Simulating Spatial Dynamics and Processes in a Retail Gasoline Market: An Agent‐Based Modeling Approach     

Alison J. Heppenstall  Kirk Harland  Andrew N. Ross  Dan Olner 《Transactions in GIS》2013,17(5):661-682

Simulating the dynamics and processes within a spatially influenced retail market, such as the retail gasoline market, is a highly challenging research area. Current approaches are limited through their inability to model the impact of supplier or consumer behavior over both time and space. Agent‐based models (ABMs) provide an alternative approach that overcomes these problems. We demonstrate how knowledge of retail pricing is extended by using a ‘hybrid’ model approach: an agent model for retailers and a spatial interaction model for consumers. This allows the issue of spatial competition between individual retailers to be examined in a way only accessible to agent‐based models, allowing each model retailer autonomous control over optimizing their price. The hybrid model is shown to be successful at recreating spatial pricing dynamics at a national scale, simulating the effects of a rise in crude oil prices as well as accurately predicting which retailers were most susceptible to closure over a 10‐year period.  相似文献   

Revised 14C dating of ice wedge growth in interior Alaska (USA) to MIS 2 reveals cold paleoclimate and carbon recycling in ancient permafrost terrain     

Matthew S. Lachniet  Daniel E. Lawson  Alison R. Sloat 《Quaternary Research》2012,78(2):217-225

Establishing firm radiocarbon chronologies for Quaternary permafrost sequences remains a challenge because of the persistence of old carbon in younger deposits. To investigate carbon dynamics and establish ice wedge formation ages in Interior Alaska, we dated a late Pleistocene ice wedge, formerly assigned to Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3, and host sediments near Fairbanks, Alaska, with 24 radiocarbon analyses on wood, particulate organic carbon (POC), air-bubble CO₂, and dissolved organic carbon (DOC). Our new CO₂ and DOC ages are up to 11,170 yr younger than ice wedge POC ages, indicating that POC is detrital in origin. We conclude an ice wedge formation age between 28 and 22 cal ka BP during cold stadial conditions of MIS 2 and solar insolation minimum, possibly associated with Heinrich event 2 or the last glacial maximum. A DOC age for an ice lens in a thaw unconformity above the ice wedge returned a maximum age of 21,470 ± 200 cal yr BP. Our variable ¹⁴C data indicate recycling of older carbon in ancient permafrost terrain, resulting in radiocarbon ages significantly older than the period of ice-wedge activity. Release of ancient carbon with climatic warming will therefore affect the global ¹⁴C budget.  相似文献   

Cytochrome P4501A biomarker indication of the timeline of chronic exposure of Barrow's goldeneyes to residual Exxon Valdez oil     

Esler D  Ballachey BE  Trust KA  Iverson SA  Reed JA  Miles AK  Henderson JD  Woodin BR  Stegeman JJ  McAdie M  Mulcahy DM  Wilson BW 《Marine pollution bulletin》2011,62(3):609-614

We examined hepatic EROD activity, as an indicator of CYP1A induction, in Barrow’s goldeneyes captured in areas oiled during the 1989 Exxon Valdez spill and those from nearby unoiled areas. We found that average EROD activity differed between areas during 2005, although the magnitude of the difference was reduced relative to a previous study from 1996/1997, and we found that areas did not differ by 2009. Similarly, we found that the proportion of individuals captured from oiled areas with elevated EROD activity (?2 times unoiled average) declined from 41% in winter 1996/1997 to 10% in 2005 and 15% in 2009. This work adds to a body of literature describing the timelines over which vertebrates were exposed to residual Exxon Valdez oil and indicates that, for Barrow’s goldeneyes in Prince William Sound, exposure persisted for many years with evidence of substantially reduced exposure by 2 decades after the spill.  相似文献   

Provenance of chalk tesserae from Brading Roman Villa, Isle of Wight, UK     

Alison Tasker  Ian P. Wilkinson  Mark Williams 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》2011,122(5):933-937

Thin section petrographical analysis of chalk tesserae at Brading Roman Villa, Isle of Wight, England, identifies a range of planktonic foraminifera and the calcareous algal cyst Pithonella that identify the Late Cenomanian Rotalipora cushmani Biozone (BGS Foraminiferal Biozones 4iii to 7). The local chalk crop to the north of the villa includes rocks of R. cushmani Biozone age, and indicates a likely local, rather than long distance, source for the tesserae. Microfossils provide a powerful tool for identifying the provenance of artefacts in Roman Britain.  相似文献   

Hydroxyl stretching in phyllosilicates at high pressures and temperatures: an infrared spectroscopic study     

Alison R. Pawley  Raymond L. Jones 《Physics and Chemistry of Minerals》2011,38(10):753-765

The hydroxyl stretching frequencies of four phyllosilicates have been measured at high pressures and temperatures using an externally heated diamond-anvil cell and synchrotron infrared spectroscopy. Spectra were measured up to 26, 31, 21 and 8 GPa at room temperature for samples of talc, pyrophyllite, muscovite and 10-Å phase, respectively. Spectra were also measured in the range 273–500 K at ambient pressure for all samples and at 8–9 GPa for talc and pyrophyllite. The frequency of the Mg₃OH band in talc increases with pressure due to the absence of hydrogen bonding. The different orientation of the hydroxyl group in pyrophyllite and muscovite leads to hydrogen bonding and a decrease in the frequency of the Al₂OH band with pressure. 10-Å phase is approximately equivalent to talc with the addition of interlayer H₂O. In a spectrum of a sample synthesised for 143 h, two hydroxyl stretching bands are clearly resolved on compression. One is the same as the Mg₃OH band in talc, indicating the presence of intra-layer hydroxyl in a talc-like environment with no hydrogen bonding. The other, which separates from the talc-like band at 1 GPa, is associated with intra-layer hydroxyl that is hydrogen bonded to interlayer H₂O. There are equivalent bands in high-pressure spectra of a sample of deuterated 10-Å phase, synthesised for 400 h. This sample shows a greater extent of hydrogen bonding at ambient pressure than the 143 h sample. For all of the phases studied, increasing temperature leads to a decrease in frequency for every hydroxyl stretching vibration, both at low and high pressures. The shifts in frequency with temperature are an order of magnitude greater than the shifts with pressure when normalised to previously measured structural parameters.  相似文献   

On topographic coupling of surface and internal tides     

Peter G. Baines  John W. Miles 《Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers》2000,47(12):124

The problem of the generation of internal tides through the interaction of surface tides with oceanic bottom topography is re-examined, taking into account the horizontal components of the Earth's rotation. It is shown that previous models that have omitted these terms may be readily extended to include them, and changes in the magnitude and character of the barotropic to baroclinic conversion are estimated. For semi-diurnal tides the energy conversion is increased, but only by about 2%. However, the character of the waves differs at high latitudes, where the phase and location of the wave energy may change by as much as 14%. Accordingly, inclusion of these terms is recommended in future studies with these models.  相似文献   

A semianalytical approach for solving first-order perturbation equations of dissolution-timescale reactive infiltration instability problems in fluid-saturated rocks     

Chongbin Zhao  Bruce E. Hobbs  Alison Ord 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2020,44(15):2070-2092

This paper presents a semianalytical approach for solving first-order perturbation (FOP) equations, which are used to describe dissolution-timescale reactive infiltration instability (RII) problems in fluid-saturated rocks. The proposed approach contains two parts because the chemical dissolution reaction divides the whole problem domain into two subdomains. In the first part, the interface-condition substitution strategy is used to derive the analytical expressions of purely mathematical solutions for the FOP equations in the upstream subdomain, where the dissolution chemical reaction is ceased and the FOP equations are weakly coupled. In the second part, the finite element method (FEM) is used to derive the analytical expressions of numerical solutions for the FOP equations in the downstream subdomain, where the dissolution chemical reaction needs to be considered and the FOP equations are strongly coupled so that it is impossible to derive purely mathematical solutions for them. Particular attention is paid to the development of the element-by-element forward marching strategy, which is associated with the use of the FEM for solving this new kind of scientific problem. The related analytical results demonstrated that (1) both the dynamic characteristic of a reactive infiltration system and the dimensionless wavenumber can have pronounced influences on the distribution of the FOP dimensionless acid concentration within the entire domain of the dissolution-timescale RII problems in fluid-saturated rocks and (2) the FOP dimensionless acid concentration distribution exhibits two significantly different patterns in the upstream and downstream subdomains of the dissolution-timescale RII system.  相似文献   

On viscoelastic eddy viscosity for flow over a wavy surface     

John Miles 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1996,79(1-2):177-179

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Frequency dependence of Q in the mantle underlying the shield areas of Eurasia, Part II: analyses of long period data     

Alison C. Lees  Zoltan A. Der  Vernon F. Cormier  Margaret E. Marshall  James A. Burnetti 《Geophysical Journal International》1986,87(3):1085-1101

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The Cretaceous-Tertiary fireball layer,ejecta layer and coal seam: Platinum-group element content and mineralogy of size fractions     

Noreen Joyce Evans  D. Conrad Gregoire  Wayne D. Goodfellow  Norman Miles  Jn Veizer 《Meteoritics & planetary science》1994,29(2):223-235

Abstract— Grain size separates of the Cretaceous-Tertiary (K-T) fireball layer at marine sites and the entire K-T boundary interval at nonmarine sites (fireball layer, ejecta layer, coal seam) were analysed for platinum-group elements (PGE: Ru, Ir, Ft, Pd, Rh) and Au using inductively coupled plasma mass-spectrometry. X-ray diffractometry and scanning electron microscopy were performed on each fraction to establish the mineralogy. It was determined that the most abundant minerals in the finest fraction were a smectite-group mineral at marine K-T sites and illite-smectite mixed layer clay at nonmarine K-T sites. Positive correlation of PGE content and mineralogy indicates that the PGE are presently associated with these clay minerals which were likely formed by alteration of a condensed mafic phase (e.g., olivine or pyroxene). The correlation of clay mineral abundance with PGE content is imperfect because not all of the clay minerals in the fireball layer are derived by alteration of the original condensed ejecta. In addition, undetected PGE host(s), present in trace amounts, are likely also present.  相似文献