Effects of parameter error on Cooper-Jacob drawdown estimates     

David A. Edwards 《Hydrogeology Journal》2010,18(5):1069-1076

Parameters employed in the Cooper-Jacob equation to describe drawdown are transmissivity, storativity, radial distance, time and pumping rate. An approach is described for quantifying how error or uncertainty in any one of the parameters used causes error in estimated drawdown. Dimensionless fractional error in estimated drawdown is expressed quantitatively as a function of (1) dimensionless fractional error of a given parameter, and (2) dimensionless argument of the well function, u. Fractional error in estimated drawdown is a linear function of fractional error in pumping rate and, for any given value of u, a nonlinear function of fractional error in transmissivity, storativity, radial distance or time. Fractional error in estimated drawdown for a given fractional parameter error varies considerably between parameters. The greatest sensitivity is for transmissivity and flow rate. Sensitivity is less for radial distance and time, and even less for storativity. The magnitude of the fractional error in drawdown may be affected by the sign of the fractional parameter error.  相似文献   

Coastal flooding in Scotland: towards national-level hazard assessment     

Tom Ball  Anton Edwards  Alan Werritty 《Natural Hazards》2014,70(2):1133-1152

This study investigated contributory factors to flood hazard around Scotland. There is a need to develop preliminary assessments of areas potentially vulnerable to flooding for compliance with the European Union Directive on the Assessment and Management of Flood Risks (2007/60/EC). Historical accounts of coastal flood events in Scotland, notably in a storm in January 2005, had shown that estimates of risk based on still water levels required further information to identify sites at which waves and surges could combine. Additionally, it was important to add the effect of future sea-level rise and other drivers from published sources. Analysis of multiple years’ tidal data at seven sites, including estuaries, compared recorded water levels at high-return periods to those derived from a spatially interpolated numerical model contained within a publicly available flood risk map. For gauges with the longest records, increases were seen over time that reflected rises in mean sea level. Exposure to wave energy was computed from prevailing wind strength and direction at 36 stations, related to wave fetch and incident wind direction. Although the highest wave exposure was at open coast locations exposed to the long Atlantic fetch, GIS analysis of coastal rasters identified other areas in or close to estuaries that also had high exposure. Projected sea-level change, when added to the surge and wave analyses, gives a spatially extensive structured variable flood risk assessment for future coastal flood hazard to complement the public flood risk map. Such tools can help fulfil the requirements of the EC Directive and may be a useful approach in other regions with high spatial variability in coastal flood risk related to exposure to waves and wind.  相似文献   

石笋氧同位素和微量元素记录的陕南地区4200～2000a B.P.高分辨率季风降雨变化   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

谭亮成  蔡演军  安芷生  程海  易亮  艾思本 《第四纪研究》2014,34(6)

基于陕南祥龙洞石笋XL2的19个230Th年龄、218个氧同位素分析以及896个Sr/Ca分析数据,高分辨率重建了4200～1972a B.P.期间陕南地区季风降雨变化.重建结果显示陕南地区这一时期季风降雨有显著的127～105a和57a周期,可能分别受控于太阳活动、PDO和/或AMO的变化.重建时段有3次百年尺度的干旱事件,分别发生于2200～2100a B.P.,2900～2700a B.P.和3600～3400a B.P.,其中2900～2700a B.P.干旱事件对应于北大西洋地区2.8ka冷事件.对比研究显示,尽管祥龙洞石笋和董哥洞石笋δ18O记录整体一致,但除了2900～ 2700aB.P.干旱事件之外,其他两次干旱事件在董哥洞石笋记录中并不明显.而尽管总体上祥龙洞和和尚洞石笋δ18O记录的差异要大,但XL2的3次干旱事件在和尚洞记录都有明显体现.有精确年代控制的祥龙洞、董哥洞及和尚洞石笋氧同位素记录的差异,揭示晚全新世我国季风降雨在十一百年尺度存在区域差异.  相似文献   

Rehabilitation of Coastal Ecosystems     

Alasdair Edwards 《Marine pollution bulletin》1999,37(8-12):371-372

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Raman spectroscopic analysis of cyanobacterial colonization of hydromagnesite, a putative martian extremophile     

Howell G.M. Edwards  Caroline D. Moody  Susana E. Jorge Villar  Michael J. Russell 《Icarus》2005,175(2):372-381

Raman spectra of an extremophile cyanobacterial colony in hydromagnesite from Lake Salda in Turkey have revealed a biogeological modification which is manifest as aragonite in the stratum associated with the colony. The presence of key spectral biomarkers of organic protectant molecules such as β-carotene and scytonemin indicate that the survival strategy of the cyanobacteria is significantly one of UV-radiation protection. The terrestrial location of this extremophile is worthy of consideration further because of its possible putative link with the “White Rock” formations in Sabaea Terra and Juventae Chasma on Mars.  相似文献   

Ulysses observations of anti-sunward flow on Jovian polar cap field lines     

S.W.H. Cowley  A. Balogh  M.K. Dougherty  T.M. Edwards  R.J. Forsyth  R.J. Hynds  K. Staines 《Planetary and Space Science》1993,41(11-12)

We examine the energetic (MeV) ion data obtained by the Anisotropy Telescopes instrument of the Ulysses COSPIN package during two northern high-latitude excursions prior to closest approach to Jupiter, when the spacecraft left the region of trapped fluxes on closed magnetic field lines at lower latitudes and entered a region of open field lines which we term the polar cap. During these intervals the ion fluxes dropped by 4–5 orders of magnitude to low but very steady values, and the ion spectrum was consistent with the observation of an essentially unprocessed interplanetary population. Ion anisotropies observed at these distances (within 16R_J, of Jupiter) indicate that in the low-latitude, high-flux regions the flows are principally azimuthail and in the sense of corotation, with speeds which are within a factor of 2 (in either direction) of rigid corotation. In the higher latitude trapped flux regions the flows rotate to become northward as the polar cap is approached, while in the polar cap itself the flows rotate further to become anti-corotational (and anti-sunward in the morning sector) and northward. These results provide primary evidence of the existence of solar wind-driven flows in the outer Jovian magnetosphere mapping to the high-latitude ionosphere. Investigation of concurrent magnetic data for the signatures of related field-aligned currents reveals only weak signatures with an amplitude of order 1 nT. The implication is that the height-integrated Pedersen conductivity of the ionosphere to which the spacecraft was connected was low, of order 0.01 mho or less. We also examine the ion observations during the two northern high-latitude excursions previous to those discussed above. These data indicate that the spacecraft approached but did not penetrate the open flux region during these intervals.  相似文献   

|V|: new insight into the circular polarization of radio pulsars     

A. Karastergiou  S. Johnston  D. Mitra  A. G. J. van Leeuwen  R. T. Edwards 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,344(4):L69-L73

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Gyroremanent magnetization produced by specimen rotation between successive alternating field treatments     

J. Edwards 《Geophysical Journal International》1982,71(1):199-214

Summary. On the basis of existing theories of rotational remanent magnetization, it is predicted that a gyroremanent magnetization (GRM) might be induced in an isotropic specimen whose orientation is changed during the interval between successive alternating field treatments. An expression is derived, relating the relative magnitude of GRM to the angular displacement, θ of a specimen about an axis perpendicular to the alternating field axis. The predicted effects were observed for four of the five specimens investigated, and in each case GRM was of comparable magnitude to the corresponding partial rotational remanent magnetization. Hysteresis loop curves and characteristics are all consistent with a main magnetic component comprising magnetite grains. A possible connection between GRM and another form of GRM reported in the case of an anisotropic specimen is suggested. Demagnetization of isotropic (and anisotropic) samples by means of the multi-axis technique might be adversely affected by production of GRM.  相似文献   

A Comparison between Etched Fission Track Densities on Internal and External Glass Surfaces after Neutron Irradiation     

J. Edwards 《Geophysical Journal International》1967,13(5):541-543

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An experiment relating to rotational remanent magnetization and frequency of demagnetizing field     

J. Edwards 《Geophysical Journal International》1980,60(2):283-288

Summary. Several tests have been carried out to investigate how the generation of rotational remanent magnetization depended on the frequency of the applied demagnetizing field. The equipment used is described. The investigation was carried out using two specimens, one being a synthetic specimen of magnetite, and the other a cylindrical rock sample. These specimens gave virtually identical behaviour with varying frequency, unlike the differing behaviours reported previously by Wilson & Lomax. For each of the separate alternating field frequencies used (ranging from 50 to 1210 Hz), as the rotational speed of each specimen was reduced from 0.1 cycle s⁻¹, the corresponding rotational remanent magnetization increased to a maximum value when the rotational speed was in each case just a little greater than 0.01 cycle s⁻¹, after which the rotational remanence decreases as the rotational speed decreases.  相似文献