The role of negative CO2 emissions for reaching 2 °C—insights from integrated assessment modelling     

Detlef P. van Vuuren  Sebastiaan Deetman  Jasper van Vliet  Maarten van den Berg  Bas J. van Ruijven  Barbara Koelbl 《Climatic change》2013,118(1):15-27

Limiting climate change to 2 °C with a high probability requires reducing cumulative emissions to about 1600 GtCO₂ over the 2000–2100 period. This requires unprecedented rates of decarbonization even in the short-run. The availability of the option of net negative emissions, such as bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) or reforestation/afforestation, allows to delay some of these emission reductions. In the paper, we assess the demand and potential for negative emissions in particular from BECCS. Both stylized calculations and model runs show that without the possibility of negative emissions, pathways meeting the 2 °C target with high probability need almost immediate emission reductions or simply become infeasible. The potential for negative emissions is uncertain. We show that negative emissions from BECCS are probably limited to around 0 to 10 GtCO₂/year in 2050 and 0 to 20 GtCO₂/year in 2100. Estimates on the potential of afforestation options are in the order of 0–4 GtCO₂/year. Given the importance and the uncertainty concerning BECCS, we stress the importance of near-term assessments of its availability as today’s decisions has important consequences for climate change mitigation in the long run.  相似文献   

Rapid bottom-water circulation changes during the last glacial cycle in the coastal low-latitude NE Atlantic     

David Gallego-Torres  Oscar E. Romero  Francisca Martínez-Ruiz  Jung-Hyun Kim  Barbara Donner  Miguel Ortega-Huertas 《Quaternary Research》2014

Previous paleoceanographic studies along the NW African margin focused on the dynamics of surface and intermediate waters, whereas little attention has been devoted to deep-water masses. Currently, these deep waters consist mainly of North Atlantic Deep Waters as part of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, this configuration was altered during periods of AMOC collapse. We present a high-resolution reconstruction of bottom-water ventilation and current evolution off Mauritania from the last glacial maximum into the early Holocene. Applying redox proxies (Mo, U and Mn) measured on sediments from off Mauritania, we describe changes in deep-water oxygenation and we infer the evolution of deep-water conditions during millennial-scale climate/oceanographic events in the area. The second half of Heinrich Event 1 and the Younger Dryas were recognized as periods of reduced ventilation, coinciding with events of AMOC reduction. We propose that these weakening circulation events induced deficient deep-water oxygenation in the Mauritanian upwelling region, which together with increased productivity promoted reducing conditions and enhanced organic-matter preservation. This is the first time the effect of AMOC collapse in the area is described at high resolution, broadening the knowledge on basin-wide oceanographic changes associated with rapid climate variability during the last deglaciation.  相似文献   

The Golden meteorite fall: Fireball trajectory,orbit, and meteorite characterization     

P. G. Brown  P. J. A. McCausland  A. R. Hildebrand  L. T. J. Hanton  L. M. Eckart  H. Busemann  D. Krietsch  C. Maden  K. Welten  M. W. Caffee  M. Laubenstein  D. Vida  F. Ciceri  E. Silber  C. D. K. Herd  P. Hill  H. Devillepoix  Eleanor K. Sansom  Martin Cupák  Seamus Anderson  R. L. Flemming  A. J. Nelson  M. Mazur  D. E. Moser  W. J. Cooke  D. Hladiuk  Barbara Malečić  Maja Telišman Prtenjak  R. Nowell  The Golden Meteorite Consortium 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2023,58(12):1773-1807

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Carolina Bay geoarchaeology and Holocene landscape evolution on the Upper Coastal Plain of South Carolina     

Mark J. Brooks  Barbara E. Taylor  John A. Grant 《Geoarchaeology》1996,11(6):481-504

Surface water on the mainly dry, upland interfluves of the Upper Coastal Plain of South Carolina occurs currently as a sporadic distribution of shallow ponds held within Carolina bays and other small, isolated basins. At seven bays on the U.S. Department of Energy's Savannah River Site on the Upper Coastal Plain of South Carolina, we investigated Holocene changes in bay morphology, ecology, and prehistoric human activity. At Flamingo Bay, we employed archaeological survey and testing, shovel and auger testing, sediment analysis, and ground-penetrating radar to document stratigraphy and chronology of the sand rim on the eastern side of the bay. Artifact assemblage indicate changes in intensity of human use of the bay. Radiocarbon dates from a sediment core establish time scales for depositional processes at the center of the basin. Ground-penetrating radar data from the other bays indicate that the stratigraphy of all seven bays is broadly similar. We conclude that: (1) Significant modification of the bays, including rim development and basin infilling, occurred during the Holocene; (2) ponds on the early Holocene landscape were larger and more permanent than at present; (3) early Holocene climate, as indicated by both depositional processes and human activity, was not characterized by prolonged periods of extremely dry conditions; and (4) fluvial-centric models of terminal Pleistocene—early Holocene human adaptations require revision to include intensive use of isolated upland ponds. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.  相似文献