Landslide susceptibility assessment using SVM machine learning algorithm   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

Miloš Marjanovi?  Miloš Kova?evi?  Branislav Bajat  Vít Vo?enílek 《Engineering Geology》2011,(3):225

This paper introduces the current machine learning approach to solving spatial modeling problems in the domain of landslide susceptibility assessment. The latter is introduced as a classification problem, having multiple (geological, morphological, environmental etc.) attributes and one referent landslide inventory map from which to devise the classification rules. Three different machine learning algorithms were compared: Support Vector Machines, Decision Trees and Logistic Regression. A specific area of the Fruška Gora Mountain (Serbia) was selected to perform the entire modeling procedure, from attribute and referent data preparation/processing, through the classifiers' implementation to the evaluation, carried out in terms of the model's performance and agreement with the referent data. The experiments showed that Support Vector Machines outperformed the other proposed methods, and hence this algorithm was selected as the model of choice to be compared with a common knowledge-driven method – the Analytical Hierarchy Process – to create a landslide susceptibility map of the relevant area. The SVM classifier outperformed the AHP approach in all evaluation metrics (κ index, area under ROC curve and false positive rate in stable ground class).  相似文献   

The impact of morphostructural development on the extension of the North European Ice at the main European watershed in the Moravian Gate (Czech Republic)     

Vít Voženílek 《GeoJournal》1994,32(3):241-245

The territory of the Czech Republic has been investigated by geographers for many decades. The Moravian Gate situated in the eastern part of the Czech Republic, became a place of high human concentration due to its geographical location. Geomorphological research in the Czech republic has reached an impressive level in the field of both the morphostructure of the whole territory and the extent of glaciation. The article treats the relationship between the morphostructure and the extent of glaciation in a geographically complicated region. Both of these have been investigated separately. The synthesis of all results brings new knowledge and suggestions for future research in the region close to the main European watershed. The paper is completed on the basis of the author's research including the complex geomorphological analysis, especially morphostructural and morfosculptural analysis, the investigation of the features and genesis of georelief, the digital elevation model of studied area, the detailed geomorphological mapping in 1:10.000 scale and the compilation of denudation chronology.  相似文献   

ENSIP: the El Niño simulation intercomparison project     

M. Latif  K. Sperber  J. Arblaster  P. Braconnot  D. Chen  A. Colman  U. Cubasch  C. Cooper  P. Delecluse  D. Dewitt  L. Fairhead  G. Flato  T. Hogan  M. Ji  M. Kimoto  A. Kitoh  T. Knutson  H. Le Treut  T. Li  S. Manabe  O. Marti  C. Mechoso  G. Meehl  S. Power  E. Roeckner  J. Sirven  L. Terray  A. Vintzileos  R. Voß  B. Wang  W. Washington  I. Yoshikawa  J. Yu  S. Zebiak 《Climate Dynamics》2001,18(3-4):255-276

An ensemble of twenty four coupled ocean-atmosphere models has been compared with respect to their performance in the tropical Pacific. The coupled models span a large portion of the parameter space and differ in many respects. The intercomparison includes TOGA (Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere)-type models consisting of high-resolution tropical ocean models and coarse-resolution global atmosphere models, coarse-resolution global coupled models, and a few global coupled models with high resolution in the equatorial region in their ocean components. The performance of the annual mean state, the seasonal cycle and the interannual variability are investigated. The primary quantity analysed is sea surface temperature (SST). Additionally, the evolution of interannual heat content variations in the tropical Pacific and the relationship between the interannual SST variations in the equatorial Pacific to fluctuations in the strength of the Indian summer monsoon are investigated. The results can be summarised as follows: almost all models (even those employing flux corrections) still have problems in simulating the SST climatology, although some improvements are found relative to earlier intercomparison studies. Only a few of the coupled models simulate the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in terms of gross equatorial SST anomalies realistically. In particular, many models overestimate the variability in the western equatorial Pacific and underestimate the SST variability in the east. The evolution of interannual heat content variations is similar to that observed in almost all models. Finally, the majority of the models show a strong connection between ENSO and the strength of the Indian summer monsoon.  相似文献   

The structure, ordering and equation of state of ammonia dihydrate (nh₃ · 2h₂o)     

A.D. Fortes  I.G. Wood  L. Vo?adlo 《Icarus》2003,162(1):59-73

We present the first ab initio simulations of the low-pressure phase of ammonia dihydrate (NH₃ · 2H₂O), ADH I, a likely constituent of many volatile-rich solid bodies in the outer Solar System (e.g., Saturn’s moons). Ordered monoclinic (space group P2₁) and orthorhombic (space group P2₁2₁2₁) variants of the experimentally observed cubic cell (space group P2₁3) may be constructed, with fully ordered water molecule orientations that obey the ice rules. Our calculations show that the most stable structure at 0 K is orthorhombic (P2₁2₁2₁), the monoclinic variants (P2₁) being energetically disfavored. We provisionally call this ordered orthorhombic phase ADH III. The, as-yet-unmeasured, bulk modulus, K₀, is predicted to be 10.67−0.44+0.56 GPa at 0 K. Our results are also combined with literature data to arrive at a revised coefficient of volume thermal expansion, α_v = 2.81 × 10⁻⁷ T^1.39 (from 0-176 K), with the density at 0 K, ρ₀ = 991.7(39) kg m⁻³. We also present a case, based on literature data, that argues for a gradual transformation from a paraelectrically disordered cubic structure (P2₁3) to the proposed antiferroelectrically ordered orthorhombic structure (P2₁2₁2₁) around 130-150 K (cf. ice III → IX), a temperature regime that applies to the surfaces and interiors of many medium-sized (radii ∼500-700 km) icy bodies.  相似文献   

Qualitätsziele für die Nordsee?- Pro und Kontra-Pro     

Dr. Maren Voß 《Ocean Dynamics》1991,44(5-6):283-288

Zusammenfassung Bereits im Oktober 1973 wurde von der EG ein Aktionsprogramm für den Umweltschutz verabschiedet, in dem die Definition von Qualitätszielen gefordert wird. Danach sollen Qualitätsziele für den Schutz des Menschen gegen Umweltverschmutzung, aber auch für den Schutz der Umwelt an sich formuliert werden. Die Vorstellungen bezogen das Meerwasser zwar ausdrücklich mit ein, waren jedoch stark funktionsbezogen (Badewasser, Fischzucht). 1986 fanden Qualitätsziele in die Leitlinien Umweltvorsorge Eingang. Die Dritte Internationale Nordseeschutzkonferenz 1991 forderte, Qualitätsziele international zu entwickeln. Im selben Jahr erhielt das Nationalparkamt vom Schleswig-Holsteinischen Umweltministerium den Auftrag, ein Diskussionspapier zu erarbeiten. Dieses Papier liegt inzwischen vor. Es beschreibt ökologische Schäden und schlägt auch Parameter für Qualitätsziele vor.In der aktuellen Diskussion wird z. T. bestritten, daß die Beschreibung ökologischer Ziele von Nutzen sein könnte. Sinnvolles Handeln zum Schutz der Umwelt ist aber nur möglich, wenn Klarheit über die Ziele besteht. Auch in der Umweltpolitik reichen vage Formulierungen nicht aus, zumal dann allzu leicht eine breite, aber folglose Zustimmung erfolgt. Präzise definierte Ziele ermöglichen dagegen eine Kontrolle über den Erfolg von eingeleiteten Maßnahmen.Aus diesen Gründen müssen ökologische Qualitätsziele für den Natur- und Umweltschutz definiert werden. Die dafür benötigten Begriffe sind eindeutig festzulegen und zu verwenden (z. B. Qualitätsstandards, Grenzwerte, Richtwerte). Erst dann ist es möglich, die Ziele von den anzuwendenden Methoden zu unterscheiden, die in der bisherigen Diskussion ständig verwechselt werden. Ohne Beteiligung der Naturwissenschaftler können Qualitätsziele nicht verständlich und präzise formuliert werden.

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For and against ecological quality objectives for the North Sea-for

Summary In October 1973 the EC approved environmental protection measures in which a demand was made for a definition of ecological quality objectives. These were to be formulated to ensure that humans were protected against environmental pollution, but aims to protect the environment itself were also to be drawn up. Sea water was included in the programme, but suggestions were strongly oriented towards its various uses (bathing, fish farming). Quality aims were included in the 1986 Leitlinien Umweltvorsorge (Guidelines for environmental precautions). The 3rd International North Sea conference in 1991 requested that ecological quality objectives should be developed internationally. Also in 1991, the Ministry of the Environment in Schleswig-Holstein instructed the Nationalpark agency to draw up a discussion document which has now been presented. It describes ecolgical damage and suggests parameters for ecological quality objectives.In the current discussion, it is partly disputed that describing ecological aims could be useful. But sensible action to protect the environment is only possible if there is no confusion about the aims. In ecological policy, too, vague formulations are not sufficient, particularly if what follows is broad but ineffective agreement. Precisely defined aims, on the other hand, mean that the success of measures taken can be checked.It is for these reasons that ecological quality objectives must be defined for conservation purposes. The terms to be used must be fixed and used unambiguously (e. g. quality standards, limit values, guide values). Only then it will be possible to distinguish between aims and the methods which in previous discussions have always been confused. Ecological quality objectives cannot be formulated intelligibly and precisely without the pariticipation of scientists.

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Veröffentlichung Nr. 32 des Projektes Ökosystemforschung Wattenmeer  相似文献   

Carbonate-associated sulfate as a proxy for lake level fluctuations: a proof of concept for Walker Lake, Nevada     

William Berelson  Frank Corsetti  Brad Johnson  Toan Vo  Chris Der 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2009,42(1):25-36

Closed-basin alkaline lakes record climate change particularly well because they generally contain a sedimentary record that is high in carbonate mineral content from which climate proxies can be determined. Various approaches are used to estimate paleo-lake level and volume (δ¹⁸O, dating of “shoreline” tufas, biotic proxies, etc.), yet all carry certain caveats that limit their usefulness. Ultimately, the relationship between the chemistry of the lake, the volume of the lake, and the response of the proxy will determine how well a proxy serves a paleolimnologic purpose. Here, we discuss the use of carbonate-associated sulfate (CAS), the sulfate contained within the lattice of carbonate minerals that precipitate in lake water, as a proxy for lake water chemistry and by extension, lake volume. Walker Lake, an alkaline closed-basin lake in western Nevada, has experienced a well-documented lake-level decline since 1880 and provides a test case for CAS as a lake-level proxy. By extracting the CAS from sedimentary carbonate and tufas that have been age dated, we can relate these values to lake sulfate content based on historical or other proxy data. We confirm that CAS tracks lake sulfate. Our study of sedimentary carbonates demonstrates that CAS is a linear function of lake sulfate through a range of 10–25 mM, which corresponds to a change in lake level of 30 m. As confirmation of the CAS technique, we analyzed a stromatolitic tufa dated using AMS ¹⁴C. The CAS trend in the stromatolite suggested that it grew during a lake-level decline, a result consistent with other proxy data. Finally, laboratory experiments were conducted that demonstrate CAS is monotonically correlated with sulfate concentration and that precipitation kinetics are not likely a major control on CAS in alkaline lakes, but that ionic strength of the solution exerts a strong control on CAS.  相似文献   

Book reviews     

H. Voßmerbäumer  G. Kunkel 《GeoJournal》1985,10(3):260-286

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The roles of the reversibility and irreversibility of capillary bonds on the impact dynamics of agglomerates     

Vo  Thanh-Trung  Nguyen  Trung-Kien 《Acta Geotechnica》2023,18(1):217-233

Acta Geotechnica - Wet agglomerates such as iron-ores, tablets, and aggregates are omnipresent in multi–field industries. However, our understanding of the impact dynamics of these materials...  相似文献