Nonlinear regional economic dynamics: continuous-time specification,estimation and stability analysis     

Gianfranco Piras  Kieran P. Donaghy  Giuseppe Arbia 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2007,9(4):311-344

This paper presents an innovative approach to the study of regional economic dynamics within a nonlinear continuous-time econometric framework—a generalized specification of the Lotka–Volterra system of equations. This specification, which accounts for interdependent behavior of three industrial sectors and spillover effects of activities in neighboring regions, is employed in an analysis of five Italian regions between 1980 and 2003. For these regions, we report estimation results, characterize the varying systems dynamics, analyze the models’ local and global stability properties, and determine via sensitivity analyses which structural features appear to exert the greatest influence on these properties.

Kieran P. DonaghyEmail:

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A Very Small Array search for the extended Sunyaev–Zel''dovich effect in the Corona Borealis supercluster     

Ricardo Génova-Santos  José Alberto Rubiño-Martín  Rafael Rebolo †  Kieran Cleary ‡  Rod D. Davies  Richard J. Davis  Clive Dickinson §  Nelson Falcón ‡‡  Keith Grainge  Carlos M. Gutiérrez  Michael P. Hobson  Michael E. Jones ¶  Rüdiger Kneissl &#;  Katy Lancaster  Carmen P. Padilla-Torres  Richard D. E. Saunders  Paul F. Scott  Angela C. Taylor ¶  Robert A. Watson †† 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,363(1):79-92

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First results from the Very Small Array – I. Observational methods     

Robert A. Watson  Pedro Carreira  Kieran Cleary  Rod D. Davies  Richard J. Davis  Clive Dickinson  Keith Grainge †  Carlos M. Gutiérrez  Michael P. Hobson  Michael E. Jones  Rüdiger Kneissl  Anthony Lasenby  Klaus Maisinger  Guy G. Pooley  Rafael Rebolo  José Alberto Rubiño-Martin ‡  Ben Rusholme §  Richard D. E. Saunders  Richard Savage  Paul F. Scott  An&#;e Slosar  Pedro J. Sosa Molina  Angela C. Taylor  David Titterington  Elizabeth Waldram  Althea Wilkinson 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,341(4):1057-1065

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A Mössbauer study of pseudotachylytes: redox conditions during seismogenic faulting     

Kieran?D.?O’HaraEmail author  Frank?E.?Huggins 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2005,148(5):602-614

The redox conditions during frictional melting provide information on the physical and chemical conditions during seismic slip in the crust. Here we examine frictional melts from five localities by analyzing host rocks and corresponding pseudotachylytes using Mössbauer spectroscopy. The faults examined are located at South Mountain, Arizona; Fort Foster, Maine (two localities); Long Ridge fault, North Carolina; and the Homestake shear zone, Colorado. The main iron-bearing phases in the pseudotachylytes are phyllosilicates (biotite, muscovite and clays) and iron oxides (magnetite and hematite) and minor pyrite. The ferrous/ferric ratios of the phyllosilicates in the host rocks are the same as those in the pseudotachylytes, except for the hematite-bearing pseudotachylyte from the Long Ridge fault, which is more oxidized. The magnetites in the host rocks and the corresponding pseudotachylytes have different ferric and ferrous iron distributions, which is attributed to different cation chemistry, rather than redox conditions. With the exception of the South Mountain locality, the ferric/ferrous ratios of the micas are interpreted to record the primary redox state of the pseudotachylyte melt as the calculated oxygen fugacities are consistent with magnetite and hematite equilibria. Pyrite-bearing pseudotachylytes plot ~0–1 log₁₀ units above the fayalite-magnetite-quartz (FMQ) buffer. Magnetite-bearing pseudotachylytes plot ~2–4 log₁₀ units above the FMQ buffer, and hematite-bearing pseudotachylytes plot 3.5 log₁₀ units above the hematite-magnetite (HM) buffer. Hematite-bearing pseudotachylytes, together with previous oxygen isotope data, are inferred to represent melting in the presence of externally derived pressurized water. Other localities are inferred to represent melting under rock-buffered, closed system, conditions. If the localities studied are representative of seismogenic faulting, the calculated oxygen fugacities indicate that, in the system C–O–H–S, H₂O and CO₂ should be the dominant fluid species. This is the first detailed study of the redox state of pseudotachylytes.  相似文献   

Carbon catalysed hydrogen exchange in petroleum source rocks     

Robert Alexander  Daniel Dawson  Kieran Pierce  Andrew Murray 《Organic Geochemistry》2009,40(9):951-955

Exchange of carbon bound hydrogen has been observed when alkenes, saturated and aromatic hydrocarbons are heated at moderate temperatures on carbonaceous surfaces (activated carbon and coal). Isomerisation of alkenes and the formation of hydrogenated/dehydrogenated products from the saturated and aromatic reactants resulted. A suite of crude oils from the Carnarvon Basin (Western Australia) have been analysed with a view to comparing their relative abundances of structurally similar hydrocarbons. The consistent relationships between hydrocarbons in crude oils that are chemically related via hydrogenation/dehydrogenation reactions suggest that a hydrogen exchange process similar to that demonstrated in laboratory experiments occurs during crude oil formation in sedimentary rocks.  相似文献   

Recent increase of river–floodplain suspended sediment exchange in a reach of the lower Amazon River          下载免费PDF全文

Conrado M. Rudorff  Thomas Dunne  John M. Melack 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2018,43(1):322-332

We analyzed variation of channel–floodplain suspended sediment exchange along a 140 km reach of the lower Amazon River for two decades (1995–2014). Daily sediment fluxes were determined by combining measured and estimated surface sediment concentrations with river–floodplain water exchanges computed with a two‐dimensional hydraulic model. The average annual inflow to the floodplain was 4088 ± 2017 Gg yr^?1 and the outflow was 2251 ± 471 Gg yr^?1, respectively. Prediction of average sediment accretion rate was twice the estimate from a previous study of this same reach and more than an order of magnitude lower than an estimate from an earlier regional scale study. The amount of water routed through the floodplain, which is sensitive to levee topography and increases exponentially with river discharge, was the main factor controlling the variation in total annual sediment inflow. Besides floodplain routing, the total annual sediment export depended on the increase in sediment concentration in lakes during floodplain drainage. The recent increasing amplitude of the Amazon River annual flood over two decades has caused a substantial shift in water and sediment river–floodplain exchanges. In the second decade (2005–2014), as the frequency of extreme floods increased, annual sediment inflow increased by 81% and net storage increased by 317% in relation to the previous decade (1995–2004). Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Shear Senses and Viscous Dissipation of Layered Ductile Simple Shear Zones     

Kieran F. Mulchrone  Soumyajit Mukherjee 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2015,172(10):2635-2642

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Models of travel demand with endogenous preference change and heterogeneous agents   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Kieran P. Donaghy 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2011,13(1):17-30

In the literatures of regional science, urban economics, and urban development planning, a working assumption is that individuals respond to incentives and regulations, given their preferences. Models for planning and policy analyses are used to consider what might occur if the incentives or regulations were different. In these models, however, preferences are usually assumed to be given and stable, and agents are usually assumed to be homogeneous. This paper focuses on the implications of making preferences in models of policy implementation endogenously determined and time varying heterogeneous agents. We consider first the recent literature on intertemporal choice and preference change, which cuts across many disciplines, and more briefly the literature on norm-regarding behavior. We then elaborate a simple model of transportation demand—from a static to a dynamic orientation, from fixed and exogenously given preferences of strictly self-regarding agents to endogenously determined and policy-induced preferences of heterogeneous agents—and illustrate its characteristics with simple numerical examples.  相似文献   

On the use of IPCC-class models to assess the impact of climate on Living Marine Resources     

Charles A. Stock  Michael A. Alexander  Nicholas A. Bond  Keith M. Brander  William W.L. Cheung  Enrique N. Curchitser  Thomas L. Delworth  John P. Dunne  Stephen M. Griffies  Melissa A. Haltuch  Jonathan A. Hare  Anne B. Hollowed  Patrick Lehodey  Simon A. Levin  Jason S. Link  Kenneth A. Rose  Ryan R. Rykaczewski  Jorge L. Sarmiento  Ronald J. Stouffer  Franklin B. Schwing  Francisco E. Werner 《Progress in Oceanography》2011,88(1-4):1-27

The study of climate impacts on Living Marine Resources (LMRs) has increased rapidly in recent years with the availability of climate model simulations contributed to the assessment reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Collaboration between climate and LMR scientists and shared understanding of critical challenges for such applications are essential for developing robust projections of climate impacts on LMRs. This paper assesses present approaches for generating projections of climate impacts on LMRs using IPCC-class climate models, recommends practices that should be followed for these applications, and identifies priority developments that could improve current projections. Understanding of the climate system and its representation within climate models has progressed to a point where many climate model outputs can now be used effectively to make LMR projections. However, uncertainty in climate model projections (particularly biases and inter-model spread at regional to local scales), coarse climate model resolution, and the uncertainty and potential complexity of the mechanisms underlying the response of LMRs to climate limit the robustness and precision of LMR projections. A variety of techniques including the analysis of multi-model ensembles, bias corrections, and statistical and dynamical downscaling can ameliorate some limitations, though the assumptions underlying these approaches and the sensitivity of results to their application must be assessed for each application. Developments in LMR science that could improve current projections of climate impacts on LMRs include improved understanding of the multi-scale mechanisms that link climate and LMRs and better representations of these mechanisms within more holistic LMR models. These developments require a strong baseline of field and laboratory observations including long time series and measurements over the broad range of spatial and temporal scales over which LMRs and climate interact. Priority developments for IPCC-class climate models include improved model accuracy (particularly at regional and local scales), inter-annual to decadal-scale predictions, and the continued development of earth system models capable of simulating the evolution of both the physical climate system and biosphere. Efforts to address these issues should occur in parallel and be informed by the continued application of existing climate and LMR models.  相似文献   

Viscous dissipation pattern in incompressible Newtonian simple shear zones: an analytical model     

Soumyajit Mukherjee  Kieran F. Mulchrone 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2013,102(4):1165-1170

An analytical model of shear heating in an inclined simple shear zone with Newtonian rheology under a reverse shear sense and an upward resultant pressure gradient is presented. Neglecting a number of secondary factors, the shear heat is expressed as a function of the total slip rates at the boundaries, pressure gradient, dip and thickness of the shear zone, and density, viscosity, and thermal conductivity of the rock. A quartic temperature profile develops with a point of maximum temperature near the bottom part of the shear zone in general. The profile is parabolic if pressure gradient vanishes leading to a Couette flow. The profile attains a bell shape if there is no slip at the boundaries, i.e., a true Pouseille flow. The present model of shear heating is more applicable in subduction channels and some extruding salt diapirs where the rheology is Newtonian viscous and pressure gradient drives extrusion.  相似文献