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31.
M. Aran A. Sairouni J. Bech J. Toda T. Rigo J. Cunillera J. Mor 《Atmospheric Research》2007,83(2-4):315-335
Hail is one of the most fearsome meteorological phenomena for agricultural areas. The harvest of the whole year can be destroyed in only a few minutes. A pilot project to characterise hail events and identify hail with the help of radar observations is described in this paper. This pilot project was carried out in Terres de Ponent, an area of about 200,000 ha in Lleida (Catalonia), in the NE of the Iberian Peninsula.The aim of the project was to characterise hail events, directly by radiosounding data and radar images, and indirectly by the evaluation of the radiosonde forecasted by the Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) Mesoscale Atmospheric Simulation System (MASS) and several instability indices. In the first stage of the project several instability indices were calculated during the 5 months of the campaign and a comparison of these indices with those obtained with radiosounding data from Barcelona and Zaragoza was performed. An operative image of the probability of hail distribution in Catalonia (every 6 min, hourly and daily) was also made using the Waldvogel method for its detection. As a starting point, an empirical fit of POH (probability of hail) obtained recently in the Netherlands (POH = 0.319 + 0.133·ΔH, where ΔH is the difference between the 45 dBZ echo top height from radar image and the isozero forecast). Complementary to this, to detect the hail at the beginning of spring, the process was repeated with the 35 dBZ echo top.In a second stage of the project, the calculated POH was compared with the hail events measured by 171 hailpads of the observational network of the Agrupació de Defensa Vegetal (ADV) of Terres de Ponent and a new fit of the POH formula was obtained. It was also the aim of this second stage to validate the forecasted radiosoundings by the NWP MASS model in Lleida and Barcelona. Finally, a comparison between the radiosounding data from Barcelona, Lleida and Zaragoza was made to verify which radiosounding (Barcelona or Zaragoza) is more representative of the Lleida area. 相似文献
32.
龙门山断裂带上的汶川地震摧毁了四川的几座城市,夺去了69000多人的生命。计算结果显示,该地震可能使部分鲜水河断裂、东昆仑断裂大部以及部分岷江断裂应力增加了0．2～0．5bar,更加接近破裂状态。这3条位于青藏高原东部的活动断裂带均在离汶川发震带150-400km的库仑静应力影响范围内。由于部分受力断层上的应变累积至少已有一个世纪之久,最近的汶川地震有可能触发或加速这些断层带上新的7级以上强震的发生,从而可能造成从四川省康定至道孚、青海省玛沁至甘肃省洛大以及邻近区域的强烈震动。本文利用由计算得到的汶川地震引起的应力变化以及过去10年观测到的背景地震发生率,对该地区在未来10年内发生破坏性地震的概率以及可能的空间分布进行了预测。结果表明,研究区内在未来10年内发生M≥6级地震的概率为57％～71％,发生M≥7级地震的概率为8％～12％,是汶川地震前发震概率的2倍。 相似文献
33.
Masa-Yuki Yamamoto Masayuki Toda Yoshihiro Higa Kouji Maeda Jun-Ichi Watanabe 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2004,95(1-4):279-287
Observations of persistent meteor trains are limited because of the extreme rarity of the phenomenon. The altitudinal distribution
of persistent trains has previously been investigated via limited instances of simultaneous observation from multiple sites,
however, a statistical study of persistent trains has yet to be realized. The meteor train observation (METRO) campaign was
established in Japan in 1998 to obtain images of persistent trains. From 1998 to 2002, the METRO campaign, involving Japanese
amateur collaborators, captured more than 400 image sequences of persistent trains, resulting in 53 simultaneous multi-site
observations. Several Japanese observers were involved in imaging persistent trains prior to the METRO campaign, producing
6 simultaneous observations over the period 1988–1997. In this paper, simultaneous multi-site observations of high spatial
and temporal resolution are used to determine, via triangulation, the altitudinal distribution of persistent trains for 20
events. The altitudinal range of 2 Orionid trains was slightly higher than that of 18 Leonid trains. The Leonid train data
reveal no clear dependence of upper and lower altitude on the brightness of the associated fireball. The upper altitude of
the 18 observed Leonid trains were almost invariant with respect to local time (LT) of observation, however, a possible dependence
of lower altitude on LT of observation was also found, indicating a near-constant penetrating path-length in the upper atmosphere
for each train. The average upper altitude of persistent Leonid trains was 99.8 km, while the average central altitude was
93.0 km. These trends are probably determined by atmospheric conditions such as the abundance of O and O3. 相似文献
34.
Motomu Toda Masayuki Yokozawa Akihiro Sumida Tsutomu Watanabe Toshihiko Hara 《Carbon balance and management》2007,2(1):6
Background
Changes in the timing of phenological events may cause the annual carbon budget of deciduous forests to change. Therefore, one should take such events into account when evaluating the effects of global warming on deciduous forests. In this article, we report on the results of numerical experiments done with a model that includes a phenological module simulating the timing of bud burst and other phenological events and estimating maximum leaf area index. 相似文献35.
Panon Latcharote Khaled Al-Salem Anawat Suppasri Tanuspong Pokavanich Shinji Toda Yogeesha Jayaramu Abdullah Al-Enezi Alanoud Al-Ragum Fumihiko Imamura 《Natural Hazards》2018,92(1):127-143
This paper explores the ways that Mongolian pastoral-nomadic herders and supporting aid organizations anticipate, interpret, and respond to dzud, a form of winter storm that prevents livestock grazing and often results in large-scale herd deaths. Analysis is drawn from organizational reports, government speeches, and mass media that have been collected to give a complex, multi-faceted understanding of the collection, distribution, and interpretation of data pertaining to the social and scientific construction of this natural hazard. Using critical discourse analysis, this study asks how herder perspectives and needs have been incorporated into reports and action plans of international development organizations. The collected documents provide insight into the ways that knowledge is constructed, disseminated and valued among policy makers, development planners and herders. Additionally, the findings indicate disagreement between stakeholders as to when to declare a national emergency, and how to best help herders respond to the increasing frequency of dzud. While some organizations rely on traditional recovery mechanisms, others have turned to technological solutions, all aiming to assist herders in adequately responding to and recovering from one dzud before another occurs. From the analysis of policy proposals, this study aims to understand and inform the ways that international development programs, government officials, and herders work to preserve pasturelands and herding lifestyles threatened by dzud. 相似文献
36.
Ryota Nakajima Dhugal J. Lindsay Teruaki Yoshida Bin Haji Ross Othman Tatsuki Toda 《Marine Ecology》2014,35(2):254-260
Gelatinous zooplankton abundance and species composition were investigated at 3‐h intervals for a 48‐h period at a fringing reef in Malaysia. A total of 20 gelatinous zooplankton species were observed; the community was dominated by the calycophoran siphonophore Diphyes chamissonis (79.9%), followed by the trachymedusdae Aglaura hemistoma (5.6%) and Liriope tetraphylla (4.8%). The gelatinous zooplankton were not collected in the water column during most of the daytime hours (1200, 1500 and 1800 h) but were common during the night. However, an abrupt peak in abundance was found at 0900 h on the second day. The times of appearance at night were different depending on the species, and the number of species was also different depending on the hour of sampling. Sampling at 3‐h intervals over a 48‐h period revealed that the temporal variation (or sampling availability) was large in this study. Careful consideration should be given to the sampling variability in handling the gelatinous zooplankton samples in coral reef areas. 相似文献
37.
Youta?SugaiEmail author Kenji?Tsuchiya Victor?S.?Kuwahara Shinji?Shimode Kazuhiro?Komatsu Akio?Imai Tatsuki?Toda 《Journal of Oceanography》2016,72(4):577-587
This study aimed to clarify the vertical differences in bacterial growth and grazing pressure on bacteria by heterotrophic nanoflagellates (HNF) and to identify the controlling factors of bacterial growth in temperate coastal waters of Sagami Bay, Japan. In addition to environmental factors, the annual monthly variations in bacterial growth rate (BGR) and the relative abundance of bacteria to HNF (BA/HNFA) were investigated in the euphotic and disphotic layers between May 2012 and May 2013. Significant vertical differences in BGR and BA/HNFA were evident between the two layers during the thermal stratification times of May to October 2012 and April to May 2013. BGR indicated significantly stronger limitation of bacterial growth in the euphotic layer compared to the disphotic layer. In contrast, significantly lower BA/HNFA was observed in the euphotic layer, suggesting significantly higher grazing pressure on bacteria by HNF. However, significant differences in BGR and BA/HNFA were not observed between the two layers from November 2012 to Match 2013, when the water column was well-mixed vertically due to the cooling and wind-induced mixing of surface water. This study indicates that bacteria in the euphotic layer grow less actively and are more vulnerable to predatory grazing by HNF relative to the disphotic layer during the stratification period. Further, multiple regression analyses indicate that bacterial growth was most controlled by the concentrations of chlorophyll a and dissolved organic carbon in the euphotic and disphotic layers, respectively. 相似文献