A Statistical Analysis of Trends for Warm and Cold Spells in Uppsala by Means of Counts          下载免费PDF全文

Jesper Rydén 《Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography》2015,97(3):431-436

Statistical studies of extremes are of interest in the climatic sciences, in particular trends of periods of unusually warm or cold weather, which could be labelled warm and cold spells, respectively. We study the yearly number of spells in Uppsala, Sweden which from a data‐analytic point of view truly are counts, and employ theory and methods from the field of regression models for counts. A possible trend for the period 1840–2012 was investigated. The trend for warm spells is positive and demonstrated to be larger in magnitude compared with the one for cold spells, and is found to be statistically significant. The methodology could be extended to analyse other climate indicators.  相似文献   

Integral formulas for computing a third-order gravitational tensor from volumetric mass density,disturbing gravitational potential,gravity anomaly and gravity disturbance   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Michal Šprlák  Pavel Novák 《Journal of Geodesy》2015,89(2):141-157

  相似文献   

Zircon geochronology and geochemistry to constrain the youngest eruption events and magma evolution of the Mid-Miocene ignimbrite flare-up in the Pannonian Basin,eastern central Europe     

Réka?LukácsEmail author  Szabolcs?Harangi  Olivier?Bachmann  Marcel?Guillong  Martin?Dani?ík  Yannick?Buret  Albrecht?von?Quadt  István?Dunkl  László?Fodor  Jakub?Sliwinski  Ildikó?Soós  János?Szepesi 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2015,170(5-6):52

A silicic ignimbrite flare-up episode occurred in the Pannonian Basin during the Miocene, coeval with the syn-extensional period in the region. It produced important correlation horizons in the regional stratigraphy; however, they lacked precise and accurate geochronology. Here, we used U–Pb (LA-ICP-MS and ID-TIMS) and (U–Th)/He dating of zircons to determine the eruption ages of the youngest stage of this volcanic activity and constrain the longevity of the magma storage in crustal reservoirs. Reliability of the U–Pb data is supported by (U–Th)/He zircon dating and magnetostratigraphic constraints. We distinguish four eruptive phases from 15.9 ± 0.3 to 14.1 ± 0.3 Ma, each of which possibly includes multiple eruptive events. Among these, at least two large volume eruptions (>10 km³) occurred at 14.8 ± 0.3 Ma (Demjén ignimbrite) and 14.1 ± 0.3 Ma (Harsány ignimbrite). The in situ U–Pb zircon dating shows wide age ranges (up to 700 kyr) in most of the crystal-poor pyroclastic units, containing few to no xenocrysts, which implies efficient recycling of antecrysts. We propose that long-lived silicic magma reservoirs, mostly kept as high-crystallinity mushes, have existed in the Pannonian Basin during the 16–14 Ma period. Small but significant differences in zircon, bulk rock and glass shard composition among units suggest the presence of spatially separated reservoirs, sometimes existing contemporaneously. Our results also better constrain the time frame of the main tectonic events that occurred in the Northern Pannonian Basin: We refined the upper temporal boundary (15 Ma) of the youngest counterclockwise block rotation and the beginning of a new deformation phase, which structurally characterized the onset of the youngest volcanic and sedimentary phase.  相似文献   

Depositional system and palaeoclimatic interpretations of Middle to Late Pleistocene travertines: Kocabaş, Denizli,south‐west Turkey          下载免费PDF全文

Ezher Toker  Mine Sezgül Kayseri‐Özer  Mehmet Özkul  Sándor Kele 《Sedimentology》2015,62(5):1360-1383

Travertine deposits in western Turkey are very well‐exposed in the area of Kocaba?, in the eastern part of the Denizli Basin. The palaeoclimatic significance of these travertines is discussed using U/Th dates, stable isotope data and palynological evidence. The Kocaba? travertine occurrences are characterized by successions of depositional terraces associated with palaeosols and karstic features. The travertines have been classified into eight lithotypes and one erosional horizon, namely: laminated, coated bubble, reed, paper‐thin raft, intraclasts, micritic travertine with gastropods, extra‐formational pebbles and a palaeosol layer. The analysed travertines mostly formed between 181 ka and 80 ka (Middle to Late Pleistocene) during a series of climatic changes including glacial and interglacial intervals; their δ¹³C and δ¹⁸O values indicate that the depositional waters were mainly of basinal thermal origin, occasionally mixed with surficial meteoric water. Palynological results obtained from the palaeosols showed an abundance of non‐arboreal percentage and xerophytic plants (Oleaceae and Quercus evergreen type) indicating that a drought occurred. Marine Isotope Stage 6 is represented by grassland species but Marine Isotope Stage 5 is represented by Pinaceae–Pinus and Abies, Quercus and Oleaceae. Uranium/thorium analyses of the Kocaba? travertines show that deposition began in Marine Isotope Stage 6 (glacial) and continued to Marine Isotope Stage 4 (glacial), but mostly occurred in Marine Isotope Stage 5 (interglacial). The travertine deposition continued to ca 80 ka in the south‐west of the study area, in one particular depression depositional system. Palaeoenvironmental indicators suggest that the travertine depositional evolution was probably controlled by fault‐related movements that influenced groundwater flow. Good correlation of the stable isotope values and dates of deposition of the travertines and palynological data of palaeosols in the Kocaba? travertines serve as a starting point for further palaeoclimate studies in south‐west Turkey. Additionally, the study can be compared with other regional palaeoclimate archives.  相似文献   

Hydraulic conclusions from chemical considerations: groundwater in sedimentary environments in the central part of the Pannonian Basin,Hungary   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Irén Varsányi  Lajos Ó. Kovács  András Bálint 《Hydrogeology Journal》2015,23(3):423-435

  相似文献   

Baseflow recession analysis in the inland Pacific Northwest of the United States     

R. Sánchez-Murillo  E. S. Brooks  W. J. Elliot  E. Gazel  J. Boll 《Hydrogeology Journal》2015,23(2):287-303

  相似文献   

Volcanism–sedimentation interaction in the Campo de Calatrava Volcanic Field (Spain): a magnetostratigraphic and geochronological study     

Antonio Herrero-Hernández  Francisco Javier López-Moro  José Luis Gallardo-Millán  Ángel Martín-Serrano  Fernando Gómez-Fernández 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2015,104(1):103-122

  相似文献   

Geochemical and petrological constraints on mantle composition of the Ohře(Eger) rift,Bohemian Massif: peridotite xenoliths from the České Středohoří Volcanic complex and northern Bohemia     

Lukáš Ackerman  Gordon Medaris Jr.  Petr Špaček  Jaromír Ulrych 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2015,104(8):1957-1979

  相似文献   

Progressive failure leading to the 3 December 2013 rockfall at Puigcercós scarp (Catalonia,Spain)   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Manuel?J.?RoyánEmail author  Antonio?Abellán  Joan?Manuel?Vilaplana 《Landslides》2015,12(3):585-595

A detailed analysis of the pre-failure behavior of the 3 December 2013 rockfall (1,012 m³) occurred on Puigcercós pilot study area (Catalonia, Spain) is presented. The exact date of failure was obtained based on a photographic monitoring performed every 4 h. The long-term monitoring (2,217 days) of the rock slope carried out by a Terrestrial LiDAR allowed the early detection of both pre-failure deformation and precursory rockfalls preceding the final failure. By means of the analysis of the pre-failure deformation, four different deformed areas were detected and the tertiary creep phase was observed in three of them. An attempt to predict the time to failure was performed using the Fukuzono’s (1985) method. Furthermore, the temporal evolution of the precursory rockfalls occurred in those four areas during the progressive failure showed a close resemblance with the exponential pattern of the cumulated displacements at tertiary creep stage. Finally, the study of the meteorological conditions did not show any single triggering factor associated with the final failure. Reversely, the increase in the occurrence of precursory rockfalls on several areas of the slope together with the observed acceleration on the deformation pattern reinforce the role of a progressive degradation of the stability conditions, which ultimately leaded to the 3 December rockfall event.  相似文献   

Landslide detection and inventory by integrating LiDAR data in a GIS environment     

J. A. Palenzuela  M. Marsella  C. Nardinocchi  J. L. Pérez  T. Fernández  J. Chacón  C. Irigaray 《Landslides》2015,12(6):1035-1050

  相似文献