Comparison of results from several AOGCMs for global and regional sea-level change 1900–2100     

J. M. Gregory  J. A. Church  G. J. Boer  K. W. Dixon  G. M. Flato  D. R. Jackett  J. A. Lowe  S. P. O'Farrell  E. Roeckner  G. L. Russell  R. J. Stouffer  M. Winton 《Climate Dynamics》2001,18(3-4):225-240

 Sea-level rise is an important aspect of climate change because of its impact on society and ecosystems. Here we present an intercomparison of results from ten coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) for sea-level changes simulated for the twentieth century and projected to occur during the twenty first century in experiments following scenario IS92a for greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols. The model results suggest that the rate of sea-level rise due to thermal expansion of sea water has increased during the twentieth century, but the small set of tide gauges with long records might not be adequate to detect this acceleration. The rate of sea-level rise due to thermal expansion continues to increase throughout the twenty first century, and the projected total is consequently larger than in the twentieth century; for 1990–2090 it amounts to 0.20–0.37 m. This wide range results from systematic uncertainty in modelling of climate change and of heat uptake by the ocean. The AOGCMs agree that sea-level rise is expected to be geographically non-uniform, with some regions experiencing as much as twice the global average, and others practically zero, but they do not agree about the geographical pattern. The lack of agreement indicates that we cannot currently have confidence in projections of local sea-level changes, and reveals a need for detailed analysis and intercomparison in order to understand and reduce the disagreements. Received: 1 September 2000 / Accepted: 20 April 2001  相似文献   

A new pattern for the north–south asymmetry of sunspots     

E.S. Vernova  K. Mursula  M.I. Tyasto  D.G. Baranov 《Solar physics》2002,205(2):371-382

We study the solar cycle evolution during the last 8 solar cycles using a vectorial sunspot area called the LA (longitudinal asymmetry) parameter. This is a useful measure of solar activity in which the stochastic, longitudinally evenly distributed sunspot activity is reduced and which therefore emphasizes the more systematic, longitudinally asymmetric sunspot activity. Interesting differences are found between the LA parameter and the more conventional sunspot activity indices like the (scalar) sunspot area and the sunspot number. E.g., cycle 19 is not the highest cycle according to LA. We have calculated the separate LA parameters for the northern and southern hemisphere and found a systematic dipolar-type oscillation in the dominating hemisphere during high solar activity times which is reproduced from cycle to cycle. We have analyzed this oscillation during cycles 16–22 by a superposed epoch method using the date of magnetic reversal in the southern hemisphere as the zero epoch time. According to our analysis, the oscillation starts by an excess of the northern LA value in the ascending phase of the solar cycle which lasts for about 2.3 years. Soon after the maximum northern dominance, the southern hemisphere starts dominating, reaching its minimum some 1.2–1.7 years later. The period of southern dominance lasts for about 1.6 years and ends, on an average, slightly before the end of magnetic reversal.  相似文献   

The influence of the 0-0 edge distances on the Fe2+ → Fe3+ charge transfer bands energies in amphiboles     

V. M. Khomenko  A. N. Platonov 《Physics and Chemistry of Minerals》1996,23(4-5):243-243

  相似文献   

Cokriging Limited Transmissivity Data Using Widely Sampled Specific Capacity from Pump Tests in an Alluvial Aquifer     

Lance Hughson  David Huntley  M. Razack 《Ground water》1996,34(1):12-18

  相似文献   

Perspectives of the ROT 54/32/2.6 in astronomy     

J. M. Martin  C. Rosolen 《Astrophysics》1995,38(4):361-363

Perspectives for the Radio-Optical Telescope 54/32/2.6 are given for scientific research in radioastronomy. Its characteristics and potential scientific fields are summarized in the frame of the present French-Armenian collaboration. A 3-phase upgrade plan including a detailed technical evaluation of the antenna is presented.Published in Astrofizika, Vol. 38, No. 4, pp. 645–648, October–December, 1995.  相似文献   

Occurrence of noble metals in aluminum- and chromium- rich objects in ordinary chondrites and of baddeleyite (ZrO2) in a chromite inclusion     

M. Christophe Michel-Lvy  E. Robin  Ph. Blanc 《Meteoritics & planetary science》1995,30(1):15-19

Abstract— Platinum group elements (PGE) enrichments are found in Fe-Ni blebs (<1 μm) in Al- and Cr-rich objects in the ordinary chondrites Ste. Marguerite, Forest Vale, Montferré. In Ste. Marguerite, high ZrO₂ concentrations (baddeleyite) are also present in a chromite inclusion. Iridium enrichment in this material compared to its metal content is confirmed by INAA. The widespread occurrence of PGE in Al- and Cr-rich objects, mostly present in H-group chondrites of nearly equilibrated types, must be taken into account to understand their conditions of formation.  相似文献   

Reply to Comment on ‘Three-dimensional interpretation of multiple-source bipole-dipole resistivity data using the apparent resistivity tensor’ by X. Li and L. B. Pedersen1     

H.M. Bibby 《Geophysical Prospecting》1994,42(5):527-529

  相似文献   

The 2dF QSO Redshift Survey – VI. Measuring Λ and β from redshift-space distortions in the power spectrum     

P.J. Outram  Fiona Hoyle  T. Shanks  B.J. Boyle  S.M. Croom  N.S. Loaring  L. Miller  R.J. Smith 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,328(1):174-184

  相似文献   

A Colliding-Winds Interpretation of the U Orbital Variation of the Symbiotic Binary AG Pegasi     

N. Tomov  M. Tomova 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2001,278(3):311-317

The photometric U orbital variations of the symbiotic binary AG Peg, caused by occultation of a bright gaseous region by the M giant in this system, are used to determine the geometry of this region whose existence is explained in the framework of the colliding winds model. The emission of the bright region varies and a particular value of its mean density of 2–3 10¹⁰ cm^-3 has been derived. The causes for the irregular variations of the light in the orbital minimum and maximum are discussed. It is also obtained, when the mass-loss rate of the hot companion of the system decreases to about 5 10^-10 Ms _⊙ yr^-1, this bright region will disappear. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

Obscured AGB Stars in the LMC     

Jacco Th. Van Loon  Albert A. Zijlstra  Patricia A. Whitelock  M.A.T. Groenewegen  Cecile Loup  Peter Te Lintel Hekkert  Norman R. Trams  L.B.F.M. Waters 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1997,255(1-2):403-404

  相似文献