Recent Rapid Regional Climate Warming on the Antarctic Peninsula   总被引：15，自引：1，他引：15  

David G. Vaughan  Gareth J. Marshall  William M. Connolley  Claire Parkinson  Robert Mulvaney  Dominic A. Hodgson  John C. King  Carol J. Pudsey  John Turner 《Climatic change》2003,60(3):243-274

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) confirmed that mean global warming was 0.6 ± 0.2 °C during the 20th century and cited anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gases as the likely cause of temperature rise in the last 50 years. But this mean value conceals the substantial complexity of observed climate change, which is seasonally- and diurnally-biased, decadally-variable and geographically patchy. In particular, over the last 50 years three high-latitude areas have undergone recent rapid regional (RRR) warming, which was substantially more rapid than the global mean. However, each RRR warming occupies a different climatic regime and may have an entirely different underlying cause. We discuss the significance of RRR warming in one area, the Antarctic Peninsula. Here warming was much more rapid than in the rest of Antarctica where it was not significantly different to the global mean. We highlight climate proxies that appear to show that RRR warming on the Antarctic Peninsula is unprecedented over the last two millennia, and so unlikely to be a natural mode of variability. So while the station records do not indicate a ubiquitous polar amplification of global warming, the RRR warming on the Antarctic Peninsula might be a regional amplification of such warming. This, however, remains unproven since we cannot yet be sure what mechanism leads to such an amplification. We discuss several possible candidate mechanisms: changing oceanographic or changing atmospheric circulation, or a regional air-sea-ice feedback amplifying greenhouse warming. We can show that atmospheric warming and reduction in sea-ice duration coincide in a small area on the west of the Antarctic Peninsula, but here we cannot yet distinguish cause and effect. Thus for the present we cannot determine which process is the probable cause of RRR warming on the Antarctic Peninsula and until the mechanism initiating and sustaining the RRR warming is understood, and is convincingly reproduced in climate models, we lack a sound basis for predicting climate change in this region over the coming century.  相似文献   

A Laboratory Model for the Flow in Urban Street Canyons Induced by Bottom Heating   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：2  

LIU Huizhi  LIANG Bin  ZHU Fengrong  ZHANG Boyin  SANG Jianguo 《大气科学进展》2003,20(4):554-564

Water tank experiments are carried out to investigate the convection flow induced by bottom heating and the effects of the ambient wind on the flow in non-symmetrical urban street canyons based on the PIV (Particle Image Visualization) technique. Fluid experiments show that with calm ambient wind,the flows in the street canyon are completely driven by thermal force, and the convection can reach the upper atmosphere of the street canyon. Horizontal and vertical motions also appear above the roofs of the buildings. These are the conditions which favor the exchange of momentum and air mass between the street canyon and its environment. More than two vortices are induced by the convection, and the complex circulation pattern will vary with time in a wider street canyon. However， in a narrow street canyon， just one vortex appears. With a light ambient wind, the bottom heating and the associated convection result in just one main vortex. As the ambient wind speed increases, the vortex becomes more organized and its center shifts closer to the leeward building.  相似文献   

孟加拉湾季风爆发对南海季风爆发的影响Ⅰ:个例分析   总被引：11，自引：4，他引：11       下载免费PDF全文

刘屹岷  陈仲良  毛江玉  吴国雄 《气象学报》2003,61(1):1-9

利用南海季风试验分析场和NCAR向外长波辐射通量(OLR)资料研究了1998年孟加拉湾季风和南海季风爆发期间副热带环流的大尺度和天气尺度特征,探讨了孟加拉湾季风爆发与南海季风爆发之间的物理联系及孟加拉湾季风气旋的对流凝结潜热释放对副热带高压“撤出”南海的影响。结果表明,1998年5月爆发的东亚季风展现出典型的从孟加拉湾地区东传发展到南海地区的过程。随着孟加拉湾季风爆发和对流活动增强、北移,南海北部出现了低层西风和对流活动,领先于副热带高压在南海地区减弱和撤退。结果还显示南海北部地区的对流凝结加热有助于该地区经向温度梯度的反转,在热成风关系的制约下南海上空副热带高压脊面的垂直倾斜由冬季型转向夏季型,季风爆发。  相似文献   

非线性观测值函数的协方差和协因数传播及其权倒数   总被引：10，自引：1，他引：10  

刘国林  陶华学 《测绘工程》1997,6(2):8-16

将非线性观测值函数在其近似值处泰勒级数展开，取至二次项，得到线性－二次项形式。利用线性空间［Ｌ，Ｑ］＾Ｎ的概念和性质，将它表示成［α，β］的向量形式。定义广义协方差算子和广义协因数算子，导出了线性－二次项的非线性观测值函数的广义协方差和广义协因数传播律。在此基础上，给出了非线性平差值函数和未知数函数的权倒数公式。  相似文献   

用历史数据库实现对GIS时态属性的管理   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

谢传节  王金庄 《测绘工程》1997,6(3):31-34

从有效管理ＧＩＳ时态属性数据的目的出发，设计了一个历史数据库系统，详细 了时态属性以及它的更新操作规则，并提供了历史关系的５种基本运算和历史查询语言。  相似文献   

川北地区岩石反射谱波特征     

刘登忠  陈建平  兰立波 《国土资源遥感》1997,8(1):31-36

四川北部地区既有岩浆岩、变质岩构成的前震旦系结晶变质基底,又有震旦纪以后的沉积盖层,岩石类型十分齐全。本文根据该区的120件岩(矿)石样品反射波谱测试结果,绘制了区内主要岩石类型典型波谱曲线,并对这些波谱曲线进行了初步分析,总结了主要岩石类型的波谱特征,这些岩石波谱特征在西南地区有一定的代表性。  相似文献   

多时相Radarsat数据在广东肇庆地区稻田分类中的应用   总被引：11，自引：2，他引：11  

刘浩  邵芸  王翠珍  Brian Brisco  Gordon Staples 《国土资源遥感》1997,8(4):1-6,13

将1996年获取的4个时相的Radarsat图像用于广东肇庆地区的稻田分类试验,结果表明,多时相Radarsat数据对水稻类型的识别精度较高,而且稻田的轮作规律容易推测出来。本文系统地介绍了这一试验研究的最新进展,探讨了神经网络分类方法在SAR图像处理中的应用潜力和Radarsat数据在中国南方水稻监测中的最佳时相选择和有效分辨率问题。  相似文献   

地图手工数字化对点误差的统计分布     

史文中  刘文宝 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1997,(1)

定义了对点误差，导出了统计分布密度和分布函数，给出了矩母函数、特征函数和数字特征，以及对点误差及其投影分量和标准化分布  相似文献   

铁路隧道GPS网布设的精度分析     

姚连璧  沈云中  胡丛玮  刘大杰 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1997,(2)

探讨了隧道ＧＰＳ网在设计阶段估算横向贯通误差的基本理论，对按该理论编制的软件进行了计算正确性的验证。结合铁路测量规则对不同长度的隧道ＧＰＳ网横向贯通误差进行了计算分析，提出了分设隧道ＧＰＳ网的一些基本原则和隧道ＧＰＳ网横向贯通误差的近似估算方法  相似文献   

人工神经网络模型反演植被生物量参数   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

金亚秋  刘长龙 《遥感学报》1997,1(2):83-87

该文利用 1988年小麦生长期中生物量参数和微波 (10 2GHz)主被动遥感实测数据 ,作为输入输出I/O矢量对 ,训练人工神经网络为参数反演模型。然后用 1989年小麦生长期中微波主被动遥感实测数据和该神经网络模型 ,来反演其生物量参数在整个 1989年生长期中的变化。反演结果与遥感实测结果作了很好的比较  相似文献