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171.
Synoptic and mesoscale study of a severe convective outbreak with the nonhydrostatic Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
A. Erfani A. Méthot R. Goodson S. Bélair K.-S. Yeh J. Côté R. Moffet 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2003,82(1-4):31-53
Summary ?A nonhydrostatic 4-km version of the Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model, with detailed microphysics included, was
used to forecast the initiation, development, and structure of a tornado-producing supercell storm that occurred near Pine
Lake (Alberta, Canada) on 15 July 2000. Examination of observations and comparison with conceptual models indicate that this
storm is a good example of supercell storms that regularly produce summertime severe weather over Alberta.
It was found that the high-resolution model was able to reproduce the early initiation of convective activity along the Rocky
Mountains foothills, as well as the rapid northeastward propagation towards the Pine Lake area and the subsequent intensification
into a supercell storm. The general structures of the forecasted convective system correspond well with conceptual representations
of such events. Overall, this high-resolution forecast of the Pine Lake supercell storm was a significant improvement over
the current operational version of the GEM model (24 km), which was not able to intensify the foothills’ convection into a
supercell storm. Finally, it was found that the nonhydrostatic version of the model produces better trajectory and propagation
speed of the convective system, as compared with the hydrostatic one.
Received March 20, 2001; revised August 24, 2001 相似文献
172.
The Darwin Rise has been proposed so many times and in so many forms and places that the time has come to make a more comprehensive examination of the region. Lying on the NW Pacific Plate between the Geisha Guyots, the Mid-Pacific Mountains, the equator, and the trenches, the region is roughly bounded by magnetic anomaly M20 (147 Ma). It was subjected to a massive outpouring of lava about 105 to 120 Ma, which created the guyots and seamounts in that region. Guyots are excellent tools for studying events of long ago because they eroded in the same lowstand in the Cretaceous and guyot relief, therefore, is a surrogate for paleo-sealevel. The relief is derived by subtracting the break depth of the summit plateau of a guyot from the regional depth. Guyot relief would necessarily be less in the center than to the periphery if the feature formed on a pre-existing rise, as has been postulated. The existence of a paleo-Darwin Rise would give concentric contours for the region in question. Of the sixty guyots used in this study, thirty-seven of these guyots were surveyed using SASS multibeam in the Marcus-Wake seamount group. Twenty-three guyots were surveyed using random track single-beam sonar surveys. An entirely different scenario is shown. Data revealed a major fracture passing through the area coevally or after the guyots formed. Because the depths to the summit are not the same now, vertical tectonics occurred after subaerial erosion. This means the fracture formed during and after the erosion (roughly 105 Ma) and influenced the normal sequence of events in guyot formation. Depending on how one deciphers trends through the Hess Rise morass, SASS bathymetry shows a continuation of the Surveyor/Mendocino fracture zone swarm inside the M20 region to the NE of these data. The fracture swarm continues to the western Pacific trench system. Based on this information, if the Darwin Rise ever existed, it had to have done so elsewhere. 相似文献
173.
We studied the existence of dynamical stochastic relations in the evolution of the am index. A first analysis of the autocorrelation functions showed evidence of several seasonalities. We first used linear (ARMA) models, and it was found that these do not account for the whole internal dynamics of the data series. We then used various non-linear models to provide a better fit to reality. The forecast performances of the non-linear models are not significantly different from those of the linear model. We give a tentative explanation for the failure of the non-linear predictions. Finally, ARCH models were used in order to take into account the fact that the confidence interval for the predicted value depends on past observations. 相似文献
174.
Frédérick Delay Hélène Housset-Resche Gilles Porel Ghislain de Marsily 《Mathematical Geology》1996,28(1):45-71
A new method for solving the transport equation based on the management of a large numbe of particles in a discretized 2-D domain is presented. The method uses numerical variables to represent the number of particles in a given mesh and is more complex than the 1-D problem. The first part of the paper focuses on the specific management of particles in a 2-D problem. The method also would be valid for three dimensions as long as the medium can be modeled similar to a layered system. As the particles are no longer tracked individually, the algorithm is fast and does not depend on the number of particles present. The numerical tests show that the method is nearly numerical dispersion free and permits accurate calculations even for simulations of low-concentration transport. Because each mesh is considered as a closed system between two successive time steps, it is easy to add adsorption phenomenon without any problem of numerical stability. The model is tested under conditions that are extremely demanding for its operating mode and gives a good fit to analytical solutions. The conditions in which it can be used to best advantage are discussed. 相似文献
175.
176.
177.
The age and thermal history of Cerro Rico de Potosi, Bolivia 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
C. G. Cunningham R. E. Zartman E. H. McKee R. O. Rye C. W. Naeser O. Sanjinés V G. E. Ericksen F. Tavera V 《Mineralium Deposita》1996,31(5):374-385
Cerro Rico de Potosi, Bolivia, is the world’s largest silver deposit and has been mined since the sixteenth century for silver,
and for tin and zinc during the twentieth century, together with by-product copper and lead. The deposit consists primarily
of veins that cut an altered igneous body that we interpret to be a dacitic volcanic dome and its underlying tuff ring and
explosion breccia. The deposit is compositionally and thermally zoned, having a core of cassiterite, wolframite, bismuthinite,
and arsenopyrite surrounded by a peripheral, lower-temperature mineral assemblage consisting principally of sphalerite, galena,
lead sulfosalt, and silver minerals. The low-temperature assemblage also was superimposed on the high-temperature assemblage
in response to cooling of the main hydrothermal system. Both the dacite dome and the ore fluids were derived from a larger
magmatic/hydrothermal source at depth. The dome was repeatedly fractured by recurrent movement on the fault system that guided
its initial emplacement. The dome was extruded at 13.8±0.2 Ma (2σ), based on U-Th-Pb dating of zircon. Mineralization and
alteration occurred within about 0.3 my of dome emplacement, as indicated by a 40Ar/39Ar date of 13.76±0.10 Ma (1σ) for sericite from the pervasive quartz-sericite-pyrite alteration associated with the main-stage,
high-temperature, mineralization. The last thermal event able to reset zircon fission tracks occurred no later than 12.5±1.1 Ma
(1σ), as indicated by fission-tract dating. Minor sericite, and magmatic-steam alunite veins, were episodically formed around
11 Ma and between 8.3 and 5.7 Ma; the younger episodes occurring at the time of extensional fracturing at Cerro Rico and widespread
volcanism in the adjacent Los Frailes volcanic field. None of these younger events appear to be significant thermal/mineralizing
events; the exceptionally flat thermal release pattern of 39Ar from sericite and the results of the fission-tract dating of zircon show that none of the younger events was hot enough,
and lasted long enough, to cause significant loss of Ar or annealing of zircon fission tracks. U-Th-Pb dating of zircon cores
indicates a Precambrian progenitor for some zircons, and REE analyses of dated samples of hydrothermally altered dacite show
the presence of a prominent positive Eu anomaly, which constrains interpretations of the origin and evolution of the magmatic/hydrothermal
system.
Received: 14 October 1995/Accepted: 29 January 1996 相似文献
178.
Foliation fields and 3D cartography in geology: Principles of a method based on potential interpolation 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
A modeling method that takes into account known points on a geological interface and plane orientation data such as stratification
or foliation planes is described and tested. The orientations data do not necessarily belong to one of the interfaces but
are assumed to sample the main anisotropy of a geological formation as in current geological situations. The problem is to
determine the surfaces which pass through the known points on interfaces and which are compatible with the orientation data.
The method is based on the interpolation of a scalar field defined in the space the gradient in which is orthogonal to the
orientations, given that some points have the same but unknown scalar value (points of the same interface), and that scalar
gradient is known on the other points (foliations). The modeled interfaces are represented as isovalues of the interpolated
field. Preliminary two-dimensional tests carried-out with different covariance models demonstrate the validity of the method,
which is easily transposable in three dimensions. 相似文献
179.
Bernard Henry Grobéty 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1997,127(3):237-247
Anthophyllite crystals found in ultramafic lenses of the Lepontine Alps (Switzerland) contain coherent, submicroscopic intergrowths
of ordered and disordered biopyribole polysomes. The chain width distributions of disordered polysomes were analyzed using
high resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM). Chains wider than triple were interpreted as intermediate products
in the transformation of anthophyllite to the triple chain silicate jimthompsonite. The concentration of individual chain
types is strongly correlated with the reaction progress. Based on observed zipper terminations and the transformation rules
given by Veblen and Buseck (1980) a scheme of possible reaction paths leading from anthophyllite to jimthomp sonite is proposed.
The reaction scheme and a simple kinetic model for elementary reactions allow modeling of the observed chain width distributions.
The model suggests that the complex reaction paths involving steps with increasing and decreasing chain width are more important
in the formation of jimthompsonite than the direct transformation from anthophyllite. The wide chains (>triple) occurring
as intermediate products of the multi-step paths are structurally closer to talc than jimthompsonite. The back-transformation
of these wide chains to triple chains is, therefore, a strong argument that jimthompsonite is a stable phase and not only
a metastable intermediate product in the transformation of anthophyllite to talc.
Received: 8 July 1996 / Accepted: 13 December 1996 相似文献
180.
Thierry Rolland Stéphanie Fayolle Arlette Cazaubon Stéphane Pagnetti 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1997,59(1):57-73
In a sub-alpine river, the Asse, with an unpredictable discharge regime, chlorophyll, density and taxonomic diversity of both
drifting and periphytic communities were studied from a methodical approach. The investigations based on stamping two close
cross-sections to know their spatial distributions in a heterogeneous bed substrate showed a heterogeneous pattern of colonization
mainly influenced by hydrological variables as the current velocity, the size of the substrata (gravel-pebble-boulder). For
the drifting algae, mainly composed with benthic species temporarily unhooked to the substrata, the heterogeneity of the distribution
was reduced in fast flow which induced a mixing of the whole mass of water.
For the periphyton, some results indicated that the greatest diversity and the highest chlorophyll concentration were found
on pebble substratum where the current velocity was moderate. These results have also shown that the classical methods used
to day for investigations were inadequate for most Mediterranean rivers.
It was really difficult to estimate the water quality from classical index created for use in regular large plain rivers. 相似文献