Real-time identification of urban rainstorm waterlogging disasters based on Weibo big data     

Yang Xiao  Beiqun Li  Zaiwu Gong 《Natural Hazards》2018,94(2):833-842

With the acceleration of urbanisation in China, preventing and reducing the economic losses and casualties caused by urban rainstorm waterlogging disasters have become a critical and difficult issue that the government is concerned about. As urban storms are sudden, clustered, continuous, and cause huge economic losses, it is difficult to conduct emergency management. Developing a more scientific method for real-time disaster identification will help prevent losses over time. Examining social media big data is a feasible method for obtaining on-site disaster data and carrying out disaster risk assessments. This paper presents a real-time identification method for urban-storm disasters using Weibo data. Taking the June 2016 heavy rainstorm in Nanjing as an example, the obtained Weibo data are divided into eight parts for the training data set and two parts for the testing data set. It then performs text pre-processing using the Jieba segmentation module for word segmentation. Then, the term frequency–inverse document frequency method is used to calculate the feature items weights and extract the features. Hashing algorithms are introduced for processing high-dimensional sparse vector matrices. Finally, the naive Bayes, support vector machine, and random forest text classification algorithms are used to train the model, and a test set sample is introduced for testing the model to select the optimal classification algorithm. The experiments showed that the naive Bayes algorithm had the highest macro-average accuracy.  相似文献   

Statistical analysis of large accidents in China’s coal mines in 2016     

Xiao Wang  Fan-bao Meng 《Natural Hazards》2018,92(1):311-325

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A comparative frequency analysis of three standardized drought indices in the Poyang Lake basin,China     

Guixia Yan  Zhiyong Wu  Denghua Li  Heng Xiao 《Natural Hazards》2018,91(1):353-374

Regional drought frequency analysis was carried out in the Poyang Lake basin (PLB) from 1960–2014 based on three standardized drought indices: the standardized precipitation index (SPI), the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and the standardized Palmer drought index (SPDI). Drought events and characteristics were extracted. A Gumbel–Hougaard (GH) copula was selected to construct the bivariate probability distribution of drought duration and severity, and the joint return periods (T _a ) were calculated. Results showed that there were 50 (50 and 40) drought events in the past 55 years based on the SPI (SPEI and SPDI), and 9 (8 and 10) of them were severe with T _a more than 10 years, occurred in the 1960s, the 1970s and the 2000s. Overall, the three drought indices could detect the onset of droughts and performed similarly with regard to drought identification. However, for the SPDI, moisture scarcity was less frequent, but it showed more severe droughts with substantially higher severity and longer duration droughts. The conditional return period (Ts|d) was calculated for the spring drought in 2011, and it was 66a and 54a, respectively, based on the SPI and SPDI, which was consistent with the record. Overall, the SPI, only considering the precipitation, can as effectively as the SPEI and SPDI identify the drought process over the PLB under the present changing climate. However, drought is affected by climate and land-cover changes; thus, it is necessary to integrate the results of drought frequency analysis based on different drought indices to improve the drought risk management.  相似文献   

张广才岭南段两个侏罗纪花岗岩体的地球化学特征及其地质意义     

句高  梁一鸿  孙晓  周静 《世界地质》2018,37(2):374-384

通过LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年和岩石化学分析,研究了张广才岭南段上营北岩体和帽儿山岩体的形成年代,地球化学特征和形成环境。上营北岩体为中粗粒钾长花岗岩,帽儿山岩体为中细粒黑云母钾长花岗岩。上营北岩体的加权平均年龄为178.9±2.7 Ma,帽儿山岩体为183.7±2.4 Ma,均为早侏罗世侵入岩。上营北岩体和帽儿山岩体主量元素都具有Si O_2和K_2O含量较高,Ti O_2、Mg O、Ca O含量较低,TFe O/Mg O值较高的特点;上营北岩体A/CNK=0.98~1.08,里特曼指数σ=1.51~2.66;帽儿山岩体含铝指数A/CNK=1.00~1.01,里特曼指数σ=2.12~2.36。上营北岩体稀土元素配分模式为海鸥型,轻重稀土分馏不明显;帽儿山岩体稀土元素配分模式为右倾型,轻稀土较重稀土富集;两个岩体均富集Rb、K,Ba、Nb、Ta、Sr、Ti、P、Ho、Er、U、Eu等元素出现不同程度的亏损。地球化学特征分析显示上营北岩体和帽儿山岩体均为A_2型花岗岩,为后造山型花岗岩,形成于兴蒙造山带后造山的伸展环境。  相似文献   

羌塘地块西南缘上侏罗统-下白垩统海相地层的发现          下载免费PDF全文

毕志伟  李志敏  李强  王艳凯  孙肖  张涛 《沉积与特提斯地质》2018,38(1):1-10

通过1∶5万区域地质调查,在青藏高原羌塘地块西南缘鸡夯地区原划上三叠统日干配错群中新识别出一套上侏罗统—下白垩统地层。本文根据该套地层的岩石组合以及古生物面貌特征,初步探讨了该套地层的沉积环境和沉积相特征,对其中发育的玄武岩夹层采用锆石U-Pb(LA-ICP-MS)同位素测年方法,获得其年龄为118.3±2.1Ma。在发育的生物碎屑灰岩夹层中采集了珊瑚、双壳类、腕足、腹足类化石,化石资料显示该套地层形成于晚侏罗世—早白垩世。这是首次在南羌塘地块发现该时期海相地层,这一发现证明南羌塘地块在晚侏罗世—早白垩世时期海水并未完全退出,而是局部发育海相三角洲。  相似文献   

淮河流域夏季极端降水频次空间分布的客观分类及其形成机理     

卢睿  朱志伟  李天明  潘晓  江叶艳  陆雅君 《大气科学》2021,45(6):1415-1432

本文基于1961～2016年淮河流域四省（江苏、安徽、河南、山东）逐日降水观测资料及全球大气再分析资料,利用K均值聚类、旋转经验正交函数分解对淮河流域夏季极端降水频次分布进行了客观分类,利用统计诊断和数值模拟的手段讨论了其相关环流异常和形成机理。结果表明:（1）淮河流域夏季极端降水频次的空间分布可客观分为以极端降水主要发生在淮河流域33°N以南地区的南部型,主要发生在32°～36°N之间的中部型,和主要发生在34°N以北的北部型这三种分布类型;（2）南部型极端降水频次分布与西北太平洋副热带高压异常偏西偏南有关,西北太平洋异常反气旋北侧的异常气旋性环流使得水汽输送停留在淮河流域南部,导致南部极端降水频次偏多。中部型对应淮河流域受鞍型场环流结构控制,导致中部极端降水频次偏多。北部型极端降水频次分布时,淮河流域处于反气旋性环流异常西南侧,偏南风将水汽输送至淮河流域北部,导致北部极端降水频次偏多;（3）南部型和北部型的极端降水频次分布相关环流异常分别受厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜相关海表温度异常所影响,而中部型极端降水频次分布的相关环流异常是巴伦支海/喀拉海海冰异常在欧亚大陆上空激发的自西北向东南传播的准定常罗斯贝波所导致的。  相似文献   

Estimating satellite phase fractional cycle biases based on Kalman filter     

Guorui Xiao  Lifen Sui  Bernhard Heck  Tian Zeng  Yuan Tian 《GPS Solutions》2018,22(3):82

Phase fractional cycle biases (FCBs) originating from satellites and receivers destroy the integer nature of PPP carrier phase ambiguities. To achieve integer ambiguity resolution of PPP, FCBs of satellites are required. In former work, least squares methods are commonly adopted to isolate FCBs from a network of reference stations. However, it can be extremely time consuming concerning the large number of observations from hundreds of stations and thousands of epochs. In addition, iterations are required to deal with the one-cycle inconsistency among FCB measurements. We propose to estimate the FCB based on a Kalman filter. The large number of observations are handled epoch by epoch, which significantly reduces the dimension of the involved matrix and accelerates the computation. In addition, it is also suitable for real-time applications. As for the one-cycle inconsistency, a pre-elimination method is developed to avoid iterations and posterior adjustments. A globally distributed network consisting of about 200 IGS stations is selected to determine the GPS satellite FCBs. Observations recorded from DoY 52 to 61 in 2016 are processed to verify the proposed approach. The RMS of wide lane (WL) posterior residuals is 0.09 cycles while that of the narrow lane (NL) is about 0.05 cycles, which indicates a good internal accuracy. The estimated WL FCBs also have a good consistency with existing WL FCB products (e.g., CNES-GRG, WHU-SGG). The RMS of differences with respect to GRG and SGG products are 0.03 and 0.05 cycles. For satellite NL FCB estimates, 97.9% of the differences with respect to SGG products are within ±?0.1 cycles. The RMS of the difference is 0.05 cycles. These results prove the efficiency of the proposed approach.  相似文献   

基于地理加权模型的农村居民点空间格局及影响因子分析——以湖北省麻城市为例   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

金晓  唐祥云 《测绘与空间地理信息》2018,(3):31-35

以湖北省麻城市2009年和2015年农村居民点为研究对象,采用区位指数和核密度测算法对农村居民点空间分布形态进行分析,运用传统最小二乘法和地理加权模型从全域和局部角度分析自然地貌、社会经济、生态限制等因素影响农村居民点空间演变的作用机制。研究得出:麻城市2009—2015年农村居民点用地面积增长率达6.92%,斑块主要以分散式外延扩张为主,空间结构演变总体上呈现沿沪汉蓉快速铁路和武麻公路向四周扩散的连续分布特征。从全域上看,农村居民点分布格局与坡度、公路、建制镇、风景名胜区、河流呈空间负相关关系;从局部影响程度来看,最大正向影响因子为人均收入和高程,负向影响因子主要是坡度和河流,其他影响因子随地理位置变化正负向影响均存在。  相似文献   

工业测量中三维坐标系统的转换     

马丽霞  王凤艳  陈晓 《测绘与空间地理信息》2018,(6):56-57

工业测量系统中,通常会接触到多种坐标系统,例如测量坐标系、物方坐标系、设计坐标系等。因此,在数据分析时常常会遇到三维坐标转换的问题。本文采用轴对准法,基于Matlab程序语言,实现了三维坐标的转换。  相似文献   

滇西北石鼓杂岩中花岗质片麻岩年代学、地球化学特征及地质意义     

罗改  张彤  贾小川  杨学俊  肖典  谭晓莲 《地质学报》2021,95(11):3335-3351

青藏高原东南缘滇西北前寒武纪石鼓变质杂岩中新识别出一套花岗质片麻岩.采用LA-ICP-MS方法进行锆石U-Pb年代学分析,获得206Pb/238 U加权平均年龄分别为790±11 Ma(MSWD=2.1,n=10)和814±15 Ma(MSWD=5.7,n=9),显示其形成于新元古代早期.地球化学特征显示,岩石具有高硅(SiO2=66.05％～77.16％)、高 K2O/Na2O(0.90～9.26,均值2.57)特征,MgO=0.35％～3.60％,TFeO=1.02％～4.86％,P2O5=0.03％～0.17％.铝饱和指数A/CNK为1.08～2.51,矿物组合中出现石榴子石和白云母等富铝矿物,CIPW标准矿物中刚玉分子平均含量为4.72％,显示为强过铝质花岗岩.球粒陨石标准化稀土配分显示轻稀土元素富集,(La/Yb)N=1.79～12.34,具明显的Eu负异常(δEu=0.21～0.67).原始地幔标准化蛛网图显示,岩石富集Rb、U,明显亏损Ba、Ta、Nb、Sr、P、Ti元素.综合分析认为,花岗质片麻岩原岩主要为低成熟度、黏土贫乏的砂质岩在高温条件下部分熔融的产物,形成于后碰撞构造环境,是Rodinia超大陆汇聚事件在滇西北石鼓地区的响应.  相似文献