Integrated estimates of global terrestrial carbon sequestration   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Allison M. Thomson  R. Csar Izaurralde  Steven J. Smith  Leon E. Clarke 《Global Environmental Change》2008,18(1):192-203

Assessing the contribution of terrestrial carbon sequestration to climate change mitigation requires integration across scientific and disciplinary boundaries. A comprehensive analysis incorporating ecologic, geographic and economic data was used to develop terrestrial carbon sequestration estimates for agricultural soil carbon, reforestation and pasture management. These estimates were applied in the MiniCAM integrated assessment model to evaluate mitigation strategies within policy and technology scenarios aimed at achieving atmospheric greenhouse gas stabilization by 2100. Terrestrial sequestration reaches a peak rate of 0.5–0.7 GtC yr⁻¹ in mid-century with contributions from agricultural soils (0.21 GtC yr⁻¹), reforestation (0.31 GtC yr⁻¹) and pasture (0.15 GtC yr⁻¹). Sequestration rates vary over time and with different technology and policy scenarios. The combined contribution of terrestrial sequestration over the next century ranges from 23 to 41 GtC.  相似文献   

What do near-term observations tell us about long-term developments in greenhouse gas emissions?     

Detlef P. van Vuuren  Jae Edmonds  Steven J. Smith  Kate V. Calvin  Joseph Karas  Mikiko Kainuma  Nebojsa Nakicenovic  Keywan Riahi  Bas J. van Ruijven  Rob Swart  Allison Thomson 《Climatic change》2010,103(3-4):635-642

Long-term scenarios developed by integrated assessment models are used in climate research to provide an indication of plausible long-term emissions of greenhouse gases and other radiatively active substances based on developments in the global energy system, land-use and the emissions associated with these systems. The phenomena that determine these long-term developments (several decades or even centuries) are very different than those that operate on a shorter time-scales (a few years). Nevertheless, in the literature, we still often find direct comparisons between short-term observations and long-term developments that do not take into account the differing dynamics over these time scales. In this letter, we discuss some of the differences between the factors that operate in the short term and those that operate in the long term. We use long-term historical emissions trends to show that short-term observations are very poor indicators of long-term future emissions developments. Based on this, we conclude that the performance of long-term scenarios should be evaluated against the appropriate, corresponding long-term variables and trends. The research community may facilitate this by developing appropriate data sets and protocols that can be used to test the performance of long-term scenarios and the models that produce them.  相似文献   

Nd isotope mapping of Grenvillian crustal terranes in the vicinity of the Manicouagan Impact Structure     

Stephanie D. Thomson  Alan P. Dickin  John G. Spray 《Precambrian Research》2011,191(3-4):184-193

Over 70 new Nd isotope analyses are presented for the Manicouagan area of the Grenville Province to estimate the crustal age of target rocks involved in the 214 Ma Manicouagan Impact Structure, and to reconstruct the Precambrian geological evolution of this crustal segment. The rocks fall into two main groups: Samples from the Archean-aged Gagnon Terrane to the north and west of the impact give T_DM ages averaging 2.70 Ga. Samples from the Manicouagan Imbricate Zone (MIZ) and other allochthonous lithotectonic domains to the south of the impact yield Paleoproterozoic T_DM ages averaging 2.01 Ga for the MIZ and 1.86 Ga for the southern domains. These Paleoproterozoic terranes are correlated with Makkovik-age crust in Labrador that was heavily reworked by Labradorian magmatism that increased in intensity southwards. The target rocks involved in the impact event would have consisted almost entirely of the MIZ, which formed a layer several kilometres thick, overlying Archean crust at depth.  相似文献   

The case for human causes of increased atmospheric CH₄ over the last 5000 years     

William F. Ruddiman  Jonathan S. Thomson 《Quaternary Science Reviews》2001,20(18)

We propose that humans significantly altered atmospheric CH₄ levels after 5000 years BP and that anthropogenic inputs just prior to the industrial revolution accounted for up to 25% of the CH₄ level of 725 ppb (parts per billion). We base this hypothesis on three arguments: (1) the 100 ppb increase in atmospheric CH₄ that occurred after 5000 years BP follows a pattern unprecedented in any prior orbitally driven change in the ice-core record; (2) non-anthropogenic explanations for this increase (expansion of boreal peat lands or tropical wetlands) are inconsistent with existing evidence; and (3) inefficient early rice farming is a quantitatively plausible means of producing anomalously large CH₄ inputs to the atmosphere prior to the industrial revolution. If the areas flooded for farming harbored abundant CH₄-producing weeds, disproportionately large amounts of CH₄ would have been produced in feeding relatively small pre-industrial populations.  相似文献   

The Photography of Model Cattle as a Guide to Minimum Photoscales for Interpretation and Identification     

G. H. Thomson 《The Photogrammetric Record》1995,15(85):141-143

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Seismic Modelling of Subduction Zones With Inhomogeneity and Anisotropy-I. Teleseismic P-Wavefront Tracking     

J-M. Kendall  C. J. Thomson 《Geophysical Journal International》1993,112(1):39-66

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The distribution of ²¹⁰Pb and ²¹⁰Po in the surface waters of the Pacific Ocean     

Y. Nozaki  J. Thomson  K.K. Turekian 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1976,32(2):304-312

By modelling the observed distribution of²¹⁰Pb and²¹⁰Po in surface waters of the Pacific, residence times relative to particulate removal are determined. For the center of the North Pacific gyre these are τ_Po = 0.6years andτ_Pb = 1.7years. The surface ocean τ_Pb is determined by particulate transport rather than plankton settling. The fact that it is about two orders of magnitude smaller than τ_Pb for the deep ocean implies a sharp change in the adsorptive quality of particles during descent through the water column.  相似文献   

The balance and redistribution of potential vorticity within the ocean     

Richard E. Thomson  R.W. Stewart 《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》1977,1(4):299-321

The balance and redistribution of potential vorticity in a turbulent, inhomogeneous ocean is examined analytically. In the first part of the paper, we derive a vorticity conservation law describing the way in which vorticity is lost and gained in a closed ocean basin. We show that the potential vorticity within the ocean can only be altered by molecular diffusion at the bounding surfaces, or by the advective input of vorticity via the turbulent velocity at the free upper surface. An imbalance between these two effects within the body of the ocean leads to a net temporal change in the total potential vorticity, which we are able to express in terms of the temporal changes in the magnitude and orientation of a vector formed by the surface velocity and density and the earth's rotation. Finally, the steady-state balance of integrated vorticity is found to be between the surface wind-stress curl and the molecular diffusion at the solid boundaries.We then consider the localized redistribution of potential vorticity in detail. In recent papers, Green (1970) and Welander (1973) have purported to show that an internal redistribution of potential vorticity can give rise to important forces in the atmosphere (Green) and the ocean (Welander). Using their recipe leads in some cases to such unphysical results as a breakdown of the laws of conservation of angular momentum. Such consequences cause us to question the validity of the argument, and lead us to a close examination' of Welander's mechanism. (Green's argument is more general and does not lend itself to such close examination.) Our investigation reveals important flaws not only in Welander's argument, but also in the classical mixing-length theory of Prandtl (1925) and of Taylor (1915) on which it is modelled. More specifically, the internal redistribution process presented in these theories is found to be incomplete since it fails to take into account the lift force exerted on individual parcels of fluid as they are transported by the turbulent motions. Inclusion of these lift forces not only permits the unification of the classical mixing-length theories, but also shows that the forces claimed by Welander do not in fact arise.  相似文献   

A numerical study of damping     

William T. Thomson  Tom Calkins  Paolo Caravani 《地震工程与结构动力学》1974,3(1):97-103

Diagonal damping matrices were computed for three systems which have non-proportional damping matrices. These diagonal damping matrices were computed on three bases, as follows: 1. After normalizing the equations of motion by the modal matrix, the diagonal terms are retained ignoring the non-diagonal terms. 2. Diagonal damping matrix is established by the optimization algorithm which minimizes the mean square error of the frequency response. 3. Diagonal damping is determined from the normalized differential equation by matching the peaks of the coupled and uncoupled system. The frequency responses for the three cases of one of the three systems are presented together with a comparison of the energy dissipation.  相似文献   

Uranium Series Disequilibrium: Applications to Environmental Problems: edited by M. Ivanovich and R. S. Harmon,Clarendon Press,Oxford. 1982, 571 p., £45.00     

J. Thomson 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1983,47(3):662

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