Application of microseismic multiplet analysis to the Basel geothermal reservoir stimulation events     

B.C. Dyer  U. Schanz  T. Spillmann  F. Ladner  M.O. Häring 《Geophysical Prospecting》2010,58(5):791-807

The stimulation of a geothermal well in Basel, Switzerland produced a distribution of microseismic event locations with an overall alignment in the direction of the maximum horizontal stress. Fault plane solutions of individual larger events indicated movements on fracture planes at an angle to the maximum horizontal stress that could not be reliably interpreted from the event locations. To obtain higher resolution images of the microseismic event locations, events with similar waveforms have been identified by multiplet analysis. A number of receivers were used in the multiplet processing to ensure each multiplet is represented by a unique group of waveforms. The location accuracy within each multiplet has been significantly improved using cross‐correlation to refine the shear‐wave traveltime picks. The distribution of events within each multiplet can be interpreted as being due to movements on a single fracture or a number of near parallel fractures. It is shown that whilst the overall distribution of events is around the direction of the maximum horizontal stress, the individual multiplets representing fracture planes have a variety of azimuths and dips.  相似文献   

Detecting changing river temperatures in England and Wales          下载免费PDF全文

Harriet G. Orr  Gavin L. Simpson  Sophie des Clers  Glenn Watts  Mike Hughes  Jamie Hannaford  Michael J. Dunbar  Cédric L. R. Laizé  Rob L. Wilby  Richard W. Battarbee  Rob Evans 《水文研究》2015,29(5):752-766

Changes in water temperature can have important consequences for aquatic ecosystems, with some species being sensitive even to small shifts in temperature during some or all of their life cycle. While many studies report increasing regional and global air temperatures, evidence of changes in river water temperature has, thus far, been site specific and often from sites heavily influenced by human activities that themselves could lead to warming. Here we present a tiered assessment of changing river water temperature covering England and Wales with data from 2773 locations. We use novel statistical approaches to detect trends in irregularly sampled spot measurements taken between 1990 and 2006. During this 17‐year period, on average, mean water temperature increased by 0.03 °C per year (±0.002 °C), and positive changes in water temperature were observed at 2385 (86%) sites. Examination of catchments where there has been limited human influence on hydrological response shows that changes in river flow have had little influence on these water temperature trends. In the absence of other systematic influences on water temperature, it is inferred that anthropogenically driven climate change is driving some of this trend in water temperature. © 2014 The Authors. Hydrological Processes published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  相似文献   

Hubbert’s Legacy: A Review of Curve-Fitting Methods to Estimate Ultimately Recoverable Resources     

Steve Sorrell  Jamie Speirs 《Natural Resources Research》2010,19(3):209-230

A growing number of commentators are forecasting a near-term peak and subsequent terminal decline in the global production of conventional oil as a result of the physical depletion of the resource. These forecasts frequently rely on the estimates of the ultimately recoverable resources (URR) of different regions, obtained through the use of curve-fitting to historical trends in discovery or production. Curve-fitting was originally pioneered by M. King Hubbert in the context of an earlier debate about the future of the US oil production. However, despite their widespread use, curve-fitting techniques remain the subject of considerable controversy. This article classifies and explains these techniques and identifies both their relative suitability in different circumstances and the level of confidence that may be placed in their results. This article discusses the interpretation and importance of the URR estimates, indicates the relationship between curve fitting and other methods of estimating the URR and classifies the techniques into three groups. It then investigates each group in turn, indicating their historical origins, contemporary application and major strengths and weaknesses. The article then uses illustrative data from a number of oil-producing regions to assess whether these techniques produce consistent results as well as highlight some of the statistical issues raised and suggesting how they may be addressed. The article concludes that the applicability of curve-fitting techniques is more limited than adherents claim and that the confidence bounds on the results are wider than usually assumed.  相似文献   

Editorial     

Gary Huckleberry  Jamie Woodward 《Geoarchaeology》2008,23(1):1-2

  相似文献   

Short contribution: Nile flow failure at the end of the Old Kingdom,Egypt: Strontium isotopic and petrologic evidence     

Jean‐Daniel Stanley  Michael D. Krom  Robert A. Cliff  Jamie C. Woodward 《Geoarchaeology》2003,18(3):395-402

Strontium isotopic and petrologic information, obtained from sediment cores collected in the Nile delta of Egypt, indicate that paleoclimatic and Nile baseflow conditions changed considerably from about 4200 to 4000 cal yr B.P. in the Nile basin. Our study records a higher proportion of White Nile sediment transported during the annual floods at ca. 6100 cal yr B.P. than towards 4200 cal yr B.P., at which time suspended sediment from the Blue Nile formed a significantly larger fraction of the total load. This resulted from a decrease in vegetative cover and an increase in erosion rate accompanying the marked decline in rainfall. These new geoscience data indicate major changes in annual flooding and baseflow of the river Nile, marked short‐term paleoclimatic‐related events that may in part have led to the collapse of the Old Kingdom. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.  相似文献   

Seismic fragilities of single-column highway bridges with rocking column-footing     

Yazhou Xie  Jian Zhang  Reginald DesRoches  Jamie E. Padgett 《地震工程与结构动力学》2019,48(7):843-864

Rocking isolation has been increasingly studied as a promising design concept to limit the earthquake damage of civil structures. Despite the difficulties and uncertainties of predicting the rocking response under individual earthquake excitations (due to negative rotational stiffness and complex impact energy loss), in a statistical sense, the seismic performance of rocking structures has been shown to be generally consistent with the experimental outcomes. To this end, this study assesses, in a probabilistic manner, the effectiveness of using rocking isolation as a retrofit strategy for single-column concrete box-girder highway bridges in California. Under earthquake excitation, the rocking bridge could experience multi-class responses (eg, full contacted or uplifting foundation) and multi-mode damage (eg, overturning, uplift impact, and column nonlinearity). A multi-step machine learning framework is developed to estimate the damage probability associated with each damage scenario. The framework consists of the dimensionally consistent generalized linear model for regression of seismic demand, the logistic regression for classification of distinct response classes, and the stepwise regression for feature selection of significant ground motion and structural parameters. Fragility curves are derived to predict the response class probabilities of rocking uplift and overturning, and the conditional damage probabilities such as column vibrational damage and rocking uplift impact damage. The fragility estimates of rocking bridges are compared with those for as-built bridges, indicating that rocking isolation is capable of reducing column damage potential. Additionally, there exists an optimal slenderness angle range that enables the studied bridges to experience much lower overturning tendencies and significantly reduced column damage probabilities at the same time.  相似文献   

Development of push moraines in deeply frozen sediment adjacent to a cold-based glacier in the McMurdo Dry Valleys,Antarctica     

Sean Fitzsimons  Jamie Howarth 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2020,45(3):622-637

Previous studies of push moraines have concluded that structural architecture is controlled by a combination of stress exerted by flowing ice and the rheology of the deforming sediment. However, the relationship between deformation processes and the thermal/hydrologic conditions within the sediment remains ambiguous. Using a combination of surface mapping, logging exposures and ground penetrating radar we examine the relationships between surface morphology, material properties and development of deformation structures in deeply frozen sediment that has been deformed by Joyce Glacier, a cold-based glacier in the McMurdo Dry Valleys. The structural architecture of the push moraines is characterized by a combination of brittle and ductile deformation structures that have produced a structurally complex pattern of thrust faults, low angle listric thrusts and recumbent folds that extend 400 m beyond the glacier margin. Deformation is ductile where the ice concentration exceeds c. 65% volume and predominantly brittle where the ice concentration is less than c. 65%. The change in rheology reflects transition in behaviour from the material having a predominantly frictional character when the ice is limited to pore spaces to a non-frictional character in which strength is primarily determined by the cohesive strength of the ice. This work shows that glaciotectonic deformation can occur in deeply frozen permafrost where there is no liquid pore water. We conclude that the presence of liquid porewater is not a necessary condition for the development of glaciotectonic deformation or for the formation of push moraines. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Natural Zeolites by G. V. Tsitsishvili,T. G. Andronikashvili,G. R. Kirov and L. D. Filizova. Ellis Horwood,Chichester 1991. No. of pages: 297. Price: £69.00 (hardback). ISBN 0 13 612037 7.     

A. Dyer 《Geological Journal》1994,29(2):192-192

  相似文献   

A clear and present danger: Ladakh's increasing vulnerability to flash floods and debris flows          下载免费PDF全文

Alan D. Ziegler  Sebastian I. Cantarero  Robert J. Wasson  Pradeep Srivastava  Sonam Spalzin  Winston T. L. Chow  Jamie Gillen 《水文研究》2016,30(22):4214-4223

This preliminary investigation of the recent spate of deadly flash floods and debris flows in Ladakh (India) over the last decade identifies uncontrolled development in hazardous locations as an important factor contributing to loss of life and property damage in this high mountain desert. The sediments exposed in the channel banks and on the alluvial fans of several mountain streams in the area indicate a long history of flash floods and debris flows resulting from intense storms, which appear to have increased in frequency within the last decade. The signposts of these recurrent hazards are being ignored as a growing economy, which is boosted by a well‐established tourism industry, is now driving development onto lands that are susceptible to floods and debris flow hazards. In this science briefing we argue that the increasing vulnerability in Ladakh should be addressed with sound disaster governance strategies that are proactive, rather than reactionary. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

The Precambrian–Cambrian nonconformity at the Ercall Quarries,The Wrekin,Shropshire, UK     

Jamie K. Pringle  Ian G. Stimpson 《Geology Today》2013,29(5):195-199

The Precambrian–Cambrian boundary is iconic, marking the first appearance of shelly fauna in the fossil record, and opening the Phanerozoic Eon. In England and Wales, the transition from predominantly Precambrian igneous rocks to Cambrian sedimentary strata is generally unconformable. An exceptional exposure of this transition can be observed in the Ercall Quarries in Shropshire, a classic locality in all senses of the word.  相似文献