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991.
Steven P. Oncley Thomas Foken Roland Vogt Wim Kohsiek H. A. R. DeBruin Christian Bernhofer Andreas Christen Eva van Gorsel David Grantz Christian Feigenwinter Irene Lehner Claudia Liebethal Heping Liu Matthias Mauder Andrea Pitacco Luis Ribeiro Tamas Weidinger 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2007,123(1):1-28
An overview of the Energy Balance Experiment (EBEX-2000) is given. This experiment studied the ability of state-of-the-art
measurements to close the surface energy balance over a surface (a vegetative canopy with large evapotranspiration) where
closure has been difficult to obtain. A flood-irrigated cotton field over uniform terrain was used, though aerial imagery
and direct flux measurements showed that the surface still was inhomogeneous. All major terms of the surface energy balance
were measured at nine sites to characterize the spatial variability across the field. Included in these observations was an
estimate of heat storage in the plant canopy. The resultant imbalance still was 10%, which exceeds the estimated measurement
error. We speculate that horizontal advection in the layer between the canopy top and our flux measurement height may cause
this imbalance, though our estimates of this term using our measurements resulted in values less than what would be required
to balance the budget.
The National Center for Atmospheric Research is supported by the National Science Foundation 相似文献
992.
Climate scenarios for the Netherlands are constructed by combining information from global and regional climate models employing
a simplified, conceptual framework of three sources (levels) of uncertainty impacting on predictions of the local climate.
In this framework, the first level of uncertainty is determined by the global radiation balance, resulting in a range of the
projected changes in the global mean temperature. On the regional (1,000–5,000 km) scale, the response of the atmospheric
circulation determines the second important level of uncertainty. The third level of uncertainty, acting mainly on a local
scale of 10 (and less) to 1,000 km, is related to the small-scale processes, like for example those acting in atmospheric
convection, clouds and atmospheric meso-scale circulations—processes that play an important role in extreme events which are
highly relevant for society. Global climate models (GCMs) are the main tools to quantify the first two levels of uncertainty,
while high resolution regional climate models (RCMs) are more suitable to quantify the third level.
Along these lines, results of an ensemble of RCMs, driven by only two GCM boundaries and therefore spanning only a rather
narrow range in future climate predictions, are rescaled to obtain a broader uncertainty range. The rescaling is done by first
disentangling the climate change response in the RCM simulations into a part related to the circulation, and a residual part
which is related to the global temperature rise. Second, these responses are rescaled using the range of the predictions of
global temperature change and circulation change from five GCMs. These GCMs have been selected on their ability to simulate
the present-day circulation, in particular over Europe. For the seasonal means, the rescaled RCM results obey the range in
the GCM ensemble using a high and low emission scenario. Thus, the rescaled RCM results are consistent with the GCM results
for the means, while adding information on the small scales and the extremes. The method can be interpreted as a combined
statistical–dynamical downscaling approach, with the statistical relations based on regional model output. 相似文献
993.
Suzette G. A. Flantua John H. van Boxel Henry Hooghiemstra John van Smaalen 《Climate Dynamics》2007,29(7-8):697-712
Climate changes affect the abundance, geographic extent, and floral composition of vegetation, which are reflected in the
pollen rain. Sediment cores taken from lakes and peat bogs can be analysed for their pollen content. The fossil pollen records
provide information on the temporal changes in climate and palaeo-environments. Although the complexity of the variables influencing
vegetation distribution requires a multi-dimensional approach, only a few research projects have used GIS to analyse pollen
data. This paper presents a new approach to palynological data analysis by combining GIS and spatial modelling. Eastern Colombia
was chosen as a study area owing to the migration of the forest–savanna boundary since the last glacial maximum, and the availability
of pollen records. Logistic regression has been used to identify the climatic variables that determine the distribution of
savanna and forest in eastern Colombia. These variables were used to create a predictive land-cover model, which was subsequently
implemented into a GIS to perform spatial analysis on the results. The palynological data from the study area were incorporated
into the GIS. Reconstructed maps of past vegetation distribution by interpolation showed a new approach of regional multi-site
data synthesis related to climatic parameters. The logistic regression model resulted in a map with 85.7% predictive accuracy,
which is considered useful for the reconstruction of future and past land-cover distributions. The suitability of palynological
GIS application depends on the number of pollen sites, the distribution of the pollen sites over the area of interest, and
the degree of overlap of the age ranges of the pollen records. 相似文献
994.
A. K. Mahajan Siefko Slob Rajiv Ranjan Rob Sporry P. K. Champati ray Cees J. van Westen 《Journal of Seismology》2007,11(4):355-370
The understanding of geotechnical characteristics of near-surface material is of fundamental interest in seismic microzonation.
Shear wave velocity (Vs), one of the most important soil properties for soil response modeling, has been evaluated through
seismic profiling using the multichannel analysis of surface waves in the city of Dehradun situated along the foothills of
northwest Himalaya. Fifty sites in the city have been investigated with survey lines between 72 and 96 m in length. Multiple
1-D and interpolated 2-D profiles have been generated up to a depth of 30–40 m. The Vs were used in the SHAKE2000 software
in combination with seismic input motion of the recent Chamoli earthquake to obtain site response and amplification spectra.
The estimated Vs are higher in the northern part of the study area (i.e., 200–700 m/s from the surface to a depth of about
30 m) as compared to the south and southwestern parts of the city (i.e., 180–400 m/s for the same depth range). The response
spectra suggest that spectral acceleration values for two-story structures are three to eight times higher than peak ground
acceleration at bedrock. The analysis also suggests peak amplification at 3–4, 2–2.5, and 1–1.5 Hz in the northern, central,
and south-southwestern parts of the city, respectively. The spatial distributions of Vs and spectral accelerations provide
valuable information for the seismic microzonation in different parts of the urban area of Dehradun. 相似文献
995.
Aad van Ulden Geert Lenderink Bart van den Hurk Erik van Meijgaard 《Climatic change》2007,81(1):179-192
PRUDENCE simulations of the climate in Central Europe are analysed with respect to mean temperature, mean precipitation and three monthly mean geostrophic circulation indices. The three global models show important circulation biases in the control climate, in particular in the strength of the west-circulations in winter and summer. The nine regional models inherit much of the circulation biases from their host model, especially in winter. In summer, the regional models show a larger spread in circulation statistics, depending on nesting procedures and other model characteristics. Simulated circulation biases appear to have a significant inluence on simulated temperature and precipitation. The PRUDENCE ensemble appears to be biased towards warmer and wetter than observed circulations in winter, and towards warmer and dryer circulations in summer. A2-scenario simulations show important circulation changes, which have a significant impact on changes in the distributions of monthly mean temperature and precipitation. It is likely that interactions between land–surface processes and atmospheric circulation play an important role in the simulated changes in the summer climate in Central Europe. 相似文献
996.
Hard X-ray states and radio emission in GRS 1915+105 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
M.Klein-Wolt R. P.Fender G. G.Pooley T.Belloni S.Migliari E. H.Morgan M.van der Klis 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2002,331(3):745-764
We compare simultaneous Ryle Telescope radio and Rossi X-Ray Timing Explorer X-ray observations of the galactic microquasar GRS 1915+105, using the classification of the X-ray behaviour in terms of three states as previously established. We find a strong (one-to-one) relation between radio oscillation events and series of spectrally hard states in the X-ray light curves, if the hard states are longer than ∼100 s and are 'well separated' from each other. In all other cases the source shows either low-level or high-level radio emission, but no radio oscillation events. During intervals when the source stays in the hard spectral state for periods of days to months, the radio behaviour is quite different; during some of these intervals a quasi-continuous jet is formed with an almost flat synchrotron spectrum extending to at least the near-infrared. Based on the similarities between the oscillation profiles at different wavelengths, we suggest a scenario which can explain most of the complex X-ray:radio behaviour of GRS 1915+105. We compare this behaviour with that of other black hole sources, and challenge previous reports of a relation between spectrally soft X-ray states and the radio emission. 相似文献
997.
Mussels are sedentary organisms attached to solid substrata by means of byssus threads. Mussels detached from their substratum tend to reattach by producing new byssus threads. Therefore, in bioassays using mussels, if the test animals are in an unattached status, increased byssogenic activity would expose their soft body parts to the toxic compound used. We test the tolerance of two mussel species (Mytilopsis leucophaeata and Mytilus edulis) to an oxidizing biocide (chlorine) and show that detached mussels are 24-28% less tolerant than byssally attached ones. Detached mussels also showed higher oxygen consumption, filtration rate, foot activity, byssus thread production and byssogenesis index, parameters which are associated with valve opening. A review of literature showed that most of the published data on toxicity against heavy metals and biocides are generated using unattached mussels. The data, therefore, represent an underestimation of the toxicity of the tested compound. Correction data are presented for chlorine tolerance of Dreissena polymorpha, Mytilopsis leucophaeata and Mytilus edulis. The present study suggests the importance of maintaining mussels in their attached status, while undertaking toxicity bioassays. 相似文献
998.
Veltman K Hendriks J Huijbregts M Leonards P van den Heuvel-Greve M Vethaak D 《Marine pollution bulletin》2005,50(10):1085-1102
Food chain accumulation of organochlorines and brominated flame retardants in estuarine and marine environments is compared to model estimations and fresh water field data. The food chain consists of herbivores, detritivores and primary and secondary carnivores i.e. fish, fish-eating birds and marine mammals. Accumulation of polychlorinated biphenyls is predicted well by OMEGA for herbi-detritivores and primary and secondary carnivorous fish. Ratios are similar to those found for fresh water species. Accumulation ratios for fish-eating birds and mammals are overestimated by the model, which is attributed partly to biotransformation of meta-para unsubstituted congeners. Additionally, birds may feed in other less polluted areas. For brominated diphenylethers (BDE) accumulation patterns are highly species and congener specific. Accumulation depends on both K(ow) and metabolization capacities. BDE47 is the predominant congener in lower trophic levels. For marine birds and mammals accumulation ratios of BDE99 and 100 are similar to or higher than ratios of persistent PCBs. 相似文献
999.
A. van Geen Z. Aziz A. Horneman B. Weinman R.K. Dhar Y. Zheng S. Goodbred R. Versteeg A.A. Seddique M.A. Hoque K.M. Ahmed 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》2006,88(1-3):157
The extremely heterogeneous distribution of As in Bangladesh groundwater has hampered efforts to identify with certainty the mechanisms that lead to extensive mobilization of this metalloid in reducing aquifers. We show here on the basis of a high-resolution transect of soil and aquifer properties collected in Araihazar, Bangladesh, that revealing tractable associations between As concentrations in shallow (< 20 m) groundwater with other geological, hydrological, and geochemical features requires a lateral sampling resolution of 10–100 m. Variations in the electromagnetic conductivity of surface soils (5–40 mS/m) within a 500 m × 200 m area are documented with 560 EM31 measurements. The results are compared with a detailed section of groundwater As concentrations (5–150 μg/L) and other aquifer properties obtained with a simple sampling device, “the needle-sampler”, that builds on the local drilling technology. By invoking complementary observations obtained in the same area and in other regions of Bangladesh, we postulate that local groundwater recharge throughout permeable sandy soils plays a major role in regulating the As content of shallow aquifers by diluting the flux of As released from reducing sediments. 相似文献
1000.
Impact of rehabilitation of Assiut barrage, Nile River, on groundwater rise in urban areas 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Mohamed A. Dawoud Nahed E. El Arabi Ahmed R. Khater Jan van Wonderen 《Journal of African Earth Sciences》2006,45(4-5):395-407
To make optimum use of the most vital natural resource of Egypt, the River Nile water, a number of regulating structures (in the form of dams and barrages) for control and diversion of the river flow have been constructed in this river since the start of the 20th century. One of these barrages is the Assiut barrage which will require considerable repairs in the near future. The design of the rehabilitation of the barrage includes a headpond with water levels maintained at a level approximately 0.60 m higher than the highest water level in the headpond of the present barrage. This development will cause an increase of the seepage flow from the river towards the adjacent agricultural lands, Assiut Town and villages. The increased head pond level might cause a rise of the groundwater levels and impedance of drainage outflows. The drainage conditions may therefore be adversely affected in the so-called impacted areas which comprise floodplains on both sides of the Nile for about 70 km upstream of the future barrage. A rise in the groundwater table, particularly when high river levels impede drainage, may result in waterlogging and secondary salinization of the soil profile in agricultural areas and increase of groundwater into cellars beneath buildings in the urban areas. In addition, a rise in the groundwater table could have negative impact on existing sanitation facilities, in particular in the areas which are served with septic tanks. The impacts of increasing the headpond level were assessed using a three-dimensional groundwater model. The mechanisms of interactions between the Nile River and the underlying Quaternary aquifer system as they affect the recharge/discharge processes are comprehensively outlined. The model has been calibrated for steady state and transient conditions against historical data from observation wells. The mitigation measures for the groundwater rise in the urban areas have been tested using the calibrated mode. 相似文献