制度演进与城市旧城区更新活动的实证研究——以武汉市汉正街为例     

胡娟  罗静  余斌  吴郁玲 《地域研究与开发》2012,31(4):69-74

改革开放以来我国城市旧城区进行了若干次大规模的旧城更新活动,以武汉市汉正街为实证对象,将其更新活动分为3个阶段展开研究,总结分析各阶段国家权力结构调整、土地有偿制度深化和住房制度改革等社会制度环境的变化特征,探讨了社会制度发展在解决旧城问题上所发挥的作用及存在问题。结果表明:制度环境的变迁使旧城更新成为制度容易缺失的领域;制度目标的更迭使旧城更新渐成为公共领域与私人领域的利益争夺舞台;旧城更新的发展过程本质上是公权力与私权利交织的结果。  相似文献   

四方湖湿地资源现状及保护管理对策   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

郝静 《湿地科学与管理》2012,8(3):29-30

四方湖湿地是淮河中游重要的淡水湖泊湿地,生物多样性丰富,具有调蓄防洪、保护生物多样性、维护生态平衡等多项功能。由于不合理的开发利用,四方湖湿地生物多样性下降,生态环境出现了退化的趋势。采取有力措施,保护和恢复四方湖湿地生态功能,迫在眉睫。分析了四方湖湿地资源现状及存在问题,提出了四方湖湿地资源保护及恢复对策。  相似文献   

基于PSR模型的九段沙湿地生态系统健康评价   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

任晶  孙瑛  陈秀芝  樊正球 《湿地科学与管理》2012,(4):12-16

以长江口九段沙湿地为例,运用湿地生态系统健康理论和压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型对湿地生态系统的健康进行了诊断评价。首先从湿地面临的压力、生态系统现状以及相应的管理对策等3个层面选取了30个评价指标,构建了九段沙湿地生态系统健康的评价体系。然后通过定量与定性相结合将指标分为5个等级,最后运用综合指数法对九段沙湿地生态系统健康综合指数进行计算。结果表明,九段沙湿地健康综合评价指数为0.77,处于健康状态。同时,九段沙湿地目前所面临压力的评价值为0.707,尚处于能够承受的范围,其主要压力来自于渔业资源无序过度捕捞、外来物种入侵、环境污染、长江来沙量锐减等方面。  相似文献   

城市拓展对资源消耗的影响程度分析——以长春市为例   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

刘艳军  张婧 《地理科学》2012,(9):1093-1098

构建脱钩状态模型和响应程度模型,通过定量研究1995~2010年长春市城市拓展对资源消耗的影响程度,得到以下结论:①长春市城市拓展与资源消耗总体呈现"双增长"特征,城市快速拓展导致的资源消耗及资源环境压力不断增大;②长春市城市拓展与资源消耗始终处于"相对脱钩"状态,且资源消耗增长速度随着城市拓展呈先相对下降、后又相对提升的趋势。在城市拓展规模保持总体稳定增长的情况下,资源消耗变化是影响二者脱钩状态与脱钩程度演化的关键因素;③随着长春市城市拓展规模的不断扩大,其对资源消耗增长的影响程度持续增大,进一步说明城市拓展作为资源消耗的驱动力,其变化是导致长春市城市拓展对资源消耗影响程度增大的重要推动因素。  相似文献   

中国出境旅游与国际服务贸易关系分析     

章锦河  刘珍珍  陈静  周晶  李曼 《地理科学》2012,(10):1161-1167

出境旅游是国际服务贸易的重要组成部分,是世界经济全球化的响应。出境旅游与国际服务贸易关系分析是制定出境旅游政策的基础之一。根据1985~2011年中国出境旅游和国际服务贸易时间序列的相关数据,采用计量经济学分析方法,系统探讨了出境旅游与国际服务贸易的关系。得出结论:①出境旅游与国际服务贸易之间存在正相关关系;②出境旅游与国际服务贸易存在长期稳定的动态均衡关系;③出境旅游与国际服务贸易存在短期波动回归长期均衡关系;④出境旅游是国际服务贸易出口的Granger原因,但不是国际服务贸易进口的Granger原因,国际服务贸易进出口均是出境旅游的Granger原因。  相似文献   

Hydrodynamic change recorded by diatoms in sediments of Liuxihe Reservoir, southern China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jing Liu  Zhangwen Lin  Huajun Zhang  Bo-Ping Han 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2012,47(1):17-27

Diatoms are used widely for paleolimnological studies in lakes, but their use for studying the environmental history of reservoirs has not been tested extensively. Reservoirs have hydrodynamic characteristics intermediate between those of rivers and lakes. This study assessed the utility of diatom assemblages as recorders of long-term changes in hydrodynamics and spatial gradients in Liuxihe Reservoir, an impoundment in southern China. Four sediment cores were collected in the reservoir, from the riverine, transition and lacustrine zones. Each core was sectioned at 2-cm intervals to investigate the stratigraphic distribution of accumulated diatoms. Varve counting was used to develop a chronology for one of the cores. The unique characteristics of Liuxihe Reservoir, including its large size, great depth, long narrow morphology and strong thermal stratification for 10 months of the year, limit secondary sedimentation processes and preserve the varves, enabling development of an accurate chronology. Damming profoundly altered the physical environment of the former river, especially in the lacustrine zone, where the change is clearly illustrated by diatoms in the sediment. Diatom abundance increased as a consequence of nutrient enrichment after construction of the dam in 1958, but later decreased as the new impoundment stabilized. After damming, relative abundance of Cyclotella increased along with a simultaneous decrease of Navicula and Achnanthes in the lacustrine zone, most significantly in 1963, when Cyclotella replaced Navicula as the dominant genus. This switch was indicative of a general shift from a lotic to a lentic habitat. A longitudinal gradient was apparent in the patterns of sedimentation and diatom accumulation at different sites in the reservoir, with diatom abundance highest in the transition zone. In the long term, water discharge from the reservoir showed a weak, but significant negative correlation with diatom abundance in the lacustrine zone (r = −0.320, P = 0.03). In summary, diatom assemblages in the Liuxihe Reservoir sediments recorded past changes in hydrodynamics, suggesting that paleolimnological study of some impoundments is feasible.  相似文献   

中国短时洪涝灾害危险性评估与验证   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

马国斌  蒋卫国  李京  张静  马兰艳  李加林 《地理研究》2012,31(1):34-44

基于自然灾害风险理论、借助GIS空间分析功能、采用归一化和层次分析法,对中国全国范围尺度进行短时洪涝灾害危险性评估。通过对洪涝灾害危险性因子分析,分别提取当天降雨量、前三天降雨量、地形高程、地形标准差、河湖网络等因素作为评估因子,提出了各因子危险性指数计算方法,以及全国洪涝灾害危险性指数计算模型公式,根据统计分析危险指数的最小值、最大值,结合历史灾情,利用阈值分割法确定危险等级分割值为0.3、0.45及0.6,将洪涝灾害危险等级划分为高危险、中危险、低危险与无危险四个等级,从而建立类似于天气预报模式的全国洪涝灾害危险性评估模型,并以2009年9月14日为例进行了洪涝灾害危险等级评估的实际应用。最后,本文提出了基于昨日灾情的危险性评估结果验证方法,通过整理同期昨日灾情资料构建灾情数据库,对2009年汛期的洪涝灾害危险性评估结果分别从数量和面积两个角度,基于县和地市两级行政区划作为验证单元进行验证。验证结果表明,洪涝灾害危险性评估结果无论是从数量上还是从面积上看均具有较高的正确率,与实际灾情基本吻合。  相似文献   

广东省污染密集型产业转移机制——基于2000～2009年面板数据模型的实证   总被引：4，自引：2，他引：2  

沈静  向澄  柳意云 《地理研究》2012,31(2):357-368

全球化背景下污染密集型产业的跨国和跨地区转移成为研究的热点问题。本文采用2000～2009年广东省21个地级市的统计数据,发现其污染密集型产业其呈现"S"型的时间发展特征和"分散-集中-分散"的空间发展特征,说明广东省污染密集型产业存在空间转移的现象。建立面板数据模型分析产业空间转移的影响机制,得出如下结论:一是国际产业转移主要采取污染密集型产业出口的形式,而非FDI;二是环境管制是促进污染密集型产业由珠三角地区向非珠三角地区转移的重要驱动因素;三是影响污染密集型产业转移的主要机制是地方政府的管制,如迁入地地方政府的基础设施条件、服务水平和优惠政策等;四是低人力资本不是影响污染密集型产业转移的影响因子。最后,本研究也说明广东省仍然是国际污染密集型产业的"污染避难所",而非珠三角地区正在成为珠三角地区的"污染避难所",因此要加大产业转移中的环境监管。  相似文献   

The tropical intraseasonal oscillation in SAMIL coupled and uncoupled general circulation models   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3  

杨静  包庆  王晓聪  周天军 《大气科学进展》2012,29(3):529-543

Simulations of tropical intraseasonal oscillation(TISO) in SAMIL,the Spectral Atmospheric Model from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics(IAP) State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics(LASG) coupled and uncoupled general circulation models were comprehensively evaluated in this study.Compared to the uncoupled model,the atmosphere-ocean coupled model improved the TISO simulation in the following aspects:(1) the spectral intensity for the 30-80-day peak eastward periods was more realistic;(2) the eastward propagation signals over western Pacific were stronger;and(3) the variance distribution and stronger signals of Kelvin waves and mixed Rossby gravity waves were more realistic.Better performance in the coupled run was assumed to be associated with a better mean state and a more realistic relationship between precipitation and SST.In both the coupled and uncoupled runs,the unrealistic simulation of the eastward propagation over the equatorial Indian Ocean might have been associated with the biases of the precipitation mean state over the Indian Ocean,and the unrealistic split of maximum TISO precipitation variance over the Pacific might have corresponded to the exaggeration of the double Intertropical Convergence Zone(ITCZ) structure in precipitation mean state.However,whether a better mean state leads to better TISO activity remains questionable.Notably,the northward propagation over the Indian Ocean during summer was not improved in the mean lead-lag correlation analysis,but case studies have shown some strong cases to yield remarkably realistic northward propagation in coupled runs.  相似文献   

Formation of an Interactive User-Oriented Forecasting System: Experience from Hydrological Application in Linyi, Eastern China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

YAN Zhongwei  HAN Jiarui  JIAO Meiyan  CHEN Jing  YE Qian  ZHAO Linn  TU Kai 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2012,26(1):13-25

Having provided an overview of the ideas of developing user-oriented interactive forecast system (UIFS) emerging in recent years,the authors proposed an idealized framework of the new-generation meteorological system,which includes the initial user-end module for configuring the forecast target,the physical predictive and downscaling components,and an incessant assessing module in association with decision-making at the user-end.A case study was carried out with a focus on applying the TIGGE (THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble;THORPEX stands for The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment) precipitation forecasts for the hydrological users in Linyi,a region richest in rivers and reservoirs in eastern China.The preliminary results exhibited great potential of improvement in applications of weather forecasts by combining the user-end information.Although the TIGGE results provided by existing national/international operating models were independent from the user-end,the case study enlightened ways of establishing an iteratively self-improving UIFS involving user-orientation throughout the forecast process.  相似文献