河北一次暴雨过程中不同时段强降水的成因   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

秦宝国  朱刚 《干旱气象》2013,(2):327-332

利用NECP再分析资料和常规观测资料,对2010年8月21日河北的一次暴雨过程进行了分析。结果发现:本次暴雨过程降水主要集中在3个时段内发生,并且成因各不相同。20日午夜前后,东北部地区暴雨主要是冷平流和干侵入,在副高外围产生对流不稳定,引发短时强降水;21日08点前后,保定、廊坊地区暴雨的主要成因是低层切变附近强烈的上升运动;而晴空区近地层辐射增温和低压倒槽幅合抬升是21日傍晚东北部地区再次出现短时强降水的触发条件。可见,随着系统的不断演变,暴雨过程的降水成因也在变化。利用最新时次的卫星、雷达、逐小时自动站等观测资料,对天气系统进行跟踪分析,是此类暴雨预报的有效手段。  相似文献   

近40a来西安市区与郊县气温变化特征对比     

金丽娜  王建鹏  张弘 《干旱气象》2013,(4):720-725

利用西安市区及郊县国家级一般气象站1971年12月至2011年11月的年、季、年代平均气温作为研究对象,采用一元回归线性拟合、距平分析、变异系数、冷（暖）冬期、突变检验等分析方法,分析总结近40a来市区及郊县的气温变化特征：（1）市区及郊县的逐年平均气温均呈上升趋势,且市区增温速率高于郊县0．27℃／10a;（2）市区逐年极端最高气温基本持平,逐年极端最低气温明显升高;（3）市区及郊县1990年代前升温缓慢,1990年代后升温迅速;（4）市区和郊县的年平均气温升高主要来自春季和冬季升温的贡献;（5）市区及郊县冷冬基本都出现在1980年代中期之前,暖冬均出现在1990年代末以后,且市区冬季气温距平上升率高于郊县;（6）郊县的突变时间早于市区。  相似文献   

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF SSTA IMPACTS UPON THE INTERDECADAL VARIATION OF THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOWS IN EASTERN HEMISPHERE   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

曾刚  孙照渤  邓伟涛  林朝晖  李春晖 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2013,19(3):223-232

Impacts of regional sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies on the interdecadal variation of the cross-equatorial flows(CEFs)in Eastern Hemisphere are studied using numerical simulations with a global atmospheric circulation model(NCAR CAM3)driven with 1950-2000 monthly SSTs in different marine areas(the globe,extratropics,tropics,tropical Indian Ocean-Pacific,and tropical Pacific)and ERA-40reanalysis data.Results show that all simulations,except the one driven with extratropical SSTs,can simulate the interdecadal strengthening of CEFs around Somali,120oE,and 150oE that occurred in the midand late-1970s.Among those simulated CEFs,the interdecadal variability in Somali and its interdecadal relationship with the East Asian summer monsoon are in better agreement with the observations,suggesting that changes in the SSTs of tropical oceans,especially the tropical Pacific,play a crucial role in the interdecadal variability of CEFs in Somali.The interdecadal change of CEFs in Somali is highly associated with the interdecadal variation of tropical Pacific SST.As the interdecadal warmer(colder)SST happens in the tropical Pacific,a"sandwich"pattern of SST anomalies,i.e."+,-,+"("-,+,-"),will occur in the eastern tropical Pacific from north to south with a pair of anomalous anticyclone(cyclone)at the lower troposphere;the pair links to another pair of anomalous cyclone(anticyclone)in the tropical Indian Ocean through an atmospheric bridge,and thus strengthens(weakens)the CEFs in Somali.  相似文献   

副热带高压自身变化周期和形态结构对入梅的影响   总被引：4，自引：3，他引：1  

刘梅  韩桂荣  张备  金小霞 《气象科学》2013,33(4):430-435

针对2010年江淮入梅预报出现偏差情况,利用2008、2010、2011年降水实况资料和6-7月NCEP再分析资料,分析了预报出现偏差的原因,讨论了副热带高压水平移动和垂直结构对降水落区的影响,分析了局地入梅的预报方法和参考指标.研究发现:副热带高压(以下简称“副高”)和南亚高压的自身双周振荡规律在预报中不可忽略,在对大尺度系统和较长时间系统的变化判断时,高层系统的预报可信度可能更高.另外,在对梅雨预报时,副高垂直结构的变化对降水落区有一定影响,当500 hPa副高脊线越过20°N,副高脊线自上而下向南倾斜时,底层脊线在20°N以南,不利于江淮地区降水发生.副高上下结构垂直度较大时,利于降水落区北移.副高西脊点自高空到低空呈自西向东倾斜,500 hPa西脊点偏西也不利于江淮梅雨期的开始.  相似文献   

东亚-太平洋型季节内演变和维持机理研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

吴捷  许小峰  金飞飞  郭品文 《气象学报》2013,71(3):476-491

利用850hPa的纬向风异常建立一个逐候东亚-太平洋(East Asian Pacific,EAP)型指数,研究其季节内演变特征,发现东亚-太平洋型经向波列是东亚夏季风季节内变化的主要模态.其演变过程为:扰动首先出现在北太平洋中部,并通过正压不稳定过程从基本气流中获得能量而发展,在高层罗斯贝波能量向南频散,激发热带对流异常和赤道罗斯贝波,并相互锁相,因赤道罗斯贝波受β效应影响而共同向西移动.热带对流和环流异常在菲律宾附近达到最强,此时在东亚沿岸出现经向三极型波列,此后中低纬度异常继续向西北方向移动,使降水异常在长江流域能维持较长时间.东亚-太平洋型在东亚发展和维持有以下原因:首先,菲律宾暖水上空的对流和低层环流之间存在正反馈;其次,由于海陆热力差异导致暖大陆和冷海洋之间存在特殊的纬向温度梯度和北风垂直切变,东亚-太平洋型在经向上有向北倾斜的斜压结构,能通过斜压能量转换从平均有效位能中获得能量,同时,也能从经向温度梯度的平均有效位能中获得能量.  相似文献   

Double-detonation model of type Ia supernovae with a variable helium layer ignition mass     

Wei-Hong Zhou  Bo Wang  Gang Zhao 《中国天文和天体物理学报》2014,(9)

Although Type Ia supernovae(SNe Ia) play an important role in the study of cosmology, their progenitors are still poorly understood. Thermonuclear explosions from the helium double-detonation sub-Chandrasekhar mass model have been considered as an alternative method for producing SNe Ia. By adopting the assumption that a double detonation occurs when a He layer with a critical ignition mass accumulates on the surface of a carbon–oxygen white dwarf(CO WD), we perform detailed binary evolution calculations for the He double-detonation model, in which a He layer from a He star accumulates on a CO WD. According to these calculations, we obtain the initial parameter spaces for SNe Ia in the orbital period and secondary mass plane for various initial WD masses. We implement these results into a detailed binary population synthesis approach to calculate SN Ia birthrates and delay times. From this model,the SN Ia birthrate in our Galaxy is ～0.4- 1.6 × 10-3yr-1. This indicates that the double-detonation model only produces part of the SNe Ia. The delay times from this model are ～ 70- 710 Myr, which contribute to the young population of SNe Ia in the observations. We found that the CO WD + sdB star system CD-30 11223 could produce an SN Ia via the double-detonation model in its future evolution.  相似文献   

40m天线面板调试与精度分析     

金旺  汪敏  张巨勇  赵辉  张萍  宋俊峰  许春 《天文研究与技术》2006,3(4):401-407

总结了40m天线面板安装调试及检测的过程，分析了反映望远镜面板指标的吨性能检测结果。结果表明天线面板精度优于原设计要求。  相似文献   

中国淡水和近海鱼类的生态对策研究     

陈刚 《广东海洋大学学报》1996,(2)

通过渐近体长（Ｌ∞），渐近体重（Ｗ∞）、生长系数（Ｋ）、初次性成熟年龄（Ｔｍ）、最大年龄（Ｔｍａｘ）、瞬时自然死亡率（Ｍ）和种群繁殖力（ＰＦ）等七个生态学参数的比较，研究１９种淡水鱼类和１５种近海鱼类的生态对策。根据ｒ—选择和ｋ—选择的典型特征以及各参数间相互关系的显著性，３种鲟鱼类属ｋ—选择；牙鲆等５种近海鱼类偏向ｋ—选择；青鱼、勒氏笛鲷等９种鱼类偏向ｒ—选择；鲤、黄鲫等１７种鱼类为ｒ—选择。对ｒ－ｋ选择的资源特征及其对捕捞的反应做了分析，只有合理控制捕捞强度和起捕年龄，才能保护资源，获得较好的经济效益。  相似文献   

Automatic Normalization and Equivalent-Width Measurement of High-Resolution Stellar Spectra     

Jing-Kun Zhao  Gang Zhao  Yu-Qin Chen  Jian-Rong Shi  Yu-Juan Liu  Ju-Yong Zhang National Astronomical Observatories  Chinese Academy of Sciences  Beijing 《中国天文和天体物理学报》2006,6(6):689-696

It is well known that normalization, radial velocity correction and equivalent-width measurement of high-resolution stellar spectra are time-consuming work. In order to improve the efficiency we present an automatic method for these routines. The continuum is determined by fitting the 'high points' in the spectrum. After continuum normalization, the program automatically searches for the position of the Ha line and obtains a rough radial velocity, then computes an accurate radial velocity by cross-correlation between the given spectrum and the solar spectrum. In this method, the equivalent-width is automatically measured using Gaussian fitting. A comparison between our results and those from traditional analysis shows that the typical error for equivalent width is around 3.8% in our method. Developing such automatic routines does not mean to replace the interactive reduction method: it is just for a quick extraction of information from the spectra, especially those obtained in large sky surveys.  相似文献   

Constraining non-gaussianities in WMAP1 and WMAP2     

Istvn Szapudi  Gang Chen 《New Astronomy Reviews》2006,50(11-12):896

We measure the 2-1 cumulant correlator power spectrum, a degenerate three-point statistic or integrated bispectrum, from the WMAP first and three year data releases (WMAP1 and WMAP2, respectively). We present a method of estimating these statistics using the pseudo-C_l-based SpICE estimator. We interpret the measurements in a maximum likelihood framework using theoretical predictions based on the simplest f_NL model. All calculations are repeated on Monte Carlo simulations to obtain covariance matrices of our measurements. Application of the theory of random matrices revealed that the experimental covariances are consistent with a random matrix approximation. Finally, our χ² analysis yields f_NL = 22 ± 52(1σ) from WMAP2.  相似文献