What the Sunspot Record Tells Us About Space Climate   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

David H. Hathaway  Robert M. Wilson 《Solar physics》2004,224(1-2):5-19

The records concerning the number, sizes, and positions of sunspots provide a direct means of characterizing solar activity over nearly 400 years. Sunspot numbers are strongly correlated with modern measures of solar activity including: 10.7-cm radio flux, total irradiance, X-ray flares, sunspot area, the baseline level of geomagnetic activity, and the flux of galactic cosmic rays. The Group Sunspot Number provides information on 27 sunspot cycles, far more than any of the modern measures of solar activity, and enough to provide important details about long-term variations in solar activity or “Space Climate.” The sunspot record shows: 1) sunspot cycles have periods of 131± 14 months with a normal distribution; 2) sunspot cycles are asymmetric with a fast rise and slow decline; 3) the rise time from minimum to maximum decreases with cycle amplitude; 4) large amplitude cycles are preceded by short period cycles; 5) large amplitude cycles are preceded by high minima; 6) although the two hemispheres remain linked in phase, there are significant asymmetries in the activity in each hemisphere; 7) the rate at which the active latitudes drift toward the equator is anti-correlated with the cycle period; 8) the rate at which the active latitudes drift toward the equator is positively correlated with the amplitude of the cycle after the next; 9) there has been a significant secular increase in the amplitudes of the sunspot cycles since the end of the Maunder Minimum (1715); and 10) there is weak evidence for a quasi-periodic variation in the sunspot cycle amplitudes with a period of about 90 years. These characteristics indicate that the next solar cycle should have a maximum smoothed sunspot number of about 145 ± 30 in 2010 while the following cycle should have a maximum of about 70 ± 30 in 2023.  相似文献   

Book reviews     

Howard  R. F.  van den Oord  G. H. J.  Švestka  Z. 《Solar physics》1996,169(1):225-227

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Evolution of cold shock-bounded slabs     

John M. Blondin  Brian S. Marks 《New Astronomy》1996,1(3):235-244

The stability and evolution of cold, shock-bounded slabs is studied using numerical hydrodynamic simulations. We confirm the analysis of Vishniac (1994) [ApJ, 428, 186], who showed that such slabs are unstable if they are perturbed by a displacement larger than their width. The growth rate of this nonlinear thin shell instability (NTSI) is found to increase with decreasing wavelength, in qualitative agreement with Vishniac's analysis. The NTSI saturates when the bending angle becomes large and the growth in the width of the slab pinches off the perturbation. After saturation, the slab remains greatly extended with an average density much less than the original slab density, supported primarily by supersonic turbulence within the slab. Linear perturbations are also found to be unstable in that they can lead to turbulent flow within the slab, although this response to linear perturbations is distinct from, and much less violent than the NTSI.Richard McCray  相似文献   

Spectroscopy of comet P/Schaumasse     

Neal James Joung Turner  Graeme H. Smith 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1996,73(1):33-50

Column density profiles for CN, C₃, C₂ and NH have been determined from a long-slit CCD spectrum of periodic comet P/Schaumasse (1992x). Comparisons of these profiles with Haser models indicate that the ratios of the CN, C₃ and C₂ production rates are typical for a short-period comet. Although the scale lengths for NH and its parent species are uncertain, the results indicate that the production rate for NH is much greater than for either C₂ or CN.  相似文献   

A highly automated moving object detection package   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

J.-M. Petit  M. Holman  H. Scholl  J. Kavelaars  B. Gladman † 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2004,347(2):471-480

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Elm bark beetle in Holocene peat deposits and the northwest European elm decline     

Sarah H. E. Clark  Kevin J. Edwards 《第四纪科学杂志》2004,19(6):525-528

The elm decline of 5000 ¹⁴C yr ago has been the most widely discussed phenomenon in post‐glacial vegetation history. This pan‐European reduction of elm populations, echoed in the decimation of elmwoods in Europe during the twentieth century, has attracted a series of interrelated hypotheses involving climate change, human activity, disease and soil deterioration. The elm bark beetle (Scolytus scolytus L.) is an essential component of disease explanations. We present evidence for the presence of the beetle over a prolonged period (ca. 7950–4910 yr BP [8800–5660 cal. yr BP]) from a lowland raised mire deposit in northeast Scotland, with its final appearance at this site, and the first and only appearance in another mire of a single scolytid find, around the time of the elm decline. The subfossil S. scolytus finds are not only the first from Scotland, but they also represent the most comprehensive sequence of finds anywhere. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Ca ii K interstellar observations towards early-type disc and halo stars – distances to intermediate- and high-velocity clouds     

J. V. Smoker  B. B. Lynn  W. R. J. Rolleston  H. R. M. Kay  E. Bajaja  W. G. L. Poppel  F. P. Keenan  P. M. W. Kalberla  C. J. Mooney  P. L. Dufton  R. S. I. Ryans 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2004,352(4):1279-1290

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Urban geology: Glasgow's hidden industrial heritage     

MICHAEL A. E. BROWNE  REW A. McMILLAN  IAN H. FORSYTH 《Geology Today》1986,2(3):74-78

The growth of Glasgow from a small town into a heavily industrialised conurbation depended greatly on its local geological riches. Extensive mining and quarrying of a range of minerals took place from the 18th century onwards. The early underground stoop and room (pillar and stall) workings, and the backfilled quarries, together with variably consolidated natural superficial deposits, have bequeathed to the city a heritage of unwanted engineering problems which cannot easily be quantified. Recent work by the British Geological Survey (BGS) illustrates the scale of both geological and man-made problems.  相似文献   

Prospects for astrometry with the Hubble Space Telescope     

W. H. Jefferys  G. F. Benedict  P. D. Hemenway  P. J. Shelus  R. L. Duncombe 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1985,37(3):299-305

The Hubble Space Telescope (HST), a large optical telescope having an aperture of 2.4 meters and a length of 8.8 meters, is being developed by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. This telescope will be placed into earth orbit by the space shuttle. Astrometric observations with the HST are made using a Fine Guidance Sensor which is capable of measuring the position of one object relative to another with an accuracy of ±0.002 arcseconds. The astrometric user of HST will be provided with an Astrometric Data Reduction Software package (ADRS). The variety of astrometric problems to be investigated with HST is discussed.  相似文献   

Aircraft Observation of CO₂, CO, O₃ and H₂ over the North Pacific during the PACE-7 Campaign     

Y. SAWA  H. MATSUEDA  Y. MAKINO  H. Y. INOUE  S. MURAYAMA  M. HIROTA  Y. TSUTSUMI  Y. ZAIZEN  M. IKEGAMI  K. OKADA 《Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology》2004,56(1):2-20

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