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On the basis of the assumption that ω^2 model accords with source displacement spectra, we have obtained the mathematical expressions for calculating apparent stresses of moderate-small shocks from low-frequency flat level and comer frequency. By using digital seismic records, apparent stress values are calculated for 823 moderate-small shocks of 4 earthquake series in Yunnan area following corrections for instrument response, propagation influence and site effect. The results show that for the 4 earthquake series in Yunnan area, apparent stress hints precursory information, which means that if a moderate-small shock occurs with apparent stress larger than 1 MPa in an earthquake series, a moderate-strong earthquake will occur afterwards; and if there is not moderate-small shock with apparent stress larger than 1 MPa after a moderate-strong event in an earthquake series, strong aftershock will not occur. The research also indicates that the average apparent stress value is 0.8 MPa in Yunnan area, therefore, apparent stress is not obviously related to seismic magnitude. 相似文献
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Application of apparent stress in earthquake prediction 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
On the basis of the assumption that ω2 model accords with source displacement spectra of moderate-small shocks, we calculate the apparent stress values of 1 020 moderate-small shocks recorded by the Digital Seismic Network of Yunnan Province by using the low-frequency flat level and corner frequencies. The results show that the apparent stress is of good significance in earthquake prediction. The moderate-small shock with apparent stress larger than 0.9 MPa can be used as a referential index to predict moderate-strong earthquakes in Yunnan area. And its relevant predictability evaluation (R value) has a high confidence level. 相似文献
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在假设震源位移谱符合omega;平方模型的基础上,得到了利用震源位移谱低频水平与拐角频率来计算中小地震视应力值的数学表达式.采用数字化速度波形记录,通过校正仪器响应、介质衰减与吸收效应、台站场地响应等影响因素后,计算得到了云南地区4个地震序列共823次中小地震的视应力值.结果表明,地震视应力在云南地区的这4个地震序列中有很好的前兆特征表现,即:地震序列中只要发生了视应力值超过1MPa的中小地震,其后就一定会有中强震发生;如果序列中中强地震发生后再没有发生视应力值超过1MPa的中小地震,则该序列就不会有强余震发生.同时研究表明,4个地震序列所在地区的平均视应力值为0.8MPa,地震视应力值与地震震级没有显著相关关系. 相似文献
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对2008—2016年青海地区MS≥5.0显著地震短临跟踪过程进行回顾总结,对地震活动规律及特点进行分析。通过客观呈现当时进行地震观测、决策的过程和思想,总结有效的地震活动规律,以期望对未来区域强震的短临预测预报及震情跟踪提供借鉴。 相似文献
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湟源地震窗预报方法及效能的研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
根据湟源地震台单台记录到的小震活动情况,进行了周频、月频的系统分析,发现小震活动周、月频次低值异常与周围300km范围内的5 0级以上中强震有一定的对应关系。通过分析认为湟源台能以小震活动情况灵敏的反映区域应力场的变化情况,可以作为地震窗;并对该窗应震效能作出了评价,认为可以用于地震预报工作。 相似文献
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德令哈6.6级地震前青海省前兆异常特征分析 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
对德令哈6.6级地震前后前兆异常用常规分析方法和部分“十五”项目的阶段性成果进行分析研究,总结了此次地震前出现的前兆异常形态及特征,探讨了此次地震与昆仑山口西8.1级地震的关系。认为,在8.1级地震的影响下,外围区域应力场调整,地壳介质变化,是此次地震前地下流体出现异常较多、分布广泛的内在原因。 相似文献
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大型商业建筑投资规模大,人员密集,一旦发生火灾,损失巨大,因此消防设计要慎之又慎。本文根据某大型商业建筑的特点,介绍了关于给排水和暖通专业的消防设计。 相似文献
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