Cyclone track forecasting based on satellite images using artificial neural networks     

Rita Kovordányi  Chandan Roy 《ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing》2009,64(6):513-521

Many places around the world are exposed to tropical cyclones and associated storm surges. In spite of massive efforts, a great number of people die each year as a result of cyclone events. To mitigate this damage, improved forecasting techniques must be developed. The technique presented here uses artificial neural networks to interpret NOAA-AVHRR satellite images. A multi-layer neural network, resembling the human visual system, was trained to forecast the movement of cyclones based on satellite images. The trained network produced correct directional forecast for 98% of test images, thus showing a good generalization capability. The results indicate that multi-layer neural networks could be further developed into an effective tool for cyclone track forecasting using various types of remote sensing data. Future work includes extension of the present network to handle a wide range of cyclones and to take into account supplementary information, such as wind speeds, water temperature, humidity, and air pressure.  相似文献   

HT-fabrics in a garnet-bearing quartzite from Western Portugal: geodynamic implications for the Iberian Variscan Belt     

Francisco J. Fernández  Helder I. Chaminé  Paulo E. Fonseca  José M. Munhá  António Ribeiro  Jesus Aller  Mercedes Fuertes-Fuentes  Frederico S. Borges 《地学学报》2003,15(2):96-103

ABSTRACT The study of a garnet-bearing quartzite from a major suture zone in Iberia reports an unusual high-T fabric. Quartz c -axis patterns were plotted using shaped garnet as reference axis for the finite stretch ( X -axis). The pole figures are characterized by a dominant single maximum around X together with other point maxima along the XY plane (mylonitic foliation). These patterns suggest that dominant < c > prism slip and subordinated < a > prism slip operated during quartz plastic deformation in agreement with P–T conditions for syntectonic garnet growth (4–5 kbar and 700 ± 50 °C) and, pre-dating the well-known (late) Variscan D1 event (<6 kb and 600 ± 30 °C). The geotectonic framework suggests that the fabrics were formed along the western shear margin of the Ossa-Morena Zone during the early stages of the Variscan orogeny.  相似文献   

Sandstone dissolution landforms in the Furnas Formation,southern Brazil     

Mário Sérgio de Melo  Paulo César Fonseca Giannini 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2007,32(14):2149-2164

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The link between partial melting,granitization and granulite development in central Ribeira Fold Belt,SE Brazil: New evidence from elemental and Sr–Nd isotopic geochemistry     

Telmo M. Bento dos Santos  José M. Munhá  Colombo C.G. Tassinari  Paulo E. Fonseca 《Journal of South American Earth Sciences》2011,31(2-3):262-278

Elemental and Sr–Nd isotopic data on metatexites, diatexites, orthogneisses and charnockites from the central Ribeira Fold Belt indicate that they are LILE-enriched weakly peraluminous granodiorites. Harker and Th–Hf–La correlation trends suggest that these rocks represent a co-genetic sequence, whereas variations on CaO, MnO, Y and HREE for charnockites can be explained by garnet consumption during granulitic metamorphism.Similar REE patterns and isotopic results of ?_Nd⁵⁶⁵ = ?5.4 to ?7.3 and ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr₅₆₅ = 0.706–0.711 for metatexites, diatexites, orthogneisses and charnockites, as well as similar T_DM ages between 2.0 and 1.5 Ga are consistent with evolution from a relatively homogeneous and enriched common crustal (metasedimentary) protolith.Results suggest a genetic link between metatexites, diatexites, orthogneisses and charnockites and a two-step process for charnockite development: (a) generation of the hydrated igneous protoliths by anatexis of metasedimentary rocks; (b) continuous high-grade metamorphism that transformed the “S-type granitoids” (leucosomes and diatexites) into orthogneisses and, as metamorphism and dehydration progressed, into charnockites.  相似文献   

Global climate models as forcing for regional ocean modeling: a sensitivity study in the Iberian Basin (Eastern North Atlantic)     

Ana Cordeiro Pires  Rita Nolasco  Alfredo Rocha  Alexandre M. Ramos  Jesus Dubert 《Climate Dynamics》2014,43(3-4):1083-1102

This work evaluates the performance of several global climate models (GCMs) as forcing of a regional ocean model configuration centered in the Iberian Basin. The study is divided in two parts. First, the output of nine GCMs is analyzed based on the fields needed to force the ocean model (Regional Ocean Modelling System—ROMS). GCMs differ greatly between them and their performance depends on the field. In the second part, the two GCMs with the worst performances in both extremes of the ensemble are used as forcing for two ROMS simulations, with the purpose of assessing the range of uncertainty comprised in this set of GCMs. Two other ROMS runs are setup: one climatologically forced control run, and one forced with the average of all the nine GCMs—the ensemble mean. Results show that the tendency of overestimation/underestimation of the forcings is reflected in the modeled hydrography, both at the surface and deeper layers down to 500 m. Nevertheless, in terms of circulation, all four runs reproduce the Azores Current, as well as the coastal transition zone seasonality (winter poleward flow and summer upwelling-associated equatorward flow). The CGCMs output performance as forcing depends on the forcing variable: one performs well for one or more variables, but badly for others, and which field is well or badly reproduced varies for each CGCM. Therefore, there is not a single CGCM having the best forcing for all variables. Hence, our results indicate that the most adequate approach consists of using the ensemble mean as forcing rather than using an individual model. This is supported by the general low overall (i.e. for all forcing variables) errors of the ensemble mean regarding the control climatological dataset, and the good comparison of the ensemble-forced ROMS run with the control run.  相似文献   

Rebel Cities: From the Right to the City to the Urban Revolution by David Harvey. Verso,London and New York, 2013, 206 pages (ISBN‐13: 978‐1‐78168‐074‐2) (pbk).     

Rita Padawangi 《Singapore journal of tropical geography》2014,35(2):285-286

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The Growth of the Planetary Boundary Layer at a Coastal Site: a Case Study   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Ferdinando De Tomasi  M. Marcello Miglietta  M. Rita Perrone 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2011,139(3):521-541

A lidar system is used to determine the diurnal evolution of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) height on a summer day characterized by anticyclonic conditions. The site is located some 15 km distant from the sea, on a peninsula in south-east Italy. Contrary to expectations, the PBL height, after an initial growth consequent to sunrise, ceases to increase about 2 h before noon and then decreases and stabilizes in the afternoon. An interpretation of such anomalous behaviour is provided in terms of trajectories of air parcels towards the lidar site, which are influenced by the sea breeze, leading to a transition from a continental boundary layer to a coastal internal boundary layer. The results are analyzed using mesoscale numerical model simulations and a simple model that allows for a more direct interpretation of experimental results.  相似文献   

Intraurban variability of PM10 and PM2.5 in an Eastern Mediterranean city     

Rawad Massoud  Alan.L Shihadeh  Mohamed Roumié  Myriam Youness  Jocelyne Gerard  Nada Saliba  Rita Zaarour  Maher Abboud  Wehbeh Farah  Najat Aoun Saliba 《Atmospheric Research》2011,101(4):893-901

The results of the first large scale chemical characterization of PM10 and PM2.5 at three different sites in the urban city of Beirut, Lebanon, are presented. Between May 2009 and April 2010 a total of 304 PM10 and PM2.5 samples were collected by sampling every sixth day at three different sites in Beirut. Observed mass concentrations varied between 19.7 and 521.2 μg m^? 3 for PM10 and between 8.4 and 72.2 μg m^? 3 for PM2.5, respectively. Inorganic concentrations accounted for 29.7–35.6 μg m^? 3 and 46.0–53.5 μg m^? 3 of the total mass of PM10 and PM2.5, respectively. Intra-city temporal and spatial variations were assessed based on the study of three factors: correlation coefficients (R) for PM and chemical components, coefficient of divergence (CODs), and source apportionment using positive matrix factorization (PMF). Based on R and COD of PM concentrations, the three sites appear homogeneous. However, when individual elements were compared, heterogeneity among sites was found. This latter was attributed to the variability in the percent contribution of biogenic and local anthropogenic source factors such as traffic related sources and dust resuspension. Other factors included the proximity to the Mediterranean sea, the population density and the topographical structure of the city. Hence, despite its small size (20.8 km²), one PM monitoring site does not reflect an accurate PM level in Beirut.  相似文献   

Variability patterns of Rossby wave source   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Mar��lia Harumi Shimizu  Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque Cavalcanti 《Climate Dynamics》2011,37(3-4):441-454

Rossby waves (RW) propagation due to a local forcing is one of the mechanisms responsible for wave trains configurations known as teleconnections. The term teleconnection refers to anomalies patterns that are correlated in several regions of the world, causing large-scale changes in atmospheric waves patterns and temperature and precipitation regimes. The aim of teleconnections studies is to provide a better understanding of atmospheric variability and their mechanisms of action in order to identify patterns that can be tracked and predicted. The purpose of this study was to characterize seasonal and spatial variability of atmospheric RW sources. The RW source at 200?hPa was calculated for the four seasons with reanalysis data of zonal and meridional wind. In the Northern Hemisphere (NH), the RW sources were located on East Asia, North America, North Atlantic and Pacific. The main RW sources in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) were located over Intertropical, South Pacific, South Atlantic and South Indian Convergence Zones. Extratropical regions were also identified, mainly to the south of Australia. The vortex stretching term (S1) and the advection of absolute vorticity by the divergent wind (S2) were analyzed to discuss the physical mechanisms for RW generation. In the NH, the source at East Asia in DJF changed to a sink in JJA, related to the dominance of S1 term in DJF and S2 term in JJA. In the SH, the vortex stretching term had the dominant contribution for RW source located to the south of Australia. The main forcing for RW sources at east of Australia was the advection of absolute vorticity by divergent flow. Over South America, both terms contributed to the source in DJF. The main modes of RW source variability were discussed by using empirical orthogonal functions analysis. RW variability was characterized by wave trains configurations in both hemispheres over regions of jet streams and storm tracks, associated with favorable and unfavorable areas for RW generation.  相似文献   

Electromagnetic fields generated by finite‐length wire sources: comparison with point dipole solutions     

Rita Streich  Michael Becken 《Geophysical Prospecting》2011,59(2):361-374

In present‐day land and marine controlled‐source electromagnetic (CSEM) surveys, electromagnetic fields are commonly generated using wires that are hundreds of metres long. Nevertheless, simulations of CSEM data often approximate these sources as point dipoles. Although this is justified for sufficiently large source‐receiver distances, many real surveys include frequencies and distances at which the dipole approximation is inaccurate. For 1D layered media, electromagnetic (EM) fields for point dipole sources can be computed using well‐known quasi‐analytical solutions and fields for sources of finite length can be synthesized by superposing point dipole fields. However, the calculation of numerous point dipole fields is computationally expensive, requiring a large number of numerical integral evaluations. We combine a more efficient representation of finite‐length sources in terms of components related to the wire and its end points with very general expressions for EM fields in 1D layered media. We thus obtain a formulation that requires fewer numerical integrations than the superposition of dipole fields, permits source and receiver placement at any depth within the layer stack and can also easily be integrated into 3D modelling algorithms. Complex source geometries, such as wires bent due to surface obstructions, can be simulated by segmenting the wire and computing the responses for each segment separately. We first describe our finite‐length wire expressions and then present 1D and 3D examples of EM fields due to finite‐length sources for typical land and marine survey geometries and discuss differences to point dipole fields.  相似文献