A reliability‐based selective index for regional flood frequency analysis methods     

Gwo‐Fong Lin  Lu‐Hsien Chen 《水文研究》2003,17(13):2653-2663

In this paper, a new index is proposed for the selection of the best regional frequency analysis method. First, based on the theory of reliability, the new selective index is developed. The variances of three regional T‐year event estimators are then derived. The proposed methodology is applied to an actual watershed. For each regional method, the reliability of various T‐year regional estimates is computed. Finally, the reliability‐based selective index graph is constructed from which the best regional method can be determined. In addition, the selection result is compared with that based on the traditional index, root mean square error. The proposed new index is recommended as an alternative to the existing indices such as root mean square error, because the influence of uncertainty and the accuracy of estimates are considered. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

福建省地壳形变观测网络建设   总被引：6，自引：5，他引：1  

丁学仁  史粦华  林继华  吴绍祖  傅再扬 《大地测量与地球动力学》2003,23(3):120-124

介绍了福建省地壳形变观测网络的建设。福建省地壳形变观测网络，以GPS观测技术为主，结合精密水准、精密重力和流动地磁测量，将3者重合到GPS观测基准站上获取观测信息，初步构成一个时空相结合，点线面与长中短兼顾的高精度、高时空分辨率的地壳形变观测网络。该网络可动态监测福建省东南沿海地区地壳运动变化，为地震预测预报提供背景信息，将取得显著的社会效益和经济效益。  相似文献   

Combined perturbation on near-earth satellite orbits     

Liu Lin  Zhao De-zi 《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》1981,5(4):422-433

Using a semi-analytical method, we have obtained a first-order solution of the equations of motion of near-Earth satellites under the combined perturbing effect due to Earth's figure and air drag.  相似文献   

Effect of Fe2+ ions on polarization behavior of X60 steel in CO2 saturated salty water     

Gu Jincheng  Feng Xiangzhu  Lin Jiaxin  Shi Weixin  Li Wenqin 《中国海洋湖沼学报》1989,7(2):151-156

The effects of ferrous ions on cathodic and anodic polarization behavior of the X60 steel in CO₂ saturated salty water were studied by potentio-dynamic polarization method. The results show that the reducing current peak of cathodic polarization is affected significantly if FeCl₂ is added to the salty solution of controlled pH, but not the anodic polarization. It is considered that the ferrous ions accelerate the formation of a protective ferrous carbonate film. Films formed by addition of ferrous ions and those formed by ferrous ions produced from steel corrosion have the same forming mechanism. The former can fully meet the formative condition of the film and can play the role of inhibitor.  相似文献   

关于加快长江上游干,支流综合开发治理的建议     

林华  陆钦侃 《云南地理环境研究》1989,1(2):47-52

笔者通过考察认为,以水电建设为龙头,加快长江上游干、支流综合开发治理是长江流域开发的一个重要组成部分,对推动整个流域经济的持续稳定发展具有重大的意义。文中论述了:1、先期开发治理长江上游干、支流是合理利用长江水资源,防治长江洪水灾害的关键。2、综合开发治理长江上游干、支流将能获得的巨大社会、经济与环境效益。3、加快开发长江上游干、支流的政策与措施。  相似文献   

The yield and isotopic composition of radiolytic H₂, a potential energy source for the deep subsurface biosphere     

Li-Hung Lin  Greg F. Slater  Barbara Sherwood Lollar  T.C. Onstott 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2005,69(4):893-903

The production rate and isotopic composition of H₂ derived from radiolytic reactions in H₂O were measured to assess the importance of radiolytic H₂ in subsurface environments and to determine whether its isotopic signature can be used as a diagnostic tool. Saline and pure, aerobic and anaerobic water samples with pH values of 4, 7, and 10 were irradiated in sealed vials at room temperature with an artificial γ source, and the H₂ abundance in the headspace and its isotopic composition were measured. The H₂ concentrations were observed to increase linearly with dosage at a rate of 0.40 ± 0.04 molecules (100 eV)⁻¹ within the dosage range of 900 to 3500 Gray (Gy; Gy = 1 J Kg⁻¹) with no indication of a maximum limit on H₂ concentration. At ∼2000 Gy, the H₂ concentration varied only by 16% across the experimental range of pH, salinity, and O₂. Based upon this measured yield and H₂ yields for α and β particles, a radiolytic H₂ production rate of 10⁻⁹ to 10⁻⁴ nM s⁻¹ was estimated for the range of radioactive element concentrations and porosities typical of crustal rocks. The δD of H₂ was independent of the dosage, pH (except for pH 4), salinity, and O₂ and yielded an αD_H2O-H2 of 2.05 ± 0.07 (αD_H2O-H2 = (D/H)_H2O to (D/H)_H2), slightly less than predicted radiolytic models. Although this radiolytic fractionation value is significantly heavier than that of equilibrium isotopic exchange between H₂ and H₂O, the isotopic exchange rate between H₂ and H₂O will erase the heavy δD of radiolytic H₂ if the age of the groundwater is greater than ∼10³ to 10⁴ yr. The millimolar concentrations of H₂ observed in the groundwater of several Precambrian Shields are consistent with radiolysis of water that has resided in the subsurface for a few million years. These concentrations are well above those required to support H₂-utilizing microorganisms and to inhibit H₂-producing, fermentative microorganisms.  相似文献   

青海五龙沟地区1:5万遥感信息找矿勘查与靶区预测研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

高香香  邹林  高光明  杨自安  张普斌 《矿产与地质》2005,19(4):418-421

在青海五龙沟地区开展15万遥感信息找矿勘查与靶区预测研究,是以矿化蚀变的遥感异常提取为主线,结合成矿源场、成矿位场遥感信息的解译,通过遥感与地质、矿产、化探等多源信息的空间集成和综合分析,进行15万遥感岩石地层-构造-蚀变岩填编图与遥感找矿预测,优选出了13处新的找矿靶区.经有关地勘单位野外实地检查,取得了很好的应用效果,并证明了该方法的有效性.  相似文献   

地质体三维可视化建模的技术方法研究   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

曾新平  杨自安  刘碧虹  张普斌  邹林 《矿产与地质》2005,19(1):103-106

地质体三维可视化模型具有形象、直观、动态、准确、信息丰富等特点,在指导地质找矿和矿山开发等方面具有很大的优势及实用价值。文章对地质体三维可视化建模的整个技术方法流程作了总结性阐述,并分析其技术关键,同时还进一步探讨了模型的分类及其应用。  相似文献   

Orographic effects on a conditionally unstable flow over an idealized three-dimensional mesoscale mountain     

S.-H. Chen  Y.-L. Lin 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2005,88(1-2):1-21

Summary Idealized numerical simulations using the Weather and Research Forecast (WRF) model indicate that three flow regimes, based on the moist Froude number, can be identified for a conditionally unstable, rotational, horizontally homogeneous, uniformly stratified flow over an idealized, three-dimensional, mesoscale mountain stretched spanwise to the impinging flow: (I) a quasi-stationary upslope convective system and an upstream-propagating convective system, (II) a quasi-stationary upslope convective system, and (III) a stationary upslope convective system and a quasi-stationary downstream convective system. Several major differences from a similar type of flow with no rotation over a two-dimensional mountain range are found. One important finding is that relatively strong mean flow produces a quasi-stationary mesoscale convective system (MCS) and maximum rainfall on the windward slope (upslope rain), instead of on the mountain peak or over the lee side.We found that the Coriolis force helps produce heavy upslope rainfall by making transition from flow-around the eastern part of the upslope to flow-over the western part of the upslope (transits to a higher flow regime) by deflecting the incident southerly flow to become east–southeasterly barrier winds. We found that the addition of the western flank of the arc-shaped mountain helps slow down the barrier wind from east and causes the maximum rainfall to move east of the windward slope. A lower-Froude number flow tends to produce a rainfall maximum near the concave region.Several other important facts can also be found in this study. The ratio of the maximum grid scale rainfall to the sub-grid scale rainfall increases when the moist Froude number increases. When the CAPE decreases, it is found that the upstream moist flow tends to shift to a higher Froude-number regime. Therefore, the Froude number cannot solely be used to define a moist flow regime when different CAPEs are considered. In another word, other parameters, such as CAPE, might play an important role in determining moist flow regimes.  相似文献   

Improvement on the second-order solution of artificial satellite orbits     

Liu Lin  Zhao De-zi 《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》1981,5(3):267-275

Three methods are proposed in this paper to lessen the complexity in the derivation and the resulting expressions of second-order analytical solutions of artificial satellite orbits while retaining the advantages of analytical solutions. Of the three, the one combining the theories of elliptical perturbation and of intermediate orbits is noteworthy for its simplicity. It can also be used with advantage in first-order and third- or higher order solutions.  相似文献