Atmospheric radiative feedbacks associated with transient climate change and climate variability     

Robert A. Colman  Scott B. Power 《Climate Dynamics》2010,34(7-8):919-933

This study examines in detail the ‘atmospheric’ radiative feedbacks operating in a coupled General Circulation Model (GCM). These feedbacks (defined as the change in top of atmosphere radiation per degree of global surface temperature change) are due to responses in water vapour, lapse rate, clouds and surface albedo. Two types of radiative feedback in particular are considered: those arising from century scale ‘transient’ warming (from a 1% per annum compounded CO₂ increase), and those operating under the model’s own unforced ‘natural’ variability. The time evolution of the transient (or ‘secular’) feedbacks is first examined. It is found that both the global strength and the latitudinal distributions of these feedbacks are established within the first two or three decades of warming, and thereafter change relatively little out to 100 years. They also closely approximate those found under equilibrium warming from a ‘mixed layer’ ocean version of the same model forced by a doubling of CO₂. These secular feedbacks are then compared with those operating under unforced (interannual) variability. For water vapour, the interannual feedback is only around two-thirds the strength of the secular feedback. The pattern reveals widespread regions of negative feedback in the interannual case, in turn resulting from patterns of circulation change and regions of decreasing as well as increasing surface temperature. Considering the vertical structure of the two, it is found that although positive net mid to upper tropospheric contributions dominate both, they are weaker (and occur lower) under interannual variability than under secular change and are more narrowly confined to the tropics. Lapse rate feedback from variability shows weak negative feedback over low latitudes combined with strong positive feedback in mid-to-high latitudes resulting in no net global feedback—in contrast to the dominant negative low to mid-latitude response seen under secular climate change. Surface albedo feedback is, however, slightly stronger under interannual variability—partly due to regions of extremely weak, or even negative, feedback over Antarctic sea ice in the transient experiment. Both long and shortwave global cloud feedbacks are essentially zero on interannual timescales, with the shortwave term also being very weak under climate change, although cloud fraction and optical property components show correlation with global temperature both under interannual variability and transient climate change. The results of this modelling study, although for a single model only, suggest that the analogues provided by interannual variability may provide some useful pointers to some aspects of climate change feedback strength, particularly for water vapour and surface albedo, but that structural differences will need to be heeded in such an analysis.  相似文献   

Near-IR age-dating of red supergiant-dominated stellar populations     

Ariane Lançon  Jay S. Gallagher  Moustapha Mouhcine  Linda J. Smith  Djazia Ladjal  Richard de Grijs 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2009,324(2-4):241-245

We present new spectral synthesis models for solar metallicity stellar populations, based on a library of stellar spectra that extends across near-IR wavelengths out to 2.4 µm at a resolution approaching 1000. We show that the spectra of massive star clusters in the starburst galaxy M 82 can be reproduced very well with these models. We compare near-IR spectroscopic ages with optical ages, and discuss the main sources of (systematic) errors that still affect those ages.  相似文献   

Mapping the roots of the galactic outflow in NGC1569     

Mark S. Westmoquette  Linda J. Smith  Jay S. Gallagher III  Katrina M. Exter 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2009,324(2-4):187-193

The exact nature of the interaction between hot, fast-flowing star-cluster winds and the surrounding clumpy interstellar medium (ISM) in starburst galaxies has very few observational constraints. Besides furthering our knowledge of ISM dynamics, detailed observations of ionised gas at the very roots of large-scale outflows are required to place limits on the current generation of high-resolution galactic wind models. To this end, we conduct a detailed investigation of the ionised gas environment surrounding the young star clusters in the starburst galaxy NGC1569. Using high spatial and spectral-resolution Gemini/GMOS integral-field unit observations, we accurately characterise the line-profile shapes of the optical nebular emission lines and find a ubiquitous broad (～300 km?s^?1) component underlying a bright narrower component. By mapping the properties of the individual line components, we find correlations that suggest that the broad component results from powerful cluster wind–gas clump interactions. We propose a model to explain the properties of the line components and the general turbulent state of the ISM.  相似文献   

Eocene–Miocene carbon-isotope and floral record from brown coal seams in the Gippsland Basin of southeast Australia     

Guy R. Holdgate  Brian McGowran  Tom Fromhold  Barbara E. Wagstaff  Stephen J. Gallagher  Malcolm W. Wallace  Ian R.K. Sluiter  Michael Whitelaw 《Global and Planetary Change》2009,65(1-2):89-103

The carbon-isotope and palynological record through 580 m thick almost continuous brown coal in southeast Australia's Gippsland Basin is a relatively comprehensive southern hemisphere Middle Eocene to Middle Miocene record for terrestrial change. The carbon isotope δ¹³C_coal values of these coals range from ? 27.7‰ to ? 23.2. This isotopic variability follows gymnosperm/angiosperm fluctuations, where higher ratios coincide with heavier δ¹³C values. There is also long-term variability in carbon isotopes through time. From the Eocene greenhouse world of high gymnosperm-heavier δ¹³C_coal values, there is a progressive shift to lighter δ¹³C_coal values that follows the earliest (Oi1?) glacial events around 33 Ma (Early Oligocene). The overlying Oligocene–Early Miocene brown coals have lower gymnosperm abundance, associated with increased %Nothofagus (angiosperm), and lightening of isotopes during Oligocene cooler conditions.The Miocene palynological and carbon-isotope record supports a continuation to the Oligocene trends until around the late Early Miocene (circa 19 Ma) when a warming commenced, followed by an even stronger isotope shift around 16 Ma that peaked in the Middle Miocene when higher gymnosperm abundance and heavier isotopes prevailed. The cycle between the two major warm peaks of Middle Eocene and Middle Miocene was circa 30 Ma long. This change corresponds to a fall in inferred pCO₂ levels for the same period. The Gippsland data suggest a link between gymnosperm abundance, long-term plant δ¹³C composition, climatic change, and atmospheric pCO₂. Climatic deterioration in the Late Miocene terminated peat accumulation in the Gippsland Basin and no further significant coals formed in southeast Australia.The poor correspondence between this terrestrial isotope data and the marine isotope record is explained by the dominant control on δ¹³C by the gymnosperm/angiosperm abundance, although in turn this poor correspondence may reflect palaeoclimate control. From the brown coal seam dating, the coal appears to have accumulated during a considerable part of the allocated 30 Ma Cenozoic time period. These brown coal carbon isotope and palynological data appear to record a more gradual atmospheric carbon isotope change compared to the marine record.  相似文献   

Holocene lake-level trends in the Rocky Mountains, U.S.A.     

Bryan Shuman  Anna K. Henderson  Steven M. Colman  Jeffery R. Stone  Sherilyn C. Fritz  Lora R. Stevens  Mitchell J. Power  Cathy Whitlock   《Quaternary Science Reviews》2009,28(19-20):1861-1879

The availability of water shapes life in the western United States, and much of the water in the region originates in the Rocky Mountains. Few studies, however, have explicitly examined the history of water levels in the Rocky Mountains during the Holocene. Here, we examine the past levels of three lakes near the Continental Divide in Montana and Colorado to reconstruct Holocene moisture trends. Using transects of sediment cores and sub-surface geophysical profiles from each lake, we find that mid-Holocene shorelines in the small lakes (4–110 ha) were as much as 10 m below the modern lake surfaces. Our results are consistent with existing evidence from other lakes and show that a wide range of settings in the region were much drier than today before 3000–2000 years ago. We also discuss evidence for millennial-scale moisture variation, including an abruptly-initiated and -terminated wet period in Colorado from 4400 to 3700 cal yr BP, and find only limited evidence for low-lake stands during the past millennium. The extent of low-water levels during the mid-Holocene, which were most severe and widespread ca 7000–4500 cal yr BP, is consistent with the extent of insolation-induced aridity in previously published regional climate model simulations. Like the simulations, the lake data provide no evidence for enhanced zonal flow during the mid-Holocene, which has been invoked to explain enhanced mid-continent aridity at the time. The data, including widespread evidence for large changes on orbital time scales and for more limited changes during the last millennium, confirm the ability of large boundary-condition changes to push western water supplies beyond the range of recent natural variability.  相似文献   

Historic nutrient loading and recent species invasions caused shifts in water quality and zooplankton demography in two Finger Lakes (New York, USA)     

Meghan E. Brown  Tara M. Curtin  Corey J. Gallagher  John D. Halfman 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2012,48(3):623-639

We investigated the paleolimnology of Owasco and Seneca Lakes (New York, USA) and compiled water-quality monitoring data to describe environmental change during the past two centuries. Trophic shifts were detected in the oligotrophic to mesotrophic range and were likely driven by nutrient loading and species invasion. Based on box core reconstructions, primary production increased in both lakes during the last century, which is evidenced by the amount, type and isotopic composition of material preserved in the sediment. Organic matter accumulation and its stable carbon isotopic composition, as well as carbonate abundance, began to increase during the 1960s in Owasco Lake and the 1850s in Seneca Lake. Further, the abundance of phytoplanktivorous cladocera subfossils increased beginning in the 1910s in Seneca Lake and in the 1960s in Owasco Lake. The different timing and magnitude of the trophic shifts likely resulted from contrasts in lake residence time and species assemblages between the two lakes. The increases in primary and secondary production paralleled, and are interpreted to reflect, increased allochthonous nutrient loading. However, nutrient loading was not detected in the water-quality data, perhaps because of strong uptake of phosphates by phytoplankton or due to limited data collection. Rapid changes in cladoceran subfossils and water quality were also detected during the last decade. Concurrent with the establishment of non-native Cercopagis pengoi (fishhook waterflea), phytoplanktivorous cladocera remains declined, and the mucrone length of Bosmina increased, consistent with predictions of increased invertebrate predation. Additionally, the post-1990 decline in sediment carbonate, increased Secchi depth and decreased chlorophyll a concentrations followed the establishment of filter-feeding Dreissena spp. (zebra and quagga mussels). Collectively, paleolimnological data and water-quality monitoring provided a more complete and consistent record of shifts in the productivity of Owasco and Seneca Lakes, which were useful to understand environmental changes over different time scales. Physical, geochemical and biological changes were temporally consistent among three cores collected from different locations in each lake, but differed in magnitude for several variables (e.g., grain size and cladoceran subfossils), which could reflect near-shore to offshore gradients.  相似文献   

Multiscale Analysis of Active Region Evolution     

R. J. Hewett  P. T. Gallagher  R. T. J. McAteer  C. A. Young  J. Ireland  P. A. Conlon  K. Maguire 《Solar physics》2008,248(2):311-322

Flows in the photosphere of solar active regions are turbulent in nature. Because magnetic fields are frozen into the plasma on the solar surface, magnetograms can be used to investigate the processes responsible for structuring active regions. Here, a continuous wavelet technique is developed, analyzed, and used to investigate the multiscale structure of an evolving active region using magnetograms obtained by the Michelson Doppler Imager (MDI) onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO). The multiscale structure was measured using a 2D continuous wavelet technique to extract the energy spectrum of the region over the time scale of 13 days. Preliminary evidence of an inverse cascade in active region NOAA 10488 is presented as well as a potential relationship between energy scaling and flare productivity.  相似文献   

Performance of Major Flare Watches from the Max Millennium Program (2001 – 2010)     

D. S. Bloomfield  P. T. Gallagher  W. H. Marquette  R. O. Milligan  R. C. Canfield 《Solar physics》2016,291(2):411-427

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Nitrogen Pools of Macrophyte Species in a Coastal Lagoon Salt Marsh: Implications for Seasonal Storage and Dispersal     

Tracy Elsey-Quirk  Denise M. Seliskar  John L. Gallagher 《Estuaries and Coasts》2011,34(3):470-482

High nitrogen (N) loading rates received by coastal bays can have deleterious effects on aquatic ecosystems. Salt marshes can intercept land-based N through seasonal plant uptake, denitrification, and burial. Salt marshes fringing Delaware’s Inland Bays are characterized by different plant species occurring in close proximity. To evaluate N pool retention and loss for the dominant plant species, we measured seasonal N concentration and pool size, N resorption efficiency, loss during decomposition, and soil N. Seasonal variation in N pools and fluxes differed among species. Seasonal differences in the total N pools of the herbaceous species were largely influenced by belowground fine root and dead macro-organic matter fluxes. N production rate estimates ranged from 18 g N m⁻² year⁻¹ aboveground for the high marsh shrub to 40.8 g N m⁻² year⁻¹ above- and belowground for the high marsh rush illustrating the importance of incorporating species-specific dynamics into ecosystem N budgets.  相似文献   

The coastal sustainability standard: A management systems approach to ICZM     

Anthony Gallagher 《Ocean & Coastal Management》2010,53(7):336-349

This paper presents a systems-based appraisal methodology that has been designed specifically to consider the effectiveness of Integrated Coastal Zone Management (ICZM) initiatives. Since ICZM is defined in terms of achieving sustainable development, any such initiative must therefore be capable of meeting the multiple and often conflicting objectives inherent in this ubiquitous concept. The methodology outlined here is designed to critically review ICZM in order to pinpoint areas of management weakness and determine the likely ‘success’ of the process. It represents an example of a management system, incorporates both qualitative and quantitative information, and is proposed as a ‘Coastal Sustainability Standard’ (CoSS). Initial field testing of the methodology has proved successful and shown that the approach holds some efficacy as a means of assessment.  相似文献