Drivers of Change and Sustainability in Linked Social–Ecological Systems: An Analysis in the Volta River Basin of Ghana,West Africa     

Julius H. Kotir  Greg Brown  Nadine Marshall  Ron Johnstone 《社会与自然资源》2017,30(10):1229-1245

Understanding the nature and relative importance of various drivers of change is crucial for sustainable management of natural resources and in prioritizing management efforts, allocating limited resources, and understanding cumulative effects. For this article, we employed structured an expert judgments approach to identify, characterize, and assess the relative importance of the key biophysical and socioeconomic drivers of change within the Volta River Basin, West Africa. Precipitation variability, water availability, land use change, drought events, and population growth were perceived as most important, while biodiversity loss, social conflicts, pest and disease occurrence, urbanization, and pollution were viewed as less critical. A majority of these drivers were characterized as “slow” acting processes as compared to rapidly changing drivers. Intra- and interexpert groups agreement were found to be significant and convergent, indicating the reliability of the results. The implications of these results for sustainable water resources management and agricultural production are discussed.  相似文献   

对流层物质垂直交换模式中的参数化处理   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

雷孝恩  张时禹 《大气科学》1992,16(6):737-747

为了研究对流层(TL)中垂直涡旋扩散系数(K_z)随高度变化的参数化形式对物质垂直交换的贡献,用“高分辨TL物质交换模式”(EM3)对5种不同K_z型进行了数值对比模拟,结果表明:KK_z型较好地描述了行星边界层(PBL)内受下垫面影响的高频湍流和PBL以上TL由各种动力学和热力学过程产生的切变湍流;垂直运动和K_z对PBL下层的物质输送到TL上层和从源高度向下输送到PBL低层两者均有重要作用;垂直运动的作用具有间隙性,而K_z是连续的.  相似文献   

Apparent Microfloral Response to Organic Degradation on Bathyal ­Seafloor: An Analysis Based on Sediment Fatty Acids     

Takeshi Naganuma  Mutsuo Hattori  Kazumi Akimoto    Jun Hashi­moto  Hiroyasu Momma  & C. Julius Meisel 《Marine Ecology》2001,22(3):267-282

Abstract. Abyssal microfloral succession induced by experimental organic degradation was investigated. Notable changes in amounts and compositions of short-chain (C9-20) sediment fatty acids were observed, which indicated the shift of sediment microflora. Biomarker fatty acids for methanotrophs and sulfate-reducing bacteria dominated. Resultant fatty acid compositions were most closely related to those from a nearby methane seep harboring a dense Calyptogena colony; the clams were also seen in close vicinity of the deployed organic mass. These observations suggest that the organic degradation on the bathyal seafloor stimulates the formation of methanotrophic and thio­trophic microflora, resulting in the formation of a methane-seep-type benthic community.  相似文献   

Age et croissance de la truite lacustre (Salmo trutta lacustris L.) du Léman     

Par Bernard Büttiker  Gilbert Matthey  Julius Bel  Patrick Durand 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1987,49(3):316-328

The age and growth of adult Lake Geneva trout (Salmo trutta lacustris L.) caught from 1964 to 1974 for mark-and-recapture experiments was studied by scale analysis. The median lengths of 3 years and older fish were fitted to Von Bertalanffy growth curves. Their growth rates are higher than those of the fish younger than 3 years. It is conculded that this increase of growth rate concides with beginning of life in the lake, after the downstream migration of the juvenile trout which probably takes place in the second and third summer. No general increase of growth rates between cohorts could be detected from the beginning to the end of the period studied, in spite of a serious increase of eutrophication of Lake Geneva during the same time.   相似文献   

The global distribution of long-term total ozone variations during the period 1957–1975     

Julius London  Samuel J. Oltmans 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1978,117(3):345-354

Total ozone observations in the international network have been used as a basis for the analysis of the mean monthly ozone distribution over the globe for the period 1957–75. It has been found that during the period 1961–70 the total ozone amount increased in the Northern Hemisphere by about 12 percent and that this increase seems to be significant at all latitudes. Although the data were sparse for the Southern Hemisphere, there did not appear to be any significant ozone changes during the 10 year period. Relatively large geographic variations were found in the ozone trends and it is suggested that these variations are related to large scale changes in the atmospheric circular pattern.  相似文献   

Metallogenesis in the southeastern Pacific: A progress report on the IDOE Nazca Plate project     

E. Julius Dasch 《Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors》1974,9(3):249-258

Under the auspices of the International Decade of Ocean Exploration, scientists from Oregon State University and the Hawaii Institute of Geophysics, along with representatives from the several South American countries which border the Nazca Plate, are intensively studying the origin and economic importance of metalliferous sediments which form extensive deposits on and near the East Pacific Rise. The sediments, enriched in iron, manganese, copper, nickel, zinc, silver, molybdenum, and lead are mineralogically and chemically similar to deposits cored by the “Glomar Challenger”, implying a common origin. The metalliferous sediments are especially abundant in an extensive basin, the Bauer Deep, which occurs about 800 km east of the East Pacific Rise. Elemental and isotopic data, supported by geologic information provided by cores and by geophysical instrumentation, suggest that the enriched elements in the sediments originate by the interplay of volcanism and sea water, by precipitation from sea water alone, and perhaps by the influence of deep-ocean physical processes acting on detritus transported from the continents or from the basaltic East Pacific Rise.An additional objective of the project is to define the possible relationship between marine metalliferous sediments of the plate to ore deposits of the Andean Cordillera. As pointed out by several writers, much of the earth's economic mineralization occurs along zones of convergence between subducted oceanic crust, including metalliferous sediments if present, and continental margins. Field and geochemical techniques are being applied to determine if sediments are in fact subducted beneath the Andean margin, and if they are remobilized into the continental ore deposits of the Andes. Isotopic tracers may prove most useful in testing this relation. Before the model can be tested rigorously, one must know not only the important chemical parameters of the ocean sediment that may be subducted, but also those of the pertinent rock and ore bodies of the South American Cordillera.  相似文献   

Pleistocene climates in central Europe: At least 17 interglacials after the Olduvai event   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Julius Fink  George J. Kukla 《Quaternary Research》1977,7(3):363-371

At least 17 times during the past 1.7 million years, the deposition of loess containing characteristic cold-resistant gastropods was interrupted by the development of temperate interglacial forests. This conclusion was reached in a study of paleomagnetically dated fossiliferous loess sequences in Krems, Austria and Brno, Czechoslovakia. Sequences of windblown loess interlayered with hillwash loams and steppe and forest soils exposed in brickyards around Brno and Praha, Czechoslovakia, revealed eight major depositional cycles within the Brunhes paleomagnetic epoch. We now report nine additional cycles of late and middle Matuyama age bringing the total number of glacial-interglacial cycles to 17, which occurred after the end of the Olduvai. The cycles are separated by marklines, levels of abrupt environmental change correlative with the terminations in deep-sea sediments. They are the boundaries between the windblown loess containing cold-resistant snail assemblages and between the clayey originally decalcified soils, accompanied by warmth loving Helix and Banatica snail faunas of hardwood forests. Because the presence of temperate forests in northwestern and central Europe is instrumental in the definition of an interglacial, each markline represents a glacial-interglacial boundary and each cycle is a glacial-interglacial cycle.  相似文献   

Vapor-undersaturated experiments with Macusani glass+H2O at 200 MPa,and the internal differentiation of granitic pegmatites     

David London  George B. Morgan  Richard L. Hervig 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1989,102(1):1-17

Vapor-undersaturated fractional crystallization experiments with Macusani glass (macusanite), a peraluminous rhyolite obsidian, at 200 MPa yield mineralogical fabrics and zonation, and melt fractionation trends that closely resemble those found in zoned granitic pegmatites and other granitoids of comparable composition (typically peraluminous, Li-Be-Ta-rich deposits). The zonation from the edge of charges inward is characterized by: (1) fine-grained sodic feldspar-quartz border zones; (2) a fringe of very coarse-grained graphic quartz-feldspar intergrowths that flair radially toward melt and terminate with nearly monophase K-feldspar; (3) cores of very coarse-grained, nearly monominerallic quartz or virgilite (LiAlSi₅O₁₂)±mica; and (4) late-stage, fine-grained albite+mica intergrowths that are deposited from alkaline, Na-rich interstitial melt at vapor saturation. Similar experimental products have been observed in compositionally simpler, less evolved systems. Liquid lines of descent from initially H₂O-undersaturated runs are marked by a decrease in SiO₂, and increases in Na/K, B, P, F, H₂O, and a variety of trace lithophile cations. These trends are believed to be governed by three factors: (1) disequilibrium growth of feldspars (±quartz) via metastable supersaturation; (2) fractionation of melt toward SiO₂-depleted, Na-rich compositions due to increases in B, P, and F; and (3) changes in nucleation and growth rates, mostly as a function of the H₂O content of melt (X _w ^m ). In contrast, experiments that are cooled below the liquidus from the field of melt+aqueous vapor (London et al. 1988) fail to replicate pegmatitic characteristics in most respects. On the basis of these and other experiments, we suggest that the formation of pegmatite fabrics stems primarily from fractional crystallization in volatile-rich melts, and that enrichments in normally trace lithophile elements result from melt differentiation trends toward increasingly alkaline, silica-depleted compositions. Although vapor saturation at near-solidus and subsolidus conditions may promote extensive recrystallization, an aqueous vapor phase does not appear to be necessary for the generation of most of the salient characteristics of pegmatites.  相似文献   

Monthly estimates of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil-fuel consumption in Brazil during the late 1990s and early 2000s     

London M Losey  Robert J Andres  Gregg Marland 《Area》2006,38(4):445-452

Detailed understanding of global carbon cycling requires estimates of CO ₂ emissions on temporal and spatial scales finer than annual and country. This is the first attempt to derive such estimates for a large, developing, Southern Hemisphere country. Though data on energy use are not complete in terms of time and geography, there are enough data available on the sale or consumption of fuels in Brazil to reasonably approximate the temporal and spatial patterns of fuel use and CO ₂ emissions. Given the available data, a strong annual cycle in emissions from Brazil is not apparent. CO ₂ emissions are unevenly distributed within Brazil as the population density and level of development both vary widely.  相似文献   

Theoretische Untersuchung der Schornsteinüberhöhung in Abhängigkeit von der Schornsteinhöhe und der Temperaturschichtung für Gase und Stäube     

Dr. Julius Drimmel 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》1970,19(4):391-406

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