A Parameterized Representation of Uncertain Conceptual Spaces   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Ola Ahlqvist 《Transactions in GIS》2004,8(4):493-514

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Unprecedented Retreat in a 50-Year Observational Record for Petermann Glacier, North Greenland          下载免费PDF全文

Ola M. JOHANNESSEN  Mohamed BABIKER  Martin W. MILES 《大气和海洋科学快报》2013,6(5):259-265

Petermann Glacier is a marine-terminating outlet glacier that had a 70 km-long floating ice tongue prior to a～270 km2calving event that was observed from satellite sensors in August 2010,shortening the ice tongue by～27 km.Further,in July 2012,another 10 km was lost through calving.In order to understand these events in perspective,here the authors perform a long-term data analysis of Petermann Glacier calving-front variability and ice velocity for each year in the 1990s–2000s,supplemented by available observations from the previous three decades.Five major(on the order of 100 km2)calving events are identified,with～153 km2calved from1959 to 1961,～168 km2in 1991,～71 km2in 2001,～270 km2in 2010,and～130 km2in 2012—as well as～31km2calved in 2008.The increased frequency of major calving events in recent years has left the front terminus position retreated nearly 25 km beyond the range of observed in previous decades.In contrast,stable ice-dynamics are suggested from ice-velocity measurements made each year between 1993–2012,which are on average1063 m yr–1,with limited interannual variability and no significant trend;moreover,there is no apparent relationship between ice-velocity variability and calving events.The degree to which the massive calving events in 2010and 2012 represent natural episodic variability or a response to atmospheric and/or oceanic changes remains speculative;however,melt-induced weakening of the floating ice tongue in recent years is strongly suggested.  相似文献   

A rate‐dependent cohesive crack model based on anisotropic damage coupled to plasticity     

Per‐Ola Svahn  Kenneth Runesson 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2006,30(9):887-916

In quasi‐brittle material the complex process of decohesion between particles in microcracks and localization of the displacement field into macrocracks is limited to a narrow fracture zone, and it is often modelled with cohesive crack models. Since the anisotropic nature of the decohesion process in separation and sliding is essential, it is particularly focused in this paper. Moreover, for cyclic and dynamic loading the unloading, load reversal (including crack closure) and rate dependency are essential features that are included in a new model. The modelling of degradation is based on a ‘localized’ version of anisotropic continuum damage coupled to inelasticity. The concept of strain energy equivalence between the states in the effective and nominal settings is adopted in order to define the free energy of the interface. The proposed fracture criterion is of the Mohr type, with a smooth transition of the failure and kinematics (slip and dilatation) characteristics between tension and shear. The chosen potential, of the Lemaitre‐type, for evolution of the dissipative processes is additively decomposed into plastic and damage parts, and non‐associative constitutive equations are obtained. The constitutive equations are integrated by applying the backward Euler rule and by using Newton iteration. The proposed model is assessed analytically and numerically and a typical calibration procedure for concrete is proposed. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Slow variations in the light of BY Dra     

S. A. Melkonyan  K. Ola  A. V. Oskanyan Jr  V. S. Oskanyan 《Astrophysics》1981,17(2):112-117

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A Holocene sea‐level curve and revised isobase map based on isolation basins from near the southern tip of Norway          下载免费PDF全文

Anders Romundset  Ola Fredin  Fredrik Høgaas 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2015,44(2):383-400

We report a new Holocene relative sea‐level curve based on the stratigraphy in five closely located isolation basins near Lista in southernmost Norway. The results detail the progress and timing of the mid‐Holocene Tapes transgression, the peak of which in this region represents the highest postglacial sea level, as well as the rate of land emergence since then. One additional cored basin is situated above the marine limit. All the basins have bedrock sills that were levelled using a differential GPS. Isolation and ingression boundaries were identified by macrofossil analysis and radiocarbon dated on terrestrial plant remains. In most cases several dates were obtained from each transition. Relative sea level rose with a mean rate of 7 mm a^?1 during the last part of the Tapes transgression 8600?8200 cal. a BP and then gradually slowed to a mean rate of 1 mm a^?1 from 8200?7000 cal. a BP. Mean sea level reached ～5 m higher than the present level when the transgression culminated. Land emergence took place after this, first slowly at a mean rate of 0.4 mm a^?1 until ～3900 cal. a BP before it increased to 2.6 mm between 3900 and 3400 cal. a BP. Since then it has slowly decreased until today and has been ～0.2 mm a^?1 for the last 2000 years. Based on the new curve we present updated Tapes isobases for the region that are displaced by ～20 km in relation to the existing model. From one basin we also report a 5–10 cm thick layer of sorted, sandy gravel, embedded in a more than 5‐m‐thick deposit of homogeneous shallow‐marine mud. The gravel was deposited ～5500 cal. a BP, which is the same age as a tsunami deposit previously mapped in Shetland. As several typical characteristics of tsunami facies deposits are lacking, the origin of the gravel layer remains inconclusive.  相似文献   

Decreasing Arctic Sea Ice Mirrors Increasing CO2 on Decadal Time Scale          下载免费PDF全文

Ola M Johannessen 《大气和海洋科学快报》2008,1(1):51-56

Arctic sea ice is a keystone indicator of greenhouse-gas induced global climate change, which is expected to be amplified in the Arctic. Here we directly compare observed variations in arctic sea-ice extent and CO2 since the beginning of the 20th century, identifying a strengthening linkage, such that in recent decades the rate of sea-ice decrease mirrors the increase in CO2, with r ~ –0.95 over the last four decades, thereby indicating that 90% (r2 ~ 0.90) of the decreasing sea-ice extent is empirically “accounted for” by the increasing CO2 in the atmosphere. The author presents an empirical relation between annual sea-ice extent and global atmospheric CO2 concentrations, in which sea-ice reductions are linearly, inversely proportional to the magnitude of increase of CO2 over the last few decades. This approximates sea-ice changes during the most recent four decades, with a proportionality constant of 0.030 million km2 per ppmv CO2. When applied to future emission scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), this relationship results in substantially faster ice decreases up to 2050 than predicted by IPCC models. However, departures from this projection may arise from non-linear feedback effects and/or temporary natural variations on interannual timescales, such as the record minimum of sea-ice extent observed in September 2007.Citation: Johannessen, O. M., 2008: Decreasing arctic sea ice mirrors increasing CO2 on decadal time scale, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 1, 51-56  相似文献   

Onset and end of the summer melt season over sea ice: thermal structure and surface energy perspective from SHEBA   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

P. Ola G. Persson 《Climate Dynamics》2012,39(6):1349-1371

Various measurements from the Surface Heat Flux of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) experiment have been combined to study structures and processes producing the onset and end of summer melt over Arctic sea ice. The analysis links the surface energy budget to free-troposphere synoptic variables, clouds, precipitation, and in-ice temperatures. The key results are (1) SHEBA melt-season transitions are associated with atmospheric synoptic events (2) onset of melt clearly occurs on May 28, while the end of melt is produced by a sequence of three atmospheric storm events over a 28-day period producing step-like reductions in the net surface energy flux. The last one occurs on August 22.; (3) melt onset is primarily due to large increases in the downwelling longwave radiation and modest decreases in the surface albedo; (4) decreases in the downwelling longwave radiation occur for all end-of-melt transition steps, while increases in surface albedo occur for the first two; (5) decreases in downwelling shortwave radiation contribute only to the first end-of-melt transition step; (6) springtime free-tropospheric warming preconditions the atmosphere–ice system for the subsequent melt onset; and (7) melt-season transitions also mark transitions in system responses to radiative energy flux changes because of invariant melt-season surface temperatures. The extensive SHEBA observations enable an understanding of the complex processes not available from other field program data. The analysis provides a basis for future testing of the generality of the results, and contributes to better physical understanding of multi-year analyses of melt-season trends from less extensive data sets.  相似文献   

Numerical study of localization in soil systems   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ola Kristensson  Aylin Ahadi   《Computers and Geotechnics》2005,32(8):600-612

A numerical study of the mechanical behavior of heterogeneous soil systems, consisting of a bulk of sand with embedded stiff gravel inclusions or soft clay inclusions, is performed. A solution scheme using parallel computing is employed when analyzing two different categories of problems. First, a homogenization problem is studied, where use of a single representative volume element subjected to plane strain compression offers the possibility to investigate the coupling between the response at a local scale and at a global scale. Second, a plane strain footing problem with different heterogeneous soil systems is analyzed using a traditional finite element formulation. The material model utilized for the soil is a large deformation formulation of non-associated elasto-plasticity with an isotropic hardening law, able to represent dilation. It was found that the shape of the gravel or clay inclusions in the systems had no significant effect on the global responses, whereas the strain localizations in the two different soil systems, sand–gravel and sand–clay, were found to have different character. The effect of the initial density on the response was clearly observed in the localization patterns.  相似文献   

Mesoscale modeling study of the oceanographic conditions off the southwest coast of India   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Vibeke E. Haugen  Ola M. Johannessen  Geir Evensen 《Journal of Earth System Science》2002,111(3):321-337

A high resolution model, using the Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM), has been implemented for the first time to study the seasonal circulation and coastal upwelling off the southwest Indian coast during 1974. This model is part of a model and data assimilation system capable of describing the ocean circulation and variability in the Indian Ocean and its predictability in response to the monsoon system. Along the southwest coast of India the dominant coastal current is the reversing West Indian Coastal Current which is well simulated and described, in addition to the weaker undercurrent of the opposite direction. Upwelling of cold water, 4‡C lower than offshore temperatures appear in April. The upwelling intensifies with the southwest monsoon and is simulated in accordance within situ observations. Upwelling appears to be strongest off Cochin and Quilon, and the upwelling of cold water is seen together with a decrease in salinity in the model simulation.  相似文献   

A technique for modeling transport/conversion processes applied to smectite-to-illite conversion in HLW buffers   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Harald Hökmark  Ola Karnland  Roland Pusch 《Engineering Geology》1997,47(4):10-378

This paper describes an application of a technique developed for modeling chemical processes in buffer materials that are controlled by a reaction rate and by the transport of one component, which is essential for the process in question to occur. The application described here is the illitization of smectite by fixation of potassium ions in cation exchange positions, and with diffusion of dissolved potassium being the transport process. The technique is verified by comparison with analytical solutions. An overview, based on small models, is given which outlines under what constellations of assumptions the time scale for conversion of the buffer is controlled by reaction rate parameters and under which conditions transport controls this time scale. Examples are given of calculations performed for deposition holes, with potassium being supplied from the surroundings to the upper parts of the highly compacted bentonite buffer. It is concluded that restrictions in nearfield transport capacity have a very significant effect on the conversion time scale. Towards the end of the heating period about 98% of the smectite is found to remain, even for reaction rates and buffer transport conditions that would have left only 10% of the smectite unconverted without nearfield transport restrictions. It is also concluded that the modeling technique can be applied to other, similar, transport/conversion processes.  相似文献