A maritime decision support system to assess risk in the presence of environmental uncertainties: the REP10 experiment     

Raffaele?GrassoEmail author  Marco?Cococcioni  Baptiste?Mourre  Jacopo?Chiggiato  Michel?Rixen 《Ocean Dynamics》2012,62(3):469-493

The aim of this work is to report on an activity carried out during the 2010 Recognized Environmental Picture experiment, held in the Ligurian Sea during summer 2010. The activity was the first at-sea test of the recently developed decision support system (DSS) for operation planning, which had previously been tested in an artificial experiment. The DSS assesses the impact of both environmental conditions (meteorological and oceanographic) and non-environmental conditions (such as traffic density maps) on people and assets involved in the operation and helps in deciding a course of action that allows safer operation. More precisely, the environmental variables (such as wind speed, current speed and significant wave height) taken as input by the DSS are the ones forecasted by a super-ensemble model, which fuses the forecasts provided by multiple forecasting centres. The uncertainties associated with the DSS’s inputs (generally due to disagreement between forecasts) are propagated through the DSS’s output by using the unscented transform. In this way, the system is not only able to provide a traffic light map (run/not run the operation), but also to specify the confidence level associated with each action. This feature was tested on a particular type of operation with underwater gliders: the glider surfacing for data transmission. It is also shown how the availability of a glider path prediction tool provides surfacing options along the predicted path. The applicability to different operations is demonstrated by applying the same system to support diver operations.  相似文献   

Model updating and seismic loss assessment for a portfolio of bridges     

Andrea Miano  Fatemeh Jalayer  Raffaele De Risi  Andrea Prota  Gaetano Manfredi 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2016,14(3):699-719

The majority of bridge infrastructures in Italy were built in the 1960s and ‘70s without any specific seismic provision being made. As a consequence, it is expected that these bridges would be highly vulnerable if subjected to a significant seismic event. Given this background, it is natural that the rapid and accurate assessment of economic losses incurred to the bridge infrastructure as a result of such an event could play a crucial role in emergency management in the immediate aftermath of an earthquake. Focusing on the infrastructure system of highway bridges in the Campania region in Italy, this paper demonstrates how both state-of-the-art methodologies in portfolio loss assessment and the available data can be used to assess the probability distribution of the repair costs incurred due to the 1980 Irpinia earthquake. Formulating a probabilistic loss assessment for a portfolio of bridges as a standard Monte Carlo simulation problem helps to resolve the spatial risk integral efficiently. One of the specific features of this case study is the use of statistical methods for updating models of: (a) ground motion predictions, (b) vulnerability/fragility and (c) exposure/costs, based on the available data. It has been observed that alternative hypotheses concerning the ground motion correlation structure can significantly affect the distribution of direct economic losses. Furthermore, updating the ground motion prediction based on available recordings may significantly reduce the dispersion in the estimate of the direct economic losses.  相似文献   

Externalities, knowledge spillovers and the spatial distribution of innovation   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11  

Raffaele Paci  Stefano Usai 《GeoJournal》1999,49(4):381-390

The aim of the paper is to investigate the process of spatial agglomeration of innovation and production activities and to assess the extent to which the degree of specialisation or diversity externalities in the area may affect the innovative output in a particular local industry. The analysis is carried out thanks to an original databank on innovation and production activity across 85 industrial sectors and 784 Italian Local Labour Systems, which are groupings of municipalities characterised by a high degree of self-contained flows of commuting workers. According to the global and local indicators of spatial association there are clear signs of spatial correlation in the distribution of innovation activities. The econometric analysis shows that the two types of externalities – specialisation and urbanisation economies – are both effective. Moreover, we find evidence for knowledge spillovers since technological activities of a local industry influence positively innovations of the same sectors in contiguous areas.  相似文献   

Non-invasive Geophysical Surveys in Search of the Roman Temple of Augustus Under the Cathedral of Tarragona (Catalonia,Spain): A Case Study     

Albert Casas  Pietro L. Cosentino  Gianluca Fiandaca  Mahjoub Himi  Josep M. Macias  Raffaele Martorana  Andreu Muñoz  Lluís Rivero  Roger Sala  Imma Teixell 《Surveys in Geophysics》2018,39(6):1107-1124

An integrated geophysical survey has been conducted at the Tarragona’s Cathedral (Catalonia, NE Spain) with the aim to confirm the potential occurrence of archaeological remains of the Roman Temple dedicated to the Emperor Augustus. Many hypotheses have been proposed about its possible location, the last ones regarding the inner part of the Cathedral, which is one of the most renowned temples of Spain (twelfth century) evolving from Romanesque to Gothic styles. A geophysical project including electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) and ground probing radar (GPR) was planned over 1 year considering the administrative and logistic difficulties of such a project inside a cathedral of religious veneration. Finally, both ERT and GPR have been conducted during a week of intensive overnight surveys that provided detailed information on subsurface existing structures. The ERT method has been applied using different techniques and arrays, ranging from standard Wenner–Schlumberger 2D sections to full 3D electrical imaging with the advanced Maximum Yield Grid array. Electrical resistivity data were recorded extensively, making available many thousands of apparent resistivity data to obtain a complete 3D image after a full inversion. In conclusion, some significant buried structures have been revealed providing conclusive information for archaeologists. GPR results provided additional information about shallowest structures. The geophysical results were clear enough to persuade religious authorities and archaeologists to conduct selected excavations in the most promising areas that confirmed the interpretation of geophysical data. In conclusion, the significant buried structures revealed by geophysical methods under the cathedral were confirmed by archaeological digging as the basement of the impressive Roman Temple that headed the Provincial Forum of Tarraco, seat of the Concilium of Hispania Citerior Province.  相似文献   

Improvement of Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) Data Interpretability by an Enhanced Inverse Scattering Strategy     

Raffaele Persico  Giovanni Ludeno  Francesco Soldovieri  Albéric De Coster  Sébastien Lambot 《Surveys in Geophysics》2018,39(6):1069-1079

This paper is inserted into the framework of inverse scattering with application to Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) data and is meant to provide a method helping to apply inverse scattering algorithms to electrically large investigation domains. In particular, we focus on the depth slices that are particularly important in application on cultural heritage and propose in relationship with the depth slices a strategy that we will call “shifting zoom” that is specifically a method to mitigate the effects of the limited view angle in the linear tomographic inversion applied to GPR data. In particular, this paper is an extended version of the contribution (Persico et al. in: Proceedings of Imeko international conference on metrology for archaeology and cultural heritage, Lecce, Italy, 2017a), published in the Proceedings of the conference metrology for archaeology 2017. We propose here a validation of the shifting zoom versus experimental data gathered in a controlled test site, and we will show the effect of the shifting zoom on depth slices achieved from these data after a linear inverse scattering processing has been applied for their focusing.  相似文献   

Seismic vulnerability of offshore wind turbines to pulse and non-pulse records     

Ahmer Ali  Raffaele De Risi  Anastasios Sextos  Katsuichiro Goda  Zhiwang Chang 《地震工程与结构动力学》2020,49(1):24-50

The increasing number of wind turbines in active tectonic regions has attracted scientific interest to evaluate the seismic vulnerability of offshore wind turbines (OWTs). This study aims at assessing the deformation and collapse susceptibility of 2MW and 5MW OWTs subjected to shallow-crustal pulse-like ground motions, which has not been particularly addressed to date. A cloud-based fragility assessment is performed to quantify the seismic response for a given intensity measure and to assess the failure probabilities for pulse-like and non-pulse-like ground motions. The first-mode spectral acceleration S_a(T₁) is found to be an efficient response predictor for OWTs, exhibiting prominent higher-mode behavior, at the serviceability and ultimate conditions. Regardless of earthquake type, it is shown that records with strong vertical components may induce nonlinearity in the supporting tower, leading to potential failure by buckling in three different patterns: (i) at tower base near platform level, (ii) close to tower top, and (iii) between the upper half of the main tower and its top. Type and extent of the damage are related to the coupled excitation of vertical and lateral higher modes, for which tower top acceleration response spectra S_a,i(Top) is an effective identifier. It is also observed that tower's slenderness ratio (l/d), the diameter-to-thickness ratio (d/t), and the rotor-nacelle-assembly mass (m_RNA) are precursors for evaluating the damage mode and vulnerability of OWTs under both pulse-like and non-pulse-like ground motion records.  相似文献   

Seasonal changes of microbial populations in the sediments of the basins of Lugano and Agno     

Raffaele Peduzzi  Antonella Demarta  Mauro Tonolla 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1992,54(3-4):331-337

This research was carried out with the aim to explore the heterotrophic microbial population of two sediments in different oxic conditions of the Lake of Lugano (Lago di Lugano). The values of the viable bacterial counts found in our sediment samples were typical for an eutrophic lake.The increase in the proportion of anaerobic to aerobic bacteria at 30 °C observed in the sediment samples of Agno may reflect the depletion of oxygen concentrations in the water column.The generaAeromonas, Pseudomonas, Bacillus andClostridium, as well as strains belonging to the Coryneform-group, represented the major taxonomic groups of heterotrophic bacterial communities in the water-sediment interface.  相似文献   

A closed-form solution for the failure interaction diagrams of pile groups subjected to inclined eccentric load     

Di Laora  Raffaele  Iodice  Chiara  Mandolini  Alessandro 《Acta Geotechnica》2022,17(8):3633-3646

The work at hand proposes a method for assessing, under reasonable hypotheses from an engineering perspective, the failure envelope of a pile group subjected to generalized loading conditions involving a vertical and a lateral force along with a moment. Following different assumptions of increasing complexity, a simple closed-form expression, which is however capable of considering also the strong dependence of sectional yielding moment on the axial force, is derived. The use of such formula, which allows a practical hand calculation of the interaction diagrams at failure, returns conservative yet very accurate results. As a follow up, with reference to reinforced concrete piles, design considerations involving both structural and geotechnical failure under lateral load are reported. It is found that for most cases, if steel reinforcement is established to resist the design bending moment, the geotechnical Ultimate Limit State checks are automatically satisfied.

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In situ monitoring of the groundwater field in an unsaturated pyroclastic slope for slope stability evaluation   总被引：4，自引：4，他引：0  

Marianna Pirone  Raffaele Papa  Marco Valerio Nicotera  Gianfranco Urciuoli 《Landslides》2015,12(2):259-276

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Biogenic stalactites in submarine caves at the Cape of Otranto (SE Italy): dating and hypothesis on their formation     

Genuario Belmonte  Gianmarco Ingrosso  Marco Poto  Gianluca Quarta  Marisa D'Elia  Raffaele Onorato  & Lucio Calcagnile 《Marine Ecology》2009,30(3):376-382

Submarine caves at the Cape of Otranto (SE, Italy) host pseudostalactites. Only recently have they been recognised as originating mainly from the marine tube worm Protula tubularia (Serpulidae, Polychaeta). Their formation depends on the adaptability, life history and behaviour of that species in the cave habitat. The dating of calcareous tubes in the pseudostalactite core represents the first attempt to describe the formation of such bio-construction, and the gregarious behaviour of the species. Calcareous tubes along the core axis of three pseudostalactites removed from the cave lu Lampiùne (Otranto, South East Italy) have been dated using the ¹⁴C method. Measures established ages from 2600 to 5000 years for the three structures. This extremely long period (when compared with the life span of each worm) suggests that each tube aggregation is the result of punctuated growth periods alternated with long standstill phases. At the end of a growth period, each tube aggregation was covered with a brownish concretion, completing the pseudostalactite.  相似文献