北京强降雨与道路积水统计分析及应用   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

尤凤春  郭丽霞  史印山  吴宏议 《气象》2013,39(8):1050-1056

利用2007—2011年汛期(6—8月)北京市人民政府防汛抗旱指挥部办公室每日发布的汛情通报、北京市20个气候站日降雨量和200多个自动气象站逐小时降雨量监测数据,对近5年北京强降雨及降雨强度与城区出现道路积水的关系进行统计分析,找出北京城区出现道路积水的降雨量特征、小时降雨强度和2 h降雨量道路积水临界指标。通过在2011年汛期(6—8月)10次道路积水中应用表明,该道路积水临界指标具有较好的参考价值,可为今后北京道路积水预报服务工作提供参考依据。  相似文献   

且末绿洲1961-2010年霜冻的变化特征及其对主要农作物的影响     

黄玖君  师国强  邓小霞 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2013,7(2):47-50

利用且末绿洲近50 a初、终霜日等气候资料,分析该地区的霜冻变化特征,初步探讨其对主要农作物的影响.结果表明:且末绿洲近50 a来终霜危害大于初霜,初霜冻推迟、终霜冻提前趋势明显,无霜期呈微弱延长趋势但不显著;初、终霜均具有5a、33 a的振荡周期,未来一段时期均处在偏晚期;进入21世纪以后未出现特早初霜和特晚终霜.总体上看,气候变暖使该地区霜冻灾害减少,对主要农作物的生长有利.  相似文献   

CHARACTERISTICS OF UT/LS CARBON MONOXIDE INTRASEASONAL OSCILLATIONS AND THEIR IMPACT FACTORS OVER THE TIBETAN PLATEAU AND ITS ADJACENT AREAS IN SUMMER     

陈斌  徐祥德  杨帅  施晓晖  张胜军 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2013,19(2):109-119

The study presented herein investigated the main characteristics of carbon monoxideintraseasonal variability and evaluated its possible impact factors using the upper troposphere and lowerstratosphere (UT/LS) Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) observations over Tibetan Plateau and itsadjacent areas in summer (June to August) of 2005 and 2006. Observations show a persistent constituentextreme extending up into the UT/LS throughout summer, as well as a temporally reversed phase variationbetween the carbon monoxide and ozone in UT/LS. The intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) of carbonmonoxide during summer are investigated by using methods of wavelet and band pass filter analysis. It isfound that ISOs over the Tibetan Plateau have periods of 10 to 20 days and 30 to 60 days. The formermainly appeared in upper troposphere while the latter in lower stratosphere. Further analysis shows thatthese two periods of ISOs in UT/LS are mainly in phase to the activities of convection over the south of theplateau and the variation of South Asia High, respectively. The above two factors and their dynamicalcoupling may be responsible for the tracer ISOs at different levels.  相似文献   

1961～2009年我国地面太阳辐射变化特征及云对其影响的研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

杨溯  石广玉  王标  杨红龙  段云霞 《大气科学》2013,37(5):963-970

基于我国100个地面站点的地面太阳总辐射、日平均云量资料分析1961～2009年我国地面太阳辐射(Surface Solar Radiation,SSR)变化特征及云在不同时期对SSR的影响。结果显示:1961～2009年我国SSR经历了先下降后上升的变化过程,其中1961～1990年SSR显著下降("变暗"),下降速率为-4.3%/10 a(7.87 W m–2(10 a)–1),各地SSR变化趋势比较一致;1990年后SSR开始上升("变亮"),上升速率为2.8%/10 a(2.4 W m–2(10 a)–1),各地SSR变化趋势不如前一阶段一致,但没有显著的地域分布特征。晴空条件的设置对1961～1990年各站点SSR变化特征影响不大,仍为大范围下降("变暗"),但对1990～2009年的结果影响显著。相比全天空条件的结果,晴空条件下1990～2009年我国SSR变化有明显的南北特征,南方地区以"变亮"为主,而北方地区大多继续"变暗",但"变暗"速度减缓。1961～1990年我国总云量总体呈小幅下降趋势,下降速率很慢,这一时期总云量与全天空SSR没有很好的对应关系;1990～2009年我国总云量总体呈小幅上升趋势,有显著的南北分布差异,北方地区以上升趋势为主,南方地区以下降趋势为主,期间云量与全天空情况下SSR有很好的对应关系。这些结果表明,在"变暗"阶段,云对SSR的作用不显著,而在"变亮"阶段,云的作用变得较为突出。  相似文献   

Evaluation of grid-point atmospheric model of IAP LASG version 2 (GAMIL2)     

李立娟  王斌  董理  刘利  申思  胡宁  孙文奇  王勇  黄文誉  史湘军  普业  杨广文 《大气科学进展》2013,30(3):855-867

The Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG version 2 (GAMIL2) has been developed through upgrading the deep convection parameterization, cumulus cloud fraction and two-moment cloud microphysical scheme, as well as changing some of the large uncertain parameters. In this paper, its performance is evaluated, and the results suggest that there are some significant improvements in GAMIL2 compared to the previous version GAMIL1, for example, the components of the energy budget at the top of atmosphere (TOA) and surface; the geographic distribution of shortwave cloud radiative forcing (SWCF); the ratio of stratiform versus total rainfall; the response of atmospheric circulation to the tropical ocean; and the eastward propagation and spatiotemporal structures of the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO). Furthermore, the indirect aerosols effect (IAE) is -0.94 W m-2, within the range of 0 to -2 W m-2 given by the IPCC 4th Assessment Report (2007). The influence of uncertain parameters on the MJO and radiation fluxes is also discussed.  相似文献   

Earth System Model FGOALS-s2: Coupling a dynamic global vegetation and terrestrial carbon model with the physical climate system model     

王军  包庆  刘屹岷  吴国雄  纪多颖 《大气科学进展》2013,30(6):1549-1559

Earth System Models （ESMs） are fundamental tools for understanding climate-carbon feedback. An ESM version of the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model （FGOALS） was recently developed within the IPCC AR5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5） modeling framework, and we describe the development of this model through the coupling of a dynamic global vegetation and terrestrial carbon model with FGOALS-s2. The performance of the coupled model is evaluated as follows. The simulated global total terrestrial gross primary production （GPP） is 124.4 PgC yr-I and net pri- mary production （NPP） is 50.9 PgC yr-1. The entire terrestrial carbon pools contain about 2009.9 PgC, comprising 628.2 PgC and 1381.6 PgC in vegetation and soil pools, respectively. Spatially, in the tropics, the seasonal cycle of NPP and net ecosystem production （NEP） exhibits a dipole mode across the equator due to migration of the monsoon rainbelt, while the seasonal cycle is not so significant in Leaf Area Index （LAI）. In the subtropics, especially in the East Asian monsoon region, the seasonal cycle is obvious due to changes in temperature and precipitation from boreal winter to summer. Vegetation productivity in the northern mid-high latitudes is too low, possibly due to low soil moisture there. On the interannual timescale, the terrestrial ecosystem shows a strong response to ENSO. The model- simulated Nifio3.4 index and total terrestrial NEP are both characterized by a broad spectral peak in the range of 2-7 years. Further analysis indicates their correlation coefficient reaches -0.7 when NEP lags the Nifio3.4 index for about 1-2 months.  相似文献   

1961-2010年气候变化对天津市采暖期和夏季空调期的影响          下载免费PDF全文

史珺  郭军  孙卫国 《气象与环境学报》2013,29(2):61-67

根据1961－2010年天津市逐日气象要素,包括平均温度、最高温度、最低温度、相对湿度以及风速,采用统计学方法分析了近50 a天津市的冷暖度日变化以及冬季采暖期和夏季空调期的气候变化特征,探讨了冷暖度日、舒适日数与区域气候变化之间的关系。结果表明：近50 a天津市冷暖度日具有相反的变化趋势,暖度日（HDD）显著下降、冷度日（CDD）显著上升,且暖度日的变化幅度大于冷度日,变化主要集中于80年代之后。冷暖度日与极端温度之间具有显著相关性。采暖期低温日数呈下降趋势、空调期高温日数呈上升趋势。采暖期冷不舒适日数呈显著下降趋势,夏季空调期热不舒适日数呈显著上升趋势,与同期平均气温之间存在显著性相关,且不舒适气候的随机性呈增多趋势。说明在气候变暖背景下,区域气候变化对天津市采暖期和夏季空调期具有重要影响。  相似文献   

Imaging Observations of X-Ray Quasi-periodic Oscillations at 3 – 6 keV in the 26 December 2002 Solar Flare     

Zongjun Ning 《Solar physics》2014,289(4):1239-1256

Quasi-periodic oscillations in soft X-rays (SXR) are not well known due to the instrument limitations, especially the absence of imaging observations of SXR oscillations. We explore the quasi-periodic oscillations of SXR at 3?–?6 keV in a solar flare observed by the Reuven Ramaty High Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager (RHESSI) on 26 December 2002. This was a B8.1 class event and showed three X-ray sources (S₁, S₂, and S₃) at 3?–?6 keV and two sources (S₁ and S₂) at 12?–?25 keV. The light curves of the total fluxes display a two-minute oscillation at 3?–?6 keV, but not in the energy bands above 8 keV. To investigate imaging observations of the oscillations, we prepared CLEAN images at seven energy bands between 3 keV and 20 keV with an eight-second integration. The light curves of three sources were analyzed after integrating the flux of each source region. We used the Fourier method to decompose each source light curve into rapidly varying and slowly varying components. The rapidly varying components show seven individual peaks which are well fitted with a sine function. Then we used the wavelet method to analyze the periods in the rapidly varying component of each source. The results show that three sources display damped quasi-periodic oscillations with a similar two-minute period. The damped oscillations timescale varies between 2.5 to 6 minutes. Source S₁ oscillates with the same phase as S₃, but is almost in anti-phase with S₂. Analyzing the flaring images in more detail, we found that these oscillation peaks are well consistent with the appearance of S₃, which seems to split from or merge with S₂ with a period of two minutes. The flare images with a high cadence of one second at 3?–?6 keV show that source S₃ appears with a rapid period of 25 seconds. The two-minute oscillation shows the highest spectral power. Source S₃ seems to shift its position along the flare loop with a mean speed of 130 km?s^?1, which is of the same order as the local sound speed. This connection between the oscillation peaks and emission enhancement appears to be an observational constraint on the emission mechanism at 3?–?6 keV.  相似文献   

东昆仑三维重力异常解释方法研究     

胡宁 《青海国土经略》1996,(2)

小波变换是一种广泛应用的信号处理技术,它具有良好的时—频局部化特性。本文探讨了小波变换在分解重力异常中的应用。同时,利用计算机对重力资料的三维定量解释,进行了初步试算。通过东昆仑地区实际资料处理,认为这二种方法在重力资料处理解释中,具有快速、简捷的特点。  相似文献   

氢化物-无色散原子荧光光谱法测定微量碲     

王振福  史东良  马力 《国土资源》1997,(1)

氢化物—无色散原子荧光光谱法测定黄铁矿及地球化学样品中微量碲，采用硝酸，盐酸，高氯酸分解样品，用浓盐酸将六价碲还原成四价碲，再用硼氢化钾继续还原使碲形成氢化物ＴｅＨ２，在ＡＦＳ１２０１Ｃ原子荧光光谱仪进行测定碲的检示限为０．１８μｇ／ｇ，精密度ＲＳＤ％为６．８％，该方法操作简便、快速、准确、费用低，可应用于大批量地球化学样品的分析。  相似文献