Drivers of change in Brazil’s carbon dioxide emissions     

Manfred Lenzen  Roberto Schaeffer  Jonas Karstensen  Glen P. Peters 《Climatic change》2013,121(4):815-824

Brazil’s economic development has been underpinned by a diverse and – in a global comparison – unusual set of energy carriers, notably hydroelectricity and ethanol from sugar cane. Its energy mix makes Brazil one of the least energy-related carbon-intensive economies worldwide. Given that the country is fast becoming one of the world’s economic powerhouses, decision-makers need to understand the drivers underlying past and current carbon dioxide emissions trends. We therefore investigate a) which key long-term drivers have led to Brazil’s unique emissions profile, and b) the implications of these drivers for Brazil’s national policies. We show that Brazil’s emissions are growing mainly due to increasing individual standards of living, exports and population size, and that this growth is so far unchallenged by technological and structural improvements toward lower emissions intensities and more efficient production structures. As these trends are likely to continue amidst growing international pressure on key economies to reduce their carbon emissions, a decoupling of drivers from emissions is needed to simultaneously meet development and environmental goals.  相似文献   

Be exposure dating of river terraces at the southern mountain front of the Dzungarian Alatau (SE Kazakhstan) reveals rate of thrust faulting over the past ~ 400 ka     

Anja Cording  Ralf Hetzel  Martin Kober  Jonas Kley 《Quaternary Research》2014

The mountain belts of the Dzungarian Alatau (SE Kazakhstan) and the Tien Shan are part of the actively deforming India–Asia collision zone but how the strain is partitioned on individual faults remains poorly known. Here we use terrace mapping, topographic profiling, and ¹⁰Be exposure dating to constrain the slip rate of the 160-km-long Usek thrust fault, which defines the southern front of the Dzungarian Alatau. In the eastern part of the fault, where the Usek River has formed five terraces (T₁–T₅), the Usek thrust fault has vertically displaced terrace T₄ by 132 ± 10 m. At two sites on T₄, exposure dating of boulders, amalgamated quartz pebbles, and sand from a depth profile yielded ¹⁰Be ages of 366 ± 60 ka and 360 ^+ 77/_− 48 ka (both calculated for an erosion rate of 0.5 mm/ka). Combined with the vertical offset and a 45–70° dip of the Usek fault, these age constraints result in vertical and horizontal slip rates of ~ 0.4 and ~ 0.25 mm/a, respectively. These rates are below the current resolution of GPS measurements and highlight the importance of determining slip rates for individual faults by dating deformed landforms to resolve the pattern of strain distribution across intracontinental mountain belts.  相似文献   

Assessing response behaviour of debris-flows affected communities in Kaohsiung,Taiwan     

Yuner Luo  Rajib Shaw  Hanliang Lin  Jonas Joerin 《Natural Hazards》2014,74(3):1429-1448

During Typhoon Morakot which hit Taiwan from 6 to 9 August, 2009, Kaohsiung City was highly affected by devastating debris-flows and flooding. Recorded casualties were 699 deaths and 1,766 damaged homes, mostly in the mountainous areas of Kaohsiung City. Due to a largely malfunctioning or absent early-warning system, residents in those mountainous villages were required to rely on individual- and/or community-based capacities to evacuate and respond to debris-flow-related disasters. Hence, this study investigates the response behaviour of selected debris-flow-affected communities in Kaohsiung City, based on a preparedness awareness action and affect model. Key results from the survey highlight that only 13.8 % of the households received formal (institutional) early warning, whereas 86.2 % households had to rely on their intrinsic senses and indigenous knowledge to recognise the onset of debris-flows in their villages during Typhoon Morakot. Among those households who did not receive formal early warning, 10 % of the households received previous disaster education, 17 % had previous disaster experience, and 73 % did have neither disaster education nor disaster experience. Furthermore, households with disaster education were among those who were best prepared and knew best how to evacuate and respond to debris-flow-related disasters followed by households with disaster experiences. Finally, findings from the survey and selected key informants’ interviews identified that the response behaviour of communities ought to be enhanced through the following measures: conduction of hydro-meteorological-related disaster education, improved participatory risk communication and enhanced recognition of communities as vital actors during a disaster to provide local knowledge and support to relief operations.  相似文献   

Isotope geochemistry and modelling of the multi-aquifer system in the eastern part of Lithuania     

Robert Mokrik  Vytautas Juodkazis  Anicetas Štuopis  Jonas Mažeika 《Hydrogeology Journal》2014,22(4):925-941

A steady-state groundwater flow model of three Quaternary intertill aquifers in the eastern part of Lithuania has been compiled. The distinction of separate modelled layers is based on hydraulic and isotope-hydrochemistry data criteria. ³H data were used to estimate the corrected groundwater age and were coupled with a groundwater-flow-dynamics model of the Quaternary aquifer system along a cross-section flow pathway from the Baltic Upland recharge area in eastern Lithuania towards the discharge area in the lowlands near the city of Kaunas in central Lithuania. The bicarbonate content in groundwater (214–462 mg/l) increases downgradient towards the lowland area. The other major constituents and total dissolved solids (TDS) have a trend analogous to the bicarbonate. The ¹⁴C activity of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) in the groundwater ranges from 41.4 to 85.7 pMC. With aquifer-system depth, active precipitation of aqueous solution takes place by dissolving minerals of calcite and dolomite and leakage of “old” groundwater from lower aquifers; the process is also traced by lower ¹⁴C and ³H activities and by more positive δ¹⁸O values in lowland areas.  相似文献   

Nitrogen Retention in Coastal Marine Sediments—a Field Study of the Relative Importance of Biological and Physical Removal in a Danish Estuary     

Søren Laurentius Nielsen  Nils Risgaard-Petersen  Gary T. Banta 《Estuaries and Coasts》2017,40(5):1276-1287

The aim of this study was to elucidate the relative importance of physical versus biological loss processes for the removal of microphytobenthic (MPB) bound nitrogen in a coastal environment at different times of the year via a dual isotope labeling technique. We used ⁵¹Cr, binding to inorganic sediment particles but not participating in any biological processes, and ¹⁵N–NO₃ ^?, taken up by the MPB and turned over as part of the MPB nitrogen pool. Retention, down-mixing, and export of ¹⁵N were due to both biological and physical processes, so that by comparing retention of the two isotopes, we were able to discern the relative importance of physical and biological processes. The isotope marking was supplemented with measurements of sediment chlorophyll biomass and oxygen fluxes, allowing us to evaluate MPB biomass as well as primary production vs. respiration in the sediment. In spring/early summer, the system was characterized by tight N cycling and high N retention: any remineralized N was immediately taken up and retained in the MPB biomass. In late summer and autumn, the system was still physically stable, but high biological mediated N losses were observed. In early winter, the system was physically dominated due to low MPB biomasses and activity combined with a significant storm event. Our data support the hypothesis that the relative balance between physical and biological processes in determining retention and removal of MPB-bound nitrogen changes seasonally.  相似文献   

An approximate nearest neighbors search algorithm for low-dimensional grid locations     

Adriano Petry  André Grahl Pereira  Jonas Rodrigues de Souza 《Earth Science Informatics》2017,10(2):183-196

We propose a new algorithm for the problem of approximate nearest neighbors (ANN) search in a regularly spaced low-dimensional grid for interpolation applications. It associates every sampled point to its nearest interpolation location, and then expands its influence to neighborhood locations in the grid, until the desired number of sampled points is achieved on every grid location. Our approach makes use of knowledge on the regular grid spacing to avoid measuring the distance between sampled points and grid locations. We compared our approach with four different state-of-the-art ANN algorithms in a large set of computational experiments. In general, our approach requires low computational effort, especially for cases with high density of sampled points, while the observed error is not significantly different. At the end, a case study is shown, where the ionosphere dynamics is predicted daily using samples from a mathematical model, which runs in parallel at 56 different longitude coordinates, providing sampled points not well distributed that follow Earth’s magnetic field-lines. Our approach overcomes the comparative algorithms when the ratio between the number of sampled points and grid locations is over 2849:1.  相似文献