Truncation of the distribution of ground-motion residuals   总被引：4，自引：3，他引：1  

Fleur O. Strasser  Julian J. Bommer  Norman A. Abrahamson 《Journal of Seismology》2008,12(1):79-105

Recent studies to assess very long-term seismic hazard in the USA and in Europe have highlighted the importance of the upper tail of the ground-motion distribution at the very low annual frequencies of exceedance required by these projects. In particular, the use of an unbounded lognormal distribution to represent the aleatory variability of ground motions leads to very high and potentially unphysical estimates of the expected level of shaking. Current practice in seismic hazard analysis consists of truncating the ground-motion distribution at a fixed number (ε _max) of standard deviations (σ). However, there is a general lack of consensus regarding the truncation level to adopt. This paper investigates whether a physical basis for choosing ε _max can be found, by examining records with large positive residuals from the dataset used to derive one of the ground-motion models of the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) project. In particular, interpretations of the selected records in terms of causative physical mechanisms are reviewed. This leads to the conclusion that even in well-documented cases, it is not possible to establish a robust correlation between specific physical mechanisms and large values of the residuals, and thus obtain direct physical constraints on ε _max. Alternative approaches based on absolute levels of ground motion and numerical simulations are discussed. However, the choice of ε _max is likely to remain a matter of judgment for the foreseeable future, in view of the large epistemic uncertainties associated with these alternatives. Additional issues arise from the coupling between ε _max and σ, which causes the truncation level in terms of absolute ground motion to be dependent on the predictive equation used. Furthermore, the absolute truncation level implied by ε _max will also be affected if σ is reduced significantly. These factors contribute to rendering a truncation scheme based on a single ε _max value impractical.  相似文献   

An Analytic Model For A Mantle Plume Fed By A Boundary Layer     

Norman H. Sleep 《Geophysical Journal International》1987,90(1):119-128

Summary. An approximate analytical solution for flow in a mantle plume of constant radius, viscosity, and density contrast is obtained in cylindrical coordinates. the differential equations for vertical velocity of the mantle surrounding the plume and for topography are homologous to the equation for flexure of an elastic plate. Although the model is too simple to be fully applicable to the Earth, one can conclude that the vertical velocity in the mantle changes significantly away from plumes, that the viscosity of the plume is important for controlling flow rate, and that the long-wavelength geoid anomalies are sensitive to the viscosity of the surrounding mantle. the first induced upwelling away from a plume is quite weak and unlikely to control the spacing of plumes.  相似文献   

Quantifying chemical changes in hydrothermally altered volcanic sequences — silica enrichment as a guide to the crandon massive sulfide deposit,Wisconsin, U.S.A.     

Norman G. Lavery 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》1985,24(1):1-27

A multi-element geochemical study of the wallrocks which host the large Precambrian Crandon deposit (≈ 70 million tons of zinc, copper ore) in Wisconsin, U.S.A. was carried out to identify pathfinder elements which significantly enlarge the size of the deposit as an exploration target. The Crandon deposit occurs in what appears to be a “normal”, subalkaline, intermediate to felsic volcanic sequence. The silica concentration of the wallrocks shows neither a systematic relationship to volcanic stratigraphy nor a distinctive pattern around ore.To determine if silica has been added to the host rocks, a regression analysis was performed on published data from 496 unaltered, subalkaline volcanic rocks from the Abitibi Subprovince of Canada, with silica as the dependent variable and the ratio of “immobile” elements Zr/TiO₂ as the independent variable. Based on the second degree regression curve and the associated standard error of estimate, predicted and residual silica values were calculated and plotted for the Crandon host rocks.The results show that massive sulfide ore was deposited in andesitic rocks with an original SiO₂ content of 52–62%, and that more than 7.4% SiO₂ was added to the rocks stratigraphically beneath the deposit and on strike with the deposit. Silica was added to the hanging wall rocks also, which confirms that hydrothermal activity at Crandon continued after cessation of massive sulfide ore deposition. In contrast to the pattern of silica enrichment at Crandon which significantly enlarges the size of the exploration target, two noneconomic prospects within ten miles of Crandon contain low to moderate levels of silica enrichment and corresponding low base metal values.Silica enrichment occurs in some systems unassociated with mineralization and is therefore not a specific signature of ore-forming processes. However, from the data presented on the Crandon deposit, if silica enrichment does exist in an exploration search area, the chances of finding a massive sulfide ore deposit are improved.  相似文献   

The mass of the star formed in a cloud core     

Takenori Nakano  Tetsuo Hasegawa  Colin Norman 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1995,224(1-2):523-524

The forming star grows by mass inflow from the parent cloud core, mainly through the accretion disk. However, the core matter which has not yet contracted much is seriously disturbed by the activities of the forming star. We consider mass outflow and emission of ultraviolet radiation as such activities and determine the stellar mass as a function of the physical quantities of the parent cloud core.  相似文献   

The Cretaceous-Tertiary fireball layer,ejecta layer and coal seam: Platinum-group element content and mineralogy of size fractions     

Noreen Joyce Evans  D. Conrad Gregoire  Wayne D. Goodfellow  Norman Miles  Jn Veizer 《Meteoritics & planetary science》1994,29(2):223-235

Abstract— Grain size separates of the Cretaceous-Tertiary (K-T) fireball layer at marine sites and the entire K-T boundary interval at nonmarine sites (fireball layer, ejecta layer, coal seam) were analysed for platinum-group elements (PGE: Ru, Ir, Ft, Pd, Rh) and Au using inductively coupled plasma mass-spectrometry. X-ray diffractometry and scanning electron microscopy were performed on each fraction to establish the mineralogy. It was determined that the most abundant minerals in the finest fraction were a smectite-group mineral at marine K-T sites and illite-smectite mixed layer clay at nonmarine K-T sites. Positive correlation of PGE content and mineralogy indicates that the PGE are presently associated with these clay minerals which were likely formed by alteration of a condensed mafic phase (e.g., olivine or pyroxene). The correlation of clay mineral abundance with PGE content is imperfect because not all of the clay minerals in the fireball layer are derived by alteration of the original condensed ejecta. In addition, undetected PGE host(s), present in trace amounts, are likely also present.  相似文献   

An Overview of Surface-Based Precipitation Observations at Environment and Climate Change Canada     

Eva Mekis  Norman Donaldson  Janti Reid  Alex Zucconi  Jeffery Hoover  Qian Li 《大气与海洋》2018,56(2):71-95

The objective of this paper is to provide an overview of the present status and procedures related to surface precipitation observations at Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). This work was done to support the ongoing renewal of observation systems and networks at the Meteorological Service of Canada. The paper focusses on selected parameters, namely, accumulated precipitation, precipitation intensity, precipitation type, rainfall, snowfall, and radar reflectivity. Application-specific user needs and requirements are defined and captured by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Expert Teams at the international level by Observing Systems Capability Analysis and Review (OSCAR) and WMO Integrated Global Observing System (WIGOS), and by ECCC user engagement initiatives within the Canadian context. The precipitation-related networks of ECCC are separated into those containing automatic instruments, those with human (manual) observers, and the radar network. The unique characteristics and data flow for each of these networks, the instrument and installation characteristics, processing steps, and limitations from observation to data distribution and storage are provided. A summary of precipitation instrument-dependent algorithms that are used in ECCC's Data Management System is provided. One outcome of the analysis is the identification of gaps in spatial coverage and data quality that are required to meet user needs. Increased availability of data, including from long-serving manual sites, and an increase in the availability of precipitation type and snowfall amount are identified as improvements that would benefit many users. Other recognized improvements for in situ networks include standardized network procedures, instrument performance adjustments, and improved and sustained access to data and metadata from internal and external networks. Specific to radar, a number of items are recognized that can improve quantitative precipitation estimates. Increased coverage for the radar network and improved methods for assessing and portraying radar data quality would benefit precipitation users.  相似文献   

Seawater-like trace element signatures (REE + Y) of Eoarchaean chemical sedimentary rocks from southern West Greenland,and their corruption during high-grade metamorphism   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

C. R. L. Friend  A. P. Nutman  V. C. Bennett  M. D. Norman 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2008,155(2):229-246

Modern chemical sediments display a distinctive rare earth element + yttrium (REE + Y) pattern involving depleted LREE, positive La/La*_SN, Eu/Eu*_SN, and Y_SN anomalies (SN = shale normalised) that is related to precipitation from circumneutral to high pH waters with solution complexation of the REEs dominated by carbonate ions. This is often interpreted as reflecting precipitation from surface waters (usually marine). The oldest broadly accepted chemical sediments are c. 3,700 Ma amphibolite facies banded iron-formation (BIF) units in the Isua supracrustal belt, Greenland. Isua BIFs, including the BIF international reference material IF-G are generally considered to be seawater precipitates, and display these REE + Y patterns (Bolhar et al. in Earth Planet Sci Lett 222:43–60, 2004). Greenland Eoarchaean BIF metamorphosed up to granulite facies from several localities in the vicinity of Akilia (island), display REE + Y patterns identical to Isua BIF, consistent with an origin by chemical sedimentation from seawater and a paucity of clastic input. Furthermore, the much-debated magnetite-bearing siliceous unit of “earliest life” rocks (sample G91/26) from Akilia has the same REE + Y pattern. This suggests that sample G91/26 is also a chemical sediment, contrary to previous assertions (Bolhar et al. in Earth Planet Sci Lett 222:43–60, 2004), and including suggestions that the Akilia unit containing G91/26 consists entirely of silica-penetrated, metasomatised, mafic rock (Fedo and Whitehouse 2002a). Integration of our trace element data with those of Bolhar et al. (Earth Planet Sci Lett 222:43–60, 2004) demonstrates that Eoarchaean siliceous rocks in Greenland, with ages from 3.6 to 3.85 Ga, have diverse trace element signatures. There are now geographically-dispersed, widespread examples with Isua BIF-like REE + Y signatures, that are interpreted as chemically unaltered, albeit metamorphosed, chemical sediments. Other samples retain remnants of LREE depletion but are beginning to lose the distinct La, Eu and Y positive anomalies and are interpreted as metasomatised chemical sediments. Finally there are some siliceous samples with completely different trace element patterns that are interpreted as rocks of non-sedimentary origin, and include metasomatised mafic rocks. The positive La/La*_SN, Eu/Eu*_SN and Y_SN anomalies found in Isua BIFs and other Eoarchaean Greenland samples, such as G91/26 from Akilia, suggests that the processes of carbonate ion complexation controlling the REE − Y patterns were already established in the hydrosphere at the start of the sedimentary record 3,600–3,850 Ma ago. This is in accord with the presence of Eoarchaean siderite-bearing marbles of sedimentary origin, and suggests that CO₂ may have been a significant greenhouse gas at that time.  相似文献   

Atmospheric Corrections Using MODTRAN for TOA and Surface BRDF Characteristics from High Resolution Spectroradiometric/ Angular Measurements from a Helicopter Platform     

Yaping Zhou  Ken C. Rutledge Analytical Service & Material  Inc  Hampton  VA  USA Thomas P. Charlock Atmospheric Sciences Division  NASA Langley Research Center Hampton  VA  USA Norman G. Loeb  Seiji Kato Hampton University  Hampton  VA  USA 《大气科学进展》2001,(5)

l. IntroductionThe cIassicaI definition of bi--directional reflectance--distribution function (BRDF) is aderivative, distribution function, relatlng the irradiance incident from one given direction tolts contribution to the radiance renected in another direct1on (N1codemus et al., l977).f r (0,, rp,; 0,, rp, )= dL, (0,, P,; 0,, 9,; E, )/ dE, (0,, 9,) [sr-- 1 ], (l)where 0 (zenith angle) and 9 (azimuth angle) together indicate a direction, the subscr1pt i indi-cates quantities associated wi…  相似文献   

Tropical deforestation and climatic change: The conceptual background     

Norman Myers 《Climatic change》1991,19(1-2):1-2

  相似文献   

Estimating Population Attribute Values in a Table: “Get Me Started in” Iterative Proportional Fitting     

Nik Lomax  Paul Norman 《The Professional geographer》2016,68(3):451-461

Iterative proportional fitting (IPF) is a technique that can be used to adjust a distribution reported in one data set by totals reported in others. IPF is used to revise tables of data where the information is incomplete, inaccurate, outdated, or a sample. Although widely applied, the IPF methodology is rarely presented in a way that is accessible to nonexpert users. This article fills that gap through discussion of how to operationalize the method and argues that IPF is an accessible and transparent tool that can be applied to a range of data situations in population geography and demography. It offers three case study examples where IPF has been applied to geographical data problems; the data and algorithms are made available to users as supplementary material.  相似文献