基于ConvLSTM的广西短临降水预报     

黄启桥  麦雄发  李玲  唐菁  唐飞笼 《气象研究与应用》2021,42(4):44-49

针对传统雷达回波外推算法在快速增长或消散降水过程预报精度较低的问题,利用华南雷达回波拼图资料数据,建立ConvLSTM回波外推模型,对广西区域范围进行短临降水预报研究.采用气象业务中的正确率(POD)、临界成功指数(CSI)及误报率(FAR)评判标准检验预报模型,并将ConvLSTM与光流法的预报结果进行对比分析.结果 表明,ConvLSTM模型的CSI、POD分别比光流法提高0.06和0.059,而FAR下降了0.058.ConvLSTM方法比光流法的回波外推预报准确率高,该方法可为广西短临降水预报提供新的参考.  相似文献   

松辽盆地长岭凹陷青山口组一段泥页岩非均质性评价——以吉页油1井为例     

张迈  唐友军  徐兴友  白静  李洪波 《地质与资源》2021,30(3):265-272

泥页岩评价是油气地球化学研究的重要内容,是了解油气资源潜力的基础.以长岭凹陷吉页油1井青一段泥页岩为研究对象,在对其有机质丰度、有机质类型及成熟度等特征分析研究的基础上,结合测井曲线,对其非均质性进行刻画描述和分级评价.得到认识如下：1）泥页岩以Ⅰ型、Ⅱ型干酪根为主,成熟度处于低成熟-成熟阶段;2）建立了非均质性刻画模型,并对泥页岩进行了分级评价,青一段暗色泥页岩以Ⅱ级资源为主,部分为Ⅰ级资源,Ⅲ级资源较少,青一上段烃源岩整体资源级别要优于青一下段.  相似文献   

南海北部大陆架莺琼盆地新生代海平面变化   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

谢金有  祝幼华  李绪深  麦文  赵鹏肖 《海相油气地质》2012,17(1):49-58

南海北部大陆架莺琼盆地是建立西太平洋新生代海平面变化的关键地区之一。基于有孔虫和钙质超微化石资料所建立的莺歌海盆地和琼东南盆地新生代相对分辨率较高的年代地层格架,通过南海海域表层建立的浮游有孔虫含量与水深的定量关系,辅以古生态、成因相及特征沉积构造分析和反射地震剖面的海岸上超分析,编制了海平面变化曲线。识别出包含三个完整二级海平面变化旋回和半周期的海平面上升旋回。海平面变化幅度在0～200 m之间。海水最深的时期在早中新世晚期至中中新世早期以及上新世早期,与Haq曲线较为吻合。  相似文献   

饲料中添加益生菌对凡纳滨对虾(Litopenaeus vannamei)非特异免疫基因表达量和抗病力的影响   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

孙艳  刘飞  宋晓玲  麦康森  李玉宏  黄倢 《海洋与湖沼》2012,43(4):845-851

采用实时荧光定量PCR方法,进行肠道复合益生菌对凡纳滨对虾相关免疫基因表达量的研究。通过感染实验,分析饲料中添加益生菌对凡纳滨对虾病毒感染能力的影响。结果表明,Real-time PCR揭示在投喂期间饲料中添加芽孢杆菌/溶藻弧菌组的对虾血淋巴细胞中的proPO、SOD和LZM的相对表达量均显著高于对照组(P<0.05);感染WSSV后,对芽孢杆菌/溶藻弧菌组凡纳滨对虾血淋巴7个采样时间点的proPO、SOD、LZM的表达进行Real-time PCR分析,检测表明WSSV刺激24h后,对虾血淋巴中的proPO、SOD和LZM的表达呈现显著性上调,且分别在48h、96h、96h达到最大值。累积死亡率结果证实饲料中添加益生菌均可提高其对虾抗WSSV感染的能力,尤其以坚强芽孢杆菌活菌与溶藻弧菌活菌配合使用效果更佳。  相似文献   

Hexabromocyclododecane (HBCD) and tetrabromobisphenol A (TBBPA) in riverine and estuarine sediments of the Pearl River Delta in southern China, with emphasis on spatial variability in diastereoisomer- and enantiomer-specific distribution of HBCD   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

Feng AH  Chen SJ  Chen MY  He MJ  Luo XJ  Mai BX 《Marine pollution bulletin》2012,64(5):919-925

Hexabromocyclododecane (HBCD) and tetrabromobisphenol A (TBBPA) were measured in surface sediments in the Pearl River Delta, southern China. The concentrations ranged from 0.06 to 304 ng/g dry weight for TBBPA and from 0.03 to 31.6 ng/g for total HBCD. The correlations between the TBBPA and HBCD concentrations were significant in rivers (Dongjiang, Zhujiang, Beijiang, and Dayanhe Rivers) with local input sources but not significant in the Xijiang River and Pearl River Estuary without local sources. HBCD was dominated by γ-HBCD (averaged 52.5-75.0%), whereas α-HBCD contributions were relatively high in sediments from the urban areas. The enantiomeric fractions of γ-HBCD in the sediments (averaged from 0.431 ± 0.035 to 0.479 ± 0.010) differed significantly from that in HBCD technical product except for samples from the e-waste area (Dayanhe River, 0.488 ± 0.091). This suggests that enantioselective biotransformation of HBCD occurs in the aquatic environment in this region.  相似文献   

TAT improves in vitro transportation of fortilin through midgut and into hemocytes of white shrimp Litopenaeus vannamei     

Yi Zhou  Wenbing Zhang  Kangsen Mai  Wei Xu  Yanjiao Zhang  Qinghui Ai  Xiaojie Wang 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2012,11(2):197-204

  相似文献   

Route height connection across the sea by using the vertical deflections and ellipsoidal height data     

郭金运  陈永宁  刘新  钟世霞  麦照秋 《中国海洋工程》2013,27(1):99-110

Distance between the main land and island is so long that it is very difficult to precisely connect the height datum across the sea with the traditional method like the trigonometric leveling,or it is very expensive and takes long time to implement the height transfer with the geopotential technique.We combine the data of GPS surveying,astro-geodesy and EGM2008 to precisely connect the orthometric height across the sea with the improved astronomical leveling method in the paper.The Qiongzhou Strait is selected as the test area for the height connection over the sea.We precisely determine the geodetic latitudes,longitudes,heights and deflections of the vertical for four points on both sides across the strait.Modeled deflections of the vertical along the height connecting routes over the sea are determined with EGM2008 model based on the geodetic positions and heights of the sea segmentation points from DNSC08MSS model.Differences of the measured and modeled deflections of the vertical are calculated at four points on both sides and linearly change along the route.So the deflections of the vertical along the route over the sea can be improved by the linear interpolation model.The results are also in accord with those of trigonometirc levelings.The practical case shows that we can precisely connect the orthometric height across the Qiongzhou Strait to satisfy the requirement of order 3 leveling network of China.The method is very efficient to precisely connect the height datum across the sea along the route up to 80 km.  相似文献   

长期低渗胁迫诱导凡纳滨对虾肝胰腺差异表达基因的研究     

郜卫华  谭北平  麦康森  迟淑艳  刘泓宇  董晓慧  杨奇慧 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2013,(9):39-46

本研究构建了长期低渗胁迫诱导凡纳滨对虾肝胰腺差异表达基因的cDNA文库。在此基础上,探讨了在不同盐度处理时反向文库5个基因(血蓝蛋白、蜕皮类固醇调节蛋白、几丁质酶、胰凝乳蛋白酶1和胰蛋白酶)mRNA表达量的变化情况,以期从分子机理上了解,在长期低盐养殖条件下凡纳滨对虾的生长性能和生理状态的关系。长期低盐养殖实验结果表明,随着盐度的降低,凡纳滨对虾的末重、增重率和特定生长率显著地降低(P<0.05);盐度2处理组成活率显著低于盐度10处理组和对照组(P<0.05);与对照组相比,盐度2处理组血蓝蛋白、几丁质酶、蜕皮类固醇调节蛋白、胰蛋白酶和胰凝乳蛋白酶1mRNA表达量显著性下调,分别下降了50%、31%、91%、25%和35%;盐度10处理组血蓝蛋白、胰蛋白酶和胰凝乳蛋白酶mRNA表达量显著性下调,分别下降了31%、72%和15%;短期低盐胁迫组几丁质酶和蜕皮类固醇调节蛋白mRNA表达量上调3.07和2.47倍。结果表明,盐度降低到一定程度,可显著降低凡纳滨对虾的生长性能和成活率;5个基因表达量在胁迫24h和56d后表达量变化明显不同,说明凡纳滨对虾对长期和短期盐度胁迫采取不同的应答策略。以上结果丰富了甲壳动物环境胁迫研究的基因信息。  相似文献   

Biological risk and pollution history of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in Nansha mangrove,South China     

Qihang Wu  Jonathan Y.S. Leung  Nora F.Y. Tam  Shejun Chen  Bixian Mai  Xizhen Zhou  Lihua Xia  Xinhua Geng 《Marine pollution bulletin》2014

Chinese government has taken various measures to alleviate pollution caused by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in the region of Pearl River Delta since the economic reform in 1978, but the effectiveness of these measures remains largely unknown. This study aimed to elucidate the biological risk and pollution history of PAHs by measuring the concentrations of 28 PAHs in the surface and core sediments, respectively, in Nansha mangrove. Results found that the biological risk of PAHs was low without obvious spatial variation. The PAH concentration along the depth gradient indicated that PAH pollution was stabilized since the early 1990s while the source of PAHs has gradually changed from combustion of coal to petroleum products. This implied that the mitigation measures taken by the Chinese government were effective. Compared to marine bottom sediment, we propose that using mangrove sediment can provide a more accurate and precise estimate of pollution history of PAHs.  相似文献   

An Application of the Multi-Physics Ensemble Kalman Filter to Typhoon Forecast     

Chanh Kieu  Pham Thi Minh  Hoang Thi Mai 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2014,171(7):1473-1497

This study examines the roles of the multi-physics approach in accounting for model errors for typhoon forecasts with the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF). Experiments with forecasts of Typhoon Conson (2010) using the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model show that use of the WRF’s multiple physical parameterization schemes to represent the model uncertainties can help the LETKF provide better forecasts of Typhoon Conson in terms of the forecast errors, the ensemble spread, the root mean square errors, the cross-correlation between mass and wind field as well as the coherent structure of the ensemble spread along the storm center. Sensitivity experiments with the WRF model show that the optimum number of the multi-physics ensemble is roughly equal to the number of combinations of different physics schemes assigned in the multi-physics ensemble. Additional idealized experiments with the Lorenz 40-variable model to isolate the dual roles of the multi-physics ensemble in correcting model errors and expanding the local ensemble space show that the multi-physics approach appears to be more essential in augmenting the local rank representation of the LETKF algorithm rather than directly accounting for model errors during the early cycles. The results in this study suggest that the multi-physics approach is a good option for short-range forecast applications with full physics models in which the spinup of the ensemble Kalman filter may take too long for the ensemble spread to capture efficiently model errors and cross-correlations among model variables.  相似文献