Historical discharge measurements on the Middle Mississippi River,USA: no basis for ‘changing history’     

Nicholas Pinter 《水文研究》2010,24(8):1088-1093

This study tests the hypothesis that historical float‐based discharge measurements on the Mississippi River systematically over‐stated actual flood flows by 10% to > 30% relative to measurements using current meters. This assertion has been repeated over the past 25 years and recently has been used to adjust historical discharges used for flood‐frequency analysis. This study tests the hypothesis above using 2150 historical discharge measurements digitized from the three principal gauging stations on the Middle Mississippi River (MMR): data that include 626 float‐based discharges and 1516 meter‐based discharges, including 122 paired measurements. Multiple comparative tests show that the hypothesis above cannot be supported; if anything, the float‐based measurements slightly underestimate flows (not over‐estimate) over a broad range of discharges up to large floods. In response to the purported data bias above (‘changing history’; Dieckmann RJ, Dyhouse GR. 1998. Changing history at St. Louis—adjusting historic flows for frequency analysis. First Federal Inter‐Agency Hydrologic Modeling Conference, April 20–22, 1998. Las Vegas, NV; 4·31–4·36), historical flood discharges on the MMR have been modified, most by 10–20% and several by > 30%. These altered discharges are now being promulgated, in particular, through the Upper Mississippi River System Flow Frequency Study (UMRSFFS). New flow frequencies, flood profiles, and new flood maps from the UMRSFFS may significantly underestimate the actual flood hazard on the MMR if the original hydrologic data have been erroneously altered on the basis of an assumption of data bias. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Impacts of climate variability and change on fishery-based livelihoods     

Marie-Caroline Badjeck  Edward H. Allison  Ashley S. Halls  Nicholas K. Dulvy 《Marine Policy》2010

There is increasing concern over the consequences of global warming for the food security and livelihoods of the world's 36 million fisherfolk and the nearly 1.5 billion consumers who rely on fish for more than 20% of their dietary animal protein. With mounting evidence of the impacts of climate variability and change on aquatic ecosystems, the resulting impacts on fisheries livelihoods are likely to be significant, but remain a neglected area in climate adaptation policy. Drawing upon our research and the available literature, and using a livelihoods framework, this paper synthesizes the pathways through which climate variability and change impact fisherfolk livelihoods at the household and community level. We identify current and potential adaptation strategies and explore the wider implications for local livelihoods, fisheries management and climate policies. Responses to climate change can be anticipatory or reactive and should include: (1) management approaches and policies that build the livelihood asset base, reducing vulnerability to multiple stressors, including climate change; (2) an understanding of current response mechanisms to climate variability and other shocks in order to inform planned adaptation; (3) a recognition of the opportunities that climate change could bring to the sector; (4) adaptive strategies designed with a multi-sector perspective; and (5) a recognition of fisheries potential contribution to mitigation efforts.  相似文献   

Reinterpreting Rotherslade,Gower Peninsula: implications for Last Glacial ice limits and Quaternary stratigraphy of the British Isles     

John F. Hiemstra  Kenneth F. Rijsdijk  Richard A. Shakesby  Danny McCarroll 《第四纪科学杂志》2009,24(4):399-410

Rotherslade on the Gower Peninsula in south Wales has been viewed as a key site for the reconstruction of Quaternary depositional environments in the British Isles. Since the early 20th century, and certainly since the 1980s, the accepted view has been that Rotherslade is the most westerly location on the south Gower coast where there is in situ basal till exposed and that, logically, this location marks the position of the LGM ice limit. However, reinvestigation of the sediments and their architecture, and analysis of clast fabrics and thin sections of critical sedimentary units, show that none of the exposed sediments has properties diagnostic of subglacial deposition or deformation. We postulate here that LGM ice terminated at the western side of Swansea Bay, a few kilometres to the north‐east of Rotherslade, and propose that the sedimentary sequence comprises Early to Middle Devensian periglacial sediments, overlain by a complex of Late Devensian, ice‐proximal outwash fan deposits, an assemblage of paraglacial debris and, finally, periglacial mass movement deposits. The proposed repositioning of the Late Devensian ice limit and the associated new subaerial interpretation of the sediments suggest that a reassessment of sedimentary sequences (Hunts Bay, Western Slade) and landforms (Paviland Moraine) farther west on Gower, which have attained similar stratigraphical status, is now warranted. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Kilometric type III burst enhancements associated with interplanetary shocks     

Nicholas Dunckel 《Solar physics》1976,46(2):461-464

Type III bursts have been observed in the 30–100 kHz range which show localized enhancements in their spectra. The enhancements exhibited by a series of type III bursts extending over a period of several hours show a consistent decrease in frequency. The rate of this decrease is consistent with the movement of an interplanetary shock. The passage of such a shock by the Earth is suggested by the occurrence of sudden commencements at approximately the expected time.  相似文献   

Low-pressure metamorphism and anatexis of Carolina Slate Belt Phyllites in the contact aureole of the Lilesville Pluton,North Carolina,USA     

Nicholas H. Evans  J. Alexander Speer 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1984,87(3):297-309

In the contact aureole of the Lilesville granite and comagmatic Pee Dee gabbro, N.C., greenschist-facies phyllites of the Carolina slate belt have been overprinted by a series of metamorphic reactions producing opx-bearing hornfelses and migmatitic gneisses. In the exterior aureole the slate belt assemblage (chl+ms+ep+ab+qz) gives way to the continuous reaction assemblages (chl+bt+cd+ ms+ab±ep+qz), (bt+cd+ms+An_8–29+qz), (bt+cd+ kf+ms+pl+qz), (bt+cd+als±ms+kf+pl+qz), and (bt+cd+ga+kf+pl+qz), from lowest to highest grade. The interior aureole, interpreted as part of the floor of the granite, bears the continuous and discontinuous reaction assemblages (bt+cd+als+kf+pl+qz),(bt+cd+kf+ pl+qz), and, near the gabbro, (bt+cd+ga+opx+kf+ pl+qz). The leucosomes of the migmatitic interior aureole are predominantly trondhjemites with the assemblage (An_35–45+qz±bt±cd±kf). Restites in the migmatitic interior aureole contain the AFM assemblages (bt), (bt + cd), (bt+cd+als), and (bt+cd+ga), plus kf, An_40–50, and qz. Contact metamorphism was isobaric at 4.0–5.1 or 2.0–3.5 kb depending on choice of aluminosilicate triple point; temperatures reached 650° C in the migmatitic interior aureole and approached 750° C near the gabbro; was less than 0.8 in the migmatites, and was lower in the interior aureole and in the high grade exterior aureole. Partial melting in the migmatitic interior aureole took place during dynamothermal metamorphism caused by the magmatic diapir. Incipient melting occurred by the reaction bt+cd+kf+pl+qz+w = liquid. The melt was H₂O-undersaturated and coefficients of the reactants were weighted heavily toward the felsic minerals; the proportion of felsic minerals in the leucosomes was controlled in part by modal abundance of kf, pl, and qz available for melting. The incorporation of K into biotite by subsolidus reactions, coupled with the high thermal stability and low solubility of biotite in a felsic melt, are responsible for the trondhjemitic composition of the early anatectic liquids.Abbreviations als Al₂SiO₅ - ab albite - An_8–29 plagioclase with anorthite contents in the range indicated - bt biotite - cd cordierite - chl chlorite - ep epidote - ga garnet - kf K feldspar - ms muscovite - opx orthopyroxene - pl plagioclase undefined - qz quartz - w water  相似文献   

Instrumental Neutron Activation Analysis of Nine New Reference Materials from the Geological Survey of Japan     

Philip J. POTTS  Nicholas W. ROGERS 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》1986,10(2):121-125

Nine reference materials, recently distributed by the Geological Survey of Japan (JA-1, JB-la, JB-2, JB-3, JG-la, JGb-1, JP-1, JR-1 and JR-2) have been analysed by instrumental neutron activation analysis using well proven experimental techniques. Results for the twenty elements determined (selected rare earth elements, Fe, Ba, Co, Cr, Cs, Hf, Rb, Sc, Ta, Th and U) are assessed for accuracy and precision and show good agreement with previously published data.  相似文献   

A stable isotope study of serpentinization and metamorphism in the Highland Border Suite,Scotland, U.K.     

Nicholas P Ikin  Russell S Harmon 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1983,47(2):153-167

$\text{D}\text{H}$ and ${}^{18}\text{O}{}^{16}\text{O}$ ratios have been measured for whole-rock samples and mineral separates from the mafic and ultramatic rocks of the Cambro-Ordovician Highland Border Suite. The H- and O- isotopic compositions of these rocks record individual stages in a relatively complex 500 Myr old hydrothermal/metamorphic history. Lizardite serpentinites (δD ～ ? 105‰; δ¹⁸O ～ + 6.2‰) record a premetamorphic history and indicate that parent harzburgites, dunites, and pyroxenites were serpentinized through low-temperature interaction with meteoric waters during cooling. The other rocks of the Highland Border Suite record subsequent interaction with metamorphic fluids. Amphibolite facies hornblende schists were produced through thrust-related (dynamothermal) metamorphism of spilitic pillow lavas. During dehydration, D-enriched fluids were driven off from the spilites thus leaving the hornblende schists to equilibrate with a relatively D-depleted internal fluid reservoir (δD ～ ? 45‰). The expelled D-enriched fluids may have mixed with more typical Dalradian metamorphic waters which then exchanged with the remaining mafic rocks and lizardite serpentinites during greenschist facies regional metamorphism to produce antigorite serpentinites (δD ～ ? 62‰; δ¹⁸O ～ + 8‰) and greenschist metaspilites (δD ～ ? 57‰; δ¹⁸O ～ + 7.3‰) with similar H- and O-isotopic compositions. Serpentinites which have been only partially metamorphosed show intermediate H-isotopic compositions between that of metamorphic antigorite (δD ～ ? 62‰) and non-metamorphic lizardite δD ～ ? 105‰) end members.  相似文献   

Oxygen isotope and palaeomagnetic stratigraphy of Equatorial Pacific core V28-238: Oxygen isotope temperatures and ice volumes on a 105 year and 106 year scale     

Nicholas John Shackleton  Neil D. Opdyke 《Quaternary Research》1973,3(1):39-55

Core Vema 28-238 preserves an excellent oxygen isotope and magnetic stratigraphy and is shown to contain undisturbed sediments deposited continuously through the past 870,000 yr. Detailed correlation with sequences described by Emiliani in the Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean is demonstrated. The boundaries of 22 stages representing alternating times of high and low Northern Hemisphere ice volume are recognized and dated. The record is interpreted in terms of Northern Hemisphere ice accumulation, and is used to estimate the range of temperature variation in the Caribbean.  相似文献   

Chemical mineralogy of the Monchique alkaline complex,southern Portugal     

Nicholas M. S. Rock 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1982,81(1):64-78

Some 500 microprobe analyses from 43 rock samples, covering the entire range of major and minor intrusive rock-types, define the following ranges of mineral composition: plagioclases (An_70-30), alkali feldspars (Or_98-20 and Ab_90–99), olivines (Fo_85-82), clinopyroxenes (aluminous titanaugite through salite and aegirine-augite to acmite), amphiboles (subsilicic kaersutite through pargasite to hastingsite, edenite or katophorite), biotites (titanbiotite to titaniferous manganiferous lepidomelane). Varied discontinuous reaction relationships are evident petrographically between these minerals (e.g. amphibole overgrowths on pyroxenes or biotites), but most appear to reflect reequilibration during slow magmatic cooling, or perhaps local disequilibrium effects, and there is little evidence for significant subsolidus, hydrothermal or deuteric modification of the primary mineralogy.Although these mineral ranges are reasonably typical of differentiated alkaline gabbroic-syenitic intrusions, Monchique also shows many unusual features: e.g. a restricted stability range for olivine, the absence of amphiboles from all rocks with 54<%SiO₂<58, a lack of alkali amphiboles corresponding to the acmite-rich pyroxenes, the presence of acmite-poor pyroxenes and aluminous biotites in peralkaline rocks, and irregular Ti variation in biotites. Mineral/ host-rock relationships also show peculiarities: e.g. Mg/ (Mg+Fe) ratios of mafic minerals and An contents of plagioclases increase as host-rock fractionation index (FI) increases from gabbroic (FI 30–40%) to alkali feldspar-bearing essexitic (FI c. 50) rocks. Thereafter, Mg ratios decrease only slightly, such that many malignites and miaskitic syenites (FI 70–90) carry pyroxenes and biotites which are no more, and sometimes less evolved than those in the gabbroic rocks (FI 30–40).Such features confirm earlier suggestions from whole-rock geochemistry, that a major evolutionary process in the complex was a relatively discontinuous segregation of already somewhat evolved essexitic magma into more basic and more felsic magmas, rather than an incremental gabbrosyenite crystal fractionation. They also confirm that the complex represents neither a single in situ differentiating magma pulse, nor a series of simply related pulses, but an irregular and largely irresolvable juxtaposition of magma-batches of widely varying compositions and evolutionary histories.  相似文献   

Comment on “rejection of palaeomagnetic observations” by P.L. McFadden     

Nicholas I. Fisher  Toby Lewis  Mary E. Willcox 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1983,64(2):316-317

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