The California Current System in relation to the Northeast Pacific Ocean circulation     

Guillermo Auad  Dean Roemmich  John Gilson 《Progress in Oceanography》2011,91(4):576-592

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Updating Markov chain models using the ensemble Kalman filter   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Dean S. Oliver  Yan Chen  Geir Nævdal 《Computational Geosciences》2011,15(2):325-344

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Forecasting exposure to volcanic ash based on ash dispersion modeling   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Rorik A. Peterson  Ken G. Dean   《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2008,170(3-4):230-246

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Preliminary sensitivity study of eruption source parameters for operational volcanic ash cloud transport and dispersion models — A case study of the August 1992 eruption of the Crater Peak vent, Mount Spurr, Alaska     

P.W. Webley  B.J.B. Stunder  K.G. Dean 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2009,186(1-2):108

Ash clouds are one of the major hazards that result from volcanic eruptions. Once an eruption is reported, volcanic ash transport and dispersion (VATD) models are used to forecast the location of the ash cloud. These models require source parameters to describe the ash column for initialization. These parameters include: eruption cloud height and vertical distribution, particle size distribution, and start and end time of the eruption. Further, if downwind concentrations are needed, the eruption mass rate and/or volume of ash need to be known. Upon notification of an eruption, few constraints are typically available on many of these source parameters. Recently, scientists have defined classes of eruption types, each with a set of pre-defined eruption source parameters (ESP). We analyze the August 18, 1992 eruption of the Crater Peak vent at Mount Spurr, Alaska, which is the example case for the Medium Silicic eruption type. We have evaluated the sensitivity of two of the ESP – the grain size distribution (GSD) and the vertical distribution of ash – on the modeled ash cloud. HYSPLIT and Puff VATD models are used to simulate the ash clouds from the different sets of source parameters. We use satellite data, processed through the reverse absorption method, as reference for computing statistics that describe the modeled-to-observed comparison. With the grain size distribution, the three options chosen, (1) an estimated distribution based on past eruption studies, (2) a distribution with finer particles and (3) the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration HYSPLIT GSD, have little effect on the modeled ash cloud. For the initial vertical distribution, both linear (uniform concentration throughout the vertical column) and umbrella shapes were chosen. For HYSPLIT, the defined umbrella distribution (no ash below the umbrella), apparently underestimates the lower altitude portions of the ash cloud and as a result has a worse agreement with the satellite detected ash cloud compared to that with the linear vertical distribution for this particular eruption. The Puff model, with a Poisson function to represent the umbrella cloud, gave similar results as for a linear distribution, both having reasonable agreement with the satellite detected cloud. Further sensitivity studies of this eruption, as well as studies using the other source parameters, are needed.  相似文献   

Measurement of near surface soil water content using a capacitance probe     

M. Robinson  T. J. Dean 《水文研究》1993,7(1):77-86

The portable surface capacitance insertion probe was used to measure the in situ water content of near surface soil layers. The probe readings were calibrated against gravimetric samples collected over a wide range of water contents, and were found to be very closely correlated. The capacitance probe was used repeatedly in time and space at a field site where ridges and furrows ensured a regular pattern of soil water variations. The observed spatial variations of the water content were related to topography and land mangement. The degree of variability was dependent on the average water content.  相似文献   

Application of the EnKF and Localization to Automatic History Matching of Facies Distribution and Production Data   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

Chinedu C. Agbalaka  Dean S. Oliver 《Mathematical Geosciences》2008,40(4):353-374

The performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for continuous updating of facies location and boundaries in a reservoir model based on production and facies data for a 3D synthetic problem is presented. The occurrence of the different facies types is treated as a random process and the initial distribution was obtained by truncating a bi-Gaussian random field. Because facies data are highly non-Gaussian, re-parameterization was necessary in order to use the EnKF algorithm for data assimilation; two Gaussian random fields are updated in lieu of the static facies parameters. The problem of history matching applied to facies is difficult due to (1) constraints to facies observations at wells are occasionally violated when productions data are assimilated; (2) excessive reduction of variance seems to be a bigger problem with facies than with Gaussian random permeability and porosity fields; and (3) the relationship between facies variables and data is so highly non-linear that the final facies field does not always honor early production data well. Consequently three issues are investigated in this work. Is it possible to iteratively enforce facies constraints when updates due to production data have caused them to be violated? Can localization of adjustments be used for facies to prevent collapse of the variance during the data-assimilation period? Is a forecast from the final state better than a forecast from time zero using the final parameter fields?To investigate these issues, a 3D reservoir simulation model is coupled with the EnKF technique for data assimilation. One approach to enforcing the facies constraint is continuous iteration on all available data, which may lead to inconsistent model states, incorrect weighting of the production data and incorrect adjustment of the state vector. A sequential EnKF where the dynamic and static data are assimilated sequentially is presented and this approach seems to have solved the highlighted problems above. When the ensemble size is small compared to the number of independent data, the localized adjustment of the state vector is a very important technique that may be used to mitigate loss of rank in the ensemble. Implementing a distance-based localization of the facies adjustment appears to mitigate the problem of variance deficiency in the ensembles by ensuring that sufficient variability in the ensemble is maintained throughout the data assimilation period. Finally, when data are assimilated without localization, the prediction results appear to be independent of the starting point. When localization is applied, it is better to predict from the start using the final parameter field rather than continue from the final state.  相似文献   

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for conditioning a permeability field to pressure data   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Dean S. Oliver  Luciane B. Cunha  Albert C. Reynolds 《Mathematical Geology》1997,29(1):61-91

Generating one realization of a random permeability field that is consistent with observed pressure data and a known variogram model is not a difficult problem. If, however, one wants to investigate the uncertainty of reservior behavior, one must generate a large number of realizations and ensure that the distribution of realizations properly reflects the uncertainty in reservoir properties. The most widely used method for conditioning permeability fields to production data has been the method of simulated annealing, in which practitioners attempt to minimize the difference between the ’ ’true and simulated production data, and “true” and simulated variograms. Unfortunately, the meaning of the resulting realization is not clear and the method can be extremely slow. In this paper, we present an alternative approach to generating realizations that are conditional to pressure data, focusing on the distribution of realizations and on the efficiency of the method. Under certain conditions that can be verified easily, the Markov chain Monte Carlo method is known to produce states whose frequencies of appearance correspond to a given probability distribution, so we use this method to generate the realizations. To make the method more efficient, we perturb the states in such a way that the variogram is satisfied automatically and the pressure data are approximately matched at every step. These perturbations make use of sensitivity coefficients calculated from the reservoir simulator.  相似文献   

额尔古纳超大型火山热液型铀成矿带地质特征及找矿前景   总被引：13，自引：0，他引：13  

罗毅  王正邦 《华东地质学院学报》1997,20(1):1-10

本文介绍了在额尔古纳超大型火山热液型铀成矿带中发现的超大型火山热液脉型铀矿末有５个，大型火山热液脉型铀矿床有６个，总共有铀金属储量３３万ｔ，在世界热液脉型铀矿资源量中占有重要地位。经研究认为，该成矿带内铀矿就成矿作用在时间上具有突发性特征，成矿时代集中在早白垩世，受统一中生代大陆裂陷－火山岩浆活动控制；成矿介质中深源的火山岩水，大气水和变质水三者相混合的具中低温的火山热液，成矿物质主要来自中生代深  相似文献   

On the generation of oceanic surface waves by underwater volcanic explosions     

Dean G. Duffy   《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》1992,50(3)

The oceanic surface waves generated by submarine volcanism are modeled as the response of a compressible ocean to an underwater point explosion at an arbitrary depth over an elastic half-space. We generalize the work of Kajiura and Miyoshi by allowing the elastic sea floor to influence both the sound and surface gravity waves. The classic work of Press and Ewing is extended to allow for the movement of the oceanic free surface. From numerical inversion techniques, we find that most of the energy is radiated away as surface gravity waves. A mixture of direct and reflected P- (compressional) and S-type (distortional) head waves may produce high-frequency, large-amplitude oscillations in the sea surface.  相似文献   

Chalcophile element (Ni,Cu, PGE,and Au) variations in the Tamarack magmatic sulfide deposit in the Midcontinent Rift System: implications for dynamic ore-forming processes     

Valentina Taranovic  Edward M. Ripley  Chusi Li  Dean Rossell 《Mineralium Deposita》2016,51(7):937-951

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