions or natural flood management. However, many publications based upon catchment studies conclude that, as flood magnitude increases, benefit from forest cover declines and is insignificant for extreme flood events. These conclusions conflict with estimates of evaporation loss from forest plot observations of gross rainfall, through fall and stem flow. This study explores data from existing studies to assess the magnitudes of evaporation and attempts to identify the meteorological conditions under which they would be supported. This is achieved using rainfall event data collated from publications and data archives from studies undertaken in temperate environments around the world. The meteorological conditions required to drive the observed evaporation losses are explored theoretically using the Penman–Monteith equation. The results of this theoretical analysis are compared with the prevailing meteorological conditions during large and extreme rainfall events in mountainous regions of the United Kingdom to assess the likely significance of wet canopy evaporation loss. The collated dataset showed that event Ewc losses between approximately 2 and 38% of gross rainfall (1.5 to 39.4 mm day⁻¹) have been observed during large rainfall events (up to 118 mm day⁻¹) and that there are few data for extreme events (>150 mm day⁻¹). Event data greater than 150 mm (reported separately) included similarly high percentage evaporation losses. Theoretical estimates of wet-canopy evaporation indicated that, to reproduce the losses towards the high end of these observations, relative humidity and the aerodynamic resistance for vapour transport needed to be lower than approximately 97.5% and 0.5 to 2 s m⁻¹ respectively. Surface meteorological data during large and extreme rainfall events in the United Kingdom suggest that conditions favourable for high wet-canopy evaporation are not uncommon and indicate that significant evaporation losses during large and extreme events are possible but not for all events and not at all locations. Thus the disparity with the results from catchment studies remains.  相似文献   

Simultaneous X-ray and infrared variability in the quasar 3C273 – II. Confirmation of the correlation and X-ray lag     

Ian McHardy  Anthony Lawson †  rew Newsam  Alan P. Marscher  rei S. Sokolov  C. Megan Urry  Ann E. Wehrle 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2007,375(4):1521-1527

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Metazoan meiofaunal communities at cold seeps along the Norwegian margin: Influence of habitat heterogeneity and evidence for connection with shallow-water habitats     

Saskia Van Gaever  Karine Olu  Sofie Derycke  Ann Vanreusel 《Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers》2009,56(5):772-785

Cold-seep environments and their associated symbiont-bearing megafaunal communities create islands of primary production for macro- and meiofauna in the otherwise monotonous and nutrient-poor deep-sea environment. To examine the spatial variation and distribution patterns of metazoan meiobenthos in different seepage-related habitats, samples were collected in two regions off Norway: several pockmarks associated with the Storegga Slide including the Nyegga pockmark area (730 m; 64°N), and the active, methane-venting Håkon Mosby Mud Volcano (HMMV) west of the Barents Sea (1280 m; 72°N). Based on sediment geochemistry and associated epifauna, three different habitat types were distinguished across the two regions: (1) reduced sediment with suboxic conditions, sometimes covered by bacterial mats, (2) sediment colonised by chemosynthetic, siboglinid tubeworms, and (3) sediment outside the influence of seepage and without a large chemosynthetic fauna. Meiofaunal communities varied strongly in terms of generic diversity and dominance among the different habitat types. Control sites and Siboglinidae polychaete fields both supported high nematode genus richness similar to normal deep-sea sediments, whereas the reduced sediments yielded a genus-poor nematode community dominated by one or two successful species. Meiofaunal densities in the different habitats were negatively correlated with macrobenthic densities. An extremely dense (>11,000 ind. 10 cm^–2), mono-specific nematode population appeared to be restricted to the bacterial mats at HMMV. It consisted of a new cryptic species of the Halomonhystera disjuncta complex, which has been described from intertidal habitats in the North Sea. The reduced seep sediments at Nyegga did not yield H. disjuncta but were dominated by Terschellingia longicaudata, another cosmopolitan nematode species known to be abundant in organic-rich, oxygen-poor, shallow-water environments. These observations point to a past or recent connection between margins and shallow-water habitats.  相似文献   

Model suggested for an important part of the hydro-mechanical behaviour of a water unsaturated bentonite     

Ann Dueck  Lennart Brgesson 《Engineering Geology》2007,92(3-4):160-169

The hydro-mechanical behaviour of a clay-based buffer material for nuclear waste disposal has been investigated in a laboratory program. In this program, the main focus was on the influence of confinement on water uptake and swelling pressure during suction decrease. The laboratory program and some of the results are presented by Dueck [Dueck, A., 2006. Laboratory results from hydro-mechanical tests on a water unsaturated bentonite. submitted for publication.].

The results from the laboratory tests were used to find a relationship between water content, void ratio, swelling pressure and suction. Two equations for swelling pressure represent the outline of the model.

In the first equation, the swelling pressure developed during water uptake is normalised by a pressure corresponding to the swelling pressure at saturation. This is done in order to be independent of void ratio. A relationship between the normalised swelling pressure and the degree of saturation is suggested.

The second equation describes a relationship between the swelling pressure, the water content and the actual suction (or relative humidity). The equation is based on a thermodynamic relationship and includes the retention curve (i.e. water content vs. suction under free swelling conditions).

The model can be used for a state where two of the four variables; water content, void ratio, swelling pressure and suction are known and can thus be useful to evaluate field measurements and model late stages of the wetting process. An example of an application is given. The equations are mainly based on results from tests with increasing degrees of saturation under constant void ratio but are also suggested for use with increasing void ratio.  相似文献   

Carbon-isotopic analysis of individual pollen grains from C₃ and C₄ grasses using a spooling-wire microcombustion interface     

David M. Nelson  Feng Sheng Hu  Jill A. Mikucki  Ann Pearson 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2007,71(16):4005-4014

Pollen grains from grasses using the C₃ and C₄ photosynthetic pathways have distinct ranges of δ¹³C values that may be used to estimate their relative abundance in paleorecords. We evaluated a spooling-wire microcombustion device interfaced with an isotope-ratio mass spectrometer (SWiM-IRMS) for δ¹³C analysis of individual grass-pollen grains. Pollen from four C₃ and four C₄ grass species was isolated through micromanipulation and analyzed as single grains suspended in water. A carbon yield greater than the 2σ range of the carbon content of blanks containing only water was used to distinguish samples containing pollen (“pollen present”) from those not containing pollen. This criterion resulted in the exclusion of ∼45% of the 946 samples applied to the wire. The average δ¹³C values (±1σ) of the remaining samples were −26.9‰ (±6.3‰) and −11.5‰ (±9.6‰) for C₃ grasses and C₄ grasses, respectively, after blank-correcting the δ¹³C data. These results suggest that the SWiM-IRMS system can be used to distinguish C₃ from C₄ grass pollen. The high variability in measured δ¹³C values is likely caused by a combination of factors. These include natural isotopic variability among individual pollen grains; the relatively poor precision that can be obtained when determining δ¹³C values of such small samples; and the uncertainty in the magnitude, isotopic composition, and stability of the analytical blank. Nonetheless, high percentages of individual pollen grains were correctly classified as being of either C₃ or C₄ origin. On average, 90% (range = 78-100%) of pollen grains from C₃ grasses had δ¹³C values more negative than the cutoff threshold of −19.2‰; while 84% (range = 77-90%) of pollen grains from C₄ grasses had δ¹³C values more positive than −19.2‰. Compared with analysis using an elemental analyzer interfaced with an IRMS (EA-IRMS), the number of pollen grains required for δ¹³C-based evaluation of C₃/C₄ grass composition is many times lower with the SWiM-IRMS. Additionally, δ¹³C data from the SWiM-IRMS does not need to be incorporated into a mixing model to derive estimates of the abundance of C₃ and C₄ grass pollen. Carbon-isotopic analysis of individual grass-pollen grains using the SWiM-IRMS system may help improve our understanding of the evolutionary and ecological significance of grass taxa in the paleorecord.  相似文献   

NanoSIMS isotopic analysis of small presolar grains: Search for Si₃N₄ grains from AGB stars and Al and Ti isotopic compositions of rare presolar SiC grains     

Ernst Zinner  Sachiko Amari  Cristine Jennings  Aaron F. Mertz  Ann N. Nguyen  Roberto Gallino  Maria Lugaro  Roy S. Lewis 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2007,71(19):4786-4813

We report isotopic ratio measurements of small SiC and Si₃N₄ grains, with special emphasis on presolar SiC grains of type Z, and new nucleosynthesis models for ²⁶Al/²⁷Al and the Ti isotopic ratios in asymptotic giant branch (AGB) stars. With the NanoSIMS we analyzed 310 SiC grains from Murchison (carbonaceous CM2 chondrite) separate KJB (diameters 0.25-0.45 μm) and 153 SiC grains from KJG (diameters 1.8-3.7 μm), 154 SiC and 23 Si₃N₄ grains from Indarch (enstatite EH4 chondrite) separate IH6 (diameters 0.25-0.65 μm) for their C and N isotopic compositions, 549 SiC and 142 Si₃N₄ grains from IH6 for their C and Si isotopic compositions, 13 SiC grains from Murchison and 66 from Indarch for their Al-Mg compositions, and eight SiC grains from Murchison and 10 from Indarch for their Ti isotopic compositions. One of the original objectives of this effort was to compare isotopic analyses with the NanoSIMS with analyses previously obtained with the Cameca IMS 3f ion microprobe. Many of the Si₃N₄ grains from Indarch have isotopic anomalies but most of these apparently originate from adjacent SiC grains. Only one Si₃N₄ grain, with ¹³C and ¹⁴N excesses, has a likely AGB origin. The C, N, and Si isotopic data show that the percentage of SiC grains of type Y and Z increase with decreasing grain size (from ∼1% for grains >2 μm to ∼5-7% for grains of 0.5 μm), providing an opportunity for isotopic analyses in these rare grains. Our measurements expand the number of Al-Mg analyses on SiC Z grains from 4 to 23 and the number of Ti analyses on Z grains from 2 to 11. Inferred²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratios of Z grains are in the range found in mainstream and Y grains and do not exceed those predicted by models of AGB nucleosynthesis. Cool bottom processing (CBP) has been invoked to explain the low ¹²C/¹³C ratios of Z grains, but this process apparently does not lead to increased ²⁶Al production in the parent stars of these grains. This finding is in contrast to presolar oxide grains where CBP is needed to explain their high ²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratios. The low ^46,47,49Ti/⁴⁸Ti ratios found in Z grains and their correlation with low ²⁹Si/²⁸Si ratios extend the trend seen in mainstream grains and confirm an origin in low-metallicity AGB stars. The relatively large excesses in ³⁰Si and ⁵⁰Ti in Z grains are predicted by our models to be the result of increased production of these isotopes by neutron-capture nucleosynthesis in low-metallicity AGB stars. However, the predicted excesses in ⁵⁰Ti (and ⁴⁹Ti) are much larger than those found. Even lowering the strength of the ¹³C pocket cannot solve this discrepancy in a consistent way.  相似文献