The impact of spatial resolution on area burned and fire occurrence projections in Portugal under climate change     

Anabela Carvalho  Mike D. Flannigan  Kim A. Logan  Lynn M. Gowman  Ana Isabel Miranda  Carlos Borrego 《Climatic change》2010,98(1-2):177-197

In this study, we investigated the impact of future climate change on fire activity in 12 districts across Portugal. Using historical relationships and the HIRHAM (High Resolution Hamburg Model) 12 and 25 km climate simulations, we assessed the fire weather and subsequent fire activity under a 2 × CO₂ scenario. We found that the fire activity prediction was not affected by the spatial resolution of the climate model used (12 vs. 25 km). Future area burned is predicted to increase 478% for Portugal as a whole, which equates to an increase from 1.4% to 7.8% of the available burnable area burning annually. Fire occurrence will also see a dramatic increase (279%) for all of Portugal. There is significant spatial variation within these results; the north and central districts of the country generally will see larger increases in fire activity.  相似文献   

Isoductile strengths and strength reduction factors of elasto‐plastic SDOF systems subjected to simple waveforms     

Isabel Cuesta  Mark A. Aschheim 《地震工程与结构动力学》2001,30(7):1043-1059

The inelastic response of elasto‐plastic SDOF oscillators subjected to 24 simple waveforms was studied. The waveforms contain linear, quadratic, sinusoidal, and triangular acceleration components that repeat for not more than several cycles. Similarities and differences in oscillator response characteristics are presented, organized by a characteristic period. The strengths and corresponding strength reduction factors required for constant ductility responses are discussed. Response data are compared with expectations based on the concepts of equal energy, equal displacement, and preservation of force. Limitations on the applicability of the equal energy concept are identified. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Dollard canal thwarted     

Aristides Hall  Isabel Valente 《Marine pollution bulletin》1974,5(11):165-171

The inner bay of Lourenço Marques receives the untreated sewage of the city, the run-off from five rivers and metal and hydrocarbon pollution from the activities of the port. Iron ore handling results in an increase in iron and copper concentrations in the water, particularly since loading by slurry was introduced. Large quantities of metal pollutants are probably accumulating in muds and are likely to contaminate shellfish which are an important food source in the area. Untreated sewage discharges are at such a level that eutrophication of the bay is threatened, besides constituting a public health risk on bathing beaches.  相似文献   

Hydrocarbon contamination in mussels from Guanabara Bay     

Azevedo LA  de Andrade Brüning IM  Moreira I 《Marine pollution bulletin》2004,49(11-12):1120-1122

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Stratigraphic expression of the lateral propagation and growth of isolated fault-related uplifts     

Asdrúbal Bernal  Stuart Hardy†  Rob Gawthorpe‡  Emma Finch‡ 《Basin Research》2004,16(2):219-233

The lateral propagation of faults and folds is known to be an important process during the development of mountain belts, but little is known about the manner in which along‐strike fault–fold growth is expressed in pre‐ and syntectonic (growth) strata. We use a coupled tectonic and stratigraphic model to investigate the along‐strike stratigraphic expression of fault‐related folds/uplifts that grow in both the transport and strike directions. We consider faults that propagate following a quadratic (nonself‐similar evolution) or linear (self‐similar evolution) scaling law, using different slip distributions per episode of fault propagation, under general background sedimentation. We find that the long‐strike geometry of pre‐ and syntectonic strata and the geometry of growth axial surfaces reflect the mode of fault propagation. The geometry of strata observed in the model is similar to that observed in natural contractional structures when: (1) the evolution of the fault is nonself‐similar, or (2) the fault grows as a result of thrust faulting events with similar displacements along strike that are terminated abruptly at the fault tips.  相似文献   

Closure of a seaway: stratigraphic record and facies (Guadix basin, Southern Spain)     

Christian Betzler  Juan Carlos Braga  José M. Martín  Isabel M. Sánchez-Almazo  Sebastian Lindhorst 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2006,95(5):903-910

During the late Tortonian (upper Miocene), the Guadix Basin in S Spain formed one of the Betic corridors that connected the Mediterranean Sea with the Atlantic Ocean. The closure of this connection occurred in a series of steps, documented by three sedimentary units. A lower unit, consisting of basinal marls, shallow-water calcarenites and sands records the formation of a wide seaway. During deposition of the following unit this narrowed to a strait no more than 2 km in wide, triggering an intensification of currents that caused migration of submarine dunes preserved as giant cross-beds in bioclastic sands and conglomerates. Current flowed from the Mediterranean to the Atlantic. The third unit constitutes the youngest marine episode of the filling of the Guadix Basin. At this stage, the connection between the Mediterranean Sea and the Atlantic Ocean was broken, and a system of coastal coral reefs was established in the northern part of the Basin.  相似文献   

The Arequipa (Peru) earthquake of June 23, 2001   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

H. Tavera  E. Buforn  I. Bernal  Y. Antayhua  L. Vilacapoma 《Journal of Seismology》2002,6(2):279-283

The Arequipa earthquake of 23 June 2001 hasbeen the largest earthquake (Mw = 8.3)occurredin the last century in southern Peru with amaximum intensity of VIII (MM scale). Focalmechanisms of main shock and three largeraftershocks have been studied, showingthrusting solutions for main shock and twoaftershocks and normal motion for the eventof July, 5. The rupture area has beenobtained from distribution of aftershocks.The occurrence of the Arequipa earthquakeis related with the convergence processbetween the Nazca and South Americaplates.  相似文献   

Saharan Dust Transport and High-Latitude Glacial Climatic Variability: The Alboran Sea Record   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ana Moreno  Isabel Cacho  Miquel Canals  Maarten A. Prins  María-Fernanda Snchez-Goi  Joan O. Grimalt  Gert Jan Weltje 《Quaternary Research》2002,58(3):318

Millennial to submillennial marine oscillations that are linked with the North Atlantic's Heinrich events and Dansgaard–Oeschger cycles have been reported recently from the Alboran Sea, revealing a close ocean-atmosphere coupling in the Mediterranean region. We present a high-resolution record of lithogenic fraction variability along IMAGES Core MD 95-2043 from the Alboran Sea that we use to infer fluctuations of fluvial and eolian inputs to the core site during periods of rapid climate change, between 28,000 and 48,000 cal yr B.P. Comparison with geochemical and pollen records from the same core enables end-member compositions to be determined and to document fluctuations of fluvial and eolian inputs on millennial and faster timescales. Our data document increases in northward Saharan dust transports during periods of strengthened atmospheric circulation in high northern latitudes. From this we derive two atmospheric scenarios which are linked with the intensity of meridional atmospheric pressure gradients in the North Atlantic region.  相似文献   

Structural Alignment Methods with Applications to Geospatial Ontologies     

Isabel F Cruz  William Sunna 《Transactions in GIS》2008,12(6):683-711

We consider the problem of enabling interoperability and information sharing among geospatial applications that use ontologies to describe their concepts and the relationships among them. We present two fully automatic alignment methods that use the graph structures of a pair of ontologies to establish their alignment, that is, the semantic correspondences between their concepts. We have tested our methods on geospatial ontologies pertaining to wetlands and four other pairs that belong to a repository that has been used in the Ontology Alignment Evaluation Initiative (OAEI). Using these ontologies, we have compared the effectiveness (precision and recall) of our methods against the Similarity Flooding Algorithm that was proposed by others and show that for each of the tested ontologies one of our methods is at least as effective as their method. We have tuned the performance of our methods by introducing a greedy approach that reduces the number of concepts that get compared. This approach reduces runtime by approximately 30% with a minor compromise to the effectiveness of the results. To further validate our approach, we participated in the OAEI competition to align a pair of ontologies, each with a few thousand concepts.  相似文献   

Recent changes in flood risk in the Gran La Plata,Buenos Aires province,Argentina: causes and management strategy     

María Isabel Andrade  Olga Eugenia Scarpati 《GeoJournal》2007,70(4):245-250

The paper analyses the causes of flood occurrence in the Gran La Plata, Buenos Aires Province, Argentina, and the changes that have occurred since the 1970s. The area is characterized by serious deficiencies in the use and management of water resources. The main factors are: (1) flood risk information is not updated; (2) urban building organization does not consider the flood risk; (3) the topography and other physical features are not taken into account in urban development. This research considers some specific problems, especially in data availability, and suggests ways to solve them, including improved analytical methodology. One of the main objectives is to analyse flood risk in social terms, producing a map of flood risk from the “human social vulnerability” point of view. The results suggest that flood risk has increased since the 1980s and that this is associated with changes in precipitation patterns that have also been aggravated by lack of controls on urban development. The poorer areas with the lowest level of infrastructure and public services, many of them developed over the last quarter-century, are especially vulnerable.  相似文献