Evaluation of the CFSv2 CMIP5 decadal predictions     

Rodrigo J. Bombardi  Jieshun Zhu  Lawrence Marx  Bohua Huang  Hua Chen  Jian Lu  Lakshmi Krishnamurthy  V. Krishnamurthy  Ioana Colfescu  James L. Kinter III  Arun Kumar  Zeng-Zhen Hu  Shrinivas Moorthi  Patrick Tripp  Xingren Wu  Edwin K. Schneider 《Climate Dynamics》2015,44(1-2):543-557

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On the potential of extratropical SST anomalies for improving climate predictions     

Arun Kumar  Hui Wang 《Climate Dynamics》2015,44(9-10):2557-2569

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Flood monitoring using microwave remote sensing in a part of Nuna river basin,Odisha, India     

Sananda Kundu  S. P. Aggarwal  Nanette Kingma  Arun Mondal  Deepak Khare 《Natural Hazards》2015,76(1):123-138

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Establishment of lightning detection sensors network in India: generation of essential climate variable and characterization of cloud-to-ground lightning occurrences     

Taori  Alok  Suryavanshi  Arun  Pawar  Sunil  Seshasai  M. V. R. 《Natural Hazards》2022,111(1):19-32

Natural Hazards - A network of 25 lightning detection sensors (LDS) has been established by the National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC), the Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO). At present,...  相似文献   

Prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over India using the NCEP climate forecast system   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

D. R. Pattanaik  Arun Kumar 《Climate Dynamics》2010,34(4):557-572

The performance of a dynamical seasonal forecast system is evaluated for the prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over the Indian region during June to September (JJAS). The evaluation is based on the National Centre for Environmental Prediction’s (NCEP) climate forecast system (CFS) initialized during March, April and May and integrated for a period of 9 months with a 15 ensemble members for 25 years period from 1981 to 2005. The CFS’s hindcast climatology during JJAS of March (lag-3), April (lag-2) and May (lag-1) initial conditions show mostly an identical pattern of rainfall similar to that of verification climatology with the rainfall maxima (one over the west-coast of India and the other over the head Bay of Bengal region) well simulated. The pattern correlation between verification and forecast climatology over the global tropics and Indian monsoon region (IMR) bounded by 50°E–110°E and 10°S–35°N shows significant correlation coefficient (CCs). The skill of simulation of broad scale monsoon circulation index (Webster and Yang; WY index) is quite good in the CFS with highly significant CC between the observed and predicted by the CFS from the March, April and May forecasts. High skill in forecasting El Nino event is also noted for the CFS March, April and May initial conditions, whereas, the skill of the simulation of Indian Ocean Dipole is poor and is basically due to the poor skill of prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean. Over the IMR the skill of monsoon rainfall forecast during JJAS as measured by the spatial Anomaly CC between forecast rainfall anomaly and the observed rainfall anomaly during 1991, 1994, 1997 and 1998 is high (almost of the order of 0.6), whereas, during the year 1982, 1984, 1985, 1987 and 1989 the ACC is only around 0.3. By using lower and upper tropospheric forecast winds during JJAS over the regions of significant CCs as predictors for the All India Summer Monsoon Rainfall (AISMR; only the land stations of India during JJAS), the predicted mean AISMR with March, April and May initial conditions is found to be well correlated with actual AISMR and is found to provide skillful prediction. Thus, the calibrated CFS forecast could be used as a better tool for the real time prediction of AISMR.  相似文献   

“Shock event”, an impact phenomenon observed in water wells around the Arabian Gulf coastal city Dammam,Saudi Arabia: possible relationship with Sumatra tsunami event of December 26, 2004     

Arun Kumar  Syed A. Alam 《Natural Hazards》2010,53(2):407-412

A sudden disturbance in water level was recorded by hydrographs monitoring wells in the coastal city Dammam, Saudi Arabia on December 26, 2004. The water level was being recorded from the shallow (1–3 M deep) coastal aquifer at that time. In two wells, this disturbance was observed ~12 h after the Sumatra earthquake/tsunami event of December 26, 2004. The timing of this event is synchronous in two wells near the coast, but an inland well away from the coast line did not show any such disturbance. It is hypothesized that this disturbance, we call it the “shock event”, is resulted by sudden impact of tsunamis traveling in the Arabian Gulf from southeast toward northwest. As the tsunamis propagated, they suddenly impacted the coastal shallow groundwater aquifer resulting in the “shock event”.  相似文献   

A simple approach for improving spatial interpolation of rainfall using ANN     

C. Sivapragasam  V. M. Arun  D. Giridhar 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2010,107(1-2):1-7

The spatiotemporal features of tropical cyclone strikes from 1949 to 2008 at 49 coastal cities of China are investigated in this study. The cities in Hainan, Guangdong, and Taiwan have high strike frequencies, with the severest and most frequent average strikes found in Taiwan. In Hainan, strike clusters appear in the mid-1950s, the early 1960s and 1970s, and the late 1980s, with relative inactive frequencies from the mid-1990s to 2008, and the clusters of strikes in Guangdong are found during the 1970s. In Taiwan, the most active strikes are found during the period 1956–1963. The return periods for all typhoons are either 1 or 2 years at the coastal cities of Taiwan in contrast to 2–5 and 4–8 years at the cities of Guangdong and Fujian, respectively. Super typhoons affect Taiwan with a frequency of once every 12–30 years on average. A tropical cyclone hazard index is also created to investigate the vulnerability at these cities.  相似文献   

Hydrogeologic framework of the Deccan terrain of the Koyna River basin, India     

Pradeep K. Naik  Arun K. Awasthi  A. Anand  Prakash C. Mohan 《Hydrogeology Journal》2001,9(3):243-264

The Koyna River basin in India drew the attention of geoscientists after an earthquake (magnitude 7) in 1967. Since then, detailed geological, tectonic, and seismic investigations of this river basin have been carried out by several workers. However, very little study has been done on its hydrogeological framework. The present work aims at filling this gap. Basalts, laterites, alluvium, soils, and talus deposits form shallow unconfined aquifers, with transmissivity of 27–135 m²/d and a regional specific yield of 0.012. In shallow basaltic aquifers, the lower part of the highly weathered and highly jointed horizon above, and the poorly weathered and highly jointed horizon below, form the most potential zone for groundwater occurrence. Well yields in the deeper basaltic aquifers are directly related to the occurrence of lineaments, whereas at a shallower level they are related to geomorphic features. Spring discharges are highly dependent on their source aquifers and areas of recharge. They have a mean winter discharge of 46 m³/d and a summer discharge of 28 m³/d. Chemically, groundwaters are dominated by alkaline earths (Ca²⁺, Mg²⁺) and weak acids (HCO₃ ^–, CO₃ ^–); they are calcium-bicarbonate type (53%) and calcium-magnesium-bicarbonate type (27%) at shallower levels; and calcium-magnesium-bicarbonate type (29%), sodium-bicarbonate type (24%), calcium-bicarbonate type (19%), and calcium-magnesium-sodium-bicarbonate type (19%) in deeper aquifers. The Koyna River basin is characterized by both scarcity and abundance of groundwater. In the water-scarce areas in the dissected plateaus, artificial recharge of aquifers through construction of several recharge structures at suitable locations is highly recommended. In the water-abundant areas in the central valley, on the other hand, expanded consumptive use of water resources is encouraged. Electronic Publication  相似文献   

Estimation of surface runoff potential of a watershed in semi-arid environment — A case study     

Dilip G. Durbude  B. K. Purandara  Arun Sharma 《Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing》2001,29(1-2):47-58

An accurate assessment of run-off through aerial rainfall is a basic concept in most of the rainfall-runoff models, particularly conceptual models which emphasis a complete water balance. The run-off measurements by gauging can only be regarded as an index of rainfall and restrict our ability to successfully model the rainfall-runoff process. To overcome some of these problems, remote sensing satellite data are of immense use, particularly in mountainous and desert areas. Therefore in the present study, a typical watershed from a drought hit Banswara district of Rajasthan has been analysed using IRS-1B-LISS II satellite imagery for estimating the run-off potential under different geomorphic set-up. The run-off potential was estimated using SCS method based on the satellite data in conjunction with ground truth information collected during field visit. The results indicated that the soil and water conservation measures in the watershed would improve the existing water potential and storage capacity of the study area. Based on the study eight check dams and five lift irrigation schemes are proposed.  相似文献   

TRANSFORMATION OF DIPOLE TO SCHLUMBERGER SOUNDING CURVES BY MEANS OF DIGITAL LINEAR FILTERS*     

R. KUMAR  U. C. DAS 《Geophysical Prospecting》1977,25(4):780-789

Linear relationship between dipole and Schlumberger sounding resistivities leads to the use of digital filters to transform the former to the latter. This transformation is of importance from the viewpoint that Schlumberger interpretational techniques and know-how could then be applied to the pseudo-Schlumberger field curve. Filters for this transformation are presented for the radial, perpendicular, and parallel (30°) dipole method. The characteristics of these filters are similar to the ones for transforming dipole data to the kernel and are favourable in that they do not amplify noise. A sampling interval of (In 10) /6 has been used in determining the filter yielding good accuracy. Like previous filters the present one is handy and fast in operation.  相似文献