Estimation of the transfer function by autoregressive deconvolution techniques—An application to time series analysis     

Y. S. Kang  J. J. Royer  Cl. Chambon  L. Demassieux 《Mathematical Geology》1992,24(5):479-498

The transfer function of time-dependent models is classically inferred by the ordinary least squares (OLS) techniques. This OLS technique assumes independence of the residuals with time. However, in practical cases, this hypothesis is often not justified producing inefficient estimation of the transfer function. When the residuals constitute an autoregressive process, we propose to apply the Box-Jenkins' method to model the residuals, and to modify in a simple manner the primary convolution equation. Then, a multivariate regression technique is used to infer the transfer function of the new equation producing time-independent residuals. This three-step autoregressive deconvolution technique is particularly efficient for time series analysis. The reconstitution and the forecasting of real data are improved efficiently. Theoretically, the proposed method can be extended to the convolution equations for which the residuals follow a moving average or an autoregressive-moving average process, but the mathematical formulation is no longer direct and explicit. For this general case, we propose to approximate the moving average or the autoregressive-moving average process by an autoregressive process of sufficient order, and then the transfer function. Two case studies in hydrogeology will be used to illustrate the procedure.  相似文献   

Analytical study of the energy rate balance equation for the magnetospheric storm-ring current     

A. L. Clúa de Gonzalez  W. D. Gonzalez 《Annales Geophysicae》1998,16(11):1445-1454

We present some results of the analytical integration of the energy rate balance equation, assuming that the input energy rate is proportional to the azimuthal interplanetary electric field, E_y, and can be described by simple rectangular or triangular functions, as approximations to the frequently observed shapes of E_y, especially during the passage of magnetic clouds. The input function is also parametrized by a reconnection-transfer efficiency factor (which is assumed to vary between 0.1 and 1). Our aim is to solve the balance equation and derive values for the decay parameter compatible with the observed Dst peak values. To facilitate the analytical integration we assume a constant value for through the main phase of the storm. The model is tested for two isolated and well-monitored intense storms. For these storms the analytical results are compared to those obtained by the numerical integration of the balance equation, based on the interplanetary data collected by the ISEE-3 satellite, with the values parametrized close to those obtained by the analytical study. From the best fit between this numerical integration and the observed Dst the most appropriate values of are then determined. Although we specifically focus on the main phase of the storms, this numerical integration has been also extended to the recovery phase by an independent adjust. The results of the best fit for the recovery phase show that the values of may differ drastically from those corresponding to the main phase. The values of the decay parameter for the main phase of each event, _m, are found to be very sensitive to the adopted efficiency factor, , decreasing as this factor increases. For the recovery phase, which is characterized by very low values of the power input, the response function becomes almost independent of the value of and the resulting values for the decay time parameter, _r, do not vary greatly as varies. As a consequence, the relative values of between the main and the recovery phase, _m/_r, can be greater or smaller than one as varies from 0.1 to 1.  相似文献   

Berge wachsen sehen     

H. Cl 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1940,31(3-4):113-120

Ohne Zusammenfassung  相似文献   

Thick sections of layered ultramafic cumulates in the Oman ophiolite revealed by an airborne hyperspectral survey: Petrogenesis and relationship to mantle diapirism     

Harold Clénet  Georges Ceuleneer  Patrick Pinet  Bénédicte Abily  Yves Daydou  Esther Harris  Isma Amri  Céline Dantas 《Lithos》2010,114(3-4):265-281

Using the HyMap instrument, we have acquired visible and near infrared hyperspectral data over the Maqsad area of the Oman ophiolite (~ 15 × 60 km). This survey allowed us to identify and map the distribution of clinopyroxene-rich cumulates (inter-layered clinopyroxenites and wehrlites) whose occurrence was previously undocumented in this area. The cumulates reach several hundred meters in thickness and crop out at distances exceeding 15 km on both sides of the Maqsad former spreading centre. They occur either in mantle harzburgites, as km-sized layered intrusions surrounded by fields of pegmatitic dykes consisting of orthopyroxene-rich pyroxenite and gabbronorites, or at the base of the crustal section where they are conformably overlain by cumulate gabbros. These ultramafic cumulates crystallized from silica- and Mg-rich melts derived from a refractory mantle source (e.g. high Cr#, low [Al₂O₃], low [TiO₂]). These melts are close to high-Ca boninites, although, strictly speaking, not perfect equivalents of present-day, supra-subduction zone, boninites. Chemical stratigraphy reveals cycles of replenishment, mixing and fractional crystallization from primitive (high Mg#) melts, typical of open magma chambers and migration of inter-cumulus melts. The TiO₂ content of clinopyroxene is always low (≤ 0.2 wt.%) but quite variable compared to the associated pegmatites that are all derived from a source ultra-depleted in high field strength elements (HFSE). This variability is not caused by fractional crystallization alone, and is best explained by hybridization between the ultra-depleted melts (parent melts of the pegmatites) and the less depleted mid-ocean ridge basalts (MORB) parent of the dunitic–troctolitic–gabbroic cumulates making up the crustal section above the Maqsad diapir.We propose that, following a period of magma-starved spreading, the Maqsad mantle diapir, impregnated with tholeiitic melts of MORB affinity, reached shallow depths beneath the ocean ridge. This diapir induced melting of the formerly accreted and hydrothermally altered lithosphere. At this stage, these boninitic-like lithospheric melts crystallized as pegmatitic dykes. As the diapir continued to rise, the amount of MORB reaching shallow depths increased, together with the surrounding temperature, leading to the formation of magma chambers where the crystallization of layered cumulates became possible. These cumulates remained rich in pyroxene and devoid of plagioclase as long as the contribution of MORB-derived melts was moderate relative to the lithospheric-derived melts. As the contribution of MORB to the refilling of the magma chamber increased, gabbroic cumulates started to crystallize.  相似文献   

Comparing the patterns of 20–70 days intraseasonal oscillations over Central Africa during the last three decades     

Alain Tchakoutio Sandjon  Armand Nzeukou  Clément Tchawoua  Brice Sonfack  Tengeleng Siddi 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2014,118(1-2):319-329

In this paper, we used the Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) data to compare the intraseasonal atmospheric variability patterns over Central Africa, during the last three decades. The spectral analysis indicates that for the three decades, the intraseasonal variability is dominated by 20–80 days periods band with the center near 40–50 days. The results of Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs) analysis have shown that the amount of variance explained by the three retained EOFs are 41.6 % for 1981–1990, 44.2 % for 1991–2000 and 42.6 % for 2001–2010. For the three decades, the three leading EOFs retained exhibit high spatial loadings over Northern Congo, Southern Ethiopia, and Southwestern Tanzania. The power spectra of the leading principal components have their peaks near 40 days for the three decades, indicating MJO signal. The PCs time series revealed that the amplitude of intraseasonal oscillations (ISO) globally decreases from decade to another. The plot of ISO and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indices revealed that the lowest values of ISO strength generally correspond to the relatively large values of ENSO indices and inversely. The mean ISO strength and ISO fluctuations were highest during 1981–1990, and this period also corresponds to the highest fluctuations of ENSO signal.  相似文献   

Dissolution–precipitation processes governing the carbonation and silicification of the serpentinite sole of the New Caledonia ophiolite     

Marc?UlrichEmail author  Manuel?Mu?oz  Stéphane?Guillot  Michel?Cathelineau  Christian?Picard  Benoit?Quesnel  Philippe?Boulvais  Clément?Couteau 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2014,167(1):952

The weathering of mantle peridotite tectonically exposed to the atmosphere leads commonly to natural carbonation processes. Extensive cryptocrystalline magnesite veins and stock-work are widespread in the serpentinite sole of the New Caledonia ophiolite. Silica is systematically associated with magnesite. It is commonly admitted that Mg and Si are released during the laterization of overlying peridotites. Thus, the occurrence of these veins is generally attributed to a per descensum mechanism that involves the infiltration of meteoric waters enriched in dissolved atmospheric CO₂. In this study, we investigate serpentinite carbonation processes, and related silicification, based on a detailed petrographic and crystal chemical study of serpentinites. The relationships between serpentine and alteration products are described using an original method for the analysis of micro-X-ray fluorescence images performed at the centimeter scale. Our investigations highlight a carbonation mechanism, together with precipitation of amorphous silica and sepiolite, based on a dissolution–precipitation process. In contrast with the per descensum Mg/Si-enrichment model that is mainly concentrated in rock fractures, dissolution–precipitation process is much more pervasive. Thus, although the texture of rocks remains relatively preserved, this process extends more widely into the rock and may represent a major part of total carbonation of the ophiolite.  相似文献   

Modelling close encounters with Öpik''s theory     

G.B. Valsecchi  Cl. Froeschlé  R. Gonczi 《Planetary and Space Science》1997,45(12):1561-1574

The results obtained by numerical integration of the equations of motion of fictitious comets, in the restricted circular three-dimensional three-body problem, are compared with those obtained with Öpik's theory of close encounters, for an experimental set-up similar to that used by Froeschlé and Rickman (1980, 1981) to model both the infeed of comets from the trans-jovian region into the Jupiter family and their subsequent orbital evolution within the family. The distributions of perturbations in orbital energy E, eccentricity e and inclination i are well reproduced by Öpik's theory, as long as the comparison is made on the outcomes of encounters only up to a certain unperturbed distance b_max; several values of the latter are experimented with and it is found that, surprisingly, Öpik's theory seems to be still working reasonably well for values of b_max in excess of several times the Hill's radius of the planet.  相似文献   

Properties and Comparison of Some Kriging Sub-model Aggregation Methods     

Bachoc  François  Durrande  Nicolas  Rullière  Didier  Chevalier  Clément 《Mathematical Geosciences》2022,54(5):941-977

Mathematical Geosciences - Kriging is a widely employed technique across computer experiments, machine learning and geostatistics. An important challenge for kriging is its high costs when dealing...  相似文献   

Scheduling the EChO survey with known exoplanets     

J. C. Morales  J.-P. Beaulieu  V. Coudé du Foresto  M. Ollivier  I. Ortega Castello  R. Clédassou  J. Jaubert  P. Van-Troostenberghe  R. Varley  I. P. Waldmann  E. Pascale  M. Tessenyi 《Experimental Astronomy》2015,40(2-3):655-670

The Exoplanet Characterization Observatory (EChO) is a concept of a dedicated space telescope optimized for low-resolution transit and occultation spectroscopy to study the exoplanet diversity through the composition of their atmospheres. The scope of this paper is to answer the following question: Can we schedule a nominal EChO mission, with targets known today (in mid 2013), given the science requirements, realistic performances and operational constraints? We examine this issue from the point of view of duration of the mission and the scheduling restrictions with a sample of exoplanet systems known nowadays. We choose different scheduling algorithms taking into account the science and operational constraints and we verified that it is fairly straightforward to schedule a mission scenario over the lifetime of EChO compliant with the science requirements. We identified agility as a critical constraint that reduces significantly the efficiency of the survey. We conclude that even with known targets today the EChO science objectives can be reached in the 4.5 years duration of the mission. We also show that it is possible to use gaps between exoplanet observations, to fit the required calibration observations, data downlinks and station keeping operations or even to observe more exoplanet targets to be discovered in the coming years.  相似文献   

Impact of justice and solidarity variables on the acceptability of managed realignment     

Bénédicte Rulleau  Hélène Rey-Valette  Valérie Clément 《Climate Policy》2013,13(3):361-377

Sea-level rise due to climate change will have significant effects on coastal areas and populations. Adaptation policies recommend the managed realignment of the most vulnerable assets and activities. Despite their medium- and long-term benefits, these policies face significant friction due to social acceptability in the communities where they are implemented.

This article investigates the hypothesis that respecting principles of justice in the implementation of managed realignment should increase its acceptability. We compare preferences of those people who are exposed to the risk of climate-change-induced flooding and those who are not, as regards funding managed retreat policies and defining compensation criteria for assets at risk. The main theories of social justice provide the four principles included in the analysis: efficiency, need, responsibility and priority assigned to property rights.

A choice experiment survey was conducted with 258 residents of coastal and hinterland communities in the south of France. Four attributes were selected to define the managed realignment policy: the dialogue arrangements, the implementation period, the policy implementation schedule and the cost. The results show support for a relatively fast launch of these policies (within 15 years) but in stages and through a process of dialogue with the population. People's perceptions of the funding criteria reveal a preference for national solidarity. Finally, national funding of managed retreat policies and compensation criteria based on market prices have a significant positive influence on the acceptability of managed realignment policies, whereas introducing responsibility-based compensation criteria tends to favour the status quo over the adaptation policy.

Policy relevance

Prioritization of the funding criteria reveals the preference for national solidarity. Preferences for the justice criteria underpinning compensation reveal a great diversity of values. Besides implantation modalities, preferences for managed realignment policies depend on which level they are implemented at, on the expropriation criteria (the emphasis given to property rights, i.e. market price), on the attachment (people perceived as worst off, i.e. the property is their main residence rather than a second home or they have lower levels of income) and on the degree of responsibility (related to the date of purchase, i.e. on the information given at the time on the risk).  相似文献