基于全球降水数据估计值的地表径流模拟--以长江上游地区为例   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

林诚二  村上正吾  渡边正孝  徐宝华 《地理学报》2004,59(1):125-135

为了评价在相对较短时间内针对长江上游地区地表水径流所建立模型的模拟效果,以及检验以GCM模型和其他卫星数据所估算的降水数据作为输入数据的可行性,选择分布式水文模型HSPF以及1987年和1988年的ISLSCP降水数据作为输入数据。模型模拟结果表明:从整个长江上游地区看,在校正期内,5天平均流量的Nash–Sutcliffe相关系数(R2) 为0.94;在验证期内,Nash-Sutcliffe相关系数(R2) 为0.95。此外,该模型对长江上游主要支流的5天平均流量的模拟效果也很好,R2的值在0.46到0.96之间。例外的情况主要发生在沱江和嘉陵江,模型对2年洪水期的峰值流速的估计值偏低,沱江只有实际值的71%,嘉陵江只有实际值的61%。ISLSCP估计的降水比实际测量的降水频繁且程度要弱,这可能是HSPF不能在所有时间和所有区域都具有较好模拟效果的一个主要原因。  相似文献   

Changes in geophysical properties caused by fluid injection into porous rocks: analytical models          下载免费PDF全文

Steven R. Pride  James G. Berryman  Michael Commer  Seiji Nakagawa  Gregory A. Newman  Donald W. Vasco 《Geophysical Prospecting》2017,65(3):766-790

Analytical models are provided that describe how the elastic compliance, electrical conductivity, and fluid‐flow permeability of rocks depend on stress and fluid pressure. In order to explain published laboratory data on how seismic velocities and electrical conductivity vary in sandstones and granites, the models require a population of cracks to be present in a possibly porous host phase. The central objective is to obtain a consistent mean‐field analytical model that shows how each modeled rock property depends on the nature of the crack population. The crack populations are described by a crack density, a probability distribution for the crack apertures and radii, and the averaged orientation of the cracks. The possibly anisotropic nature of the elasticity, conductivity, and permeability tensors is allowed for; however, only the isotropic limit is used when comparing to laboratory data. For the transport properties of conductivity and permeability, the percolation effect of the crack population linking up to form a connected path across a sample is modeled. However, this effect is important only in crystalline rock where the host phase has very small conductivity and permeability. In general, the importance of the crack population to the transport properties increases as the host phase becomes less conductive and less permeable.  相似文献   

Study on hydraulic characteristics of sabo dam with a flap structure for debris flow     

Yeonjoong Kim  Hajime Nakagawa  Kenji Kawaike  Hao Zhang 《国际泥沙研究》2017,32(3)

The front part of the flow is very important and complex in the case of debris flow where there is an accumulation of large boulders. It is important to control or dampen the energy of the frontal part of a debris flow for the safety of the downstream area because the impact pressure of debris flow is much greater than that of clear fluid. The main objective of this study is to analyze the hydraulic characteristics of the proposed dam (i.e. closed-type dam with flap). The vertical pressure distribution of this type is compared with conventional dam types. In the experiments, the total pressure associated with major debris flows was recorded in real time by a system consisting of four dynamic pressure sensors installed on different types of dam. The results from experimental data clearly show that the dam with the flap has advantages of capturing the debris flow with large boulders and controls the total pressure by flow circulation due to presence of the flap structure compared to a closed-type dam without flap. Further-more, the empirical coefficients of hydrodynamic and solid collision models were proposed and com-pared with available coefficients.  相似文献   

Estimation of debris flow discharge coefficient considering sediment concentration     

Namgyun Kim  Hajime Nakagawa  Kenji Kawaike  Hao Zhang 《国际泥沙研究》2019,34(1):1-7

A sabo dam has a purpose to block the path of debris flow. However, when overflow occurs, a sabo dam works as a weir, a vertical obstruction, where the fluid must flow over. Many empirical formulas and discharge coefficients for weirs relating flow depth to discharge have been proposed to calculate overflow discharges. However, only a few studies about overflow discharge coefficients are available in the case of debris flow. In this paper, experiments and numerical simulations were done to estimate debris flow discharge coefficients by considering the sediment concentration. In the numerical simulation, a complete overflow equation and a free overfall equation were implemented to calculate debris overflow discharges at a sabo dam. To determine the discharge coefficients for each equation, single factor regression analysis was used. Laboratory experiments were done to calibrate and to compare with the simulation. Study results showed that the discharge coefficients increase as the sediment concentration increases. This finding suggests debris flow discharge coefficients are derived to calculate the debris overflow discharges at a sabo dam.  相似文献   

Reconstruction of the eruptive history of Usu volcano,Hokkaido, Japan,inferred from petrological correlation between tephras and dome lavas     

Akiko Matsumoto  Mitsuhiro Nakagawa 《Island Arc》2019,28(3)

Usu volcano has erupted nine times since 1663. Most eruptive events started with an explosive eruption, which was followed by the formation of lava domes. However, the ages of several summit lava domes and craters remain uncertain. The petrological features of tephra deposits erupted from 1663 to 1853 are known to change systematically. In this study, we correlated lavas with tephras under the assumption that lava and tephra samples from the same event would have similar petrological features. Although the initial explosive eruption in 1663 was not accompanied by lava effusion, lava dome or cryptodome formation was associated with subsequent explosive eruptions. We inferred the location of the vent associated with each event from the location of the associated lava dome and the pyroclastic flow deposit distribution and found that the position of the active vent within the summit caldera differed for each eruption from the late 17th through the 19th century. Moreover, we identified a previously unrecognized lava dome produced by a late 17th century eruption; this dome was largely destroyed by an explosive eruption in 1822 and was replaced by a new lava dome during a later stage of the 1822 event at nearly the same place as the destroyed dome. This new interpretation of the sequence of events is consistent with historical sketches and documents. Our results show that petrological correlation, together with geological evidence, is useful not only for reconstructing volcanic eruption sequences but also for gaining insight into future potential disasters.  相似文献   

Spectroscopic Evidence for Interstellar Grain Clumps inMeteoritic Inclusions     

A. Sakata  N. Nakagawa  T. Iguchi  S. Isobe  M. Morimoto  F. Hoyle  N.C. Wickramasinghe 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1999,268(1-3):133-135

Aromatic material extracted from the Murchison meteorite shows an absorption atλ2200 Å similar to the well-known interstellar absorption feature at this wavelength. This suggests a link between interstellar grain clumps containing organics and the presolar component of carbonaceous chondrites.  相似文献   

Assessing genetic diversity of wild populations of Japanese flounderusing AFLP markers   总被引：9，自引：1，他引：8  

XU Xiaofei  ZHANG Quanqi  WANG Zhigang  QI Jie  ZHANG Zhifeng  BAO Zhenmin  Heisuke Nakagawa 《海洋学报(英文版)》2006,25(3):82-89

1IntroductionThe Japanese flounder,Paralichthys olivaceus,is one of the most important commercial marine flat-fish that inhabits the coastal waters of China,Japanand Korea.(Tanaka et al.,1989;Masuda andTsukamoto,1998).However,because of overfis-hing durin…  相似文献   

Effect of nutrient release from sea floor on Si:P ratio in the Buzen-Kai,western Seto Inland Sea,in summer     

Kazuo Abe  Mutsumi Tsujino  Norihisa Nakagawa  Katsuyuki Abo 《Journal of Oceanography》2015,71(2):221-227

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How do “numbers” construct social reality in disaster-stricken areas?: a case of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in Sichuan,China     

Seiji Kondo  Katsuya Yamori  Tomohide Atsumi  Isamu Suzuki 《Natural Hazards》2012,62(1):71-81

This article focuses on the dynamics of using numbers to construct an image of social reality in disaster areas. Numbers are neither objective nor value-neutral but are rather generated, transmitted and shared with social signification. In other words, numbers can be thought of as simply socially constructed information. Statistics and other numbers usually work in positive ways. However, it is also possible that using numbers in the media can lead to unintended messages that could produce negative consequences. We conducted field studies in disaster-stricken areas of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in China and compared findings to the case of the 1995 Kobe earthquake in Japan in order to examine how numbers—in terms of the amount of donations, the timeline of reconstruction projects and casualty figures—construct social reality and cause a variety of social dysfunctions.  相似文献   

Coronal Magnetic Field Context of Simple CMEs Inferred from Global Potential Field Models     

Luhmann  J.G.  Li  Yan  Zhao  Xuepu  Yashiro  Seiji 《Solar physics》2003,213(2):367-386

Most work on coronal mass ejection (CME) interpretation focuses on the involved active region rather than on the large-scale coronal context. In this paper a global potential-field source-surface model of the coronal magnetic field is used to evaluate the sensitivity of the coronal field configuration to the location, orientation, and strength of a bipolar active region relative to a background polar field distribution. The results suggest that the introduction of antiparallel components between the field of the active region and the background field can cause significant topological changes in the large-scale coronal magnetic field resembling observations during some simple CMEs. Antiparallel components can be introduced in the real corona by the diffusion and convection of photospheric fields, flux emergence, or erupted or shear-induced twist of active-region fields. Global MHD models with time-dependent boundary conditions could easily test the stability of such configurations and the nature of any related transients.  相似文献