Assessment of ZTD derived from ECMWF/NCEP data with GPS ZTD over China   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

Qinming?Chen  Shuli?SongEmail author  Stefan?Heise  Yuei-An?LiouEmail author  Wenyao?Zhu  Jingyang?Zhao 《GPS Solutions》2011,15(4):415-425

The accuracy and feasibility of computing the zenith tropospheric delays (ZTDs) from data of the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the United States National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) are studied. The ZTDs are calculated from ECMWF/NCEP pressure-level data by integration and from the surface data with the Saastamoinen model method and then compared with the solutions measured from 28 global positioning system (GPS) stations of the Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) for 1 year. The results are as follows: (1) the error of the integration method is 1–3 cm less than that of the Saastamoinen model method. The agreement between the ECMWF ZTD and GPS ZTD is better than that between NCEP ZTD and GPS ZTD; (2) the bias and root mean square difference (RMSD), especially the latter, have a seasonal variation, and the RMSD decreases with increasing altitude while the variation with latitude is not obvious; and (3) when using the full horizontal resolution of 0.5° × 0.5° of the ECMWF meteorological data in place of a reduced 2.5° × 2.5° grid, the mean RMSD between GPS and ECMWF ZTD decreases by 4.5 mm. These results illuminated the accuracy and feasibility of computing the tropospheric delays and establishing the ZTD prediction model over China for navigation and positioning with ECMWF and NCEP data.  相似文献   

Decoupled warming and monsoon precipitation in East Asia over the last deglaciation     

Francien Peterse  Maarten A. Prins  Christiaan J. Beets  Simon R. Troelstra  Hongbo Zheng  Zhaoyan Gu  Stefan Schouten  Jaap S. Sinninghe Damsté 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》2011,301(1-2):256-264

Our understanding of the continental climate development in East Asia is mainly based on loess–paleosol sequences and summer monsoon precipitation reconstructions based on oxygen isotopes (δ¹⁸O) of stalagmites from several Chinese caves. Based on these records, it is thought that East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) precipitation generally follows Northern Hemisphere (NH) summer insolation. However, not much is known about the magnitude and timing of deglacial warming on the East Asian continent. In this study we reconstruct continental air temperatures for central China covering the last 34,000 yr, based on the distribution of fossil branched tetraether membrane lipids of soil bacteria in a loess–paleosol sequence from the Mangshan loess plateau. The results indicate that air temperature varied in phase with NH summer insolation, and that the onset of deglacial warming at ~ 19 kyr BP is parallel in timing with other continental records from e.g. Antarctica, southern Africa and South-America. The air temperature increased from ~ 15 °C at the onset of the warming to a maximum of ~ 27 °C in the early Holocene (~ 12 kyr BP), in agreement with the temperature increase inferred from e.g. pollen and phytolith data, and permafrost limits in central China.Comparison of the tetraether membrane lipid-derived temperature record with loess–paleosol proxy records and stalagmite δ¹⁸O records shows that the strengthening of EASM precipitation lagged that of deglacial warming by ca. 3 kyr. Moreover, intense soil formation in the loess deposits, caused by substantial increases in summer monsoon precipitation, only started around 12 kyr BP (ca. 7 kyr lag). Our results thus show that the intensification of EASM precipitation unambiguously lagged deglacial warming and NH summer insolation, and may contribute to a better understanding of the mechanisms controlling ice age terminations.  相似文献   

Migration and global environmental change     

Richard Black  W. Neil Adger  Nigel W. Arnell  Stefan Dercon  Andrew Geddes  David Thomas 《Global Environmental Change》2011

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Streamflow trends and climate linkages in the source region of the Yellow River,China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yurong Hu  Shreedhar Maskey  Stefan Uhlenbrook  Hongli Zhao 《水文研究》2011,25(22):3399-3411

Much of the discussion on hydrological trends and variability in the source region of the Yellow River centres on the mean values of the mainstream flows. Changes in hydrological extremes in the mainstream as well as in the tributary flows are largely unexplored. Although decreasing water availability has been noted, the nature of those changes is less explored. This article investigates trends and variability in the hydrological regimes (both mean values and extreme events) and their links with the local climate in the source region of the Yellow River over the last 50 years (1959–2008). This large catchment is relatively undisturbed by anthropogenic influences such as abstraction and impoundments, enabling the characterization of widely natural, climate‐driven trends. A total of 27 hydrological variables were used as indicators for the analysis. Streamflow records from six major headwater catchments and climatic data from seven stations were studied. The trend results vary considerably from one river basin to another, and become more accentuated with longer time period. Overall, the source region of the Yellow River is characterized by an overall tendency towards decreasing water availability. Noteworthy are strong decreasing trends in the winter (dry season) monthly flows of January to March and September as well as in annual mean flow, annual 1‐, 3‐, 7‐, 30‐ and 90‐day maxima and minima flows for Maqu and Tangnag catchments over the period 1959–2008. The hydrological variables studied are closely related to precipitation in the wet season (June, July, August and September), indicating that the widespread decrease in wet season precipitation is expected to be associated with significant decrease in streamflow. To conclude, decreasing precipitation, particularly in the wet season, along with increasing temperature can be associated with pronounced decrease in water resources, posing a significant challenge to downstream water uses. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Noise characteristics of an electromagnetic sea-ice thickness sounder on a fixed wing aircraft     

Lasse Rabenstein  Stefan HendricksJohn Lobach  Christian Haas 《Journal of Applied Geophysics》2011,75(1):87-98

In this paper, the noise sources of an airborne electromagnetic frequency domain instrument used to measure sea-ice thickness are studied. The antennas are mounted on the wings of an aircraft. The paper presents real data examples showing that strong noise limited the accuracy of the thickness measurement to ± 0.5 m in the best case. Even drift cor­rection and frequency ?ltering did not reduce the noise to a level necessary for sea ice thickness measurements with an accuracy of 0.1 m. We show results of 3D ?nite element modeling of the coupling between transmitter and receiver coils and the aircraft, which indicate that wing ?exure is the primary cause of the strong noise. Wing de?ection angles below 5° relative to the fuselage are large enough to cause changes higher than the wanted signal from the seawater under the ice. Wing ?exure noise can be divided into an inductive and geometric contribution, both of the same order. Most of the wing ?exure signal appears on the inphase component only, hence the quadrature component should be taken for sea ice thickness retrievals when wing ?exure is present even when the inphase produces a larger ocean sig­nal. Results also show that pitch and roll movements of the aircraft and electromagnetic coupling between seawater and aircraft can contribute signi?cantly to the total noise. For ?ight heights of 30 m over the ocean these effects can change the sig­nal by about 10% or more. For highly quantitative measurements like sea-ice thickness all these effects must be taken into account. We conclude that a ?xed wing electromagnetic instrument for the purpose of measure­ments in a centimeter scale must include instrumentation to measure the relative position of the antenna coils with an accuracy of 1/10 mm. Furthermore the antenna separation distance should be as large as possible in order to increase the measured ratio of secondary to primary magnetic field strength.  相似文献   

The use of the Schmidt Hammer and Equotip for rock hardness assessment in geomorphology and heritage science: a comparative analysis   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Heather Viles  Andrew Goudie  Stefan Grab  Jennifer Lalley 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2011,36(3):320-333

Rapid, field‐based measurements of rock hardness are of use in investigating many geomorphological and heritage science problems. Several different methods are now available for taking such measurements, but little work has been done to assess their comparability and strengths and weaknesses. We review here the capabilities of two types of Schmidt Hammer (Classic N type and Silver Schmidt BL type) alongside two types of Equotip (standard type D and Piccolo) for investigating rock hardness in relation to rock weathering on various types of sandstone and limestone, as well as basalt and dolerite. Whilst the two Schmidt hammers and the two Equotips show comparable results when tested at 15 individual sites, interesting differences are found between the Equotip and Schmidt Hammer values which may reveal information about the nature of weathering on different surfaces. Operator variance is shown to be an issue in particular for the Equotip devices, which also exhibit higher variability in measurements and necessitate larger sample sizes. Carborundum pre‐treatment also has varying effects on the data collected, depending on the nature of the surface studied. The Equotip devices are shown to be particularly useful on smaller blocks and in situations where edge effects may affect Schmidt Hammer readings. We conclude that whilst each device contributes to geomorphological research, they do not necessarily produce comparable information. Indeed, using Schmidt Hammer and Equotip in combination and looking at any differences in results may provide invaluable insights into the structure of the near‐surface zones and the nature of weathering processes. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Carbonation of lignite fly ash at ambient T and P in a semi-dry reaction system for CO₂ sequestration     

Markus Bauer  Niklas GassenHelge Stanjek  Stefan Peiffer 《Applied Geochemistry》2011,26(8):1502-1512

The global rise in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations calls for practicable solutions to capture CO₂. In this study, a mineral carbonation process was applied in which CO₂ reacts with alkaline lignite ash and forms stable carbonate solids. In comparison to previous studies, the assays were conducted at low temperatures and pressures and under semi-dry reaction conditions in an 8 L laboratory mixing device. In order to find optimum process conditions the pCO₂ (10-20%), stirring rate (500-3000 rpm) and the liquid to solid ratio (L/S = 0.03-0.36 L kg⁻¹) were varied. In all experiments a considerable CO₂ uptake from the gas phase was observed. Concurrently the solid phase contents of Ca and Mg (hydr)oxides decreased and CaCO₃ and MgCO₃ fractions increased throughout the experiments, showing that CO₂ was stabilized as a solid carbonate. The carbonation reaction depends on three factors: Dissolution of CO₂ in the liquid phase, mobilization of Ca and Mg from the mineral surface and precipitation of the carbonate solids. Those limitations were found to depend strongly on the variation of the process parameters. Optimum reaction conditions could be found for L/S ratios between 0.12 and 0.18, medium stirring velocities and pCO₂ between 10% and 20%.Maximum CO₂ uptake by the solid phase was 4.8 mmol g⁻¹ after 120 min, corresponding to a carbonation efficiency for the alkaline material of 53% of the theoretical CO₂ binding capacity. In comparison to previous studies both CO₂ uptake and carbonation efficiencies were in a similar range, but the reaction times in the semi-dry process were considerably shorter. The proposed method additionally allows for a more simple carbonation setup due to low T and P, and produces an easier to handle product with low water content.  相似文献   

Disconnected policies and actors and the missing role of spatial planning throughout the risk management cycle   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

Kalliopi Sapountzaki  Sylvia Wanczura  Gabriella Casertano  Stefan Greiving  Gavriil Xanthopoulos  Floriana F. Ferrara 《Natural Hazards》2011,59(3):1445-1474

The present work addresses the problem of lack of coordination between policies and actors with joint competence for risk management, i.e., civil protection, spatial planning, and sectoral planning (e.g., forest policy in the case of forest fire risk). Spatial planning in particular is assigned a minor or no role at all though it might perfectly operate as the coordinating policy platform; the reason is that spatially relevant analysis and policy guidance is an omnipresent component of the risk management cycle. However, disconnected risk relevant policies turning a blind eye to spatial planning might cause several adverse repercussions: Breaks in the response-preparedness-prevention-remediation chain (which should function as a continuum), minimal attention to prevention, risk expansion and growth instead of mitigation, lack of synergies between involved actors as well as duplicated or even diverging measures and funding. The authors bear witness to the above suggestions by examining three cases of European (regional and local) risk management systems faced with failures when confronting natural hazards (floods and forest fires). These three systems are embedded in different types of political-administrative structures, namely those of the city of Dortmund (Germany) facing floods, Eastern Attica region (Greece), and Lazio Region (Italy) facing forest fires.  相似文献   

Cenozoic granitoids in the Dinarides of southern Serbia: age of intrusion,isotope geochemistry,exhumation history and significance for the geodynamic evolution of the Balkan Peninsula   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Senecio Schefer  Vladica Cvetković  Bernhard Fügenschuh  Alexandre Kounov  Maria Ovtcharova  Urs Schaltegger  Stefan M. Schmid 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2011,100(5):1181-1206

Two age groups were determined for the Cenozoic granitoids in the Dinarides of southern Serbia by high-precision single grain U–Pb dating of thermally annealed and chemically abraded zircons: (1) Oligocene ages (Kopaonik, Drenje, Željin) ranging from 31.7 to 30.6 Ma (2) Miocene ages (Golija and Polumir) at 20.58–20.17 and 18.06–17.74 Ma, respectively. Apatite fission-track central ages, modelling combined with zircon central ages and additionally, local structural observations constrain the subsequent exhumation history of the magmatic rocks. They indicate rapid cooling from above 300°C to ca. 80°C between 16 and 10 Ma for both age groups, induced by extensional exhumation of the plutons located in the footwall of core complexes. Hence, Miocene magmatism and core-complex formation not only affected the Pannonian basin but also a part of the mountainous areas of the internal Dinarides. Based on an extensive set of existing age data combined with our own analyses, we propose a geodynamical model for the Balkan Peninsula: The Late Eocene to Oligocene magmatism, which affects the Adria-derived lower plate units of the internal Dinarides, was caused by delamination of the Adriatic mantle from the overlying crust, associated with post-collisional convergence that propagated outward into the external Dinarides. Miocene magmatism, on the other hand, is associated with core-complex formation along the southern margin of the Pannonian basin, probably associated with the W-directed subduction of the European lithosphere beneath the Carpathians and interfering with ongoing Dinaridic–Hellenic back-arc extension.  相似文献   

Earthquakes in Switzerland and surrounding regions during 2010     

Nicholas Deichmann  John Clinton  Stephan Husen  Benjamin Edwards  Florian Haslinger  Donat Fäh  Domenico Giardini  Philipp Kästli  Urs Kradolfer  Stefan Wiemer 《Swiss Journal of Geoscience》2011,104(3):537-547

This report of the Swiss Seismological Service summarizes the seismic activity in Switzerland and surrounding regions during 2010. During this period, 407 earthquakes and 85 quarry blasts were detected and located in the region under consideration. With a total of only 19 events with M_L ≥ 2.5, the seismic activity in the year 2010 was below the average over the previous 35 years. The two most noteworthy earthquakes were the M_L 3.4 Barrhorn event near Sankt Niklaus (VS) and the M_L 3.0 event of Feldkirch, both of which produced shaking of intensity IV.  相似文献