Multi-fidelity meta-modeling for reservoir engineering - application to history matching     

Arthur Thenon  Véronique Gervais  Mickaële Le Ravalec 《Computational Geosciences》2016,20(6):1231-1250

Defining representative reservoir models usually calls for a huge number of fluid flow simulations, which may be very time-consuming. Meta-models are built to lessen this issue. They approximate a scalar function from the values simulated for a set of uncertain parameters. For time-dependent outputs, a reduced-basis approach can be considered. If the resulting meta-models are accurate, they can be called instead of the flow simulator. We propose here to investigate a specific approach named multi-fidelity meta-modeling to reduce further the simulation time. We assume that the outputs of interest are known at various levels of resolution: a fine reference level, and coarser levels for which computations are faster but less accurate. Multi-fidelity meta-models refer to co-kriging to approximate the outputs at the fine level using the values simulated at all levels. Such an approach can save simulation time by limiting the number of fine level simulations. The objective of this paper is to investigate the potential of multi-fidelity for reservoir engineering. The reduced-basis approach for time-dependent outputs is extended to the multi-fidelity context. Then, comparisons with the more usual kriging approach are proposed on a synthetic case, both in terms of computation time and predictivity. Meta-models are computed to evaluate the production responses at wells and the mismatch between the data and the simulated responses (history matching error), considering two levels of resolution. The results show that the multi-fidelity approach can outperform kriging if the target simulation time is small. Last, its potential is evidenced when used for history matching.  相似文献   

Relay zone evolution: a history of repeated fault propagation and linkage,central Corinth rift,Greece          下载免费PDF全文

Romain Hemelsdaël  Mary Ford 《Basin Research》2016,28(1):34-56

Established models indicate that, before being breached, relay zones along rift borders can evolve either by lengthening and rotating during progressive overlap of growing fault segments (isolated fault model), or, by simply rotating without lengthening before breaching (coherent fault model). The spatio‐temporal distribution of vertical motions in a relay zone can thus be used to distinguish fault growth mechanisms. Depositional relay zones that develop at sea level and accommodate both deposition on the ramp itself as well as transfer of sediments from the uplifting footwall into the hangingwall depocentres and provide the most complete record of vertical motions. We examine the development of a depositional relay ramp on the border of the active Corinth rift, Greece to reconstruct fault interaction in time and space using both onshore and offshore (2D seismic lines) data. The Akrata relay zone developed over a period of ca. 0.5 Myr since the Middle Pleistocene between the newly forming East Helike Fault (EHF) that propagated towards the older, more established Derveni Fault (DF). The relay zone captured the Krathis River, which deposited prograding Gilbert‐type deltas on the sub‐horizontal ramp. Successive oblique faults record progressive linkage and basinward migration of accommodation along the ramp axis, whereas marine terraces record diachronous uplift in their footwalls. Although early linkage of the relay zone occurs, continuous propagation and linkage of the EHF onto the static DF is recorded before final beaching. Rotation on forced folds above the upward and laterally propagating normal faults at the borders of the relay zone represents the ramp hinges. The Akrata relay zone cannot be compared directly to a simple fault growth model because (1) the relay zone connects two fault segments of different generations; (2) multiple linkages during propagation was facilitated by the presence of pre‐existing crustal structures, inherited from the Hellenide fold and thrust belt. The linkage of the EHF to the DF contributed to the westward and northward propagation of the southern rift border.  相似文献   

Sur une advection intermittente d'air froid dans les Alpes suisses     

Dr. ès sc. M. Bouët 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》1965,14(3):306-312

Résumé Le 21 août 1954, un fort courant du Sud-Ouest en bordure d'un îlot d'air froid stationnaire sur la France provoque une baisse lente de température dans la région des Alpes suisses ainsi que d'abondantes précipitations de mélange et d'instabilité pseudolabile. La progression de l'air froid se fait de façon discontinue et s'accompagne de rapides variations de pression dues en partie à l'instabilité troposphérique.

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Summary On August 21, 1954, an intense south-western current produced at the border of a stationary cold air pool over France a slow drop in temperature in the Swiss Alps with abundant precipitations of mixing and pseudo-labile instability. The cold air advanced, discontinuously and was accompanied by rapid pressure variations partly due to tropospherical instability.

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Zusammenfassung Am 21. August 1954 erzeugte eine starke Südwestströmung am Rande eines stationären Kaltlufttropfens über Frankreich in den Schweinzer Alpen einen langsamen Temperaturfall mit ergiebigen Mischungs- und pseudolabilen Instabilitätsniederschlägen. Das Vorrücken der Kaltluft erfolgte in diskontinuierlicher Weise und war von schnellen Druckschwankungen begleitet, die teilweise auf die troposphärische Instabilität zurückzuführen sind.

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Avec 2 Figures  相似文献   

Some remarks on the field-strength inside thunderclouds     

Prof. Dr. H. Israël 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1951,20(1):177-180

Summary The potential-gradient in thunderclouds is — due to the experiences up to now — generally much lower than expected. As an explanation for this limitation of the potential-gradient may be assumed that the elements of the clouds and the precipitation are sparkling («sprühen»). This would stabilize the voltage because it works as an automatically regulated load for the thunderstorm-generator. When this regulation suspends it will be replaced by the lightning as the last possibility of compensation. The fact that thunderclouds can be radared may be taken as a confirmation of the fact that a sparkling-effect exists in these clouds.

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Zusammenfassung Nach bisherigen Erfahrungen ist die elektrische Feldstärke in den Gewitterwolken im allgemeinen wesentlich geringer als man erwarten sollte. Eine Erklärung für diese Feldstärkebegrenzung kann man in dem an den Wolken- und Niederschlagselementen anzunehmenden Sprühen sehen. Dieses wirkt als eine sich automatisch regutierende Belastung der Gewittermaschine, also spannungsstabilisierend. Setzt diese Regelung aus, so tritt an ihre Stelle gewissermassen als letzte Ausgleichsmöglichkeit der Blitz. Die Ortungsmöglichkeit von Gewitterwolken mittels Radar kann als Bestätigung des Sprühens in Gewitterwolken gelten.

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Peilstrahlwanderungen bei Längstwellen     

Dr. H. Israël 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1948,11(1):79-80

Ohne Zusammenfassung  相似文献   

Ocean wave transmission by submerged reef—A physical model study     

K.G. Shirlal  Subba Rao  Manu 《Ocean Engineering》2007,34(14-15):2093-2099

Ocean waves can be destructive as steeper waves due to their high energy eroding the sandy beaches. During storm surge or high tide, the water level rises and if large waves occur, they will break closer to the beach, releasing enormous amount of energy resulting in strong currents. This causes heavy loss of beach material due to large-scale erosion. If these waves are made to break prematurely and away from the beach, they can be attenuated so as to reduce beach erosion. The reef, which is a homogeneous pile of armour units without a core, breaks the steeper ocean waves, dissipates a major portion of their energy and transmits attenuated waves. This paper experimentally investigates the armour stone stability of the submerged reef and the influence of its varying distance from shore and crest width on ocean wave transmission.  相似文献   

Measuring electron density in coronal active regions     

J. C. Noëns  J. Pageault  G. Ratier 《Solar physics》1984,94(1):117-131

In order to study the electron density at the scale of the most encountered structures in coronal active regions a new multichannel coronagraph associated with a photoelectric spectrograph is now used at the Pic-du-Midi Observatory. In its quasi-routine mode this instrument, which is described in this paper, works with a 30 field aperture in a parallel manner with aK-polarimeter. On each observed region it obtains maps of intensities of the 3388, 10747, and 10798 Å emission lines due to Fexiii ion. Each measurement point is associated with a quasi-simultaneous image of the emission corona structures viewed in the light of the5303 Å line of Fexiv. Three examples of observations are given and the capabilities are discussed.Measuring electron density in coronal active regions. II A multichannel photoelectric coronagraph with a photo-electric spectrograph and a reflex monitor at5303 Å.LA du CNRS No. 040285.  相似文献   

Cell and tissue biomarkers in mussel, and histopathology in hake and anchovy from Bay of Biscay after the Prestige oil spill (Monitoring Campaign 2003)     

Marigómez I  Soto M  Cancio I  Orbea A  Garmendia L  Cajaraville MP 《Marine pollution bulletin》2006,53(5-7):287-304

In order to assess the biological effects of the Prestige oil spill (POS), mussels (Mytilus galloprovincialis), European hake (Merluccius merluccius) and European anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) were sampled between April and September 2003 in various geographical areas of Bay of Biscay: Galicia, Central Cantabrian and East Cantabrian. In mussels, several cell and tissue biomarkers were measured: peroxisome proliferation as induction of acyl-CoA oxidase (AOX) activity, lysosomal responses as changes in the structure (lysosomal volume density, V(V(L)), surface-to-volume ratio, S/V(L), and numerical density, N(V(L))) and in membrane stability (labilization period, LP), cell type replacement as relative proportion of basophilic cells (volume density of basophilic cells, V(V(BAS))) in digestive gland epithelium, and changes in the morphology of digestive alveoli as mean luminal radius to mean epithelial thickness (MLR/MET). Additionally, flesh condition index (FCI) and gonad index (GI) were measured as supporting parameters. In hake and anchovy, liver histopathology was examined to determine the prevalence of parasites, melanomacrophage centers, non-specific lesions (inflammatory changes, atrophy, necrosis, apoptosis), early non-neoplastic toxicopathic lesions (i.e., hepatocellular nuclear polymorphism), foci of cellular alteration, benign and malignant neoplasms. In mussels, AOX induction was noticeable in April except in Galicia. LP values were low in all the geographical areas studied, indicating disturbed health, especially in Galicia. Alike, lysosomal enlargement was observed in most stations as shown by the extremely low S/V(L) values. V(V(BAS)) and MLR/MET values were markedly high. Overall, employed biomarkers detected exposure to toxic chemicals and disturbed health in mussels from Bay of Biscay, with impact decreasing from April to September. Although hepatocellular nuclear polymorphism and nematode parasitization in fish liver were remarkably prominent in some areas, they cannot be hitherto related to POS, since we lack historical data to determine whether the prevalences found were normal or significantly raised after POS.  相似文献   

Multi-criteria spatialization of soil organic carbon sequestration potential from agricultural intensification in Senegal     

Valentin Bellassen  Raphaël J. Manlay  Jean-Pierre Chéry  Vincent Gitz  Assize Touré  Martial Bernoux  Jean-Luc Chotte 《Climatic change》2010,98(1-2):213-243

On the eve of the 15th climate negotiations conference in Copenhagen, the pressure to assess all climate mitigation options is mounting. In this study, a bio-physic model and a socio-economic model were designed and coupled to assess the carbon sequestration potential of agricultural intensification in Senegal. The biophysical model is a multiple linear regression, calibrated and tested on a dataset of long-term agricultural trials established in West Africa. The socio-economic model integrates both financial and environmental costs related to considered practice changes. Both models are spatially explicit and the resulting spatial patterns were computed and displayed over Senegal with a geographic information system. The national potential from large-scale intensification was assessed at 0.65–0.83 MtC. With regards to local-scaled intensification as local projects, the most profitable areas were identified in agricultural expansion regions (especially Casamance), while the areas that meet the current financial additionality criteria of the Clean Development Mechanism were located in the northern part of the Peanut Basin. Using the current relevant mode of carbon valuation (Certified Emission Reductions), environmental benefits are small compared to financial benefits. This picture is radically changed if “avoided deforestation”, a likely consequence of agricultural intensification, is accounted for as the greenhouse gases sink capacity of projects increases by an average of a hundred-fold over Senegal.  相似文献   

First insights into the structure and environmental setting of cold-seep communities in the Marmara Sea     

Bénédicte Ritt  Jozée Sarrazin  Jean-Claude Caprais  Philippe Noël  Olivier Gauthier  Catherine Pierre  Pierre Henry  Daniel Desbruyères 《Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers》2010,57(9):1120-1136

A brackish-water cold seep on the North Anatolian Fault (NAF) in the Marmara Sea was investigated with the Nautile submersible during the MarNaut cruise in 2007. This active zone has already been surveyed and revealed evidence of active seeping on the seafloor, such as bubble emissions, patches of reduced sediments, microbial mats and authigenic carbonate crusts. MarNaut was the first opportunity to sample benthic communities in the three most common microhabitats (bioturbated and reduced sediments, carbonate crust) and to examine their relationships with environmental conditions. To do so, faunal communities were sampled and chemical measurements were taken close to the organisms. According to diversity indices, the bioturbated microhabitat exhibited the highest taxonomic diversity and evenness despite a lower number of samples. Conversely, the reduced sediment microhabitat exhibited the lowest taxonomic diversity and evenness. The carbonate crust microhabitat was intermediate although it had the highest biomass. Multivariate analyses showed that (1) fauna were relatively similar within a single microhabitat; (2) faunal community structure varied greatly between the different microhabitats; (3) there was a link between faunal distribution and the type of substratum; and (4) chemical gradients (i.e. methane, oxygen and probably sulphides) may influence faunal distribution. The estimated fluid flow velocity (0.4–0.8 m/yr) confirmed the presence of fluid emission and provided evidence of seawater convection in the two soft-sediment microhabitats. Our results suggest that the reduced sediments may represent a harsher environment with high upward fluid flow, which restrains seawater from penetrating the sediments and inhibits sulphide production, whereas bioturbated sediments can be viewed as a bio-irrigated system with sulphide production occurring at greater depths. Therefore, the environmental conditions in reduced sediments appear to prevent the colonization of symbiont-bearing fauna, such as vesicomyid bivalves, which are more often found in bioturbated sediments. Fluid flow appears to control sulphide availability, which in turn influences the horizontal and vertical distribution patterns of fauna at small spatial scales as observed at other seep sites.  相似文献