Predation and competition effects on the size diversity of aquatic communities     

Xavier D. Quintana  Matías Arim  Anna Badosa  José María Blanco  Dani Boix  Sandra Brucet  Jordi Compte  Juan J. Egozcue  Elvira de Eyto  Ursula Gaedke  Stéphanie Gascón  Luis Gil de Solá  Kenneth Irvine  Erik Jeppesen  Torben L. Lauridsen  Rocío López-Flores  Thomas Mehner  Susana Romo  Martin Søndergaard 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》2015,77(1):45-57

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Future vegetation changes in thawing subarctic mires and implications for greenhouse gas exchange—a regional assessment   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Julia Bosi?  Margareta Johansson  Terry V. Callaghan  Bernt Johansen  Torben R. Christensen 《Climatic change》2012,115(2):379-398

One of the major concerns regarding climate change in high latitudes is the potential feedback from greenhouse gases (GHG) being released from thawing peat soils. In this paper we show how vegetational patterns and associated GHG fluxes in subarctic palsa (peat mounds with a permanently frozen core) mires can be linked to climate, based on field observations from fifteen palsa sites distributed in northern Fennoscandia. Fine resolution (100?m) land cover data are combined with projections of future climate for the 21st century in order to model the potential future distribution of palsa vegetation in northern Fennoscandia. Site scale climate-vegetational relationships for two vegetation types are described by a climate suitability index computed from the field observations. Our results indicate drastic changes in the palsa vegetational patterns over the coming decades with a 97?% reduction in dry hummock areas by 2041?C2060 compared to the 1961?C1990 areal coverage. The impact of these changes on the carbon balance is a decrease in the efflux of CO₂ from 130 kilotonnes C y^?1 to a net uptake of 11 kilotonnes C y^?1 and a threefold increase in the efflux of CH₄ from 6 to 18 kilotonnes C y^?1 over the same period and over the 5,520?km² area of palsa mires. The combined effect is equivalent to a slight decrease in CO₂-C emissions, from 182 to 152 kilotonnes C y^?1. Main uncertainties involve the ability of the vegetation community to adapt to new conditions, and long-term changes in hydrology due to absence of ice and frost heaving.  相似文献   

Potential decadal predictability and its sensitivity to sea ice albedo parameterization in a global coupled model     

Torben Koenigk  Christof K?nig Beatty  Mihaela Caian  Ralf D?scher  Klaus Wyser 《Climate Dynamics》2012,38(11-12):2389-2408

Decadal prediction is one focus of the upcoming 5th IPCC Assessment report. To be able to interpret the results and to further improve the decadal predictions it is important to investigate the potential predictability in the participating climate models. This study analyzes the upper limit of climate predictability on decadal time scales and its dependency on sea ice albedo parameterization by performing two perfect ensemble experiments with the global coupled climate model EC-Earth. In the first experiment, the standard albedo formulation of EC-Earth is used, in the second experiment sea ice albedo is reduced. The potential prognostic predictability is analyzed for a set of oceanic and atmospheric parameters. The decadal predictability of the atmospheric circulation is small. The highest potential predictability was found in air temperature at 2?m height over the northern North Atlantic and the southern South Atlantic. Over land, only a few areas are significantly predictable. The predictability for continental size averages of air temperature is relatively good in all northern hemisphere regions. Sea ice thickness is highly predictable along the ice edges in the North Atlantic Arctic Sector. The meridional overturning circulation is highly predictable in both experiments and governs most of the decadal climate predictability in the northern hemisphere. The experiments using reduced sea ice albedo show some important differences like a generally higher predictability of atmospheric variables in the Arctic or higher predictability of air temperature in Europe. Furthermore, decadal variations are substantially smaller in the simulations with reduced ice albedo, which can be explained by reduced sea ice thickness in these simulations.  相似文献   

Origins and antiquity of the island fox (Urocyon littoralis) on California's Channel Islands     

Torben C. Rick  Jon M. Erlandson  René L. Vellanoweth  Paul W. Collins  Thomas W. Stafford Jr. 《Quaternary Research》2009,71(2):93-146

The island fox (Urocyon littoralis) is one of few reportedly endemic terrestrial mammals on California's Channel Islands. Questions remain about how and when foxes first colonized the islands, with researchers speculating on a natural, human-assisted, or combined dispersal during the late Pleistocene and/or Holocene. A natural dispersal of foxes to the northern Channel Islands has been supported by reports of a few fox bones from late Pleistocene paleontological localities. Direct AMS ¹⁴C dating of these “fossil” fox bones produced dates ranging from ∼ 6400 to 200 cal yr BP, however, postdating human colonization of the islands by several millennia. Although one of these specimens is the earliest securely dated fox from the islands, these new data support the hypothesis that Native Americans introduced foxes to all the Channel Islands in the early to middle Holocene. However, a natural dispersal for the original island colonization cannot be ruled out until further paleontological, archaeological, and genetic studies (especially aDNA [ancient DNA]) are conducted.  相似文献   

A first detailed look at the Greenland lithosphere and upper mantle, using Rayleigh wave tomography   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

Fiona A. Darbyshire  Tine B. Larsen  Klaus Mosegaard  Trine Dahl-Jensen  Ólafur Gudmundsson  Torben Bach  Søren Gregersen  Helle A. Pedersen  Winfried Hanka 《Geophysical Journal International》2004,158(1):267-286

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A look at the ocean in the EC-Earth climate model     

Andreas Sterl  Richard Bintanja  Laurent Brodeau  Emily Gleeson  Torben Koenigk  Torben Schmith  Tido Semmler  Camiel Severijns  Klaus Wyser  Shuting Yang 《Climate Dynamics》2012,39(11):2631-2657

EC-Earth is a newly developed global climate system model. Its core components are the Integrated Forecast System (IFS) of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) as the atmosphere component and the Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean (NEMO) developed by Institute Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL) as the ocean component. Both components are used with a horizontal resolution of roughly one degree. In this paper we describe the performance of NEMO in the coupled system by comparing model output with ocean observations. We concentrate on the surface ocean and mass transports. It appears that in general the model has a cold and fresh bias, but a much too warm Southern Ocean. While sea ice concentration and extent have realistic values, the ice tends to be too thick along the Siberian coast. Transports through important straits have realistic values, but generally are at the lower end of the range of observational estimates. Exceptions are very narrow straits (Gibraltar, Bering) which are too wide due to the limited resolution. Consequently the modelled transports through them are too high. The strength of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is also at the lower end of observational estimates. The interannual variability of key variables and correlations between them are realistic in size and pattern. This is especially true for the variability of surface temperature in the tropical Pacific (El Ni?o). Overall the ocean component of EC-Earth performs well and helps making EC-Earth a reliable climate model.  相似文献   

Deep saltwater in Chalk of North-West Europe: origin, interface characteristics and development over geological time     

Ellen P. Bonnesen  Flemming Larsen  Torben O. Sonnenborg  Kurt Klitten  Lars Stemmerik 《Hydrogeology Journal》2009,17(7):1643-1663

High-concentration saltwaters occur in many places in the regional Chalk aquifers of North-West Europe; to investigate deep occurrences, profiles of interstitial porewater chemistry have been studied from three 250–450m deep cores drilled in the eastern parts of Zealand, Denmark. At the studied location, saline water in the Chalk resides at depths from 40 to 80m and salinity increases with depth. Concentrations of chloride up to ca. 30,000ppm have been observed at depths of 400m. Measured vertical hydraulic heads in open boreholes suggest that advective groundwater flow is now restricted in deeper parts of the Chalk formation and diffusive transport is thus the predominant transport mechanism. Laboratory-measured porosity and effective diffusion coefficients were used as input to a numerical 1D diffusion model of the interface between freshwater in an upper, fractured aquifer and modified connate formation water below. The model satisfactorily simulated the observed chloride and δ¹⁸O profiles. The diffusive refreshening of the Chalk formation has been going on for about 0.9 million years. The connate water in the Chalk of parts of the sedimentary basin seems to have been modified by transport of saltwater from underlying Mesozoic and Paleozoic sediments during compaction, which presumably ceased around 4 million years ago.  相似文献   

Exotic pollen as an indicator of variable atmospheric circulation over the Labrador Sea region during the mid to late Holocene     

Catherine A. Jessen  Sandrine Solignac  Niels Nørgaard‐Pedersen  Naja Mikkelsen  Antoon Kuijpers  Marit‐Solveig Seidenkrantz 《第四纪科学杂志》2011,26(3):286-296

Variability in the abundance of exotic (non‐native) pollen in sediment cores has long been considered as a potential proxy for changing atmospheric circulation, but the difficulty of gaining sufficient total exotic pollen and the incomplete understanding of atmospheric pollen transport patterns has hindered its application. In light of recent advances in the study of pollen transport, we present an exotic pollen record from two fjord sediment cores taken from the west (Placentia Bay, Newfoundland) and east (Narsaq Sund, Greenland) Labrador Sea as a basis for studying variations in regional atmospheric circulation. The two cores cover the last ca. 5500 years and indicate a shift in dominant spring/summer air masses at ca. 2000 (southern Greenland) and 3000 cal a BP (Newfoundland) transporting reduced concentrations of pollen from southerly and south‐westerly vegetation zones. This may suggest a shift away from more dominantly zonal atmospheric circulation (a feature of positive North Atlantic Oscillation years) to more frequent meridional circulation. These results support sea ice/sea‐surface temperature proxy reconstructions from Newfoundland, investigated as part of the same project, which also suggest increased winter atmospheric circulation during the early part of the time period studied. In this region, more positive North Atlantic Oscillation years, and therefore more zonal atmospheric circulation, are associated with increased atmospheric circulation in both the winter and the summer seasons. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Long-Term Profiles of Wind and Weibull Distribution Parameters up to 600 m in a Rural Coastal and an Inland Suburban Area   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Sven-Erik Gryning  Ekaterina Batchvarova  Rogier Floors  Alfredo Peña  Burghard Brümmer  Andrea N. Hahmann  Torben Mikkelsen 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2014,150(2):167-184

An investigation of the long-term variability of wind profiles for wind energy applications is presented. The observations consists of wind measurements obtained from a ground-based wind lidar at heights between 100 and 600 m, in combination with measurements from tall meteorological towers at a flat rural coastal site in western Denmark and at an inland suburban area near Hamburg in Germany. Simulations with the weather research and forecasting numerical model were carried out in both forecast and analysis configurations. The scatter between measured and modelled wind speeds expressed by the root-mean-square error was about 10 % lower for the analysis compared to the forecast simulations. At the rural coastal site, the observed mean wind speeds above 60 m were underestimated by both the analysis and forecast model runs. For the inland suburban area, the mean wind speed is overestimated by both types of the simulations below 500 m. When studying the wind-speed variability with the Weibull distribution, the shape parameter was always underestimated by the forecast compared to both analysis simulations and measurements. At the rural coastal site although the measured and modelled Weibull distributions are different their variances are nearly the same. It is suggested to use the shape parameter for climatological mesoscale model evaluation. Based on the new measurements, a parametrization of the shape parameter for practical applications is suggested.  相似文献   

Comment on “Trends and low frequency variability of extra-tropical cyclone activity in the ensemble of twentieth century reanalysis” by Xiaolan L. Wang,Y. Feng,G. P. Compo,V. R. Swail,F. W. Zwiers,R. J. Allan,and P. D. Sardeshmukh,Climate Dynamics, 2012     

Oliver Krueger  Frauke Feser  Lars Bärring  Eigil Kaas  Torben Schmith  Heikki Tuomenvirta  Hans von Storch 《Climate Dynamics》2014,42(3-4):1127-1128

The main subject of this article is to comment on the issue of storminess trends derived from the twentieth century reanalysis (20CR) and from observations in the North Atlantic region written about in Wang et al. (Clim Dyn 40(11–12):2775–2800, 2012). The statement that the 20CR estimates would be consistent with storminess derived from pressure-based proxies does not hold for the time prior to 1950.  相似文献