Influence of rainfall spatial variability on flood prediction   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

Patrick Arnaud  Christophe Bouvier  Leonardo Cisneros  Ramon Dominguez 《Journal of Hydrology》2002,260(1-4):216-230

This paper deals with the sensitivity of distributed hydrological models to different patterns that account for the spatial distribution of rainfall: spatially averaged rainfall or rainfall field. The rainfall data come from a dense network of recording rain gauges that cover approximately 2000 km² around Mexico City. The reference rain sample accounts for the 50 most significant events, whose mean duration is about 10 h and maximal point depth 170 mm. Three models were tested using different runoff production models: storm-runoff coefficient, complete or partial interception. These models were then applied to four fictitious homogeneous basins, whose sizes range from 20 to 1500 km². For each test, the sensitivity of the model is expressed as the relative differences between the empirical distribution of the peak flows (and runoff volumes), calculated according to the two patterns of rainfall input: uniform or non-uniform. Differences in flows range from 10 to 80%, depending on the type of runoff production model used, the size of the basin and the return period of the event. The differences are generally moderate for extreme events. In the local context, this means that uniform design rainfall combining point rainfall distribution and the probabilistic concept of the areal reduction factor could be sufficient to estimate major flood probability. Differences are more significant for more frequent events. This can generate problems in calibrating the hydrological model when spatial rainfall localization is not taken into account: a bias in the estimation of parameters makes their physical interpretation difficult and leads to overestimation of extreme flows.  相似文献   

Environmental and pollution condition of the huizache-caimanero lagoon, in the north-west of Mexico     

R.JoséGuillermo Galindo  J.María Alejandra Medina  L.Cecilio Villagrana  C.Leonardo Ibarra 《Marine pollution bulletin》1997,34(12):1072-1077

The fish and shrimp production of the Huizache-Caimanero Lagoon, located on the Mexican Pacific, has been decreasing in recent years, which may be due to environmental and pollution conditions. Therefore, water and sediment samples were analysed to quantify nutrients, pesticides, and coliform bacteria. The results indicated that the system is polluted considerably during the rainy season due to continental runoff carrying municipal and agricultural wastes, thereby increasing coliform pollution and nitrate concentrations. This is less apparent for phosphates and pesticides. We conclude that pollution and environmental changes are important causes decreasing production; recent studies have reported biochemical and physiological alteration in aquatic organisms exposed to similar levels of pesticides as reported here. During the rainy season, coliform levels are above permissible levels established by sanitary regulations, and are thus pose a risk to public health.  相似文献   

Heavy metal and arsenic distributions in sediments of the Elba-Argentario basin, southern Tuscany, Italy   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Leonardo Leoni  F. Sartori 《Environmental Geology》1997,32(2):83-92

 Arsenic, chromium, cobalt, copper, lead, nickel, vanadium and zinc distributions in surficial and core sediments of the Elba-Argentario marine basin (southern Tuscany, central-western Italy) are reported. Analysis of such distributions compared with grain size and mineralogical data allowed the identification of areas showing trace element enrichments with respect to natural background. These enrichments are moderate and essentially restricted to Pb and Zn; only As shows a widespread, though not high, positive anomaly. This general pattern is in good agreement with the minor industrialization affecting the basin's watershed. An unexpected anomaly, concerning Co, Pb, and As, as well as Fe and Ti, has been pointed out close to Montecristo Island. This has been ascribed to illegal local dumping of chemical waste. Received: 12 January 1996 / Accepted: 9 September 1996  相似文献   

Magnetic mineralogy changes in the Pleistocene marine sequence of Montalto di Castro (central Italy) and influences on the magnetic anisotropy     

Benot Lehman  Leonardo Sagnotti †  Aldo Winkler †  Claudia Lo Cascio 《Geophysical Journal International》1996,127(2):529-541

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Environmental magnetic record of Antarctic palaeoclimate from Eocene/Oligocene glaciomarine sediments, Victoria Land Basin   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Leonardo Sagnotti  Fabio Florindo  Kenneth L. Verosub  Gary S. Wilson  & Andrew P. Roberts 《Geophysical Journal International》1998,134(3):653-662

The onset of continent-wide glaciation in Antarctica is still poorly understood, despite being one of the most important palaeoclimatic events in the Cenozoic. The Eocene/Oligocene boundary interval has recently been recognized as a critical time for Antarctic climatic evolution, and it may mark the preglacial–glacial transition. Magnetic susceptibility, intensity of natural and artificial remanences, hysteresis parameters and magnetic anisotropy of the lower half (late Eocene/early Oligocene) of the CIROS-1 core (from McMurdo Sound, Antarctica) reveal alternating intervals of high and low magnetic mineral concentrations that do not correspond to lithostratigraphic units in the core. Pseudo-single-domain magnetite is the main magnetic mineral throughout the sequence, and sharp changes in magnetite concentration match changes in clay mineralogy beneath and at the Eocene/Oligocene boundary. The detrital magnetite originated from weathering of the Ferrar Group (which comprises basic extrusive and intrusive igneous rocks). Weathering processes and input of magnetite to the Victoria Land Basin were intense during periods when the Antarctic climate was warmer than today, but during intervals when the climate was relatively cool, chemical weathering of the Ferrar Group was suppressed and input of detrital magnetite to the Victoria Land Basin decreased. Our results also indicate that a cold and dry climate was not established in Antarctica until the Eocene/Oligocene boundary, with major ice sheet growth occurring at the early/late Oligocene boundary. Some earlier cold intervals are identified, which indicate that climate had begun to deteriorate by the middle/late Eocene boundary.  相似文献   

Applicability of landslide susceptibility and hazard zoning at different scales   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

Leonardo Cascini   《Engineering Geology》2008,102(3-4):164

Landslide susceptibility and hazard zoning can notably improve land-use planning, and thus can be considered an efficient way to reduce future damage and loss of lives caused by landslides. However, the lack of standard procedures restricts the use of susceptibility and hazard-zoning maps, notwithstanding their extensive development over the last decades.JTC-1, the Joint Technical Committee on Landslides and Engineered Slopes, fills this void by proposing International Guidelines for Landslide Susceptibility, Hazard and Risk Zoning for land-use planning, which provide definitions, terminology and international standards for methods, levels, scales and types of zoning. The Guidelines also promote the use of quantitative risk-management principles, essential to compare risk from landslides with risks related to other hazards and with loss of life tolerance criteria.This paper focuses on the applicability of landslide susceptibility and hazard zoning at different scales. Several zoning examples, referring to active, dormant and occasionally reactivated slides, provide insights into and highlight the relationships among different methods, levels and types of zoning. The examples also stress the importance of a correct characterization of the processes leading to landsliding to produce reliable susceptibility and hazard-zoning maps.  相似文献   

Soil chemical alteration due to slaughterhouse waste application as identified by spectral reflectance in São Paulo State,Brazil: an environmental monitoring useful tool     

José A. M. Demattê  Julianne de Castro Oliveira  Tiago Rodrigues Tavares  Leonardo Ramirez Lopez  Fabrício da Silva Terra  Suzana Romeiro Araújo  Caio Troula Fongaro  Stoécio Malta Ferreira Maia  Francisco Fujita de Castro Mello  Rodnei Rizzo  Simone Vicente  Marco Antonio de Melo Bortolleto  Pedro Henrique Ramos Cerqueira 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2016,75(18):1277

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Genetic evolution of Permo-Triassic volcaniclastic sequences at Uspallata, Mendoza Precordillera, Argentina     

Leonardo Strazzere  Daniel A. Gregori  Jorge A. Dristas 《Gondwana Research》2006,9(4):485-499

Permo-Triassic volcanic rocks of the Choiyoi Group crop out at Quebrada de Santa Elena and del Telégrafo, Mendoza Precordillera, Argentina. In this area, six volcanic events were generated through three volcanic stages that include collapse of voluminous Plinian columns associated to caldera pressurization and depressurization, emplacement of sub-volcanic bodies and dikes connected to depressurization of the magmatic chamber and establishment of resurgent domes and lava associated to caldera collapse events.

Petrologic and geochemical data indicate increasing acidification toward younger events varying from dacitic to rhyodacitic and rhyolitic rocks. The lithofacial organization allows correlating with the Lower to Upper Permian Horcajo Formation described in the Valle del Río de los Patos, San Juan province. Geochemical data suggests subduction-related arc magmatism in an extensional condition during Lower to Upper Permian.  相似文献   

Contrasting tectonic settings in Northern Chon Aike Igneous Province of Patagonia: subduction and mantle plume-related volcanism in the Marifil formation     

Cecilia Pavón Pivetta  Daniel Gregori  Leonardo Benedini  Mirta Garrido  Leonardo Strazzere  Mauro Geraldes 《International Geology Review》2020,62(15):1904-1930

ABSTRACT

The northern zone of the Chon Aike Igneous Province, located in the North Patagonian Massif, exhibits extensive outcrops of Jurassic volcanic rocks of the Marifil Formation. In the Arroyo Verde area, the initial volcanic stage of the Marifil Formation, that we denominate V0 (192.6 ± 2.5 Ma), includes coulées, megabreccias and lapilli tuffs assigned to plinian-type volcanism. This magmatism was generated by cold-wet-oxidized magmas that resemble those produced in active continental margins and volcanic arcs. The second stage, located unconformably over the first, includes welded lava-like ignimbrites, massive lapilli tuff and rhyolitic lava flow that resemble the Snake River-type volcanism. The magma that produces this volcanic stage exhibit the characteristics of hot-dry-reduced magmas emplaced in intraplate continental environments associated with continental rifting. This stage coincides with the V1 volcanic episode early recorded in the Marifil Formation.  相似文献   

Contrasting oxygen fugacity of I- and S-type granites from the Araçuaí orogen,SE Brazil: an approach based on opaque mineral assemblages     

dos Santos Dias  Jordania Cristina  Gonçalves  Leonardo  Gonçalves  Cristiane C. 《Mineralogy and Petrology》2019,113(5):667-686

Mineralogy and Petrology - This study presents mineralogical characterization of opaque assemblages from I- and S-type granites from the Araçuaí orogen, southeastern Brazil that belong...  相似文献