江西及其临近区域同化系统中不同季节背景误差协方差特征及其对降水预报影响          下载免费PDF全文

夏雪  金勇根  段和平  李嘉 《气象与减灾研究》2020,43(4):241-248

在不同季节背景下,对比分析多元变量相关的背景误差协方差特征,了解其在天气过程中的作用,可以改进同化系统性能,提高降水数值预报水平。对比分析汛期和非汛期江西及其临近区域多元变量相关的背景误差协方差特征,分别选取2019年汛期和非汛期的2次降水过程,设计2组循环同化试验,探讨多元变量相关的背景误差协方差对江西降水预报效果的影响。结果表明,相较于非汛期,汛期分析变量对风场、温度场和水汽场的贡献值整体上要更大,且汛期各个控制变量的背景场误差更为显著。多元变量试验的降水预报评估效果整体上更好,其汛期预报效果改善更显著。汛期与非汛期的多元变量试验降水预报结果更接近实况,且相对非汛期降水而言,汛期多元变量试验模拟效果更好,模拟的降水分布及强度与实况更为接近。  相似文献   

2012年12月20-23日巴州寒潮降雪天气的特征分析     

周雪英  彭军  段均泽 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2014,8(3):48-55

利用常规观测资料、自动站、T639客观分析资料,结合天气学原理和天气动力学诊断分析方法,对2012年12月20-23日巴音郭楞蒙古自治州（以下简称巴州）的寒潮天气过程的成因和降雪天气特征进行分析,并给出巴州降雪天气概念模型。结果表明：这次寒潮降雪过程是北欧阻塞高压向东南衰退,导致脊前横槽转成竖槽东南移,高空冷空气南压至40°N附近,造成巴州强降温、强降雪等寒潮天气,降雪阶段关键影响系统是700 hPa上的冷暖切变和风场辐合,水汽主要源自中低层西北方的经向和低层东南方的纬向输送;后续的冷凝降雪和阴雪阶段天气局地特征明显,水汽源自850 hPa至近地层局地的垂直输送。  相似文献   

Ontogenetic development in the morphology and behavior of loach （Misgurnus anguillicaudatus） during early life stages     

高雷  段明  程飞  谢松光 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2014,32(5):973-981

Loach （Misgurnus anguillicaudatus） is a commercially important fish in China and an ideal aquaculture species. However, culturists experience high larval and juvenile mortality during mass production. To provide insight into ways to improve larviculture techniques, we describe the morphological characteristics and behavior of loach during the larval and early juvenile stages. Yolksae larvae ranged from 2.8 to 4.0 mm body length （BL） between days 0 to 4; preflexion larvae ranged from 3.6 to 5.5 mm BL between days 4 to 6; flexion larvae ranged from 4.8 to 8.1 mm BL between days 5 and 14; and post-flexion larvae ranged from 7. l to 15.7 mm BL between days 11 to 27; the minimum length and age of juveniles was 14.1 mm BL and 23 d, respectively. Loach are demersal from hatch through to the early juvenile stages. A suite of morphological characteristics （e.g., external gill filament and ventral mouth opening） and behavioral traits have developed to adapt to demersal living. We observed positive allometric growth in eye diameter, head length, head height, and pectoral fin length during the early larval stages, reflecting the priorities in the development of the organs essential for survival. Our results provide a basis for developing techniques to improve the survival of larval and juvenile loach during mass production.  相似文献   

Green functions with pulsating sources in a two-layer fluid of finite depth   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

段文洋 《中国海洋工程》2011,25(4):609-624

The derivation of Green function in a two-layer fluid model has been treated in different ways.In a two-layer fluid with the upper layer having a free surface,there exist two modes of waves propagating due to the free surface and the interface.This paper is concerned with the derivation of Green functions in the three dimensional case of a stationary source oscillating.The source point is located either in the upper or lower part of a two-layer fluid of finite depth.The derivation is carried out by the method of singularities.This method has an advantage in that it involves representing the potential as a sum of singularities or multipoles placed within any structures being present.Furthermore,experience shows that the systems of equations resulted from using a singularity method possess excellent convergence characteristics and only a few equations are needed to obtain accurate numerical results.Validation is done by showing that the derived two-layer Green function can be reduced to that of a single layer of finite depth or that the upper Green function coincides with that of the lower,for each case.The effect of the density on the internal waves is demonstrated.Also,it is shown how the surface and internal wave amplitudes are compared for both the wave modes.The fluid in this case is considered to be inviscid and incompressible and the flow is irrotational.  相似文献   

Assessing vegetation dynamics in the Three-North Shelter Forest region of China using AVHRR NDVI data   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Hanchen Duan  Changzhen Yan  Atsushi Tsunekawa  Xiang Song  Sen Li  Jiali Xie 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2011,64(4):1011-1020

The Three-North Shelter Forest Programme (TNSFP) covers 551 Chinese counties and an area of 4,069,000 km² mostly in arid and semi-arid regions. In this paper, we discuss the temporal and spatial changes in value of the normalized-difference vegetation index (NDVI) in this region, and the relationships between NDVI and climatic factors (temperature and precipitation) based on NOAA Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies NDVI data with 8-km resolution from 1982 to 2006. During the past 25 years, the vegetation cover has generally increased in eastern regions of China and the oasis in the north piedmont of Tianshan Mountains, but has decreased northwest of Xinjiang and in the Hulunbeier Plateau. The multi-year monthly average NDVI distribution map showed that NDVI increased from April to August, but in the western and northern plateau areas, the lower temperatures and high altitude created a shorter growing season (1 or 2 months). The vegetation of the study area has generally increased in the regions covered by the TNSFP. Linear regression analysis of the vegetation cover showed an increasing trend over large areas. The largest annual growth rate per pixel (the slope of the regression) was 0.009; the largest negative annual change was −0.004. The correlation between NDVI and precipitation was higher than that between NDVI and temperature, suggesting that precipitation is the most important factor that affects NDVI changes in the study area, especially for temperate desert vegetation in northwestern China.  相似文献   

Anomalous atmospheric events leading to Kyushu’s flash floods,July 11–14, 2012     

Weili Duan  Bin He  Kaoru Takara  Pingping Luo  Daniel Nover  Yosuke Yamashiki  Wenrui Huang 《Natural Hazards》2014,73(3):1255-1267

During July 11–14, 2012, deadly floods and landslides triggered by a series of unprecedented heavy rains hit Kyushu, Japan, causing at least 32 deaths and around 400,000 evacuations. We focus on synoptic anomalies identified after inspecting rainfall patterns and documenting the conditions associated with this tragic event using data combined from the Global Rainfall Map in Near Real Time data, the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis dataset, and the global forecast system. Rainfall maps indicated that there were many heavy rains in Kyushu in these days and this disaster was associated with the pattern of forecasts and standardized anomalies. A weather trough with positive height anomalies appeared, the center of which moved to the north of Japan over this period, which might cause wind anomalies and whereby lots of water vapor were transported to Kyushu area with up to 90 m s^?1, and high values of precipitable water formed with up to 60 mm. These results suggest that a larger-scale pattern is conducive for heavy rainfall and the anomalies put the pattern in context as to the potential for an extreme rainfall event, which can provide insights and methods for predicting extreme events’ or something similar.  相似文献   

Zircon U–Pb Age and Deformation Characteristics of the Jiama Porphyry Copper Deposit,Tibet: Implications for Relationships between Mineralization,Structure and Alteration     

Jilin Duan  Juxing Tang  Russell Mason  Wenbao Zheng  Lijuan Ying 《Resource Geology》2014,64(4):316-331

The Jiama copper deposit is one of the largest deposits recently found in Tibet and is composed of three types of mineralization including skarn, hornfels and porphyry. To investigate the relationship between mineralization, structure and alteration, we report new zircon U–Pb age and present field observations on the deformation characteritics associated with the copper mineralization in Jiama. Two main periods of deformation were identified, represented by D₁ and D₂ in Jiama. The first deformation (D₁) occurred around 50 Ma, whereas the second deformation (D₂) that was closely related to mineralization occurred later. Previous zircon U–Pb and molybnite Re–Os dating results indicate that the mineralizatoin occurred at ～15 Ma and thus the D₁ regional deformation significantly occurred before the mineralization time, although the D₁ deformation probably provided important space for the development of significant copper deposition. Our new mapping and observations on the D₂ deformation demonstrate that the mineralization was closely coeval with or slightly later than the time of D₂ deformation. The new U–Pb zircon age further indicates that the aplite formed in ～17.0 Ma and thus the D₂ deformation happened later than this time because the D₂ deformation cut across the aplite, which is proposed to be the key control for copper mineralization. Altered laminated hornfels including three types of alteration (A‐, K‐ and S‐type) were found spatially associated with the D₂ deformation. The type‐A is mainly silicification, with fine sericite or chlorite, as well as abundant disseminated sulphides on fracture surfaces; the type‐S is mainly fine‐grained silicification with patches of chlorite, epidote and common sulphides; the type‐K (potassic alteration) appears to be fine‐grained biotite. Such types of alteration indicate the presence of skarns at depth where ore shoots are located. Taken together, the multiple structural‐magmatic‐mineralization events contributed to the formation of the supergiant Jiama porphyry copper deposit in Tibet. The results have general implication for regional exploration.  相似文献   

基于STA/LTA和分形维算法的微震事件初至自动拾取方法     

段建华 《中国煤炭地质》2014,(7):73-77

精确拾取微地震事件初至是微震定位的关键技术之一。根据STA/LTA和分形维数两种微地震初至拾取方法的原理,采用理论模型数据对两种初至拾取方法进行了测试,并选取不同信噪比的实际数据从初至拾取精度、算法效率两个方面进行了对比。结果表明,对于高信噪比微震事件,两种方法都能获得精度较高的初至,但对于低信噪比微震事件,分形维数与STA/LTA比较其拾取精度相对要高。鉴此,运用STA/LTA和分形维两种算法相结合的微震事件初至拾取方法,对实际数据进行了处理,实现了微震事件初至较为准确的自动拾取。  相似文献   

村镇建设类型划分的理论与方法研究——以江苏省为例   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

段学军  王磊  康珈瑜  刘圆圆 《地理科学》2022,42(2):323-332

村镇地区是多要素组合的地域单元,由于区位条件复杂多样,资源禀赋差异明显,村镇建设具有多元发展路径。基于资源环境承载力视角,构建了“压力-状态-响应”框架下的村镇建设分类指标体系,采用单向优势指标和复合指标相对优势判断相结合的划定方法,综合考虑国家和省级功能区划、协调乡镇周边区域功能并衔接省国土空间发展战略,以乡镇为分析单元,建立了省级村镇建设分类综合方案,并以江苏省为案例进行村镇建设类型划分研究。研究结果发现,江苏省仅有29.61%的乡镇为明显的单一建设类型,村镇建设的综合性发展态势明显;村镇建设类型具有明显的地域差异,苏北地区主要以居住类乡镇和生态类乡镇为主,苏中地区种植类乡镇和养殖类乡镇居多,苏南地区则集聚了商旅类和工业类乡镇。以此为基础提出不同村镇建设类型的资源环境承载力提升策略。  相似文献   

1970—2018年秦岭南北冷季降雪量时空变化及其影响因素   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李双双  段克勤  王婷  何锦屏  延军平 《地理科学》2022,42(1):163-173

基于72个气象站点逐日观测数据,对1970/1971—2018/2019年秦岭南北冷季（11月~次年5月）降水类型（降雪、降雨和雨夹雪）进行识别;重点关注降雪时空变化特征,探讨降雪与气温、湿球温度的响应关系;依据“夏季-秋季-冬季”Niño 3.4区海温异常状态,细化4种不同发展过程的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动（ENSO）事件,分析降雪异常与不同ENSO事件的对应关系。结果表明：① 相比气候平均态（1970—2000年）,1990—2018年,秦岭南坡（山地暖温带）降雪量下降了3.1 mm,基本与关中平原降雪量（17.1 mm）持平;② 空间趋势上,低海拔河谷地带降雪量以年代波动为主,山地高海拔地区为降雪下降区;③ 秦岭高山地区气温或湿球温度每升高1.0℃,降雪量分别下降23.1 mm和24.3 mm;从地带性角度分析,由北向南气温或湿球温度每升高1.0℃,秦岭南北降雪量分别下降3.0 mm和2.8 mm;④ 当厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜持续型发生时,关中平原降雪异常偏多;当拉尼娜发展型发生时,秦岭山地和大巴山区降雪异常偏少。当厄尔尼诺发展型发生时,秦岭南北降雪异常呈现“东西分异”,秦岭山地东部和关中平原为降雪异常偏少区。  相似文献