Comparison of results from several AOGCMs for global and regional sea-level change 1900–2100     

J. M. Gregory  J. A. Church  G. J. Boer  K. W. Dixon  G. M. Flato  D. R. Jackett  J. A. Lowe  S. P. O'Farrell  E. Roeckner  G. L. Russell  R. J. Stouffer  M. Winton 《Climate Dynamics》2001,18(3-4):225-240

 Sea-level rise is an important aspect of climate change because of its impact on society and ecosystems. Here we present an intercomparison of results from ten coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) for sea-level changes simulated for the twentieth century and projected to occur during the twenty first century in experiments following scenario IS92a for greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols. The model results suggest that the rate of sea-level rise due to thermal expansion of sea water has increased during the twentieth century, but the small set of tide gauges with long records might not be adequate to detect this acceleration. The rate of sea-level rise due to thermal expansion continues to increase throughout the twenty first century, and the projected total is consequently larger than in the twentieth century; for 1990–2090 it amounts to 0.20–0.37 m. This wide range results from systematic uncertainty in modelling of climate change and of heat uptake by the ocean. The AOGCMs agree that sea-level rise is expected to be geographically non-uniform, with some regions experiencing as much as twice the global average, and others practically zero, but they do not agree about the geographical pattern. The lack of agreement indicates that we cannot currently have confidence in projections of local sea-level changes, and reveals a need for detailed analysis and intercomparison in order to understand and reduce the disagreements. Received: 1 September 2000 / Accepted: 20 April 2001  相似文献   

Observational Selection of Comet Discoveries     

Kalinicheva  O. V. 《Solar System Research》2002,36(3):260-266

The distribution of perihelion distances of nearly periodic comets was studied using different assumptions about comet discovery probabilities. It was shown that the concentration of perihelia at small heliocentric distances cannot be explained solely by the influence of visibility conditions.  相似文献   

The influence of the 0-0 edge distances on the Fe2+ → Fe3+ charge transfer bands energies in amphiboles     

V. M. Khomenko  A. N. Platonov 《Physics and Chemistry of Minerals》1996,23(4-5):243-243

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Radar observations of the Geminid meteoroid stream     

G. Cevolani  G. Bortolotti  L. Foschini  C. Franceschi  G. Grassi  G. Trivellone  A. Hajduk  V. Porubčan 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1995,68(1-3):247-255

Continuous radio-wave monitoring of the Geminid activity in December 1992 and 1993 by using a forward scatter (FS) bistatic radar over the Bologna-Lecce baseline (700 km) in Italy, reveals peculiar structural aspects of the stream in terms of signal amplitude-rate and duration-rate dependence. The observational results of the Geminid display obtained in the two consecutive years with differentiated peak levels of transmitted power, exhibit different time distributions of underdense meteors against the signal received power. Both sets of the data relative to the peak activity in December 12–14, show reflection properties of Geminids which are atypical if compared with echoes from cometary-type showers, with really high echo counts at mid-upper levels of the peak received power. An assymmetric curve of activity of the Geminids complex is evidenced, with the peak flux of smaller particles occurring earlier than that of larger ones.  相似文献   

Interactions and the Evolution of Cluster Galaxies     

R. Vílchez-Gómex  G. A. Bruzual  R. Pelló  R. Domínguez 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2001,276(2-4):757-764

We have developed model predictions for the morphological distribution of cluster galaxies as a function of the cluster-centric distance and the local galaxy density, using a semi-analytical code. This code allows us to obtain magnitudes and colours for cluster galaxies at different redshifts, and thus to study in detail the evolution of the colour–magnitude relation of specific distant clusters. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

Multiple-source localization using GPS technology and receivedarrival time structure analysis in an air-deployed system     

Stotts  S.A. Martin  J.L. Bedford  N.R. 《Oceanic Engineering, IEEE Journal of》1997,22(3):576-582

An efficient and robust method has been developed to locate multiple impulsive sources in an ocean environment. Global position system (GPS) receivers were installed on sonobuoys to obtain their locations within a few meters of accuracy. A sonobuoy field was deployed in a ring-type pattern. Charges were then set off at arbitrary locations within the ring, High-resolution plots were used to obtain direct path and/or first bottom bounce arrivals on each buoy. A model grid of arrival times was constructed, corresponding to the dimensions of the buoy field. A ray model previously developed here at the Applied Research Laboratories at the University of Texas at Austin (ARL:UT) was used to obtain model travel times. The minimum value of the least-square-type error between the real arrival times and the modeled travel times resulted in an unambiguous location of the source, within the limits of the grid spacing chosen. This value was calculated by picking one receiver as the reference and then summing the timing errors of the remaining receivers relative to the reference. Successive iterations with finer grid spacings result in source localization within the accuracy of the buoy locations. The localization routine was extended by allowing permutations of the pulse arrivals on each buoy to account for multiple sources closely separated in time and/or space. An automated correlation technique is presented as an alternative to the leading edge-detection method used here for obtaining relative arrival times. Two proof-of-concept experiments were performed and some results of data obtained at Lake Travis and the Gulf of Mexico are presented  相似文献   

Retardation of Tritium and Cesium in Brine-Saturated Mudstone, Halite, and Carbonate Porous Media     

Evangelos A. Voudrias  Jeffrey L. Means  Jeffrey Kittel 《Ground water》1993,31(4):605-615

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The 2dF QSO Redshift Survey – VI. Measuring Λ and β from redshift-space distortions in the power spectrum     

P.J. Outram  Fiona Hoyle  T. Shanks  B.J. Boyle  S.M. Croom  N.S. Loaring  L. Miller  R.J. Smith 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,328(1):174-184

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Obscured AGB Stars in the LMC     

Jacco Th. Van Loon  Albert A. Zijlstra  Patricia A. Whitelock  M.A.T. Groenewegen  Cecile Loup  Peter Te Lintel Hekkert  Norman R. Trams  L.B.F.M. Waters 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1997,255(1-2):403-404

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A comparison of theoreticalCIV emission line strengths with active region observations obtained with the Solar EUV Rocket Telescope and Spectrograph (SERTS)     

F. P. Keenan  R. J. Thomas  W. M. Neupert  E. S. Conlon  V. M. Burke 《Solar physics》1993,144(1):69-74

Theoretical line ratios involving 2s ² S - 3p ² P, 2p ² P - 3s ² S, and 2p ² S - 3d ² D transitions inCiv between 312 and 420 Å are presented. A comparison of these with solar active region observational data obtained during a rocket flight by the Solar EUV Rocket Telescope and Spectrograph (SERTS) reveals good agreement between theory and experiment, with discrepancies that average only 22%. This provides experimental support for the accuracy of the atomic data adopted in the line ratio calculations, and also resolves discrepancies found previously when the theoretical results were compared with solar data from the S082A instrument on boardSkylab. The potential usefulness of theCIV line ratios as electron temperature diagnostics for the solar transition region is briefly discussed.  相似文献