An analysis of mean transition time between flood and drought in the large river basin     

J. S. Lee  C. S. Yoo 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2001,15(5):341-356

 A soil moisture balance equation over large spatial regions is studied at seasonal and annual time scales for the Arkansas river basin. Interaction and feedback effects between land-surface and atmospheric moisture are studied in the parameterization for this basin. Due to the interaction between the land-surface and atmosphere at large scales, the surface hydrology of large land areas is susceptible to two distinct stable modes in the long-term probability density function: a dry and a wet state. In the soil moisture balance equation, stochastic fluctuations lead to separate preferred statistical stable states with transitions between these stable states induced by environmental fluctuations. On the basis of historical data, the soil moisture balance equation is calibrated for the Arkansas river basin. The transition times between the stable modes in the model are studied based on the stochastic representation of the physical processes and the calibrated model parameters. This study has implications for prediction of the transition times between stable modes or residence times, that is, the time the system spends in a given stable mode, since this would be equivalent to predicting the duration of droughts or wet conditions.  相似文献   

The potential role of mucus in the depuration of copper from the mussels Perna viridis (L.) and Septifer virgatus (Wiegmann)     

P. W. C. Sze  S. Y. Lee 《Marine pollution bulletin》1995,31(4-12):390-393

Experiments were conducted to measure the mucus secretion rate in two common mussels in Hong Kong, Perna viridis (L.) and Septifer virgatus (Wiegmann), when chronically exposed to Cu (50 μg l⁻¹). After a 3-month exposure period, the mucus production rate of P. viridis at 25°C in the metal treatment was 2.65 times that of the control (10.7 vs 4.0 mg g⁻¹ dry wt h⁻¹), while S. virgatus showed a 1.85 times difference (4.41 vs 2.38 mg g⁻¹ dry wt h⁻¹). Mucus secretion by P. viridis under acute Cu exposure (0.5 mg l⁻¹) was significantly higher in the metal treatment than the control (13.43 vs 9.16 mg g⁻¹ dry flesh wt). Metal contents of the mucus secreted was about 18 times those in the control and 6 times in the soft tissues. Therefore, mucus appears to be an effective agent for Cu depuration in the mussel. The significance of these results to the local distribution and abundance of the mussels is discussed.  相似文献   

Small ice cap instability in the presence of fluctuations     

Wan-Ho Lee  GR North 《Climate Dynamics》1995,11(4):242-246

Phenomena associated with small ice cap instability (SICI) are investigated using a general circulation model (GCM: NCAR Community Climate Model version 0) and a noise-forced nonlinear energy balance model (EBM). Both make use of idealized boundary conditions consisting of an all-land planet without topography and mean annual insolation. Ice is prescribed to exist on surface areas for which the instantaneous temperature lies below freezing. The adjustable parameters of the EBM were chosen to match the GCM solutions. For the regions in parameter space where SICI might occur we do not find the corresponding icefree steady state solution with the GCM. Our simulations with the EBM show that SICI phenomena in the presence of fluctuations are strongly dependent on the amplitude of the noise forcing. When the strength of noise forcing is adjusted to match the fluctuations in the GCM, we do not find a SICI in the EBM. With weaker levels of forcing the SICI reappears. In all cases steady stable ice caps smaller than a critical size are not found to exist.  相似文献   

一个对流边界层大涡模式的建立与调试   总被引：12，自引：4，他引：12  

蔡旭晖  陈家宜 《大气科学》1995,19(4):415-421

本文介绍一个适合于对流边界层的大涡模式的建立及其调试结果。该大涡模式建立过程中注重于计算的节省，同时也强调原理与方法的简单和合理性。模式的调试表明，对于平坦均一地形的情况，模拟可以获得合理的结果。调试同时显示了模式对较低水平分辨率的适用条件，以及模式应用于模拟较大水平范围问题的可能性。  相似文献   

Late Quaternary Floodplain History of the Brazos River in East-Central Texas     

Michael R. Waters  Lee C. Nordt 《Quaternary Research》1995,43(3)

The floodplain along a 75-km segment of the Brazos River, traversing the Gulf Coastal Plain of Texas, has a complex late Quaternary history. From 18,000 to 8500 yr B.P., the Brazos River was a competent meandering stream that migrated from one side of the floodplain to the other, creating a thick layer of coarse-grained lateral accretion deposits. After 8500 yr B.P., the hydrologic regime of the Brazos River changed. The river became an underfit meandering stream that repeatedly became confined within narrow and unstable meander belts that would occasionally avulse. Avulsion occurred four times; first at 8100 yr B.P., then at 2500 yr B.P., again around 500 yr B.P., and finally around 300 yr B.P. The depositional regime on the floodplain also changed after 8500 yr B.P., with floodplain construction dominated by vertical accretion. Most vertical accretion occurred from 8100 to 4200 yr B.P. and from 2500 to 1250 yr B.P. Two major and three minor periods of soil formation are documented in the floodplain sequence. The two most developed soils formed from 4200 to 2500 yr B.P. and from around 1250 to 500 yr B.P. These changes on the floodplain appear to be the result not of a single factor, but of the complex interplay among changes in climate, sediment yield, and intrinsic floodplain variables over time.  相似文献   

Ground Based FTIR Measurements of Stratospheric Species from Harestua, Norway During Sesame and Comparison with Models     

B. Galle  J. Mellqvist  D.W. Arlander  I. Fløisand  M.P. Chipperfield  A.M. Lee 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1999,32(1):147-164

Vertical columns of HF, HCl, HNO3, ClONO2, N2O, ClO and COF2 were measured at Harestua, Norway (60.22° N, 10.75° E, Elevation 600 a.s.l.) beginning on 24 November 1994 and concluding on 1 May 1995 during Phase-III of the SESAME (Second European Stratospheric Arctic and Mid-latitude Experiment) measurement campaign. The vertical columns of HCl, HNO3 and ClONO2 measured on 81 days were compared with columns calculated by the 3-D Cambridge model SLIMCAT. In addition the results were also interpreted by comparison with a photochemical trajectory model. Good agreement was seen for HCl while the nitrogen compounds showed larger discrepancies, especially for ClONO2. Evidence for chlorine activation was seen with 65% reduction of the chlorine reservoirs (HCl + ClONO2) while the levels of ClO were greatly enhanced. Interpretation of the loss with the trajectory model indicated condensation of chlorine on PSCs. The vertical column ratio of COF2 and HF was measured to 0.21 outside the vortex and a factor of two lower inside. The recovery of ClONO2 was seen to be much faster than that of HCl in the early spring.  相似文献   

Evidence for volatile-influenced differentiation in a layered alkali basalt flow, Penghu Islands, Taiwan     

John D. Greenough  Chi-Yu Lee  Brian J. Fryer 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1999,60(6):412-424

An approximately 20-m-thick alkali basalt flow on the Penghu Islands contains ∼20 cm thick, horizontally continuous (>50 m), vesicular layers separated by ∼1.5 m of massive basalt in its upper 8.5 m. The three layers contain ocelli-like "vesicles" filled with nepheline and igneous carbonate. They are coarse grained and enriched in incompatible elements relative to the massive basalt with which they form sharp contacts. These vesicular layers (segregation veins) formed when residual liquid in the underlying crystal mush was forced (gas filter pressing) or siphoned into three thermally induced horizontal cracks that opened successively in the advancing crystal mush of the flow's upper crust. Most vesicular layer trace elements can be modelled by residual melt extraction after 25–40% fractional crystallization of massive basalt underlying each layer. Sulphur, Cl, As, Zn, Pb, K, Na, Rb, and Sr show large concentration changes between the top, middle, and bottom layers, with each vesicular and underlying massive basalt forming a chemically distinct "pair." The large changes between layers are difficult to account for by crystal fractionation alone, because other incompatible elements (e.g., La, Sm, Yb, Zr, Nb) and the major elements change little. The association of these elements (S, Cl, etc.) with "fluids" in various geologic environments suggests that volatiles influenced differentiation, perhaps by moving alkali, alkaline earth, and chalcophile elements as magma-dissolved volatile complexes. Volatiles may have also led to large grain sizes in the segregation veins by lowering melt viscosities and raising diffusion rates. The chemical variability between layers indicates that a convection and concentration mechanism acted within the flow. The specific process cannot be determined, but different rates of vesicle plume rise (through the flow) and/or accumulation in the upper crust's crystal mush might account for the chemical pairing and extreme variations in Cl, S, As, and C. This study emphasizes the importance of sampling vesicular rocks in flows. It also suggests that volatiles play important physical and chemical roles in rapidly differentiating mafic magmas in processes decoupled from crystal fractionation. Received: 11 November 1996 / Accepted: 20 September 1998  相似文献   

Computer simulation of Pb and Sr isotope evolution of the Earth's crust and upper mantle     

Richard Lee Armstrong  Steven M Hein 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1973,37(1):1-18

Isotope evolution in a differentiated (crust and upper mantle) and chemically heterogeneous Earth has been computed for a model with isotopic exchange between crust and mantle at an exponentially decreasing rate. To simulate the effects of subduction, cells of crust and mantle are selected at random, their contents mixed and then redistributed into the cells from which they came—to give new chemically heterogeneous but momentarily isotopically homogeneous systems. Daughter isotopes in each cell grow according to equations appropriate for closed chemical systems. Rock age distributions and isotopic data created by the computer calculation mimic nature. Pb isotope data changes through geologic time are illustrated to demonstrate that two-stage interpretations applied to Pb data for rocks with complex histories may be misleading. The intercept of the Pb ore growth curve and regressions fit to Pb data gives minimum values only for the duration of heterogeneous $\text{U}\text{Pb}$ systems, not the time when heterogeneous distribution first occurred. An intercept derived time of about 3 b.y., in the Pb system is shown to be quantitatively compatible with an average $\text{Rb}\text{Sr}$ age of crustal rocks of 1.5 b.y. and with a constant degree of chemical heterogeneity for all of Earth history.  相似文献   

Integrated land-use systems: Assessment of promising agroforest and alternative land-use practices to enhance carbon conservation and sequestration   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

Robert K. Dixon  Jack K. Winjum  Kenneth J. Andrasko  Jeffrey J. Lee  Paul E. Schroeder 《Climatic change》1994,27(1):71-92

Degraded or sub-standard soils and marginal lands occupy a significant proportion of boreal, temperate and tropical biomes. Management of these lands with a wide range of existing, site-specific, integrated, agroforest systems represents a significant global opportunity to reduce the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Establishment of extensive agricultural, agroforest, and alternative land-use systems on marginal or degraded lands could sequester 0.82–2.2 Pg carbon (C) per year, globally, over a 50-year time-frame. Moreover, slowing soil degradation by alternative grassland management and by impeding desertification could conserve up to 0.5–1.5 Pg C annually. A global analysis of biologic and economic data from 94 nations representing diverse climatic and edaphic conditions reveals a range of integrated land-use systems which could be used to establish and manage vegetation on marginal or degraded lands. Promising land-use systems and practices identified to conserve and temporarily store C include agroforestry systems, fuelwood and fiber plantations, bioreserves, intercropping systems, and shelterbelts/windbreaks. For example, successful establishment of low-intensity agroforestry systems can store up to 70 Mg C/ha in boreal, temperate and tropical ecoregions. The mean initial cost of soil rehabilitation and revegetation ranges from $500–3,000/ha for the 94 nations surveyed. Natural regeneration of woody vegetation or agro-afforestation establishment costs were less than $1000/ha in temperate and tropical regions. The costs of C sequestration in soil and vegetation systems range from $1-69/Mg C, which compares favorably with other options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere. Although agroforestry system projects were recently established to conserve and sequester C in Guatemala and Malaysia, constraints to wide-spread implementation include social conditions (demographic factors, land tenure issues, market conditions, lack of infrastructure), economic obstacles (difficulty of demonstrating benefits of alternative systems, capital requirements, lack of financial incentives) and, ecologic considerations (limited knowledge of impacts and sustainability of some systems).The information in this document has been funded by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. It has been subject to the Agency's peer and administrative review, and it has been approved for publication as an EPA document. Mention of trade names or commercial products does not constitute endorsement for use.  相似文献   

Using PETRIMES to estimate mercury deposits in California     

Lee  P. J.  Singer  Donald A. 《Natural Resources Research》1994,3(3):190-199

In this article, we examine the use of an unconventional procedure, PETRIMES, to estimate mineral resources of mercury deposits in California. The study, which is based on the nonparametric discovery process model and Q-Q plots, suggests that a lognormal distribution is appropriate for the mercury deposits in California. The results of the assessment are summarized as follows: (1) the total number of mercury deposits in the population is approximately 165; (2) the median value of the largest undiscovered deposit size is 487 flasks; (3) the mean of the remaining mercury potential is 2,500 flasks; and (4) the population resource ranges from 1,040,000 to 4,300,000 flasks (at a 0.9 probability level).  相似文献