煤矿瓦斯浓度与气象因子相关分析及预报模型   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

韩虹  康中华李胜韩文琦  刘勇明 《气象科技》2006,34(6):796-798

对山西省大同市地方煤矿1979~1997年发生的90起重大典型事故案例进行分析,发现瓦斯事故是发生次数最多,占事故总数的33%,而其造成的灾害也最重。瓦斯浓度的高低与气象因子具有一定的相关性,通过统计计算,得出了旬瓦斯浓度与旬气温、旬气压的相关关系,建立了旬瓦斯浓度预报模型和逐日瓦斯浓度等级预报模型,预报拟合率和试报效果较好。利用该研究成果,结合中短期天气预报,可以提前预报瓦斯浓度的变化趋势,对于搞好煤矿安全生产的管理,及时加大通风,减少事故发生具有重要意义。  相似文献   

Precise orbit determination for the GRACE mission using only GPS data   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

Zhigui Kang  Byron Tapley  Srinivas Bettadpur  John Ries  Peter Nagel  Rick Pastor 《Journal of Geodesy》2006,80(6):322-331

The GRACE (gravity recovery and climate experiment) satellites, launched in March 2002, are each equipped with a BlackJack GPS onboard receiver for precise orbit determination and gravity field recovery. Since launch, there have been significant improvements in the background force models used for satellite orbit determination, most notably the model for the geopotential. This has resulted in significant improvements to orbit accuracy for very low altitude satellites. The purpose of this paper is to investigate how well the orbits of the GRACE satellites (about 470 km in altitude) can currently be determined using only GPS data and based on the current models and methods. The orbit accuracy is assessed using a number of tests, which include analysis of orbit fits, orbit overlaps, orbit connecting points, satellite Laser ranging residuals and K-band ranging (KBR) residuals. We show that 1-cm radial orbit accuracy for the GRACE satellites has probably been achieved. These precise GRACE orbits can be used for such purposes as improving gravity recovery from the GRACE KBR data and for atmospheric profiling, and they demonstrate the quality of the background force models being used.  相似文献   

数值预报产品在一次强天气过程中的应用     

康岚  徐海 《高原山地气象研究》2006,26(2)

通过实况场分析表明:能量的积累和位势不稳定层结的建立是产生本次过程的基础,低空急流为本次过程提供了有利的动力条件,而水汽条件的突变、上升是产生本次过程的根本原因.将上述结论和具有预报时效的数值预报释用产品进行对比分析,结果表明,在连续几日数值预报比较稳定的情况下,形势场、要素场、变量场可信度高,可以作为预报的重要依据.数值预报要素场的突变是产生转折性天气的先兆条件之一.  相似文献   

桩端土加固处理设计及检测方法的探讨     

张莲花  罗康 《岩土工程技术》2007,21(2):67-69,85

介绍了人工挖孔桩桩端土承载力不足进行旋喷桩处理的设计过程以及处理后检测过程中遇到的问题。桩端土处理设计可以遵循一般的地基处理设计方法和原则,并针对复合地基承载力检测和桩端土极限端阻力的检测中存在的差异和共同点,提出组合静载荷试验的思路和方法,并在工程中予以实施,并取得了较好的效果。  相似文献   

Evaluation of groundwater quality in coastal areas: implications for sustainable agriculture   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

Jin-Yong Lee  Sung-Ho Song 《Environmental Geology》2007,52(7):1231-1242

Seawater intrusion is a problem in the coastal areas of Korea. Most productive agricultural fields are in the western and southern coastal areas of the country where irrigation predominantly relies on groundwater. Seawater intrusion has affected agricultural productivity. To evaluate progressive encroachment of saline water, the Korean government established a seawater intrusion monitoring well network, especially in the western and southern part of the peninsula. Automatic water levels and EC monitoring and periodic chemical analysis of groundwater help track salinization. Salinization of fresh groundwater is highly associated with groundwater withdrawal. A large proportion of the groundwaters are classified as Na–Cl and Ca–Cl types. The Na–Cl types represent effects of seawater intrusion. The highest EC level was over 1.6 km inland and high Cl values were observed up to 1.2 km inland. Lower ratios of Na/Cl and SO₄/Cl than seawater values indicate the seawater encroachment. A linear relation between Na and Cl represents simple mixing of the fresh groundwater with the seawater. The saline Na–Cl typed groundwaters showed Br/Cl ratios similar to or less than seawater values. The Ca–HCO₃ type groundwaters had the highest Br/Cl ratios. Substantial proportions of the groundwaters showed potential for salinity and should be better managed for sustainable agriculture.  相似文献   

Outgoing long wave radiation variability from IR satellite data prior to major earthquakes   总被引：12，自引：1，他引：12  

Dimitar Ouzounov  Defu Liu  Kang Chunli  Guido Cervone  Menas Kafatos  Patrick Taylor 《Tectonophysics》2007,431(1-4):211

Our analysis of the continuous outgoing long wave earth radiation (OLR) indicates anomalous variations prior to a number of medium to large earthquakes. The most recent analysis of OLR is from the M9.0 Sumatra Andaman Islands mega trust event. We compared the reference fields for December 2001 to 2004 and found OLR anomalous values, > 80 W/m², (2σ) within the epicentral area on Dec 21, 2004, 5 days before the event. We used the NOAA/IR daily (one degree) and monthly (two and half degree) gridded data to differentiate between the global and seasonal variability and the transient local anomalies. The cause of such anomalies is not fully understood; one possible explanation is the existence of thermal outgoing radiation as a result of near ground air ionization and latent heat change due to change of air humidity and temperature. This phenomenon is hypothesized to be part of a relationship between tectonic stresses, electrochemical and thermodynamic processes in the atmosphere and increasing mid IR flux, all part of a family of electromagnetic (EM) phenomena related to earthquake activity. The time scale of the observed variations is a few weeks before the onset of the seismic event. In comparison with several years of data, the observed time-series preceding the earthquake had unusually high OLR. The OLR anomaly corresponds to a large area of ground coverage and coincides with the main epicentral zone. The significance of these observations is explored using data from most recent East Asian earthquake swarm of December 2004 and three other earthquakes.  相似文献   

油气成藏流体动力系统分析原理及应用   总被引：24，自引：1，他引：23  

康永尚  庞雄奇 《沉积学报》1998,16(3):80-84

阐述了油气成藏流体动力系统分析的基本原理,把油气成藏流体动力系统分为重力驱动型、压实驱动型、滞流型和封存型四种类型。结合国内外的研究实例,分析了不同类型流体动力系统油气藏形成和分布的规律,强调在不同类型的流体动力系统中,油气藏形成的机理不同,在成藏动力学研究中有不同的侧重点。加强重力驱动型和封存型流体动力系统动力系统油气成藏条件研究对我国南方海相盆地和其它勘探程度较高的盆地深部的油气勘探具有重要意义。  相似文献   

地震灾害盲场快速评估系统及其应用     

何钧  陈时军 《内陆地震》1998,12(3):234-241

震后灾害损失盲场快速评估的技术方法及其计算机软件系统可在确定地震震级、震中位置和发震时间等参数后,在人员未到地震现场的情况下,快速给出该次地震对一个区域造砀 经济损失和人员伤亡的初步评估结果。选择鲁南地震重点监视防御区为评估区域,并使用该软件系统对１９９５年９月－２０日发生在苍山的５．２级地震进行了灾害损失快速评估的实际检验。从检验结果可看出 ,用固定资产损失率矩阵计算经济损失,获得基础资料方便,  相似文献   

1997年9月三水3.7和4.4级地震特征初析     

王正尚  康英 《华南地震》1998,18(1):125-129

对１９９７年９月２３日和２６日两次三水有感地震的特征进行了初步分析,认为这两次地震具有震前和震后地震活动水平低、面波发育和低震级高烈度等特性;震区的主压应力为北北西方向,两震的受力方向基本一致,但断层面解明显不同。  相似文献   

库车坳陷地质结构及油气带预测   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1  

康志宏  梁慧社 《新疆地质》1998,(1)

利用油气地震勘探成果和露头的岩性资料 ,对库车坳陷地震层序进行划分 ,初步认为第三系膏盐层和三叠 -侏罗系煤层及泥岩是分布比较稳定的区域性软弱层 ,构成了区域内的主要滑脱面。将库车坳陷划分 6个构造带 ,对库车坳陷的构造样式进行归纳总结 ,并结合典型实例 ,采用平衡地质剖面技术对重要剖面进行地质平衡解译 ,使库车坳陷地质结构更加清晰。结合该区油气成藏的地质条件 ,划分出若干油气聚集带 ,对各油气聚集带进行分别评价  相似文献