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41.
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Most dynamical models of the natural system contain a number of empirical parameters which reflect our limited understanding of the simulated system or describe unresolved subgrid-scale processes. While the parameterizations basically introduce some uncertainty to the model results, they also hold the prospect of tuning the model. In general, a deterministic tuning is related to an inversion of the model which is often impossible or requires considerable computing effort for most climate models. Another way to adjust the model parameters to a specific observed process is stochastic fitting where a set of parameters and model output are taken as random variables. Here, we present a dynamical?Cstatistical approach with a simplified model of the El Ni?o?CSouthern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle whose parameters are adjusted to simulated and observed data by means of Bayesian statistics. As ENSO model, we employ the Schop?CSuarez delay oscillator model. Monte Carlo experiments highlight the large sensitivity of the model results to varied model parameters and initial values. The statistical adjustment is done by Bayesian model averaging of the Monte Carlo experiments. Applying the method to simulated data, the posterior ensemble mean is much closer to the reference data than the prior ensemble mean. The learning effect of the model is evident in the leading empirical orthogonal functions and statistically significant in the mean state. When the method is applied to the observed ENSO time series, the ENSO model in its classical setup is not able to account for the temporally varying periodicity of the observed ENSO phenomenon. An improved setup with continuous adjustment periods and extended parameter range is developed in order to allow the model to learn from the data gradually. The improved setup leads to promising results during the twentieth century and even a weak forecast skill over 6?months. Thus, the described method offers a promising tool for data assimilation in dynamical weather and climate models. However, the simplified ENSO model is barely appropriate for operational ENSO forecasts owing to its limited physical complexity.  相似文献   
43.
Abstract— We studied the petrography and mineralogy of two monomict ureilites, Hammadah al Hamra 064 (HH064) and Jalanash, by using reflected light and scanning electron microscopy. Quantitative analyses were performed by electron microprobe and the microstructures were investigated with transmission electron microscopy (TEM). HH064 features two different textures, a poikilitic and a typical one, whereas Jalanash shows only the typical ureilite texture. Our synergetic chemical and microstructural investigations reveal a complex cooling history for both ureilites. The temperature for the first equilibrium deduced from the pigeonite‐augite assemblage in HH064 is ~1200°C. The presence of antiphase domains in low‐Ca pyroxenes proves that they are clearly pigeonite. The occurrences of tweed micro structure and orthopyroxene lamellae, which are incompletely developed, imply a faster cooling rate from the first equilibrium with a sudden end. Although both ureilites contain shock induced diamonds, dislocations in silicates are rare. This observation suggests that the meteorites were hot at the time of strong shock metamorphism or that they were heated after strong shock metamorphism. After this event, new microstructural features were generated by different cooling processes and were frozen by a final rapid decrease in temperature possibly due to excavation from the ureilite parent body, or bodies.  相似文献   
44.
Abstract— The Rumuruti chondrites (R chondrites) constitute a new, well-established, chondrite group different from carbonaceous, ordinary, and enstatite chondrites. Most samples of this group are gas-rich regolith breccias showing the typical light/dark structure and consist of abundant fragments of various parent body lithologies embedded in a fine-grained, olivine-rich matrix. Most R chondrites contain the typical components of primitive chondrites including chondrules, chondrule and mineral fragments, sulfides, and rare calcium-aluminum-rich inclusions (CAIs). In Hughes 030, an interesting CAI consisting of abundant hibonite and spinel was found. Mg isotopic analyses revealed excess 26Mg in components of R chondrites for the first time. The hibonite grains with high Al/Mg values (∼1500 to 2600) show resolved 26Mg excess. The slope of the correlation line yields an initial 26Al/ 27Al = (1.4 ± 0.3) × 10−6, which is ∼40 times lower than the initial value measured in CAIs from primitive meteorites. The inferred difference in 26Al abundance implies a time difference of ∼4 million years for the closure of the Al-Mg system between CAIs from primitive chondrites and the Hughes 030 CAI. Based on mineralogy and the petrographic setting of the hibonite-rich CAI, it is suggested that 4 million years reflect the time interval between the formation of the CAI and the end of its secondary alteration. It is also suggested that most of this alteration may have occurred in the nebula (e.g. Zn- and Fe-incorporation in spinels). However, the CAI could not have survived in the nebula as a free floating object for a long period of time. Therefore, the possibility of storage in a precursor planetesimal for a few million years, resetting the magnesium-aluminum isotopic system, prior to impact brecciation, excavation, and accretion of the final R chondrite parent body cannot be ruled out.  相似文献   
45.
Various techniques are utilized by the seismological community, extractive industries, energy and geoengineering companies to identify earthquake nucleation processes in close proximity to engineering operation points. These operations may comprise fluid extraction or injections, artificial water reservoir impoundments, open pit and deep mining, deep geothermal power generations or carbon sequestration. In this letter to the editor, we outline several lines of investigation that we suggest to follow to address the discrimination problem between natural seismicity and seismic events induced or triggered by geoengineering activities. These suggestions have been developed by a group of experts during several meetings and workshops, and we feel that their publication as a summary report is helpful for the geoscientific community. Specific investigation procedures and discrimination approaches, on which our recommendations are based, are also published in this Special Issue (SI) of Journal of Seismology.  相似文献   
46.
Limestones in the Palmers Oakey District, N.S.W., range in age from Middle Silurian to Early Devonian. They occur as sheet‐like, bioclastic beds and/or isolated clasts in three facies: a volcaniclastic facies, a mudstone‐limestone facies, and a limestone‐mudstone breccia facies. Multielement conodont taxa, not previously reported from Australia, include Kockelella absidata, Kockelella stauros, Ozarkodina asymmetrica, Ozarkodina stygia, Ozarkodina transitans, Pseudooneotodus bicornis, and Pseudooneotodus tricornis.  相似文献   
47.
We report oxygen- and magnesium-isotope compositions of Ca,Al-rich inclusions (CAIs) from several Rumuruti (R) chondrites measured in situ using a Cameca ims-1280 ion microprobe. On a three-isotope oxygen diagram, δ17O vs. δ18O, compositions of individual minerals in most R CAIs analyzed fall along a slope-1 line. Based on the variations of Δ17O values (Δ17O = δ17O − 0.52 × δ18O) within individual inclusions, the R CAIs are divided into (i) 16O-rich (Δ17O ∼ −23-26‰), (ii) uniformly 16O-depleted (Δ17O ∼ −2‰), and (iii) isotopically heterogeneous (Δ17O ranges from −25‰ to +5‰). One of the hibonite-rich CAIs, H030/L, has an intermediate Δ17O value of −12‰ and a highly fractionated composition (δ18O ∼ +47‰). We infer that like most CAIs in other chondrite groups, the R CAIs formed in an 16O-rich gaseous reservoir. The uniformly 16O-depleted and isotopically heterogeneous CAIs subsequently experienced oxygen-isotope exchange during remelting in an 16O-depleted nebular gas, possibly during R chondrite chondrule formation, and/or during fluid-assisted thermal metamorphism on the R chondrite parent asteroid.Three hibonite-bearing CAIs and one spinel-plagioclase-rich inclusion were analyzed for magnesium-isotope compositions. The CAI with the highly fractionated oxygen isotopes, H030/L, shows a resolvable excess of 26Mg (26Mg) corresponding to an initial 26Al/27Al ratio of ∼7 × 10−7. Three other CAIs show no resolvable excess of 26Mg (26Mg). The absence of 26Mg in the spinel-plagioclase-rich CAI from a metamorphosed R chondrite NWA 753 (R3.9) could have resulted from metamorphic resetting. Two other hibonite-bearing CAIs occur in the R chondrites (NWA 1476 and NWA 2446), which appear to have experienced only minor degrees of thermal metamorphism. These inclusions could have formed from precursors with lower than canonical 26Al/27Al ratio.  相似文献   
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49.
Abstract— Adzhi-Bogdo is an ordinary chondrite regolith breccia (LL3–6) which fell on 1949 October 30 in Gobi Altay, Mongolia. The rock consists of submm- to cm-sized fragments embedded in a fine-grained clastic matrix. The polymict breccia contains various types of clasts, some of which must be of foreign origin. Components of the breccia include chondrules, melt rock clasts (some of which are K-rich), highly recrystallized rock fragments (“granulites”), breccia clasts, pyroxene-rich fragments with achondritic textures, and alkali-granitoids. The composition of olivine in most fragments is in the range of LL-chondrites. However, olivine in some components has significantly lower fayalite contents, characteristic of L-chondrites. The bulk meteorite is very weakly shocked (S2). Based on the bulk chemical composition, Adzhi-Bogdo is an ordinary chondrite. The concentrations of Fe and Ni are somewhat intermediate between L- and LL-chondrites. The contents of solar gases indicate that Adzhi-Bogdo is a regolith breccia. Most of the solar He and probably a part of the solar Ne of Adzhi-Bogdo has been lost. It is suggested that Adzhi-Bogdo experienced an (impact-induced) thermal event early in its history, because most of the radiogenic 40Ar is retained.  相似文献   
50.
Abstract— The Rumuruti meteorite shower fell in Rumuruti, Kenya, on 1934 January 28 at 10:43 p.m. Rumuruti is an olivine-rich chondritic breccia with light-dark structure. Based on the coexistence of highly recrystallized fragments and unequilibrated components, Rumuruti is classified as a type 3–6 chondrite breccia. The most abundant phase of Rumuruti is olivine (mostly Fa~39) with about 70 vol%. Feldspar (~14 vol%; mainly plagioclase), Ca-pyroxene (5 vol%), pyrrhotite (4.4 vol%), and pentlandite (3.6 vol%) are major constituents. All other phases have abundances below 1 vol%, including low-Ca pyroxene, chrome spinels, phosphates (chlorapatite and whitlockite), chalcopyrite, ilmenite, tridymite, Ni-rich and Ge-containing metals, kamacite, and various particles enriched in noble metals like Pt, Ir, arid Au. The chemical composition of Rumuruti is chondritic. The depletion in refractory elements (Sc, REE, etc.) and the comparatively high Mn, Na, and K contents are characteristic of ordinary chondrites and distinguish Rumuruti from carbonaceous chondrites. However, S, Se, and Zn contents in Rumuruti are significantly above the level expected for ordinary chondrites. The oxygen isotope composition of Rumuruti is high in δ17O (5.52 ‰) and δ18O (5.07 ‰). Previously, a small number of chondritic meteorites with strong similarities to Rumuruti were described. They were called Carlisle Lakes-type chondrites and they comprise: Carlisle Lakes, ALH85151, Y-75302, Y-793575, Y-82002, Acfer 217, PCA91002, and PCA91241, as well as clasts in the Weatherford chondrite. All these meteorites are finds from hot and cold deserts having experienced various degrees of weathering. With Rumuruti, the first meteorite fall has been recognized that preserves the primary mineralogical and chemical characteristics of a new group of meteorites. Comparing all chondrites, the characteristic features can be summarized as follows: (a) basically chondritic chemistry with ordinary chondrite element patterns of refractory and moderately volatile lithophiles but higher abundances of S, Se, and Zn; (b) high degree of oxidation (37–41 mol% Fa in olivine, only traces of Fe, Ni-metals, occurrence of chalcopyrite); (c) exceptionally high Δ17O values of about 2.7 for bulk samples; (d) high modal abundance of olivine (~70 vol%); (e) Ti-Fe3+?rich chromite (~5.5 wt% TiO2); (f) occurrence of various noble metal-rich particles; (g) abundant chondritic breccias consisting of equilibrated clasts and unequilibrated lithologies. With Rumuruti, nine meteorite samples exist that are chemically and mineralogically very similar. These meteorites are attributed to at least eight different fall events. It is proposed in this paper to call this group R chondrites (rumurutiites) after the first and only fall among these meteorites. These meteorites have a close relationship to ordinary chondrites. However, they are more oxidized than any of the existing groups of ordinary chondrites. Small, but significant differences in chemical composition and in oxygen isotopes between R chondrites and ordinary chondrites exclude formation of R chondrites from ordinary chondrites by oxidation. This implies a separate, independent R chondrite parent body.  相似文献   
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