Reservoir uncertainty tolerant,proactive control of intelligent wells     

Morteza Haghighat Sefat  Ahmed H. Elsheikh  Khafiz M. Muradov  David R. Davies 《Computational Geosciences》2016,20(3):655-676

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Ageing resource communities: new frontiers of rural population change,community development and voluntarism          下载免费PDF全文

Amanda Davies 《New Zealand geographer》2016,72(2):160-161

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Evaluation of coseismic landslide hazard on the proposed Haast-Hollyford Highway,South Island,New Zealand     

Tom R. Robinson  Tim R. H. Davies  Thomas M. Wilson  Caroline Orchiston  Nicolas Barth 《Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards》2016,10(2):146-163

Coseismic landsliding presents a major hazard to infrastructure in mountains during large earthquakes. This is particularly true for road networks, as historically coseismic landsliding has resulted in road losses larger than those due to ground shaking. Assessing the exposure of current and planned highway links to coseismic landsliding for future earthquake scenarios is therefore vital for disaster risk reduction. This study presents a method to evaluate the exposure of critical infrastructure to landsliding from scenario earthquakes from an underlying quantitative landslide hazard assessment. The method is applied to a proposed new highway link in South Island, New Zealand, for a scenario Alpine Fault earthquake and compared to the current network. Exposure (the likelihood of a network being affected by one or more landslides) is evaluated from a regional-scale coseismic landslide hazard model and assessed on a relative basis from 0 to 1. The results show that the proposed Haast-Hollyford Highway (HHH) would be highly exposed to coseismic landsliding with at least 30–40?km likely to be badly affected (the Simonin Pass route being the worse affected of the two routes). In the current South Island State Highway network, the HHH would be the link most exposed to landsliding and would increase the total network exposure by 50–70% despite increasing the total road length by just 3%. The present work is intended to provide an effective method to assess coseismic landslide hazard of infrastructure in mountains with seismic hazard, and potentially identify mitigation options and critical network segments.  相似文献   

Interseismic deformation in south-central Tibet from InSAR and GPS data     

Hua Wang  Tim J. Wright  Jing Liu Zeng  Lincai Peng 《《地质学报》英文版》2018,92(Z1):148-148

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Metasomatism and the crystallization of zircon megacrysts in Archaean peridotites from the Lewisian complex,NW Scotland     

John?W.?Faithfull  Tim?J.?DempsterEmail author  John?M.?MacDonald  Monica?Reilly  EIMF 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2018,173(12):99

Zircon megacrysts are locally abundant in 1–40 cm-thick orthopyroxenite veins within peridotite host rocks in the Archaean Lewisian gneiss complex from NW Scotland. The veins formed by metasomatic interaction between the ultramafic host and Si-rich melts are derived from partial melting of the adjacent granulite-facies orthogneisses. The interaction produced abundant orthopyroxene and, within the thicker veins, phlogopite, pargasite and feldspathic bearing assemblages. Two generations of zircon are present with up to 1 cm megacrystic zircon and a later smaller equant population located around the megacryst margins. Patterns of zoning, rare earth element abundance and oxygen isotopic compositions indicate that the megacrysts crystallized from crustal melts, whereas the equant zircon represents new neocryst growth and partial replacement of the megacryst zircon within the ultramafic host. Both zircon types have U–Pb ages of ca. 2464 Ma, broadly contemporaneous with granulite-facies events in the adjacent gneisses. Zircon megacrysts locally form?>?10% of the assemblage and may be associated to zones of localized nucleation or physically concentrated during movement of the siliceous melts. Their unusual size is linked to the suppression of zircon nucleation and increased Zr solubility in the Si-undersaturated melts. The metasomatism between crustal melts and peridotite may represent an analog for processes in the mantle wedge above subducting slabs. As such, the crystallization of abundant zircon in ultramafic host rocks has implications for geochemistry of melts generated in the mantle and the widely reported depletion of high field strength elements in arc magmas.  相似文献   

The Anglo-Brabant Massif: Persistent but enigmatic palaeo-relief at the heart of western Europe     

Tim Pharaoh 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》2018,129(3):278-328

The surface geology of central England and Belgium obscures a large ‘basement’ massif with a complex history and stronger crust and lithosphere than surrounding regions. The nucleus was forged by subduction-related magmatism at the Gondwana margin in Ediacaran time. Partitioning into a platform, in the English Midlands, and a basin stretching to Belgium, in the east, was already evident in Cambrian/earliest Ordovician time. The accretion of the Monian Composite Terrane during the Penobscotian deformation phase preceded late Tremadocian rifting, and Floian separation, of the Avalonia Terrane from the Gondwana margin. Late Ordovician magmatism in a belt from the Lake District to Belgium records subduction beneath Avalonia of part of the Tornquist Sea. This ‘Western Pacific-style’ oceanic basin closed in latest Ordovician time, uniting Avalonia and Baltica. Closure of the Iapetus Ocean in early Silurian time was soon followed by closure of the Rheic Ocean, recorded by subduction along the southern margin of the massif. The causes of late Caledonian deformation are poorly understood and controversial. Partitioned behaviour of the massif persisted into late Palaeozoic time. Late Devonian and Carboniferous sequences show strong onlap onto the massif, which was little affected by crustal extension. Compressional deformation during the Variscan Orogeny also appears slight, and was focussed in the west where a wedge-shaped mountain foreland uplift was driven by orogenic indentation, splitting the massif from the Welsh Massif along the reactivated Malvern Line. Permian to Mesozoic sequences exhibit persistent but variable degrees of onlap onto the massif.  相似文献   

淮河流域夏季极端降水频次空间分布的客观分类及其形成机理     

卢睿  朱志伟  李天明  潘晓  江叶艳  陆雅君 《大气科学》2021,45(6):1415-1432

本文基于1961～2016年淮河流域四省（江苏、安徽、河南、山东）逐日降水观测资料及全球大气再分析资料,利用K均值聚类、旋转经验正交函数分解对淮河流域夏季极端降水频次分布进行了客观分类,利用统计诊断和数值模拟的手段讨论了其相关环流异常和形成机理。结果表明:（1）淮河流域夏季极端降水频次的空间分布可客观分为以极端降水主要发生在淮河流域33°N以南地区的南部型,主要发生在32°～36°N之间的中部型,和主要发生在34°N以北的北部型这三种分布类型;（2）南部型极端降水频次分布与西北太平洋副热带高压异常偏西偏南有关,西北太平洋异常反气旋北侧的异常气旋性环流使得水汽输送停留在淮河流域南部,导致南部极端降水频次偏多。中部型对应淮河流域受鞍型场环流结构控制,导致中部极端降水频次偏多。北部型极端降水频次分布时,淮河流域处于反气旋性环流异常西南侧,偏南风将水汽输送至淮河流域北部,导致北部极端降水频次偏多;（3）南部型和北部型的极端降水频次分布相关环流异常分别受厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜相关海表温度异常所影响,而中部型极端降水频次分布的相关环流异常是巴伦支海/喀拉海海冰异常在欧亚大陆上空激发的自西北向东南传播的准定常罗斯贝波所导致的。  相似文献   

Late Quaternary chironomid community structure shaped by rate and magnitude of climate change     

Roseanna J. Mayfield  Peter G. Langdon  C. Patrick Doncaster  John A. Dearing  Rong Wang  Gaute Velle  Kimberley L. Davies  Stephen J. Brooks 《第四纪科学杂志》2021,36(3):360-376

Much is known about how climate change impacts ecosystem richness and turnover, but we have less understanding of its influence on ecosystem structures. Here, we use ecological metrics (beta diversity, compositional disorder and network skewness) to quantify the community structural responses of temperature-sensitive chironomids (Diptera: Chironomidae) during the Late Glacial (14 700–11 700 cal a bp ) and Holocene (11 700 cal a bp to present). Analyses demonstrate high turnover (beta diversity) of chironomid composition across both epochs; however, structural metrics stayed relatively intact. Compositional disorder and skewness show greatest structural change in the Younger Dryas, following the rapid, high-magnitude climate change at the Bølling–Allerød to Younger Dryas transition. There were fewer climate-related structural changes across the early to mid–late Holocene, where climate change was more gradual and lower in magnitude. The reduced impact on structural metrics could be due to greater functional resilience provided by the wider chironomid community, or to the replacement of same functional-type taxa in the network structure. These results provide insight into how future rapid climate change may alter chironomid communities and could suggest that while turnover may remain high under a rapidly warming climate, community structural dynamics retain some resilience.  相似文献   

The role of hydrothermal fluids in sedimentation in saline alkaline lakes: Evidence from Nasikie Engida,Kenya Rift Valley     

Robin W. Renaut  R. Bernhart Owen  Tim K. Lowenstein  Gijs De Cort  Emma Mcnulty  Jennifer J. Scott  Anthony Mbuthia 《Sedimentology》2021,68(1):108-134

Saline alkaline lakes that precipitate sodium carbonate evaporites are most common in volcanic terrains in semi‐arid environments. Processes that lead to trona precipitation are poorly understood compared to those in sulphate‐dominated and chloride‐dominated lake brines. Nasikie Engida (Little Magadi) in the southern Kenya Rift shows the initial stages of soda evaporite formation. This small shallow (<2 m deep; 7 km long) lake is recharged by alkaline hot springs and seasonal runoff but unlike neighbouring Lake Magadi is perennial. This study aims to understand modern sedimentary and geochemical processes in Nasikie Engida and to assess the importance of geothermal fluids in evaporite formation. Perennial hot‐spring inflow waters along the northern shoreline evaporate and become saturated with respect to nahcolite and trona, which precipitate in the southern part of the lake, up to 6 km from the hot springs. Nahcolite (NaHCO₃) forms bladed crystals that nucleate on the lake floor. Trona (Na₂CO₃·NaHCO₃·2H₂O) precipitates from more concentrated brines as rafts and as bottom‐nucleated shrubs of acicular crystals that coalesce laterally to form bedded trona. Many processes modify the fluid composition as it evolves. Silica is removed as gels and by early diagenetic reactions and diatoms. Sulphate is depleted by bacterial reduction. Potassium and chloride, of moderate concentration, remain conservative in the brine. Clastic sedimentation is relatively minor because of the predominant hydrothermal inflow. Nahcolite precipitates when and where pCO₂ is high, notably near sublacustrine spring discharge. Results from Nasikie Engida show that hot spring discharge has maintained the lake for at least 2 kyr, and that the evaporite formation is strongly influenced by local discharge of carbon dioxide. Brine evolution and evaporite deposition at Nasikie Engida help to explain conditions under which ancient sodium carbonate evaporites formed, including those in other East African rift basins, the Eocene Green River Formation (western USA), and elsewhere.  相似文献   

Detailing the impact of the Storegga Tsunami at Montrose,Scotland     

Mark D. Bateman  Tim C. Kinnaird  Jon Hill  Robert A. Ashurst  Jenna Mohan  Rebecca B. I. Bateman  Ruth Robinson 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2021,50(4):1059-1078

The Storegga tsunami, dated in Norway to 8150±30 cal. years BP, hit many countries bordering the North Sea. Run-ups of >30 m occurred and 1000s of kilometres of coast were impacted. Whilst recent modelling successfully generated a tsunami wave train, the wave heights and velocities, it under-estimated wave run-ups. Work presented here used luminescence to directly date the Storegga tsunami deposits at the type site of Maryton, Aberdeenshire in Scotland. It also undertook sedimentological characterization to establish provenance, and number and relative power of the tsunami waves. Tsunami model refinement used this to better understand coastal inundation. Luminescence ages successfully date Scottish Storegga tsunami deposits to 8100±250 years. Sedimentology showed that at Montrose, three tsunami waves came from the northeast or east, over-ran pre-existing marine sands and weathered igneous bedrock on the coastal plain. Incorporation of an inundation model predicts well a tsunami impacting on the Montrose Basin in terms of replicate direction and sediment size. However, under-estimation of run-up persisted requiring further consideration of palaeotopography and palaeo-near-shore bathymetry for it to agree with sedimentary evidence. Future model evolution incorporating this will be better able to inform on the hazard risk and potential impacts for future high-magnitude submarine generated tsunami events.  相似文献